Happy holidays to everyone as we near the end of the year! We've got a seven-game main slate on DraftKings and FanDuel for the final Saturday of 2024. 

We again have a lengthy list of injuries that will impact our roster decisions up to and even through lock. 

So, let's have some fun, build some winning lineups and dive into today's NBA DFS playbook!

 

 

Before actually diving into the meat and potatoes, welcome to the NBA DFS season. If this is your first time reading our column on NBA DFS picks, I just want to welcome you and give you a few tips and tricks on what you should be looking for each night.

  • News outlets: reliable sources that give us injury news & starting lineups
  • Pace of play: who's playing fast vs. who's playing slow. Which teams get a pace-up spot (more possessions) vs. pace-down (fewer possessions)
  • Usage rates: is a percentage of how many plays that player is being used in
  • NBA DFS Projections
  • Lineup Generator
  • NBA Ownership

NBA DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook Today, December 28th

Be sure to like and subscribe to the Fantasy Alarm YouTube channel!

 

 

Pre-Lock Update

This section will be used for anything that changes from the morning until right up to roster lock. 

Injury updates, players we’re higher on than we were in the morning and so much more.

The lengthy list of injury news that still needs to be sorted out includes many stars like Jalen Brunson, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Damian Lillard, Joel Embiid, Domantas Sabonis, Anthony Davis, and LeBron James

UPDATE 4:45 PM ET

UPDATE 6:30 PM ET

NBA Injuries, News & Updates Today, 12/28

 

 

 

NBA DFS Slate & Game Overviews

We've got a lot of games with either lower game totals or spreads suggesting blowout for tonight's matchups. That said we do have a handful of games where we are expecting close, competitive and high scoring which is where the majority of the ownership tonight is going when building out our DFS lineups and those games are below.

New York Knicks vs. Washington Wizards 

  • Total: 226
  • Spread: Knicks -12

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Chicago Bulls

  • Total: 232.5
  • Spread: Bucks -3

Phoenix Suns vs. Golden State Warriors

  • Total: 219.5
  • Spread: Warriors -6.5

Detroit Pistons vs. Denver Nuggets

  • Total: 235
  • Spread: Nuggets -5.5

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Utah Jazz

  • Total: 225
  • Spread: 76ers -6

Dallas Mavericks vs. Portland Trail Blazers

  • Total: 222.5
  • Spread: Mavericks -4.5

Sacramento Kings vs. Los Angeles Lakers

  • Total: 221.5
  • Spread: Lakers -1
 

 

NBA DFS Core Player Pool & Lineup Picks

Here are the core players I’m looking at for my NBA DFS picks tonight. You can see the full analysis of tonight’s NBA DFS projections and player pool below or skip ahead to building the best lineups possible by locking these into the aforementioned lineup generator now.

 

High

Mid

Value

 

 

 

Pos
(Click to sort ascending)
Player
(Click to sort ascending)
Matchup
(Click to sort ascending)
DK
(Click to sort ascending)
DK Pts
(Click to sort ascending)
FD
(Click to sort ascending)
FD Pts
(Click to sort ascending)
PGCade CunninghamDET @ DEN Sat 9:001020047.3990045.1

Playing huge minutes of late and gets an excellent matchup against the Nuggets. Denver is playing at a top 5 pace this season and ranks just 18th in DefRtg.  

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGDamian LillardMIL @ CHI Sat 8:00930045.5880043.2

Giannis Antetokounmpo has been ruled out. Huge boost for Damian Lillard and Bobby Portis in of the best possible matchups. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGKyrie IrvingDAL @ POR Sat 10:00840044910042.5

The Mavs will again be without Luka Doncic, which is a big boost to the floor/ceiling of Kyrie Irving. The matchup is elite against the Blazers 27th ranked defense, and Kyrie has posted a usage rate above 30% with Luka off the court this season.  

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGDe'Aaron Fox8700088000

Fox could enter Core play territory if Domantas Sabonis sits again. If Sabonis is able to go, Fox is a GPP option with tremendous ceiling. It has been a while since we have seen the 60 FP performance, but the coaching change and a matchup against the Lakers 21st ranked defense might help unlock it. 

Game Type: GPP
PGTyrese MaxeyPHI @ UTA Sat 9:30850041.9870041.7

Maxey is coming off back-to-back 65 FP performances and now gets an elite matchup. Joel Embiid is also listed questionable – his absence would vault Maxey to one of the top priorities on the slate. The Jazz rank dead last in DefRtg and play at a top 12 pace, so Maxey is squarely in play regardless of Embiid's status. 

