NBA Daily Fantasy Picks & Playbook: February 5
Published: Feb 05, 2024
We have a six-game NBA DFS main slate on Monday, February 5th, on DraftKings and FanDuel. We have plenty of elite options taking the floor tonight as Luka Doncic, Anthony Davis, Trae Young, and LeBron James top the slate. We have a lot of injury news to sort through with the likes of Zion Williamson, Jarrett Allen, Tobias Harris, and Darius Garland all listed as questionable. Let's dive into today's NBA DFS top plays for the four-game main slate.
NBA DFS Tools to dominate tonight's NBA DFS slate!
Make sure to check out today's NBA DFS projections and NBA DFS ownership projections before finalizing your lineups today. We also have the NBA Consistency Report to help identify players that have exceeded value based on their current price tag this season and of course our NBA DFS Lineup Generator!
Here's the NBA DFS Podcast for today's slate. Like the video and subscribe to our channel!
Notable NBA Injury Updates
QUESTIONABLE
- Luka Doncic – IN
- LeBron James – IN
- Anthony Davis – IN
- Jarrett Allen – went through shootaround
- Darius Garland
- Zion Williamson – IN
- Tobias Harris
- Saddiq Bey – IN
- De'Andre Hunter – IN
- Cody Martin – OUT
- Herbert Jones – IN
- Maxi Kleber – IN
- Larry Nance Jr. – IN
- Ivica Zubac – OUT
OUT
- Joel Embiid
- RJ Barrett
- Ben Simmons
- Clint Capela
- De'Anthony Melton
- Dante Exum
- Dereck Lively II
- Nicolas Batum
DOUBTFUL
- LaMelo Ball – OUT
- Mark Williams – OUT
- Andrew Wiggins – OUT
PROBABLE
- Kyrie Irving – IN
- Dario Saric – IN
- Dennis Smith Jr. – IN
Back-to-Backs
Pace
Pace definition: Pace is the total number of possessions a team uses in a game.
*key* Green is elite pace of play, Blue is decent pace of play, & Red is slow pace of play.
Green = Fast Paced team
Blue = Neutral Paced team
Red = Slow Paced team
- Atlanta Hawks - 4th (102.4)
- Los Angeles Lakers - 6th (101.3)
- Dallas Mavericks - 8th (100.8)
- Sacramento Kings - 11th (100.5)
- Golden State Warriors - 12th (99.9)
- New Orleans Pelicans - 13th (99.5)
- Philadelphia 76ers - 14th (99.5)
- Toronto Raptors - 16th (99.3)
- Cleveland Cavaliers - 19th (98.7)
- Charlotte Hornets - 21st (98.7)
- Brooklyn Nets - 22nd (98.6)
- Los Angeles Clippers - 26th (97.6)
Defensive Ratings
- Charlotte Hornets - 30th
- Atlanta Hawks - 27th
- Dallas Mavericks - 25th
- Golden State Warriors - 22nd
- Toronto Raptors -20th
- Brooklyn Nets - 18th
- Sacramento Kings - 17th
- Los Angeles Lakers - 15th
- Los Angeles Clippers - 11th
- Philadelphia 76ers - 9th
- New Orleans Pelicans - 8th
- Cleveland Cavaliers - 2nd
NBA Game Totals
- Dallas Mavericks @ Philadelphia 76ers - 242.5 (DAL -1.5)
- Los Angeles Clippers @ Atlanta Hawks - 242.5 (LAC -2.5)
- Golden State Warriors @ Brooklyn Nets - 237.5 (BKN -1.5)
- Sacramento Kings @ Cleveland Cavaliers - 234.5 (CLE -4.5)
Top Tier Core Plays
Even with Kyrie Irving back, Doncic has a 35% USG and averages 1.6 FP/min, which is as good as you’ll find on this slate. This game also has the most implied points.
Anthony Davis, Los Angeles Lakers
The spot doesn’t get any better for centers and now AD is…SUB 10K? OK. He’s second in usage at 26.7% and averages 1.47 FP/min this year. The only issue is IF he plays the fourth quarter here.
Here’s a contrarian play for you. With Clint Capela off the floor this year, Young sees a +3.2% USG bump to 34.1% and averages 1.5 FP/min. Young gets the Clippers on the second leg of a back-to-back, are only 2.5-point dogs, and are involved in a 242.5 point total. Young’s scored 30+ in four of five and 52+ DKP in four of five.
