Happy Wednesday, January 15th! We have a nice nine-game NBA DFS main slate on DraftKings and 11 games on FanDuel.

The stars are out as Giannis Antetokounmpo, Victor Wembanyama, Nikola Jokic, and LaMelo Ball are taking the floor. There are some big-time injury statuses that we need to watch out for as Karl-Anthony Towns, Joel Embiid, and Jalen Johnson are questionable. There are also a bunch of teams on back-to-backs and there's rest potential.

 

 

 

Before actually diving into the meat and potatoes, welcome to the NBA DFS season. If this is your first time reading our column on NBA DFS picks, I just want to welcome you and give you a few tips and tricks on what you should be looking for each night.

  • News outlets: reliable sources that give us injury news & starting lineups
  • Pace of play: who's playing fast vs. who's playing slow. Which teams get a pace-up spot (more possessions) vs. pace-down (fewer possessions)
  • Usage rates: is a percentage of how many plays that player is being used in
  • NBA DFS Projections
  • Lineup Generator
  • NBA Ownership

NBA DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook Today, January 15th

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Pre-Lock Update

This section will be used for anything that changes from the morning until right up to roster lock. 

Injury updates, players we’re higher on than we were in the morning and so much more.

6:10 pm ET

7:50 pm ET

  • Keaton Wallace is a min-salary starter tonight in a dream matchup. It's hard to ignore that price point.

8:20 pm ET

  • Nikola Jokic has been ruled OUT. Russell Westbrook, Jamal Murray, Peyton Watson & Michael Porter Jr. are all in play.

NBA Injuries, News & Updates Today, 1/15

 

 

 

NBA DFS Slate & Game Overviews

With the NBA season just kicking off we don't have data yet for teams regarding pace of play and defensive matchups. In the section below, I’m listing the most notable things we need to look at in Las Vegas, including notable O/U and spreads.

Atlanta Hawks vs. Chicago Bulls

  • Total: 245.5
  • Spread: CHI -2
  • Hawks are 3rd in pace, Bulls are 2nd in pace
  • Hawks are 21st in DRtg, Bulls are 23rd in DRtg

Memphis Grizzlies vs. San Antonio Spurs

  • Total: 239
  • Spread: MEM -2.5
  • Grizzlies are 1st in pace, Spurs are 17th in pace 
  • Grizzlies are 7th in DRtg, Spurs are 13th in DRtg

Houston Rockets vs. Denver Nuggets

  • Total: 231
  • Spread: DEN -1
  • Rockets are 18th in pace, Nuggets are 5th in pace
  • Rockets are 3rd in DRtg, Nuggets are 16th in DRtg

Portland Trail Blazers @ Detroit Pistons

  • Total: 226.5
  • Spread: DET -6.5
  • Trail Blazers are 2nd in pace, Pistons are 20th in pace
  • Trail Blazers are 17th in DRtg, Pistons are 22nd in DRtg

Boston Celtics vs. Toronto Raptors

  • Total: 230
  • Spread: BOS -14
  • Celtics are 24th in pace, Raptors are 9th in pace
  • Celtics are 6th in DRtg, Raptors are 27th in DRtg

Dallas Mavericks vs. New Orleans Pelicans

  • Total: 225.5
  • Spread: DAL -2.5
  • Mavericks are 10th in pace, Pelicans are 16th in pace
  • Mavericks are 12th in DRtg, Pelicans are 28th in DRtg

Charlotte Hornets vs. Utah Jazz

  • Total: 220.5
  • Spread: CHA -5.5
  • Hornets are 23rd in pace, Jazz are 13th in pace
  • Hornets are 19th in DRtg, Jazz are 29th in DRtg

New York Knicks vs. Philadelphia 76ers

  • Total: 220
  • Spread: NYK -6
  • Knicks are 25th in pace, 76ers are 28th in pace
  • Knicks are 15th in DRtg, 76ers are 17th in DRtg

 

 

 

NBA DFS Core Player Pool & Lineup Picks

Here are the core players I’m looking at for my NBA DFS picks tonight. You can see the full analysis of tonight’s NBA DFS projections and player pool below or skip ahead to building the best lineups possible by locking these into the aforementioned lineup generator now.

