Just like this NFL DFS Week 6 TE Coach plans to do this week, our boom/bust approach has produced some big games as well as some duds. 

But that’s the world of big tournament DFS play - middle of the road performances don’t bring home the bacon either, so we might as well go big!

 

 

 

NFL DFS Week 6 TE Coach For FanDuel & DraftKings Fantasy

This past week we hit on the top two scorers on the main slate in Tucker Kraft and Brock Bowers. Obviously, Kraft came from the value tier which was a nice boost. Colby Parkinson from that tier also finished with 13 targets and a top 10 spot. 

On the flip side, Dalton Kincaid fell flat for us and Mark Andrews, despite getting targeted more than he had been recently, didn’t deliver on his price. You win some, you lose some. 

Let’s jump into the NFL DFS Week 6 TE Coach and see if we can keep it rocking. So far this year we’ve hit on the top play in four of five weeks and one of the top two scorers in all five weeks!

 

 

 

NFL DFS TE Top Tier Picks For Week 6

Trey McBride, TE Arizona Cardinals - DraftKings: $6.500 | FanDuel: $6,500

Brock Bowers is going to be a popular play this week. And we’ll discuss in the fades section why we’re not going crazy getting him into lineups for just this week. If we are going to spend up this week, it’s Trey McBride we want.

McBride and Bowers lead all tight ends in target share at 25%. McBride however is running over 80% of the routes on the season while Bowers is sitting around 70%. McBride is only pass blocking on 2.5% of his pass plays and he has a healthy 7.8-yard aDot - the only thing that has held him back is backup tight end Elijah Higgins scoring a couple TDs instead of him. TDs are flukey.

McBride has a great matchup with shootout potential against Green Bay with a 47.5 point over/under. McBride should be in a spot to smash this week, especially on the full PPR DraftKings which is his preferred format. And he’s slightly cheaper than Bowers which is a nice bonus.  

Jake Ferguson, TE Dallas Cowboys - DraftKings: $5,000 | FanDuel: $6,100

Jake Ferguson isn’t someone we typically load up on. His lack of athleticism and high-end speed cause him to generally be a lower aDot, lower YAC guy. But we also can’t ignore the situation the Cowboys are in.

They already didn’t make major moves this offseason. And then they lost Brandin Cooks to injury. This has left CeeDee Lamb, Jake Ferguson, and Jalen Tolbert at the top of that pecking order. Ferg so far has run 75% of the routes and he’s running 70% of those from a WR spot. This has led him to having a nearly 20% target share. 

This week they are only 3-point underdogs in a game with a 52 point over/under vs. the Detroit Lions. That’s going to give them the 6th highest implied point total per our Vegas Odds Calculator. I just don’t see how they get there without Jake Ferguson being fairly heavily involved.

 

 

 

NFL DFS TE Mid-Tier Picks For NFL Week 6

Hunter Henry, TE New England Patriots - DraftKings: $3,800 | FanDuel: $5,000

We’re going to give you two options in the mid-range - one high risk, high reward play for GPPs and one “safe” play for cash type games. This one here is out high risk, high reward options.

Technically, Hunter Henry leads this team in routes run, targets and yards. Which isn’t as impressive of a feat as you might think given the state of the offense (and the fact that most of it came in one game). But we have a rare occasion here where the team is switching from its veteran placeholder QB to its rookie third overall picks. We don’t know what it looks like but there is unknown upside to be had with that. What if he locks in on Hunter Henry

As we mentioned, the floor is bad. The floor is lava. But, at this price, there’s not a lot of guys that have that upside shot. There definitely aren’t many guys with a 12-target game this season. So, we’ll roll those dice here. If you play the “wait and see” game in DFS, the prices go up before you can take advantage.

Zach Ertz, TE Washington Commanders, DraftKings: $3,700 | FanDuel: $5,000

Here is your “safe” play. Pat Freiermuth is another option in this range, but we really don’t like that that game has a 36.5 point over/under. This one is set at 51. So, despite the Steelers being favorites and the Commanders being underdogs, the implied point total for the Commanders is actually 24.79 compared to 19.19 for the Steelers.

With Ertz you know what you are getting. He doesn’t offer much in the YAC department. He never really has and especially not at 33. What we are chasing is targets and a possible touchdown. He got 8 targets last week including 2 end zone targets. He just only caught a couple of the targets and neither endzone target. This should once again be a game where Washington has to throw.

He doesn’t need to score a touchdown to be worth his price this week. It would be nice but catching 4-5 passes would honestly do the trick. And he’s more than capable of that in Kliff Kingsbury’s offense. This past week was actually the first time he didn’t catch at least 3 which he easily could have and should have done on 8 looks.