Game Type: GPP
PGJalen BrunsonNYK @ WAS Sat 7:00810042.4830040.5

Brunson is questionable to play and has seen his ceiling hindered by the arrival of Karl-Anthony Towns, but we cannot ignore the elite matchup and low-$8,000 range salary tag. The Wizards rank 4th in pace and 28th in DefRtg. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGJamal MurrayDET @ DEN Sat 9:00740035.9790035.8

The price tag is still below $8K and Murray gets a home matchup against a below average defense. Murray has scored at least 49 DK points in three of his last four games. 

Game Type: GPP
PGSpencer DinwiddieDAL @ POR Sat 10:00500023.1500022.7

Luka Doncic is out, and PJ Washington and Naji Marshall are facing suspensions. There should be a clear path for Dinwiddie to play mid-to-upper 20s minutes tonight. He gets a great matchup against the Blazers, who rank 27th in DefRtg. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGZach LaVineSAC @ LAL Sat 10:307700075000

The Bulls could be thin in the backcourt with Ayo Dosunmu listed doubtful, and Josh Giddey and Lonzo Ball listed questionable. LaVine should see mid-30s minutes regardless and could have a little extra usage depending on how the injury report shakes out. 

Game Type: GPP
SGBradley BealPHX @ GSW Sat 8:30730031.9700031.3

Beal gets an nice usage and assist rate bump with Devin Booker out of the lineup. It is a difficult matchup against a good Warriors defense, but the ceiling is elevated by the absence of Booker. 

Game Type: GPP
SGAustin ReavesSAC @ LAL Sat 10:30650035.1690033.5

Solid mid-range option who is coming off a massive 26-point triple-double in his last game. Anthony Davis' early departure last game allowed Reaves to post 31% usage. If either AD or LBJ sit this one out, Reaves has a great ceiling. Otherwise, he is a large-field GPP flyer. 

Game Type: GPP
SGMikal BridgesNYK @ WAS Sat 7:00610029.7640029.2

The Knicks wings seem to alternate ceiling performances quite often, but there is an excellent chance at least one of them goes off at a mid-range price in this elite matchup tonight. The Wizards rank 4th in pace and 28th in DefRtg, making them one of the best targets for fantasy scoring in the league. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGJosh HartNYK @ WAS Sat 7:00670036.1730035.8

The Knicks wings seem to alternate ceiling performances quite often, but there is an excellent chance at least one of them goes off at a mid-range price in this elite matchup tonight. The Wizards rank 4th in pace and 28th in DefRtg, making them one of the best targets for fantasy scoring in the league. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGQuentin GrimesPHI @ UTA Sat 9:305100049000

Luka Doncic is out, and PJ Washington and Naji Marshall are facing suspensions. Grimes has a chance to play 30+ minutes tonight, and he gets a great matchup against the Blazers, who rank 27th in DefRtg. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGMiles McBrideNYK @ WAS Sat 7:00390020.7440020.3

With value lacking so far (but still lots of injury news pending) McBride's elite matchup and solidified bench role put him in play. If Brunson (questionable) misses, McBride becomes one of the top values on the slate. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFPaul GeorgePHI @ UTA Sat 9:30800039.9760039.4

I have a lot more interest in Paul George if Joel Embiid (questionable) sits. If Embiid plays, George is just a large-field GPP flyer in an elite matchup. 

Game Type: GPP
SFMichael PorterDET @ DEN Sat 9:00630034.5670033.6

MPJ hasn't historically received a big boost from Aaron Gordon being out of the lineup, but I still have GPP interest given the matchup against a below average Pistons defense. 

Game Type: GPP
SFOG AnunobyNYK @ WAS Sat 7:00580032.6660033.1

The Knicks wings seem to alternate ceiling performances quite often, but there is an excellent chance at least one of them goes off at a mid-range price in this elite matchup tonight. The Wizards rank 4th in pace and 28th in DefRtg, making them one of the best targets for fantasy scoring in the league. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFAndrew WigginsMIA @ ATL Sat 3:005600063000

Draymond Green is expected to return, but Steph Curry remains out. Wiggins can be a frustrating guy to roster, and Dennis Schroder's arrival complicates the usage projections, but the absence of Curry gives me GPP interest. The Suns rank just 22nd in DefRtg and will again be without Devin Booker. 

Game Type: GPP
SGKlay ThompsonDAL @ POR Sat 10:00550024.2540023

Luka Doncic is out, and PJ Washington and Naji Marshall are facing suspensions. Klay has a clear path to play 30+ minutes tonight, and he gets a great matchup against the Blazers, who rank 27th in DefRtg. 