High

Mid

Value

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Pos
(Click to sort ascending)
Player
(Click to sort ascending)
Matchup
(Click to sort ascending)
DK
(Click to sort ascending)
DK Pts
(Click to sort ascending)
FD
(Click to sort ascending)
FD Pts
(Click to sort ascending)
PGLaMelo BallCHA @ UTA Wed 9:001000053.11020049.4

I absolutely LOVE seeing LaMelo Ball get up to 40 minutes. Absolutely love it. Love it love it love it. Ball has nuked back-to-back slates and at max minutes and a 30% USG or better, the ceiling should persist here again against the 29th ranked defense of the Utah Jazz.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGJa MorantMEM @ SAS Wed 8:00850046.8840045.2

Since returning from his shoulder injury, Ja Morant has posted a 39, 31, and 44% USG rate in the three games he's played. Morant finally made shots in his last game and went for 45 DKP. That scoring upside at this price stands out in GPPs like a sore thumb.

Game Type: GPP
PGFred VanVleetHOU @ DEN Wed 9:00730036.1730036

Minutes. Minutes minutes minutes minutes. When FVV makes shots, he has a big ceiling. When he does, well, he has a very low floor, but he'll be on the floor a LOT.

Game Type: GPP
PGRussell WestbrookHOU @ DEN Wed 9:00700035.3780035.5

It was Jamal Murray's night on Tuesday, but could you see a scenario in which Amen Thompson draws that assignment tonight, right? That puts the Westbrook-Jokic duo back in play. Westbrook had 49 and 62 DKP in the two games prior to Tuesday night.

Game Type: GPP
PGCole AnthonyORL @ MIL Wed 8:00620035.5690034

We haven't seen Cole Anthony's production drop off at all since Paolo Banchero returned as his USG has stayed above 24% in each game and he's put up 36+ DKP. The minutes have been great and they'll need his offense until they get Franz Wagner back. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGStephon CastleMEM @ SAS Wed 8:00400024.4480024

I don't think you can expect another dominant offensive performance out of Stephon Castle again, but last game flashed the upside he has in his game. Without Jeremy Sochan, Castle likely starts again and he has a 22.8% USG and averages .87 FP/min. Great pace up spot for SA.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGAnthony EdwardsGSW @ MIN Wed 9:30920047.4940045.1

Anthony Edwards has clearly hit his stride lately scoring 30+ actual points in four of six with a 41 and 53 actual point game mixed in. He plays max minutes, has max usage, and this is actually a great spot as the Warriors rank 25th defensively over their last 15 games.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGAmen ThompsonHOU @ DEN Wed 9:00780042.6830042.1

Another Rocket with all the minutes. He's played 41 in three of four and the only reason the 4th was 36 was because foul trouble. In the three games he's played 40+ minutes he's had 19+ double-doubles and at least 49 DKP. He's a FP/min monster.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGTrey MurphyDAL @ NOP Wed 8:00740039.1760038.4

We pay so much attention to everything else going on in New Orleans and quietly, Trey Murphy has back-to-back 30+ point games and has 37+ DKP in seven straight and in nine of 10. Zion in or out it hasn't mattered. Without Ingram and Herb Jones this year, Murphy has a 27.2% USG and averages 1.16 FP/min.

Game Type: GPP
SGJalen GreenHOU @ DEN Wed 9:00710036.8750035.1

Look, the guy is on an ELITE run and is going to play a boatload of minutes. Will he continue to be efficient? Will he continue to get whatever he wants offensively? Those are all questions he's answered with flying colors lately. He had 38+ DKP in five straight.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGDevin VassellMEM @ SAS Wed 8:00600035.9650035.1

I love the safety Devin Vassell provides. He plays monster minutes, has a mid-20s usage rate, massive pace up spot, and has a big-time ceiling as his price continues to drop. He's the team's second best offensive player behind Victor Wembanyama.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFJayson TatumBOS @ TOR Wed 7:301020053.21040051.1

Over the last 15 games, the Raptors are 2-13 and are dead last in defensive rating. Tatum went off last game and the Celtics needed it because things have definitely been up and down lately. His ceiling in this spot is appealing.