Tyrese Maxey, Philadelphia 76ers
Maxey is going to be popular, especially if Tobias Harris is eventually ruled out. With Melton and Embiid out, Maxey gets a +10.7% USG bump up to 38.3% and averages 1.4 FP/min. If you had Harris to that, it’s +13.6%, 41.2%, and 1.45 respectively.
Mid-Tier Core Plays
Kawhi Leonard, Los Angeles Clippers
Leonard continues to be nails every time out. He’s scored 25+ points and 46+ DKP in five straight games and has a massive pace-up spot vs. ATL tonight. Atlanta is 27th in DRtg and 4th in pace.
Tobias Harris, Philadelphia 76ers
With Joel Embiid and De’Anthony Melton off the floor this year, Harris has a 25% USG (4% USG bump) and averages 1.12 FP/min. We’ll need to get an update on his status before going all in as he’s listed QUEST with his second illness the past week.
Johnson's put up 35+ DKP in five straight games and is coming off 53 last time out. He averages 1.03 FP/min without Clint Capela this year while playing with Trae Young. He's playing big minutes, in the highest game total of the day, and continues to be a FP/min guy each slate.
Immanuel Quickley, Toronto Raptors
With RJ Barrett ruled out, Quickley has..quickly..become more interesting as a DFS play. I'll see myself out. He's averaged 1.2 FP/min and a 25% USG with those that have been ruled out. We shouldn't worry about his minutes playing 40 in the Double-OT game yesterday.
Brandon Miller, Charlotte Hornets
With Ball, Rozier, Hayward, and Williams this year, Brandon Miller has a 29.1% USG, which leads the team (+6.5% USG also leads) and averages 1.06 FP/min. This is a big-time pace-up spot for the Hornets as the Lakers are 6th in the league in that category.
Thomas is coming off a 40-point game, scored 41 against the Warriors, and has averaged 30.4 points and 43.1 DKP/game over his last five. The Warriors are a bottom-10 defense for the season but 29th in defense since January 1st. Thomas should have his way here once again.
Poeltl played 33 minutes, some aided by the overtime, but he also lost time in the first half due to foul trouble. He played nearly 16 second half minutes, so he was tracking for 32 regulation minutes. With Jontay Porter out and Chris Boucher out of the rotation, Poeltl should play somewhere around 30 minutes tonight.
Value Tier Core Plays
Dennis Schroder, Toronto Raptors
Schroder gets the biggest usage bump on the team with all the guys the Raptors are missing today AND he's over 1 FP/min, nearly 1.1. He's still sub-6K and has gone for 30+ DKP in four of his last five games.
Brandin Podziemski, Golden State Warriors
We saw Podziemski start the second half for the Warriors the other day when Wiggins went down and we'll see if that's the way they go again but he's been great lately. He's notched back-to-back double-doubles and 39+ DKP in those games. He's been a .96 FP/min guy with Wiggins, CP3, and Payton off the floor this year.
I understand the volatility but Monk is such a momentum-based player and he has so much of it behind him right now. Sacramento is going to need shot creation against an elite Cleveland defense and Monk is that guy. His minutes have spiked back up to 27+ in two straight games and he's put up 22+ points and 40+ DKP. Ultimate GPP upside play at this price.
Chalk city, come on down! Coming off a monster game and now Clint Capela is out. I get wanting some Bruno Fernando exposure too, but Okongwu is where I'm going to land. He's a .95 FP/min guy without Capela this year and will have every opportunity to start at center and play monster minutes.
Cameron Johnson, Brooklyn Nets
The minutes have remained consistent lately for Johnson with Dorian Finney-Smith out and with DFS and Ben Simmons out, Johnson should see 30+ minutes. He's played 28+ in three straight games and has 28+ DKP in each game and 25+ in seven of his last eight. Brooklyn has one of the best matchups on the board.
Lonnie Walker IV, Brooklyn Nets
Even though Dennis Smith Jr. is returning here Walker's role has been super solid lately. He's played 27+ minutes in three straight games (2 with DSJ) and has 19+ actual and 28+ DKP in each. Walker's a bucket and gets on the floor to score the rock. On the year, Walker's a 25% USG and 1.04 FP/min guy.
Late-News Core Play Section
*Section for players we are considering “core plays” based on late-breaking news & research
- Zion Williamson, New Orleans Pelicans (if he plays)
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Player Pool
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