Game Type: GPP
SFRoyce O'NealePHX @ GSW Sat 8:30520025.5550025

The Suns are expected to be shorthanded tonight, with Devin Booker and Grayson Allen still out, and Jusuf Nurkic facing a suspension. Royce should have a path to 30 minutes again. 

Game Type: GPP
PFLeBron JamesSAC @ LAL Sat 10:309500098000

LeBron is listed questionable with an illness, so his status may truly be up in the air. If he plays, he is an elite option with a matchup against a struggling Kings squad that has lost 5 straight games and just dismissed their head coach. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFKevin DurantPHX @ GSW Sat 8:30910042.8970041.4

In his time with the Suns, KD has posted some ridiculous usage rates with Devin Booker off the floor. In 4 games without Booker this season, Durant has a 35.6% usage rate and averages 32 points per game. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFBobby PortisMIL @ CHI Sat 8:00780027770026.6

Giannis Antetokounmpo has been ruled out. Huge boost for Damian Lillard and Bobby Portis in of the best possible matchups. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFJonathan KumingaPHX @ GSW Sat 8:30550030610030.1

Draymond Green is expected to return to the lineup tonight, but Steph Curry remains out and Kuminga is coming off a monster fantasy performance. In 6 games with Curry inactive this season, Kuminga leads the Warriors with a 32% usage rate. 

Game Type: GPP
PFKeegan MurraySAC @ LAL Sat 10:30550028.3590028.2

Better play if Sabonis sits again, but I have interest regardless due to the coaching change. Who knows what interim Head Coach Doug Christie's rotations will look like. I am willing to lean into the chance Murray plays upper-30s minutes tonight in a good matchup. 

Game Type: GPP
CNikola JokićDET @ DEN Sat 9:0011900731230067.3

Jokic is the top option on most slates in which he appears, and this one is no different. He gets a plus matchup against a below average defense, and (not that he needs it) receives a small boost to his rate stats with Aaron Gordon off the floor. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CAnthony DavisDAL @ POR Sat 10:00105000112000

AD played just 7 minutes last game before leaving with an ankle injury. Injury is an inherent risk with the Lakers big man, but the ceiling is outstanding when he is able to play his full compliment of minutes. AD is listed questionable himself, but he would rival Jokic for top play on the slate if he is able to play and LeBron (also questionable) is not. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CJoel EmbiidPHI @ UTA Sat 9:30940039.41060038.4

Like AD, another superstar who is listed questionable and has a habit of leaving games early with injury. The ceiling is undeniable against the worst defense in the league if Embiid is able to play full minutes. 

Game Type: GPP
CKarl-Anthony TownsNYK @ WAS Sat 7:00970052.2950049.3

KAT has been a rebounding machine this season and gets a matchup against the worst rebounding team in the NBA. The Wizards also happen to be one of the worst defensive teams in the league. KAT is an amazing GPP pivot from some of his cheaper, chalkier teammates.

Game Type: GPP
CDomantas SabonisSAC @ LAL Sat 10:30960048.1960044.9

Sabonis missed last game with an illness and his head coach has since been fired. He has said he expects to play tonight and gets a good matchup against a below average Lakers defense. 

Game Type: GPP
CDaniel GaffordDAL @ POR Sat 10:00420037.3570038.8

In addition to Luka Doncic, PJ Washington and Naji Marshall, Dereck Lively has now been ruled out as well. Gafford is now one of the top salary saving options on the entire slate. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CTrayce Jackson-DavisPHX @ GSW Sat 8:30430026.1520026.4

Draymond Green is expected to return to the lineup tonight, but TJD has had a solid role alongside Green in recent games. Jackson-Davis has started each of the last four games and performed well. He should play mid-20s minutes in a solid matchup. 

Game Type: GPP
CMason PlumleePHX @ GSW Sat 8:30360014.2400014.5

Assuming Plumlee draws the start for the suspended Nurkic, he is on of the top values on the slate. There is a chance Ighodaro draws the start instead. Ighodoro is at or near minimum price on both sites and also offers PF eligibility. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
10200 , 47.3
47.3
9900 , 45.1
45.1

Playing huge minutes of late and gets an excellent matchup against the Nuggets. Denver is playing at a top 5 pace this season and ranks just 18th in DefRtg.  

