On Wednesday, August 14th, we have an 11-game MLB DFS main slate kicking off at 6:35 pm ET. There are not many teams throwing aces today, so we're going to have to dig deep through the MLB DFS projections and find some great value arms. 

 

 

 

MLB DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook Today, August 14

As we look ahead to today's MLB DFS projections, there are plenty of bats as the New York Yankees have a robust 6.4 implied team total. Other offenses, such as the Seattle Mariners, St. Louis Cardinals, New York Mets, and Baltimore Orioles, are all in great spots.

MLB Weather Today, 8/14

There is a low probability of a delay, but it's on the table.

There could be a delay, but anything that causes a stoppage won't be lengthy.

Today’s MLB DFS Lineup Optimizer & Generator

Before you finalize your daily fantasy lineups with help from our MLB DFS picks, it's important to check out today's MLB DFS projections and MLB DFS ownership projections. Take advantage of our MLB Lineups Page to identify players who are in and out of the lineup, along with utilizing our MLB DFS Lineup Generator!

Here’s a preview from the lineup generator for today’s matchups, showcasing some of our best MLB DFS picks for the day:

 

 

 

MLB DFS Lineup Picks: Starting Pitchers

Top Options For Strikeouts

Best Odds For A Win

 

 

 

MLB DFS Lineups: Core MLB DFS Pitchers

Bryan Woo, Seattle Mariners

Just because George Kirby was sent to the moon by the Tigers offense doesn't mean Bryan Woo will! That's what we have to remind ourselves here. Obviously, the Tigers offense has a bit more depth to it with Kerry Carpenter back in the fold, but over the last month they're still bottom-10 in baseball in OPS, wOBA, and wRC+ to pair with a 23% K-rate. 

Woo has been great lately and despite his home/road splits, he has some of the best strikeout, win, and out odds of the day for a reason. He's our top pitcher for MLB DFS picks today.

Robbie Ray, San Francisco Giants

This is going to be popular, like it always is, because of Ray's strikeout pedigree. He hasn't skipped a beat since coming off Tommy John surgery notching a 33.3% K-rate, the best on the slate. The Braves strike out a LOT against left-handed pitching as they've posted a 33.5% clip. 

Their .717 OPS is 21st in baseball over that span and the one thing we need to worry about is the power as ATL has a .199 ISO over the past month. With the pitch count up over 100 in his last outing, it's all systems go here.

Jose Berrios, Toronto Blue Jays

It's been a very up and down season for Jose Berrios, but he's looked pretty sharp lately and has a great matchup against the Angels here. Over the last month, the Angels rank 24th and 26th in wOBA and wRC+ against right-handed pitching and are striking out 24% of the time to boot. Berrios has actually been missing bats since the break as he's over 1 K/IP and has a 23% K-rate. As it pertains to MLB DFS projections, I like the price and the matchup.

Will Warren, New York Yankees

There are a few interesting aspects to this play. First off, Warren faces the White Sox, and we obviously know all we need to know about the White Sox. They're the worst offense in baseball. Warren, however, is somewhat of an unknown commodity but through two starts, he's generated a bunch of strikeouts while getting hit around. 

He's been VERY unlucky through two starts and has been a ground ball getter at every level until the majors. Expect that to change here as he racks up strikeouts and ground balls. Also, something to note; Will Warren has the BEST odds to pick up a win on today's main slate – we'll gladly nab him as one of our top MLB DFS picks. 

Edward Cabrera, Miami Marlins

We can sit here and say all nice things about the potential that Philadelphia's offense has and how they can potentially be potent, but the facts are they are the opposite of that right now. In fact, over the last month, Philly is 27th or worse in AVG, OPS, wOBA, and wRC+ and 24th in ISO against righties. 

