Happy Saturday, January 18th! We have a smaller five-game NBA DFS main slate on DraftKings and FanDuel.

The Celtics injury report is the first major news item we will need to which we will need to pay attention, as all of Jayson Tatum, Kristaps Porzingis, and Al Horford are listed questionable. Jalen Johnson, Paul George, and Evan Mobley all have impactful questionable tags as well. Let's dive in and discuss some top plays, best pivots, and more!  

 

 

 

Before actually diving into the meat and potatoes, welcome to the NBA DFS season. If this is your first time reading our column on NBA DFS picks, I just want to welcome you and give you a few tips and tricks on what you should be looking for each night.

  • News outlets: reliable sources that give us injury news & starting lineups
  • Pace of play: who's playing fast vs. who's playing slow. Which teams get a pace-up spot (more possessions) vs. pace-down (fewer possessions)
  • Usage rates: is a percentage of how many plays that player is being used in
  • NBA DFS Projections
  • Lineup Generator
  • NBA Ownership

NBA DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook Today, January 18th

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Pre-Lock Update

This section will be used for anything that changes from the morning until right up to roster lock. 

Injury updates, players we’re higher on than we were in the morning and so much more.

UPDATE 3:30 PM ET

UPDATE 5:30 PM ET

UPDATE 6:10 PM ET

UPDATE 6:30 PM ET

NBA Injuries, News & Updates Today, 1/18

 

 

 

NBA DFS Slate & Game Overviews

With the NBA season just kicking off we don't have data yet for teams regarding pace of play and defensive matchups. In the section below, I’m listing the most notable things we need to look at in Las Vegas, including notable O/U and spreads.

Atlanta Hawks vs. Boston Celtics

  • Total: 234.5
  • Spread: BOS -9

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Indiana Pacers

  • Total: 225
  • Spread: IND -9.5

Washington Wizards vs. Golden State Warriors

  • Total: 229
  • Spread: GSW -13.5

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves

  • Total: 226.5
  • Spread: CLE -6.5

Houston Rockets vs. Portland Trail Blazers

  • Total: 223
  • Spread: HOU -11.5

 

 

 

NBA DFS Core Player Pool & Lineup Picks

Here are the core players I’m looking at for my NBA DFS picks tonight. You can see the full analysis of tonight’s NBA DFS projections and player pool below or skip ahead to building the best lineups possible by locking these into the aforementioned lineup generator now.

High

Mid

Value

 

Pos
(Click to sort ascending)
Player
(Click to sort ascending)
Matchup
(Click to sort ascending)
DK
(Click to sort ascending)
DK Pts
(Click to sort ascending)
FD
(Click to sort ascending)
FD Pts
(Click to sort ascending)
PGTyrese MaxeyPHI @ IND Sat 7:00950054.5940054.1

Embiid is out yet again and George is listed questionable. I have interest in Maxey regardless of the status of George, as he gets a great matchup with Indiana. The Pacers play at the 7th fastest pace in the league and rank 21st in DRtg. 

Game Type: GPP
PGStephen CurryWAS @ GSW Sat 8:30880048.4890045.8

Steph gets the best matchup on the board against a Washington team that ranks 4th in pace and dead last in DRtg. The Wizards also allow the 2nd-most three-pointers made in the league. Curry is coming off seven 3PM in Minnesota and has a great chance to match or exceed that total in this spot. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGTyrese HaliburtonPHI @ IND Sat 7:00830042870041.1

Finding a Haliburton ceiling game has been one of the tougher things to predict in the NBA for over a year now, but the ceiling remains enormous when it hits. Decent spot against Philly with Embiid still out. 

Game Type: GPP
PGDarius GarlandCLE @ MIN Sat 9:00730038.3740036.8

Tough matchup in Minnesota, but Garland is posting his highest usage rate (27%) since Donovan Mitchell joined the Cavs. Large-field GPP option if the questionable Evan Mobley plays. Garland becomes more of a priority if Mobley sits, as he has seen a 3.8% bump in usage rate with Mobley off the floor this season. 

Game Type: GPP
PGJrue HolidayATL @ BOS Sat 7:00480024.6540023.9

Potentially a core play depending on Celtics injury news (Tatum, Porzingis, Horford all questionable). A large-field GPP salary saver if they all play given the Celtics top team total. 