Game Type: GPP
SFPaul GeorgeNYK @ PHI Wed 7:00810037.6820037.1

Without Joel Embiid, Jared McCain, and Caleb Martin this season, PG8 has a 27.9% USG and averages 1.2 FP/min. We're unsure if George is going to play, but man he looks good if he suits up.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFBogdan BogdanovićBKN @ LAC Wed 10:304600051000

Atlanta is going to be extremely popular without Trae Young, Jalen Johnson, Zaccharie Risacher, and De'Andre Hunter out. Bogdanovic isn't even on the injury report today. There haven't been many minutes without both Johnson and Young on the floor for ATL this year.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFBrice SensabaughCHA @ UTA Wed 9:00450025470023.1

In the last three games, Brice Sensabaugh has been extended at least 25 minutes and has had a 29.8% USG or better. Sexton, Collins, Markkanen, and Clarkson are out. With those guys out, +8.6% USG bump up to 30.3% USG and averages 1.28 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFGiannis AntetokounmpoORL @ MIL Wed 8:001160059.91190057.9

Giannis has gone for 70+ DKP in two of his last three games and he's always live for that type of production. It's very easy to get to multiple stars today with who Atlanta has available tonight, potentially Philadelphia too.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFP.J. WashingtonDAL @ NOP Wed 8:00700037.5720038.1

With Luka and Lively confirmed out and Kyrie Irving listed as doubtful, P.J. Washington has a 6.3% USG bump, which is the second on the team. He has a 24.6% USG and 1.02 FP/min averages this year.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFGuerschon YabuseleNYK @ PHI Wed 7:00550029.2570028.4

There's nothing that necessarily stands out from a numbers standpoint, but Yabusele is going to play a lot again today. No Embiid, Drummond, McCain and Martin and he has a .9 FP/min. His range out outcomes is very wide as we've seen 43 and 15 in two of his last four games.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFJonathan IsaacORL @ MIL Wed 8:00380024.7480026.7

Look at all of his recent games in which he's played at least 20 minutes. 24+ DKP in each of them and TWICE in four games he's played at least 25 minutes. This is all we've wanted. No Goga Bitadze here and it's likely Isaac could be extended once again.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFDavid RoddyHOU @ DEN Wed 9:003000037000

ADDED - We haven't seen Roddy extended too often this year, but there's a chance he's in the starting lineup tonight with who's out. In the four games he played 26+ minutes in a row, he scored 16.75-27.5 DKP in each. ATL has 10 available

Game Type: GPP
CNikola JokićHOU @ DEN Wed 9:001230066.61290064

Going right back to the well because there's once again, infinite amounts of value you can get exposure to. Too cheap as long as he's under $13K.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CVictor WembanyamaMEM @ SAS Wed 8:001120054.21180053.5

Wemby? Wemby. Without Jeremy Sochan this year, he has a 33% USG and averages 1.67 FP/min. Getting Wemby in a pace up spot is FUN.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CAlperen ŞengünHOU @ DEN Wed 9:00880049.6910048.5

Without Jabari Smith and Tari Eason this year, Sengun has a 5% USG bump up to a robust 32.7%. It's not like Nikola Jokic is winning a DPOY anytime soon.

Game Type: GPP
CRudy GobertGSW @ MIN Wed 9:30560031.1630030.3

I mean, he's still just too cheap. I still don't think anyone's gonna play him and he's smashed at this price in four of five and he's gone for 25+ DKP in all five. Golden State could potentially be without both Draymond Green and Trayce Jackson-Davis tonight.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
COnyeka OkongwuATL @ CHI Wed 8:00480024.6540025

What do we do with Onyeka Okongwu? Who knows, but he had an insane game on Tuesday what will he do for an encore? Is it possible we even see Okongwu and Capela playing a little together with how short-handed they are? He has two double-doubles in his last five and 24+ DKP in four of five.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CDaniel GaffordDAL @ NOP Wed 8:00430033.1450034.5

I'm surprised the response to all the news down the wire has moved a lot of people off of Daniel Gafford. Look at every game Gafford has been extended in this year. He's been an absolute DOG.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGVít KrejčíATL @ CHI Wed 8:00400028.8440028.9

ADDED - This is a big lock-and-load for me. Krejci has been extended lately without Jalen Johnson and now there's no Johnson, Young, Hunter, and Risacher. His minutes should be super safe here. Elite spot, too.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGGarrison MathewsATL @ CHI Wed 8:00330026390025.1

ADDED - When Garrison Mathews makes shots, he can go absolutely nuts. He's VERY good from three. He's shooting 43% from three this year. There's a chance we see Mathews start here.

Game Type: GPP
PGKeyonte GeorgeCHA @ UTA Wed 9:00550026.5570024.6

ADDED - Before going ALL in here, I'd like to know if there are any limitations here. He last played on 1/4. If there's no limitations, he's as good as anyone per dollar tonight considering who's in/out for Utah.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGTyler HerroMIA @ LAL Wed 10:0046.9850043.7

FD ONLY - This is a really good matchup for Tyler Herro as the Lakers rank 24th in DRtg this year and Herro's been a dawg. We're unsure if Bam Adebayo is gonna play, but we know Jimmy Butler isn't. Without Butler this year, Herro has a 28.7% USG and 1.2 FP/min.

