Everyone knows that quarterback is the most important position in football. And it’s obviously the most important position in superflex leagues. But we sometimes forget that, in big tournaments, hitting on the right late round QB can create MASSIVE leverage. 

Last year, Jordan Love was going off the board as the QB24 and C.J. Stroud at QB28 – they finished as QB5 and QB9, respectively. You could have fielded an entire lineup and most of your bench before picking them.

 

 

 

On sites like FFPC, the early QBs off the board are pretty chalk. Sure, they might slide in certain drafts and the order can fluctuate a bit, but they are generally taken in a fairly similar order to ADP. The only high-end QB going a few spots below industry average is C.J. Stroud at 8 and, since FFPC is tight end premium, tight ends getting pushed up is mostly to blame.

With some of these later QBs though, there is a start difference vs. industry ADP. Which creates value for us! What we’re doing here is using our Fantasy Football ADP Tool to pull different average draft position data from multiple different sites. Then we compare that to FFPC to see what kind of value we can find.

We’ve already hit on WR ADP Values on FFPC and RB ADP Values on FFPC, so it’s time to look at some later QBs. If you want to take advantage of this but have yet to sign up for FFPC, use promo code ALARM and they’ll give you $25 in bonus credits when you place your first entry of $35 or more at MyFFPC.com!

 

 

 

Aaron Rodgers, QB, New York Jets

Look, I get it. This is a divisive player. I understand if you are out. But I also understand the folks that are in. We are talking about one of the greatest QBs of all time here. A FOUR-TIME NFL MVP. And we’ve never really seen him play bad – he just got hurt last year. We know Aaron Rodgers is “unique” to say the least, so don’t be surprised when his spite fuels him to a triumphant return from injury.

The Jets at face value feel like a “high risk, high reward” team across the board, but they have done some things to mitigate that. Tyron Smith is a beast when healthy but he’s rarely that – so they drafted Olu Fashanu in the first round. Mike Williams is coming off an injury but they still have Allen Lazard. Malachi Corly in the third round gives Xavier Gipson competition and we know that Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall are superstars. It’s a potent offense.

If you want to take a shot on Rodgers, FFPC seems like the place to do it. Not only does he go 17 picks later than his average on other sites, but guys like Matthew Stafford and Deshaun Watson typically go ahead on FFPC – and almost by a full round. We price shop for a reason, and Rodgers fans should be happy with the price. 

 

 

 

Drake Maye, QB, New England Patriots

Everyone loves the mobile upside of Jayden Daniels. Did you know he had a season in college where he ran the ball 186 times? Well, Drake Maye had a season where he ran the ball 184 times. I’d say that’s pretty good as well. Jayden Daniels ran a blazing 4.5 flat forty but Maye ran a 4.55 himself. That’s faster than both Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts.

Per my research, you basically just need to run the ball 90 times over the course of a season to have upside for fantasy. That’s roughly 5-6 times a game. As you can see in the tweet below, it not only gives you upside, but it creates a tremendous floor:

Josh Allen was a terrible passer as a rookie with a 52% completion percentage, but he was still a good fantasy option. Same with Justin Fields or even Tyrod Taylor, Vince Young, etc. They all had QB1 seasons as rookies based on the minimum amount of rushing. If Drake Maye starts at any point, he could be a huge value at pick ~226 off the board. That’s over 40 spots later than other sites.

 

 

 

Russell Wilson, QB, Pittsburgh Steelers

In our writeup on Pat Freiermuth, we did a fair bit of defending of Russell Wilson. So, I suggest you read that for the full effect. The short and sweet is that he might not have actually been THAT bad with the Broncos – it seemed like more of a bad scheme and culture fit. 

I mean, he still had a top five TD:INT ratio and finished as the QB14 in fantasy despite missing two games. Does that really warrant him going off the board as the QB31 on FFPC? Russ is going off the board ~55 spots later on FFPC than he is on other sites per our composite ADP. That is bonkers.

This isn’t best ball we are talking about here – you aren’t stuck with him. If he’s the starting QB for the Steelers, a 10-win team last year, then he has upside. If he isn’t, then you drop him. But I’d jump in and take him now in a draft or two just in case that Brandon Aiyuk trade DOES go through. Because his ADP will certainly steam up if it does. And I think he’s a good pick even if it doesn’t go through.

 

 

 

Honorable Mention QB Values: 2024 Fantasy Football

Gardner Minshew, QB, Las Vegas Raiders

Now that Minshew has been named the starting QB for Vegas, his ADP might come up a bit, so hard to judge where it sits now. But he has some killer weapons with Davante Adams, Jakobi Meyers and Brock Bowers, so he could have a “Baker Mayfield-esque” season. He’s nearly 50 spots cheaper on FFPC than other sites and he was going outside the top 32 QBs. We did a full write up on his impact over here.

Bryce Young, QB, Carolina Panthers

It’s put up or shut up time for Young. The Panthers spent $150 million on guards in free agency while trading for Diontae Johnson and drafting Xavier Legette and Ja'Tavion Sanders. That along with a new front office and coaching staff is pretty much all you can do to improve a team. 

Bo Nix, QB, Denver Broncos

Nix has looked pretty darn good so far in preseason. And it feels like he should be in the driver's seat for that starting gig. Even if named the starter, it’s hard for these guys to catapult too far compared to ADP once it’s set. And right now, Nix goes nearly 40 spots later on FFPC than does on other sites.