Game Type: GPP
PGMike ConleyCLE @ MIN Sat 9:00340022.7430022.6

DiVincenzo is out again and Conley did not receive a price bump after drawing the start last night. Buyer beware, as this is a difficult matchup for a grizzled vet on a back-to-back. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGAnthony EdwardsCLE @ MIN Sat 9:00930057920054.3

Edwards went off in a difficult matchup against the Knicks last night. He gets another tough spot against the Cavs and is on a back-to-back. I don't love the context, but it is a smaller slate and Ant has one of the highest ceilings. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGJalen GreenHOU @ POR Sat 10:00770041.8760039.9

The heater continues for Green, as he is now up to five straight games with at least 42 FP. He's been shooting lights out and gets a great matchup with Portland. 

Game Type: GPP
SGJordan PooleWAS @ GSW Sat 8:30760035.1730033.6

Poole heads back to the Bay Area tonight, where his career began. He has yet to top 30 minutes since returning from an injury, so he is a large-field GPP option only. 

Game Type: GPP
SGShaedon SharpeHOU @ POR Sat 10:00630033.4630032.1

Jerami Grant (questionable) has a chance to return and the matchup is a tough one in Houston, so Sharpe is a large-field only play. He could still find a ceiling performance at his mid-range price tag despite those factors working against him, and I am much more interested if Grant sits again. 

Game Type: GPP
SGDennis SchröderPHX @ DET Sat 4:005300051000

Salary saver in an elite matchup. Schroder has been shooting better lately after big-time struggles when he initially arrived in Golden State. 

Game Type: GPP
SGBuddy HieldWAS @ GSW Sat 8:30470026.7520025.1

Salary saver in an elite matchup. Minutes have been trending in the right direction for Buddy, but it remains to be seen if that will continue with Draymond Green set to return. I'm willing to roll the dice given the matchup. 

Game Type: GPP
SFPaul GeorgePHI @ IND Sat 7:00820049.8860049

George has been fantastic over his last three games without Embiid, but he comes with a questionable tag. He gets an excellent matchup against the Pacers and is a great option if he suits up. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFAmen ThompsonHOU @ POR Sat 10:00840044.2830043.6

Thompson has been a rebounding machine playing big minutes since the injury to Jabari Smith. The price tag is sky rocketing, but he is still in play given the great matchup against the Blazers. 

Game Type: GPP
SFJaylen BrownATL @ BOS Sat 7:00790041810039.7

Elite pace-up spot against the 2nd-fastest team in the league. Brown becomes a core play if Tatum sits, and he gets a bump if Porzingis sits as well. Brown is a strong play if Boston is full strength, and an elite one if either of his 'mates sit. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFAndrew Wiggins5800064000

Kuminga remains out, which clears the path for Wiggins to find more minutes. The matchup is as elite as it gets. 

Game Type: GPP
SFJaden McDanielsCLE @ MIN Sat 9:00420027.1500027.7

McDaniels has been finding ceiling with more regularity of late, as he has three games with 32+ DK points this month. He has a good chance to play 30 minutes, so he is in play despite the difficult matchup. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFJayson TatumATL @ BOS Sat 7:001020054.71030052.5

One of the top options on the slate given the elite pace-up spot with the Hawks. He becomes the no doubt top option if Porzingis sits. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFPascal SiakamPHI @ IND Sat 7:00750035.5800034.7

Siakam exploded for his first 50 FP performance in a long while last time out against the Pistons. This is another good spot for him, especially if Paul George joins Embiid in street clothes on the other bench. 

Game Type: GPP
PFDraymond GreenWAS @ GSW Sat 8:30570032.8610032.6

Draymond is set to return tonight after a two game absence, and he comes back to the best matchup on the board. It is TBD if he will see his full allotment of minutes, but he should see at least 25 in his first game back. That's good enough at his price in this matchup. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFJulius RandleCLE @ MIN Sat 9:00720035.5710033.8

Not a good spot for Randle, but I'm still interested with the price tag hovering just above $7K. We have seen 50 FP upside when he is able to access his ceiling. The spot does get a little better if Mobley (questionable) is unable to play. 