Game Type: GPP
10000 , 53.1
53.1
10200 , 49.4
49.4

I absolutely LOVE seeing LaMelo Ball get up to 40 minutes. Absolutely love it. Love it love it love it. Ball has nuked back-to-back slates and at max minutes and a 30% USG or better, the ceiling should persist here again against the 29th ranked defense of the Utah Jazz.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
8500 , 46.8
46.8
8400 , 45.2
45.2

Since returning from his shoulder injury, Ja Morant has posted a 39, 31, and 44% USG rate in the three games he's played. Morant finally made shots in his last game and went for 45 DKP. That scoring upside at this price stands out in GPPs like a sore thumb.

Game Type: GPP
7300 , 36.1
36.1
7300 , 36
36

Minutes. Minutes minutes minutes minutes. When FVV makes shots, he has a big ceiling. When he does, well, he has a very low floor, but he'll be on the floor a LOT.

Game Type: GPP
7000 , 35.3
35.3
7800 , 35.5
35.5

It was Jamal Murray's night on Tuesday, but could you see a scenario in which Amen Thompson draws that assignment tonight, right? That puts the Westbrook-Jokic duo back in play. Westbrook had 49 and 62 DKP in the two games prior to Tuesday night.

Game Type: GPP
6200 , 35.5
35.5
6900 , 34
34

We haven't seen Cole Anthony's production drop off at all since Paolo Banchero returned as his USG has stayed above 24% in each game and he's put up 36+ DKP. The minutes have been great and they'll need his offense until they get Franz Wagner back. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4000 , 24.4
24.4
4800 , 24
24

I don't think you can expect another dominant offensive performance out of Stephon Castle again, but last game flashed the upside he has in his game. Without Jeremy Sochan, Castle likely starts again and he has a 22.8% USG and averages .87 FP/min. Great pace up spot for SA.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
9200 , 47.4
47.4
9400 , 45.1
45.1

Anthony Edwards has clearly hit his stride lately scoring 30+ actual points in four of six with a 41 and 53 actual point game mixed in. He plays max minutes, has max usage, and this is actually a great spot as the Warriors rank 25th defensively over their last 15 games.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7800 , 42.6
42.6
8300 , 42.1
42.1

Another Rocket with all the minutes. He's played 41 in three of four and the only reason the 4th was 36 was because foul trouble. In the three games he's played 40+ minutes he's had 19+ double-doubles and at least 49 DKP. He's a FP/min monster.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7400 , 39.1
39.1
7600 , 38.4
38.4

We pay so much attention to everything else going on in New Orleans and quietly, Trey Murphy has back-to-back 30+ point games and has 37+ DKP in seven straight and in nine of 10. Zion in or out it hasn't mattered. Without Ingram and Herb Jones this year, Murphy has a 27.2% USG and averages 1.16 FP/min.

Game Type: GPP
7100 , 36.8
36.8
7500 , 35.1
35.1

Look, the guy is on an ELITE run and is going to play a boatload of minutes. Will he continue to be efficient? Will he continue to get whatever he wants offensively? Those are all questions he's answered with flying colors lately. He had 38+ DKP in five straight.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6000 , 35.9
35.9
6500 , 35.1
35.1

I love the safety Devin Vassell provides. He plays monster minutes, has a mid-20s usage rate, massive pace up spot, and has a big-time ceiling as his price continues to drop. He's the team's second best offensive player behind Victor Wembanyama.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
10200 , 53.2
53.2
10400 , 51.1
51.1

Over the last 15 games, the Raptors are 2-13 and are dead last in defensive rating. Tatum went off last game and the Celtics needed it because things have definitely been up and down lately. His ceiling in this spot is appealing.