 

 

 

NFL DFS TE Value Picks For NFL Week 6

Ja’Tavion Sanders, TE Carolina Panthers - DraftKings: $2,600 | FanDuel: $4,800

In Week One, the Carolina Panthers were without Tommy Tremble. And in those games, rookie Ja’Tavion Sanders was forced into a substantial workload in his very first NFL game. In Week Two Tremble returned and the snaps were split then Tremble took over, playing 78% and 87% in Weeks 3 and 4.

Last weke, however, Tommy Tremble took a scary hit after 17 snaps and left the game with a concussion. That led Ja’Tavion Sanders to play 75% of snaps in the game. Fellow right end Ian Thomas might be back this week but he’s more of a blocking tight end. With Adam Thielen out and Xavier Legette possibly feeling the effects of a shoulder issue that saw him exit last game, maybe Sanders can get a couple extra looks here.

This is a deep cut obviously, but we are talking $100 over the bare minimum on DraftKings and a fairly cheap price on FanDuel as well. If you are looking to make a couple cheap lineups, he’s one of the few options out there this week, it’s the sure handed Sanders. He may be a rookie but our upside comps for him if he pans out are guys like Zach Ertz and Hunter Henry.

Lucas Krull, TE Denver Broncos - DraftKings: $2,500 | FanDuel: $4,100

Can you believe we found an even cheaper option than Ja’Tavion Sanders? Yes, we’re going all the way down to the bare minimum this week with Krull, The Warrior King! All meme’s aside, we believe Krull is a viable deep dart throw play that can save you a lot of money to spend elsewhere at the bare minimum on DraftKings and close to it on FanDuel.

The Broncos use an array of tight ends in this offense. Adam Trautman and Nate Adkins are primary inline blocking options. They tried Greg Dulcich this year but, after some underwhelming performances, he was a healthy scratch last week. And Lucas Krull was not only active, but he led the tight end group in routes run. He didn’t play a ton, but he did run at least five of those routes from a WR spot.

Krull actually held down this job during the second half of last year as well where he actually ran more routes than Adam Trautman from Week 8 on. In six of those games, he played double digit snaps at a WR spot and even had a game with five targets where he scored a touchdown. Let me tell you right now - there simply aren’t any other tight ends at the bare minimum price that are playing WR snaps or scoring anything but the most random, unpredictable touchdowns. Most of the guys in this range aren’t even active on gameday. 

BONUS DART THROW: TE Theo Johnson - DraftKings: NA | FanDuel: $4,900

This year FanDuel has included Sunday Night Football in their main slate which is kind of fun. And there is a potential option here, but it is contingent on Malik Nabers not playing.

Theo Johnson started the season blocking a ton of pass plays with 20 over his first two games. That is not conducive to fantasy production - that was a fourth of the pass plays he was in on. 

Over the next two that dropped 12.9%. This week he only blocked on 2 pass plays which was 5.9% and he got 5 targets. He has very little upside if Nabers plays but, if he’s out again, maybe a dart throw. 

 

 

 

NFL DFS TE Fades For Week 6

Brock Bowers, TE Las Vegas Raiders DraftKings: $6,000 | FanDuel: $6,700

There are a couple teams that have been “black holes” for fantasy points. Essentially, they have bad to mediocre offenses with decent defense and special teams. This slows the game down and drags the point totals into the sewer. The 2023 Jets were one of the worst offenders we’ve seen in a long time.

And the Pittsburgh Steelers this year fit that bill. The defense is great. The offense is just good enough to get the ball towards mid field where they either roll out Chris Boswell or punt and pin the other team deep. An Aiden O’Connell led offense pinned deep is not what we want for fantasy. 

The Raiders are underdogs in a game with a 36.5 point over/under giving them an implied point total of 17.09, the lowest in the NFL. It would be one thing if we were getting a discount on Bowers to take a stab at the QB change here but he’s the most expensive tight end on the DraftKings slate. 

Dalton Schultz, TE Houston Texans - DraftKings: $4,100 | FanDuel: $5,300

This is going to be another popular one here. There are two parts to the narrative that folks will like. One is that Nico Collins is hurt meaning more targets to go around. The other is that they play the Patriots.

Last year in games when everyone was healthy Dalton Schultz was getting 4.2 targets per game which doesn’t cut it for us. But, when either Nico Collins or Tank Dell were out, he was getting 7 targets a game. Which sounds great until you realize that they also have Stefon Diggs this year. Conditions have not drastically changed to allow for upside.

Add to that the fact that the Pats are another black hole team and it’s really not as good of a situation as you’d think. You’d think being big favorites would mean lots of points for Houston, but they actually have only the 18th highest implied point total this week. This game is expected to be a slog with Houston winning and running, not a slugfest with points flying around. 

 

 

 

NFL DFS Week 6 TE Projections