The ONE issue that still plagues Cabrera is control, but other than that his numbers like pretty good, especially the underlying numbers. His 5.2 ERA isn't great, but his 3.79 xFIP and 4.10 SIERA tell a different story. He's also sitting a career-high 28% K-rate, which is rarely found in a pitcher at $6,000. I'm willing to take the strikeout upside of Cabrera at $6K on a slate chalk full of top offensive options.

 

 

 

MLB DFS Lineup Picks: Hitters

Highest Expected Run Totals 

MLB DFS Lineups: Core MLB DFS Hitters

Aaron Judge & Juan Soto, New York Yankees

So, the Yankees are in rare territory. They have an implied run total of 6.4 and it's in Chicago. It's not Coors or Great American or even Yankees Stadium. Soto is coming off a three-homer game on Tuesday and Judge has been the best player in baseball. They face a pitcher who's allowing a LOT of flyballs and hard contact. Not a good recipe to face two of the best hitters in the game.

Shohei Ohtani, Freddie Freeman & Gavin Lux, Los Angeles Dodgers

Lefties are how you beat up on Frankie Montas and the Dodgers have some good ones, that's for sure. Montas' K-rate is 7% lower against lefties, his GB% is 9% lower, and his HR/9 is up over 2. Two of the best lefties in the game in Ohtani and Freeman check in with our MLB DFS picks here but how about Gavin Lux and his 1.097 OPS, .302 ISO, and .459 wOBA against right-handed hurlers over the last month? Love this trio.

Anthony Santander & Eloy Jimenez, Baltimore Orioles

Everytime you look up, Anthony Santander is hitting another home run. Everytime you look up, Eloy Jimenez is hitting for the Orioles. Santander is up to 36 on the year after homering in back-to-back games and Jimenez is hitting .480 since joining the Orioles. They have a favorable matchup against DJ Herz on Wednesday. 

Seattle Mariners (Sneaky Sneaky)

I think the Mariners are one of the more underrated stacks of the day. Everyone is going to flock to the Yankees and Dodgers, and I understand it but let me talk about the Mariners quickly.

The Tigers will open with Beau Brieske and will turn to Bryan Sammons afterwards. Sammons has been hit hard at every level he's been at, which is why he's 29-years old and still trying to make a name for himself. Here are Mariners numbers vs. LHP on the road:

I'm open to Jorge Polanco and Victor Robles who are hitting 2nd and 1st respectively.

Jake Burger, Miami Marlins

I mean, usually we'd assume this streak would come to an end, but the spot is great, as evidenced by his MLB DFS projections. Burger gets a pitcher allowing north of 3 HR/9 to RHH this year. Since July 13th, Jake Burger has hit 14 home runs in a span of 26 games and he's posted a .820 SLG%, .470 ISO, and .508 wOBA.

Alec Burleson & Nolan Gorman, St. Louis Cardinals

Update - Nolan Gorman is not in the Cardinals lineup. Burleson is hitting 2nd.

Two players with elite home run odds tonight in a great overall matchup are Burleson and Gorman. Both guys are +250 to homer and face Carson Spiers as the bulk pitcher here who struggles specifically with left-handed power. Having to navigate the Cards potent lefty-riddled lineup is tough in Great American Smallpark.

Jesse Winker & Jeff McNeil, New York Mets

There is some great lefty value from the New York Mets today. When you look at Joey Estes, A's starter, things are far from OK. He's a ticking time bomb with all the flyballs and hard contact he allows. Lefties on the road have given him fits and he's allowed 2.02 HR/9, has a .202 WHIP, 6.75 xFIP, and a 54% FB rate. Winker and McNeil are elite values in an elite spot.

Oswaldo Cabrera & Anthony Volpe, New York Yankees

We're going to need to find some value Yankees if we want to complete our MLB DFS picks stack that includes Soto and Judge and here lies the value. Volpe has been solid against righties over the last month posting an .846 and a .254 ISO and Cabrera has a .393 AVG and 1.200 OPS, which only is behind Aaron Judge over that span.

 

 

 

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