Game Type: GPP
PFNaz ReidCLE @ MIN Sat 9:00480029.8570029.6

Naz could push for 30 minutes in this spot if both of the Cavs bigs are active (Mobley is questionable). He is a strong FP per minute producer, so I am not concerned with the matchup. The DK price is particularly intriguing. 

Game Type: GPP
CAlperen ŞengünHOU @ POR Sat 10:00910050.3910049.2

He has scored at least 50 FP points in three of his last four games. The matchup is excellent against a bad Portland defense. 

Game Type: GPP
CJarrett AllenCLE @ MIN Sat 9:00660033.8740033.1

Tough matchup against Rudy Gobert and the Wolves. The ceiling is intriguing on a rare slate that isn't that strong at the Center position. He gets a big bump if the questionable Evan Mobley cannot play. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CTrayce Jackson-DavisWAS @ GSW Sat 8:30550028.4640028.8

Draymond Green is expected to return, which impacts the floor and ceiling of TJD, but I think he has played well enough to maintain his recent role. TJD should see mid-20s minutes in the best matchup on the board. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CMyles TurnerPHI @ IND Sat 7:00600030.1690030.2

Great spot for Turner to find a ceiling performance with Joel Embiid still out. Drummond is expected back, but Yabusele is also questionable. Philly may not have a match for Turner on the perimeter if Yabu can't go. He has attempted at least four threes in each of his last eight games, including 11 three-point attempts last game. 

Game Type: GPP
CRudy GobertCLE @ MIN Sat 9:00520032.2610031.5

Brutal matchup, but a cheap price tag and a weaker Center position means I still have interest. 

Game Type: GPP
9500 , 54.5
54.5
9400 , 54.1
54.1

Embiid is out yet again and George is listed questionable. I have interest in Maxey regardless of the status of George, as he gets a great matchup with Indiana. The Pacers play at the 7th fastest pace in the league and rank 21st in DRtg. 

Game Type: GPP
8800 , 48.4
48.4
8900 , 45.8
45.8

Steph gets the best matchup on the board against a Washington team that ranks 4th in pace and dead last in DRtg. The Wizards also allow the 2nd-most three-pointers made in the league. Curry is coming off seven 3PM in Minnesota and has a great chance to match or exceed that total in this spot. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
8300 , 42
42
8700 , 41.1
41.1

Finding a Haliburton ceiling game has been one of the tougher things to predict in the NBA for over a year now, but the ceiling remains enormous when it hits. Decent spot against Philly with Embiid still out. 

Game Type: GPP
7300 , 38.3
38.3
7400 , 36.8
36.8

Tough matchup in Minnesota, but Garland is posting his highest usage rate (27%) since Donovan Mitchell joined the Cavs. Large-field GPP option if the questionable Evan Mobley plays. Garland becomes more of a priority if Mobley sits, as he has seen a 3.8% bump in usage rate with Mobley off the floor this season. 

Game Type: GPP
4800 , 24.6
24.6
5400 , 23.9
23.9

Potentially a core play depending on Celtics injury news (Tatum, Porzingis, Horford all questionable). A large-field GPP salary saver if they all play given the Celtics top team total. 

Game Type: GPP
3400 , 22.7
22.7
4300 , 22.6
22.6

DiVincenzo is out again and Conley did not receive a price bump after drawing the start last night. Buyer beware, as this is a difficult matchup for a grizzled vet on a back-to-back. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
9300 , 57
57
9200 , 54.3
54.3

Edwards went off in a difficult matchup against the Knicks last night. He gets another tough spot against the Cavs and is on a back-to-back. I don't love the context, but it is a smaller slate and Ant has one of the highest ceilings. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7700 , 41.8
41.8
7600 , 39.9
39.9

The heater continues for Green, as he is now up to five straight games with at least 42 FP. He's been shooting lights out and gets a great matchup with Portland. 

Game Type: GPP
7600 , 35.1
35.1
7300 , 33.6
33.6

Poole heads back to the Bay Area tonight, where his career began. He has yet to top 30 minutes since returning from an injury, so he is a large-field GPP option only. 

Game Type: GPP
6300 , 33.4
33.4
6300 , 32.1
32.1

Jerami Grant (questionable) has a chance to return and the matchup is a tough one in Houston, so Sharpe is a large-field only play. He could still find a ceiling performance at his mid-range price tag despite those factors working against him, and I am much more interested if Grant sits again. 