Game Type: GPP
8100 , 37.6
37.6
8200 , 37.1
37.1

Without Joel Embiid, Jared McCain, and Caleb Martin this season, PG8 has a 27.9% USG and averages 1.2 FP/min. We're unsure if George is going to play, but man he looks good if he suits up.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4600 , 0
0
5100 , 0
0

Atlanta is going to be extremely popular without Trae Young, Jalen Johnson, Zaccharie Risacher, and De'Andre Hunter out. Bogdanovic isn't even on the injury report today. There haven't been many minutes without both Johnson and Young on the floor for ATL this year.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4500 , 25
25
4700 , 23.1
23.1

In the last three games, Brice Sensabaugh has been extended at least 25 minutes and has had a 29.8% USG or better. Sexton, Collins, Markkanen, and Clarkson are out. With those guys out, +8.6% USG bump up to 30.3% USG and averages 1.28 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
11600 , 59.9
59.9
11900 , 57.9
57.9

Giannis has gone for 70+ DKP in two of his last three games and he's always live for that type of production. It's very easy to get to multiple stars today with who Atlanta has available tonight, potentially Philadelphia too.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7000 , 37.5
37.5
7200 , 38.1
38.1

With Luka and Lively confirmed out and Kyrie Irving listed as doubtful, P.J. Washington has a 6.3% USG bump, which is the second on the team. He has a 24.6% USG and 1.02 FP/min averages this year.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5500 , 29.2
29.2
5700 , 28.4
28.4

There's nothing that necessarily stands out from a numbers standpoint, but Yabusele is going to play a lot again today. No Embiid, Drummond, McCain and Martin and he has a .9 FP/min. His range out outcomes is very wide as we've seen 43 and 15 in two of his last four games.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
3800 , 24.7
24.7
4800 , 26.7
26.7

Look at all of his recent games in which he's played at least 20 minutes. 24+ DKP in each of them and TWICE in four games he's played at least 25 minutes. This is all we've wanted. No Goga Bitadze here and it's likely Isaac could be extended once again.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
3000 , 0
0
3700 , 0
0

ADDED - We haven't seen Roddy extended too often this year, but there's a chance he's in the starting lineup tonight with who's out. In the four games he played 26+ minutes in a row, he scored 16.75-27.5 DKP in each. ATL has 10 available

Game Type: GPP
12300 , 66.6
66.6
12900 , 64
64

Going right back to the well because there's once again, infinite amounts of value you can get exposure to. Too cheap as long as he's under $13K.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
11200 , 54.2
54.2
11800 , 53.5
53.5

Wemby? Wemby. Without Jeremy Sochan this year, he has a 33% USG and averages 1.67 FP/min. Getting Wemby in a pace up spot is FUN.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
8800 , 49.6
49.6
9100 , 48.5
48.5

Without Jabari Smith and Tari Eason this year, Sengun has a 5% USG bump up to a robust 32.7%. It's not like Nikola Jokic is winning a DPOY anytime soon.

Game Type: GPP
5600 , 31.1
31.1
6300 , 30.3
30.3

I mean, he's still just too cheap. I still don't think anyone's gonna play him and he's smashed at this price in four of five and he's gone for 25+ DKP in all five. Golden State could potentially be without both Draymond Green and Trayce Jackson-Davis tonight.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4800 , 24.6
24.6
5400 , 25
25

What do we do with Onyeka Okongwu? Who knows, but he had an insane game on Tuesday what will he do for an encore? Is it possible we even see Okongwu and Capela playing a little together with how short-handed they are? He has two double-doubles in his last five and 24+ DKP in four of five.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4300 , 33.1
33.1
4500 , 34.5
34.5

I'm surprised the response to all the news down the wire has moved a lot of people off of Daniel Gafford. Look at every game Gafford has been extended in this year. He's been an absolute DOG.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4000 , 28.8
28.8
4400 , 28.9
28.9

ADDED - This is a big lock-and-load for me. Krejci has been extended lately without Jalen Johnson and now there's no Johnson, Young, Hunter, and Risacher. His minutes should be super safe here. Elite spot, too.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
3300 , 26
26
3900 , 25.1
25.1

ADDED - When Garrison Mathews makes shots, he can go absolutely nuts. He's VERY good from three. He's shooting 43% from three this year. There's a chance we see Mathews start here.

Game Type: GPP
5500 , 26.5
26.5
5700 , 24.6
24.6

ADDED - Before going ALL in here, I'd like to know if there are any limitations here. He last played on 1/4. If there's no limitations, he's as good as anyone per dollar tonight considering who's in/out for Utah.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
, 46.9
46.9
8500 , 43.7
43.7

FD ONLY - This is a really good matchup for Tyler Herro as the Lakers rank 24th in DRtg this year and Herro's been a dawg. We're unsure if Bam Adebayo is gonna play, but we know Jimmy Butler isn't. Without Butler this year, Herro has a 28.7% USG and 1.2 FP/min.

Game Type: GPP