Game Type: CASH & GPP
9300 , 45.5
45.5
8800 , 43.2
43.2

Giannis Antetokounmpo has been ruled out. Huge boost for Damian Lillard and Bobby Portis in of the best possible matchups. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
8400 , 44
44
9100 , 42.5
42.5

The Mavs will again be without Luka Doncic, which is a big boost to the floor/ceiling of Kyrie Irving. The matchup is elite against the Blazers 27th ranked defense, and Kyrie has posted a usage rate above 30% with Luka off the court this season.  

Game Type: CASH & GPP
8700 , 0
0
8800 , 0
0

Fox could enter Core play territory if Domantas Sabonis sits again. If Sabonis is able to go, Fox is a GPP option with tremendous ceiling. It has been a while since we have seen the 60 FP performance, but the coaching change and a matchup against the Lakers 21st ranked defense might help unlock it. 

Game Type: GPP
8500 , 41.9
41.9
8700 , 41.7
41.7

Maxey is coming off back-to-back 65 FP performances and now gets an elite matchup. Joel Embiid is also listed questionable – his absence would vault Maxey to one of the top priorities on the slate. The Jazz rank dead last in DefRtg and play at a top 12 pace, so Maxey is squarely in play regardless of Embiid's status. 

Game Type: GPP
8100 , 42.4
42.4
8300 , 40.5
40.5

Brunson is questionable to play and has seen his ceiling hindered by the arrival of Karl-Anthony Towns, but we cannot ignore the elite matchup and low-$8,000 range salary tag. The Wizards rank 4th in pace and 28th in DefRtg. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7400 , 35.9
35.9
7900 , 35.8
35.8

The price tag is still below $8K and Murray gets a home matchup against a below average defense. Murray has scored at least 49 DK points in three of his last four games. 

Game Type: GPP
5000 , 23.1
23.1
5000 , 22.7
22.7

Luka Doncic is out, and PJ Washington and Naji Marshall are facing suspensions. There should be a clear path for Dinwiddie to play mid-to-upper 20s minutes tonight. He gets a great matchup against the Blazers, who rank 27th in DefRtg. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7700 , 0
0
7500 , 0
0

The Bulls could be thin in the backcourt with Ayo Dosunmu listed doubtful, and Josh Giddey and Lonzo Ball listed questionable. LaVine should see mid-30s minutes regardless and could have a little extra usage depending on how the injury report shakes out. 

Game Type: GPP
7300 , 31.9
31.9
7000 , 31.3
31.3

Beal gets an nice usage and assist rate bump with Devin Booker out of the lineup. It is a difficult matchup against a good Warriors defense, but the ceiling is elevated by the absence of Booker. 

Game Type: GPP
6500 , 35.1
35.1
6900 , 33.5
33.5

Solid mid-range option who is coming off a massive 26-point triple-double in his last game. Anthony Davis' early departure last game allowed Reaves to post 31% usage. If either AD or LBJ sit this one out, Reaves has a great ceiling. Otherwise, he is a large-field GPP flyer. 

Game Type: GPP
6100 , 29.7
29.7
6400 , 29.2
29.2

The Knicks wings seem to alternate ceiling performances quite often, but there is an excellent chance at least one of them goes off at a mid-range price in this elite matchup tonight. The Wizards rank 4th in pace and 28th in DefRtg, making them one of the best targets for fantasy scoring in the league. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6700 , 36.1
36.1
7300 , 35.8
35.8

The Knicks wings seem to alternate ceiling performances quite often, but there is an excellent chance at least one of them goes off at a mid-range price in this elite matchup tonight. The Wizards rank 4th in pace and 28th in DefRtg, making them one of the best targets for fantasy scoring in the league. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5100 , 0
0
4900 , 0
0

Luka Doncic is out, and PJ Washington and Naji Marshall are facing suspensions. Grimes has a chance to play 30+ minutes tonight, and he gets a great matchup against the Blazers, who rank 27th in DefRtg. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
3900 , 20.7
20.7
4400 , 20.3
20.3

With value lacking so far (but still lots of injury news pending) McBride's elite matchup and solidified bench role put him in play. If Brunson (questionable) misses, McBride becomes one of the top values on the slate. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
8000 , 39.9
39.9
7600 , 39.4
39.4

I have a lot more interest in Paul George if Joel Embiid (questionable) sits. If Embiid plays, George is just a large-field GPP flyer in an elite matchup. 

Game Type: GPP
6300 , 34.5
34.5
6700 , 33.6
33.6

MPJ hasn't historically received a big boost from Aaron Gordon being out of the lineup, but I still have GPP interest given the matchup against a below average Pistons defense. 