Game Type: GPP
5300 , 0
0
5100 , 0
0

Salary saver in an elite matchup. Schroder has been shooting better lately after big-time struggles when he initially arrived in Golden State. 

Game Type: GPP
4700 , 26.7
26.7
5200 , 25.1
25.1

Salary saver in an elite matchup. Minutes have been trending in the right direction for Buddy, but it remains to be seen if that will continue with Draymond Green set to return. I'm willing to roll the dice given the matchup. 

Game Type: GPP
8200 , 49.8
49.8
8600 , 49
49

George has been fantastic over his last three games without Embiid, but he comes with a questionable tag. He gets an excellent matchup against the Pacers and is a great option if he suits up. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
8400 , 44.2
44.2
8300 , 43.6
43.6

Thompson has been a rebounding machine playing big minutes since the injury to Jabari Smith. The price tag is sky rocketing, but he is still in play given the great matchup against the Blazers. 

Game Type: GPP
7900 , 41
41
8100 , 39.7
39.7

Elite pace-up spot against the 2nd-fastest team in the league. Brown becomes a core play if Tatum sits, and he gets a bump if Porzingis sits as well. Brown is a strong play if Boston is full strength, and an elite one if either of his 'mates sit. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5800 , 0
0
6400 , 0
0

Kuminga remains out, which clears the path for Wiggins to find more minutes. The matchup is as elite as it gets. 

Game Type: GPP
4200 , 27.1
27.1
5000 , 27.7
27.7

McDaniels has been finding ceiling with more regularity of late, as he has three games with 32+ DK points this month. He has a good chance to play 30 minutes, so he is in play despite the difficult matchup. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
10200 , 54.7
54.7
10300 , 52.5
52.5

One of the top options on the slate given the elite pace-up spot with the Hawks. He becomes the no doubt top option if Porzingis sits. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7500 , 35.5
35.5
8000 , 34.7
34.7

Siakam exploded for his first 50 FP performance in a long while last time out against the Pistons. This is another good spot for him, especially if Paul George joins Embiid in street clothes on the other bench. 

Game Type: GPP
5700 , 32.8
32.8
6100 , 32.6
32.6

Draymond is set to return tonight after a two game absence, and he comes back to the best matchup on the board. It is TBD if he will see his full allotment of minutes, but he should see at least 25 in his first game back. That's good enough at his price in this matchup. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7200 , 35.5
35.5
7100 , 33.8
33.8

Not a good spot for Randle, but I'm still interested with the price tag hovering just above $7K. We have seen 50 FP upside when he is able to access his ceiling. The spot does get a little better if Mobley (questionable) is unable to play. 

Game Type: GPP
4800 , 29.8
29.8
5700 , 29.6
29.6

Naz could push for 30 minutes in this spot if both of the Cavs bigs are active (Mobley is questionable). He is a strong FP per minute producer, so I am not concerned with the matchup. The DK price is particularly intriguing. 

Game Type: GPP
9100 , 50.3
50.3
9100 , 49.2
49.2

He has scored at least 50 FP points in three of his last four games. The matchup is excellent against a bad Portland defense. 

Game Type: GPP
6600 , 33.8
33.8
7400 , 33.1
33.1

Tough matchup against Rudy Gobert and the Wolves. The ceiling is intriguing on a rare slate that isn't that strong at the Center position. He gets a big bump if the questionable Evan Mobley cannot play. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5500 , 28.4
28.4
6400 , 28.8
28.8

Draymond Green is expected to return, which impacts the floor and ceiling of TJD, but I think he has played well enough to maintain his recent role. TJD should see mid-20s minutes in the best matchup on the board. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6000 , 30.1
30.1
6900 , 30.2
30.2

Great spot for Turner to find a ceiling performance with Joel Embiid still out. Drummond is expected back, but Yabusele is also questionable. Philly may not have a match for Turner on the perimeter if Yabu can't go. He has attempted at least four threes in each of his last eight games, including 11 three-point attempts last game. 

Game Type: GPP
5200 , 32.2
32.2
6100 , 31.5
31.5

Brutal matchup, but a cheap price tag and a weaker Center position means I still have interest. 

Game Type: GPP