MLB DFS Picks & Playbook For Today’s Games: Friday, August 2

Published: Aug 02, 2024
We have an 11-game MLB DFS main slate on Friday, August 2nd, headlined by the diversity between the elite pitching and hitting options we have. Top tier pitching options like Joe Ryan, Spencer Schwellenbach, and Kevin Gausman take the hill while Matt Olson, Anthony Santander, Shohei Ohtani, and Jarren Duran step into the box with great matchups.
Before you finalize your daily fantasy lineups with help from our MLB DFS picks, it's important to check out today's MLB DFS projections and MLB DFS ownership projections. Take advantage of our MLB Lineups Page to identify players who are in and out of the lineup, along with utilizing our MLB DFS Lineup Generator!
MLB DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook Today, August 2
MLB Weather Today, 8/2
This game comes with risk because of how much rain is around the stadium right when it’s slated to kick off. There is late delay and PPD potential, although right now we’re OK with where the weather report is. It should play unless things get worse.
Summers in Atlanta simply don’t change. There is a lot of rain in the forecast early on in this one, but it should clear up and baseball will be played.
There is a delayed start or in-game delay potential, but it’s nothing that we should worry about long term. There is very little PPD risk.
Recommended MLB DFS Starting Pitchers
Top Options For Strikeouts
- Joe Ryan, Minnesota Twins - 6.5 (-130)
- Yusei Kikuchi, Houston Astros - 6.5 (-120)
- Kevin Gausman, Toronto Blue Jays - 5.5 (-130)
- Spencer Schwellenbach, Atlanta Braves - 5.5 (-125)
- Andrew Abbott, Cincinnati Reds - 5.5 (+125)
Best Odds For A Win
- Joe Ryan, Minnesota Twins (-130)
- Spencer Schwellenbach, Atlanta Braves (+100)
- Gavin Stone, Los Angeles Dodgers (+115)
Core MLB DFS Pitchers
Joe Ryan, Minnesota Twins
I understand the trepidation going to this current form of Joe Ryan at nearly 10K, but let’s face some facts. He faces the worst team in baseball, possibly ever tonight. He has the best odds on DK sportsbook for strikeouts and is -130 to outright win the game and it’s not too often you get a pitcher with those odds. There is a massive ceiling, even at nearly 10K on DK, for Ryan here and you’ll have to pay the premium to get him.
Spencer Schwellenbach, Atlanta Braves
Expecting Schwellenbach to repeat his last performance is unrealistic, but he’s been fantastic of late. Over his last four starts, he has pitched to a 2.08 ERA and has a 28.9% K-rate while posting 17+ DKP in each of them, clearing 20 in three. His matchup against Miami after the Marlins dealt all their offensive firepower at the deadline. One of my favorite options on the board, if not number one.
Yusei Kikuchi, Houston Astros
The more I think about this matchup, the more comfortable I am with getting to Kikuchi. He’s not exactly pitching all too well, but he has a ceiling because he can miss bats. His 6.5 K projection on DK sportsbook is highly intriguing and the Rays projected lineup is, well, not good. He’s flashed 30+ DKP upside twice this season and if he’s missing bats like DK is projecting, this could be number three.
Tyler Phillips, Philadelphia Phillies
Offense just goes to die in Seattle, plain and simple. Phillips has been electric in his past two starts firing 15 straight scoreless innings including a complete game shutout last time out. The lack of strikeouts leave a little to be desired, but he did have seven in his debut to give us some hope they can show up because this is THE strikeout spot. Over the last month, Seattle led the league in K-rate against righties…again. Love this spot.
ADDED - Blake Snell, San Francisco Giants
I was all in on Kyle Harrison until it was announced Snell was the starter so that hasn't changed a bit. Snell has looked more and more the Cy Young winner from a year ago with each start lately. Since returning from the IL, he's allowed 2 ER across 24 innings while striking out 30 batters. The Reds strike out a LOT against southpaws and are a bottom-five offense against lefties over the last month in OPS, wOBA, and wRC+.
Recommended MLB DFS Hitters
Highest Expected Run Totals
- Atlanta Braves - 6.1
- Minnesota Twins - 5.5
- New York Yankees - 5.1
- San Diego Padres - 5
Core MLB DFS Hitters
Shohei Ohtani, Los Angeles Dodgers
Lefty power has been Joey Estes' kryptonite this year and here lies one of the best, if not THE best, lefty-power hitters in the game. Estes has allowed a 50% FB rate to LHH this year and has incredibly good luck on his side with his .255 BABIP and 6.01 xFIP. Ohtani is +150 to homer today.
Jarren Duran & Rafael Devers, Boston Red Sox
I like the Red Sox today as Jose Urena's luck could really run out here. They rank first in OPS over the last month against right-handed pitching and here are their two best players. If you can afford both, you should do it. They have as much upside as a two-man stack as anyone around the league.
Atlanta Braves Stack
After opening at 5.8, the Braves implied run total sits at 6.1 with Valente Bellozo taking the hill. Bellozo has been a big-time flyball pitcher and that's really bad with how well the Braves have been hitting home runs.
Here are the numbers versus righties over the last two weeks:
- Travis d'Arnaud: .421 AVG, 1.187 OPS, .316 ISO, .504 wOBA
- Orlando Arcia: .361 AVG, 1.049 OPS, .278 ISO, .447 wOBA
- Marcell Ozuna: 1.037 OPS, .333 ISO, .438 wOBA
- Matt Olson: .500 SLG%, .286 ISO, .342 wOBA
- Austin Riley: .489 SLG%, .244 ISO
Royce Lewis, Matt Wallner & Byron Buxton, Minnesota Twins
This is a very good spot for the Twins as they face Davis Martin who's 27 years old and hasn't had much major league experience. I love Royce Lewis and the upside he brings, but over the last month, Matt Wallner and Byron Buxton have carried this offense against righties. Wallner has a .972 SLG%, 1.472 OPS, .556 ISO, and .598 wOBA against righties. Buxton is ONLY at a 1.264 OPS, .468 ISO, and .519 wOBA over that same span against righties.
Tyler Fitzgerald & Matt Chapman, San Francisco Giants
Andrew Abbott's Achilles heal this year has been at home against right-handed bats. Righty power in general has given him issues considering they've hit 18 home runs and averaged 1.8 HR/9 off him. Righties at home are up to 1.9 HR/9 with an elevated 49% flyball rate. Both Fitzgerald and Chapman have hit lefties hard this year, posting OPS over .884 with both guys notching an ISO over .200.
Mark Vientos, New York Mets
Wow, Mark Vientos still has a 1.100 OPS against left-handed pitching. You don't say! He has tormented left-handed pitching from the outset and hasn't slowed down at all. He accompanies his 1.100 OPS with a .346 SLG% and .467 wOBA. Elite mid-tier play against Tyler Anderson who is pitching above his head and has been lucky all year.
Gavin Lux & Cavan Biggio, Los Angeles Dodgers
Some cheap exposure never hurt anyone! Gavin Lux has been incredible for the Dodgers over the last month. So good that the Dodgers are hitting him third with a few of their guys out. But, let's also put some respect on Cavan Biggio's name as well. Both Lux and Biggio have a 1.000+ OPS over the last month against right-handed pitching. Both guys have .300+ ISO and considering Joey Estes' flyball rate, there's a chance one or both leave the yard.
Player Pool
$ Tier | SP | 1B | 2B | 3B | SS | OF |
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Stacks
Braves | Orlando Arcia | Sean Murphy | Jorge Soler | Austin Riley | Marcell Ozuna | Matt Olson |
![]() | 2800 | 3200 | 4400 | 5000 | 5700 | 4800 |
![]() | 2600 | 2600 | 3400 | 3500 | 4100 | 3300 |
Twins | Royce Lewis | Jose Miranda | Matt Wallner | Byron Buxton |
![]() | 5200 | 4200 | 3500 | 4700 |
![]() | 3800 | 3000 | 2900 | 3300 |
Red Sox | Dominic Smith | Masataka Yoshida | Jarren Duran | Rafael Devers |
![]() | 3500 | 4200 | 5800 | 5900 |
![]() | 2600 | 2800 | 3600 | 3900 |
Dodgers | Shohei Ohtani | Cavan Biggio | Gavin Lux |
![]() | 6500 | 2600 | 3200 |
![]() | 4800 | 2500 | 2800 |
Giants | Matt Chapman | Marco Luciano | Heliot Ramos | Tyler Fitzgerald |
![]() | 4800 | 2800 | 4900 | 4700 |
![]() | 3300 | 2000 | 3200 | 3400 |
Orioles | Gunnar Henderson | Ryan Mountcastle | Jackson Holliday | Colton Cowser | Coby Mayo |
![]() | 6100 | 4400 | 3200 | 4200 | 2000 |
![]() | 4500 | 3000 | 2400 | 3200 | - |
Player News
Orioles manager Brandon Hyde told reporters that Zach Eflin (lat) is likely to return and start Sunday against the Angels
It was assumed that Eflin would be back this weekend, but now we have a concrete date. The 31-year-old may not be at full strength after throwing fewer than 60 pitches in his rehab start, but the Orioles feel confident enough to have the right-hander back on the bump for the series finale against the Angels.
Riley Greene is not in the lineup for the first game of a doubleheader against the Rockies on Thursday.
Greene will get a break and likely return to the lineup for the second game of the twin-billing. Zach McKinstry will get the start in left field while Greene rests.
Yu Darvish (elbow) is facing live hitters on Thursday.
Darvish has been throwing bullpen sessions and traveled to the team’s complex in Arizona to face live hitters on Thursday. It will be his first time facing live batters since a spring training appearance on March 13th. He will likely need a few sessions like this before the Padres can map out a rehab appearance timeline for him.
Adael Amador is starting at second base and batting ninth for the Rockies on Thursday.
Amador has now started three of the last four games at second base for the Rockies. He’s gone just 7-for-43 this season with 15 strikeouts in 16 games. He’s just 22 years old, so there is plenty of time for him to adjust to the MLB level, but he doesn’t need to be on redraft radars right now.
Jackson Holliday is playing second base and batting second for the Orioles on Thursday against the Twins.
With Cedric Mullins sitting out on Thursday, Gunnar Henderson will bat lead off, and Holliday will jump up from sixth in the order to second. Holliday is riding a hot streak right now, and the Orioles are taking advantage. This is likely just a one-game sample with no Mullins or Adley Rutschman in the lineup, but Rutschman has been struggling, so perhaps it could become a more permanent spot in the lineup for Holliday moving forward.
Endy Rodriguez (finger) had his splint removed this week.
Rodriguez suffered a lacerated right index finger on April 14th. Now that he is out of his splint, he “is playing catch and doing a slightly modified swing.” Once he can progress to taking full swings, we’ll have a better sense of the timeline for his return.