Game Type: GPP
5800 , 32.6
32.6
6600 , 33.1
33.1

The Knicks wings seem to alternate ceiling performances quite often, but there is an excellent chance at least one of them goes off at a mid-range price in this elite matchup tonight. The Wizards rank 4th in pace and 28th in DefRtg, making them one of the best targets for fantasy scoring in the league. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5600 , 0
0
6300 , 0
0

Draymond Green is expected to return, but Steph Curry remains out. Wiggins can be a frustrating guy to roster, and Dennis Schroder's arrival complicates the usage projections, but the absence of Curry gives me GPP interest. The Suns rank just 22nd in DefRtg and will again be without Devin Booker. 

Game Type: GPP
5500 , 24.2
24.2
5400 , 23
23

Luka Doncic is out, and PJ Washington and Naji Marshall are facing suspensions. Klay has a clear path to play 30+ minutes tonight, and he gets a great matchup against the Blazers, who rank 27th in DefRtg. 

Game Type: GPP
5200 , 25.5
25.5
5500 , 25
25

The Suns are expected to be shorthanded tonight, with Devin Booker and Grayson Allen still out, and Jusuf Nurkic facing a suspension. Royce should have a path to 30 minutes again. 

Game Type: GPP
9500 , 0
0
9800 , 0
0

LeBron is listed questionable with an illness, so his status may truly be up in the air. If he plays, he is an elite option with a matchup against a struggling Kings squad that has lost 5 straight games and just dismissed their head coach. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
9100 , 42.8
42.8
9700 , 41.4
41.4

In his time with the Suns, KD has posted some ridiculous usage rates with Devin Booker off the floor. In 4 games without Booker this season, Durant has a 35.6% usage rate and averages 32 points per game. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7800 , 27
27
7700 , 26.6
26.6

Giannis Antetokounmpo has been ruled out. Huge boost for Damian Lillard and Bobby Portis in of the best possible matchups. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5500 , 30
30
6100 , 30.1
30.1

Draymond Green is expected to return to the lineup tonight, but Steph Curry remains out and Kuminga is coming off a monster fantasy performance. In 6 games with Curry inactive this season, Kuminga leads the Warriors with a 32% usage rate. 

Game Type: GPP
5500 , 28.3
28.3
5900 , 28.2
28.2

Better play if Sabonis sits again, but I have interest regardless due to the coaching change. Who knows what interim Head Coach Doug Christie's rotations will look like. I am willing to lean into the chance Murray plays upper-30s minutes tonight in a good matchup. 

Game Type: GPP
11900 , 73
73
12300 , 67.3
67.3

Jokic is the top option on most slates in which he appears, and this one is no different. He gets a plus matchup against a below average defense, and (not that he needs it) receives a small boost to his rate stats with Aaron Gordon off the floor. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
10500 , 0
0
11200 , 0
0

AD played just 7 minutes last game before leaving with an ankle injury. Injury is an inherent risk with the Lakers big man, but the ceiling is outstanding when he is able to play his full compliment of minutes. AD is listed questionable himself, but he would rival Jokic for top play on the slate if he is able to play and LeBron (also questionable) is not. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
9400 , 39.4
39.4
10600 , 38.4
38.4

Like AD, another superstar who is listed questionable and has a habit of leaving games early with injury. The ceiling is undeniable against the worst defense in the league if Embiid is able to play full minutes. 

Game Type: GPP
9700 , 52.2
52.2
9500 , 49.3
49.3

KAT has been a rebounding machine this season and gets a matchup against the worst rebounding team in the NBA. The Wizards also happen to be one of the worst defensive teams in the league. KAT is an amazing GPP pivot from some of his cheaper, chalkier teammates.

Game Type: GPP
9600 , 48.1
48.1
9600 , 44.9
44.9

Sabonis missed last game with an illness and his head coach has since been fired. He has said he expects to play tonight and gets a good matchup against a below average Lakers defense. 

Game Type: GPP
4200 , 37.3
37.3
5700 , 38.8
38.8

In addition to Luka Doncic, PJ Washington and Naji Marshall, Dereck Lively has now been ruled out as well. Gafford is now one of the top salary saving options on the entire slate. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4300 , 26.1
26.1
5200 , 26.4
26.4

Draymond Green is expected to return to the lineup tonight, but TJD has had a solid role alongside Green in recent games. Jackson-Davis has started each of the last four games and performed well. He should play mid-20s minutes in a solid matchup. 

Game Type: GPP
3600 , 14.2
14.2
4000 , 14.5
14.5

Assuming Plumlee draws the start for the suspended Nurkic, he is on of the top values on the slate. There is a chance Ighodaro draws the start instead. Ighodoro is at or near minimum price on both sites and also offers PF eligibility. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP