Happy Monday, March 10th, we have a 10-game NBA DFS main slate on DraftKings and FanDuel.

The stars are out as Nikola Jokic, Luka Doncic, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and Jayson Tatum are taking the floor. Some names that are questionable are Jayson Tatum, Trae Young, Tyrese Haliburton, and Tyrese Maxey.

 

 

 

Before actually diving into the meat and potatoes, welcome to the NBA DFS season. If this is your first time reading our column on NBA DFS picks, I just want to welcome you and give you a few tips and tricks on what you should be looking for each night.

  • News outlets: reliable sources that give us injury news & starting lineups
  • Pace of play: who's playing fast vs. who's playing slow. Which teams get a pace-up spot (more possessions) vs. pace-down (fewer possessions)
  • Usage rates: is a percentage of how many plays that player is being used in
  • NBA DFS Projections
  • Lineup Generator
  • NBA Ownership

NBA DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook Today, March 10th

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Pre/Post-Lock Update

This section will be used for anything that changes from the morning until right up to roster lock. 

Injury updates, players we’re higher on than we were in the morning and so much more.

All status updates after contest roster lock will be made in the Fantasy Alarm Discord: https://discord.gg/2yATJxXe8G

4:15 pm ET

6:30 pm ET

Atlanta

Indiana

Boston

7:05 pm ET

NBA Injuries, News & Updates Today, 3/10

 

 

NBA DFS Slate & Game Overviews

In the section below, I’m listing the most notable things we need to look at in Las Vegas, including notable O/U and spreads. Not every game is listed, but every game listed has the pace and defensive numbers listed.

 

 

NBA DFS Core Player Pool & Lineup Picks

Here are the core players I’m looking at for my NBA DFS picks tonight. You can see the full analysis of tonight’s NBA DFS projections and player pool below or skip ahead to building the best lineups possible by locking these into the aforementioned lineup generator now.

High

Mid

Value

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Pos
(Click to sort ascending)
Player
(Click to sort ascending)
Matchup
(Click to sort ascending)
DK
(Click to sort ascending)
DK Pts
(Click to sort ascending)
FD
(Click to sort ascending)
FD Pts
(Click to sort ascending)
PGLuka DončićLAL @ BKN Mon 7:301200059.51200058

It's a 100 minute sample without LeBron James, so it's not much, but Doncic has a staggering 11.6% USG bump up to 46% and is averaging 2.05 FP/min. I mean, that's just insane. Doncic is battling a back injury too, by the way.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGShai Gilgeous-AlexanderDEN @ OKC Mon 8:001100057.91160058.2

SGA was fantastic on Sunday, much like he's been all year long likely on his way to his first MVP award. With everyone in, just base line numbers, SGA has a 35% USG and 1.6 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGJa MorantPHX @ MEM Mon 8:00860046.4850044.8

Since telling us he's not sure he should be playing through a shoulder ailment that's sidelined himself a bunch this year, he's looked great offensively. He's now played 35+ minutes in back-to-back games, taken 23+ shots, and 49+ DKP. No surprise to see Morant take the reigns with JJJ out. He has a 33.6% USG and 1.4 FP/min without JJJ.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGJosh GiddeyIND @ CHI Mon 8:00850043.8870042.8

I like Giddey here and he's been great, but it's definitely worth noting Nikola Vucevic is back, and Vuc is a really solid offensive player and rebounder, so will he take a little away from Giddey? It's possible. Without LaVine and Ball this year, Giddey has a 23% USG and 1.3 FP/min.

Game Type: GPP
PGStephon CastleDAL @ SAS Mon 8:30620032630031.3

This last six game stretch for Stephon Castle has been fantastic and now catches Dallas with basically nobody available. Without Wemby this year, Castle has a 26% USG and averages 1.04 FP/min. He's now played 26+ minutes and 32+ DKP in six straight. Castle's role is great right now.

Game Type: GPP
PGSpencer DinwiddieDAL @ SAS Mon 8:30560028.2570027.8

Dallas is going to be incredibly short-handed, possibly to the point where eight bodies are dressed but they only have seven playing. Dinwiddie is playing horribly right now, but he should play a LOT here, especially if Brandon Williams is out.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGRussell WestbrookDEN @ OKC Mon 8:00550032.6620032.1

I fully expect Aaron Gordon to sit here and we should see Westbrook starting again. Without Gordon this year, Westbrook has a 23.6% USG and averages 1.17 FP/min. He's really cheap on DK.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGD'Angelo RussellLAL @ BKN Mon 7:30540030.2610028.9

Another price play at PG that I REALLY like. Will the minutes be there? I'm not entirely sure, but with everyone that's out isn't out there, DLo has a 28.6% USG and averages 1.26 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGDevin BookerPHX @ MEM Mon 8:00910045.4920043.9

Booker's solid here. He has a ceiling. It's a massive pace up spot for PHX. Booker on the year has a 29.5% USG and averages 1.18 FP/min. Best suited for GPPs.

Game Type: GPP
SGDesmond BanePHX @ MEM Mon 8:00790044.8840043.5

Bane's one of the better plays of the slate, especially if Memphis is short-handed again. Without JJJ and Marcus Smart this year, Bane has a 24.6% USG and averages 1.3 FP/min. Santi Aldama, Luke Kennard and Vince Williams are all questionable to play too.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGAustin ReavesLAL @ BKN Mon 7:30750042.3750040.7

Per dollar, you could make a case that Austin Reaves is one of the best plays on the board based on the numbers without LeBron, AD, and DLo. He gets an 11.4% USG bump up to 35% USG and averages 1.5 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGMax ChristieDAL @ SAS Mon 8:30540028.6580028.6

Christie is likely going to be 1 of 8 active players, and possibly 1 of 7 players that actually play. Simply because of that, he's in play because we could possibly see him play 40 minutes.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGLonnie WalkerPHI @ ATL Mon 7:30360026.1440024.8

Walker IV is going to be super chalk and he's really solid now that Tyrese Maxey has been ruled out. Walker's played 28 minutes or more in 3 of 4 and had 24+ DKP in each of those games. He's 3.6K on DK and if that's the production he puts up, he's a must own at his ownership + production.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFNaji MarshallDAL @ SAS Mon 8:30680037.6720037.2

I'm not fading a chalk Naji Marshall today. I'm just not. Marshall has been the best player on the floor for the Mavericks the last two games while topping 40 minutes last time out. He's notched a 25% USG or better in three straight, has back-to-back double-doubles and had 34-10-9 last time out.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFKlay ThompsonDAL @ SAS Mon 8:30600031.7590030.2

Klay Thompson has really flashed a high ceiling with everyone out. He has a massive 29% USG (+6.5% USG bump) and is averaging 1.02 FP/min. Dallas is going to be really short-handed here and Thompson's forced into 30 minutes or so.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFCameron JohnsonLAL @ BKN Mon 7:30590032.2650031

Brooklyn faces a pretty short-handed Lakers team here and Johnson's cheap. He sees a 2.6% USG bump without Thomas and Watford up to 25.8% and averages .96 FP/min to boot.

Game Type: GPP
PFKevin DurantPHX @ MEM Mon 8:00940044.8940044.1

Without Bradley Beal this year, Durant has a 31% USG and averages 1.29 FP/min this year, both lead the team. It's a massive pace up spot for Phoenix and the 244.5 implied points leads the slate.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFMichael PorterDEN @ OKC Mon 8:00630035.5670034.3

Without Aaron Gordon, MPJ has a 20.5% USG and averages .98 FP/min and has 40 minute upside. Not to mention Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray are now questionable.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFTari EasonORL @ HOU Mon 8:00600031.3680033.1

Without Amen Thompson this year, Tari Eason has been a DOG. He's averaging 1.2 FP/min without him, which is second on the team for anyone that's played legitimate minutes. The spot isn't great, but this isn't the same Magic defense we've grown to know it to be.

Game Type: GPP
PFKyshawn GeorgeWAS @ TOR Mon 7:30530027.1580027

George is a solid option at 5.3K on DK. Washington is down a LOT of pieces and George sits at a .9 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFBrandon ClarkePHX @ MEM Mon 8:004200050000

If Clarke suits up, I'm interested, he just needs to stay out of foul trouble. That's what happened on Sunday so it's hard to say that'll happen here again, but we know Santi Aldama, JJJ, and Kennard are out again.

Game Type: GPP
PFKessler EdwardsDAL @ SAS Mon 8:30400022.8440024

Minutes. That's what Kessler Edwards' appeal is here. Dallas is super short-handed.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CNikola JokićDEN @ OKC Mon 8:001290070.51290065.2

Nikola Jokic hurt his elbow early in that game on Sunday and played through it. The guy is a 1.9 FP/min player this year and if he plays, OKC will have a hard time containing him for a second straight game.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
COnyeka OkongwuPHI @ ATL Mon 7:30680039.1750038.3

You'll never have to talk me into play Okongwu. I love playing this guy. He's a ball of FP magic, well over 1.1 this season, especially without Jalen Johnson this season.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CAlex SarrWAS @ TOR Mon 7:30560031620031.5

I absolutely love Alex Sarr in this spot today. We could potentially see a ceiling minutes game out of Sarr and we've seen him over 1 FP/min. He's just 5.6K and Richaun Holmes, who's the backup to Sarr, is out as well.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
COrlando RobinsonWAS @ TOR Mon 7:30370023410023.3

Washington bleeds fantasy points to opposing centers and with Jakob Poeltl out, we should see Orlando Robinson start. He'll split time with Collin Castleton, but I like Robinson's price as a starter here.

Game Type: GPP
CAdem BonaPHI @ ATL Mon 7:30340023370024.2

Philly has punted, finally. I like Bona and his role yesterday could be a preview for tonight and beyond. Andre Drummond is questionable, so that's obviously big news, but if he doesn't play, Bona could even start. Even if he doesn't, Nick Nurse told us he's going to scale Guerschon Yabusele and Kelly Oubre Jr.'s minutes.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
12000 , 59.5
59.5
12000 , 58
58

It's a 100 minute sample without LeBron James, so it's not much, but Doncic has a staggering 11.6% USG bump up to 46% and is averaging 2.05 FP/min. I mean, that's just insane. Doncic is battling a back injury too, by the way.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
11000 , 57.9
57.9
11600 , 58.2
58.2

SGA was fantastic on Sunday, much like he's been all year long likely on his way to his first MVP award. With everyone in, just base line numbers, SGA has a 35% USG and 1.6 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
8600 , 46.4
46.4
8500 , 44.8
44.8

Since telling us he's not sure he should be playing through a shoulder ailment that's sidelined himself a bunch this year, he's looked great offensively. He's now played 35+ minutes in back-to-back games, taken 23+ shots, and 49+ DKP. No surprise to see Morant take the reigns with JJJ out. He has a 33.6% USG and 1.4 FP/min without JJJ.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
8500 , 43.8
43.8
8700 , 42.8
42.8

I like Giddey here and he's been great, but it's definitely worth noting Nikola Vucevic is back, and Vuc is a really solid offensive player and rebounder, so will he take a little away from Giddey? It's possible. Without LaVine and Ball this year, Giddey has a 23% USG and 1.3 FP/min.

Game Type: GPP
6200 , 32
32
6300 , 31.3
31.3

This last six game stretch for Stephon Castle has been fantastic and now catches Dallas with basically nobody available. Without Wemby this year, Castle has a 26% USG and averages 1.04 FP/min. He's now played 26+ minutes and 32+ DKP in six straight. Castle's role is great right now.

Game Type: GPP
5600 , 28.2
28.2
5700 , 27.8
27.8

Dallas is going to be incredibly short-handed, possibly to the point where eight bodies are dressed but they only have seven playing. Dinwiddie is playing horribly right now, but he should play a LOT here, especially if Brandon Williams is out.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5500 , 32.6
32.6
6200 , 32.1
32.1

I fully expect Aaron Gordon to sit here and we should see Westbrook starting again. Without Gordon this year, Westbrook has a 23.6% USG and averages 1.17 FP/min. He's really cheap on DK.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5400 , 30.2
30.2
6100 , 28.9
28.9

Another price play at PG that I REALLY like. Will the minutes be there? I'm not entirely sure, but with everyone that's out isn't out there, DLo has a 28.6% USG and averages 1.26 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
9100 , 45.4
45.4
9200 , 43.9
43.9

Booker's solid here. He has a ceiling. It's a massive pace up spot for PHX. Booker on the year has a 29.5% USG and averages 1.18 FP/min. Best suited for GPPs.

Game Type: GPP
7900 , 44.8
44.8
8400 , 43.5
43.5

Bane's one of the better plays of the slate, especially if Memphis is short-handed again. Without JJJ and Marcus Smart this year, Bane has a 24.6% USG and averages 1.3 FP/min. Santi Aldama, Luke Kennard and Vince Williams are all questionable to play too.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7500 , 42.3
42.3
7500 , 40.7
40.7

Per dollar, you could make a case that Austin Reaves is one of the best plays on the board based on the numbers without LeBron, AD, and DLo. He gets an 11.4% USG bump up to 35% USG and averages 1.5 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5400 , 28.6
28.6
5800 , 28.6
28.6

Christie is likely going to be 1 of 8 active players, and possibly 1 of 7 players that actually play. Simply because of that, he's in play because we could possibly see him play 40 minutes.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
3600 , 26.1
26.1
4400 , 24.8
24.8

Walker IV is going to be super chalk and he's really solid now that Tyrese Maxey has been ruled out. Walker's played 28 minutes or more in 3 of 4 and had 24+ DKP in each of those games. He's 3.6K on DK and if that's the production he puts up, he's a must own at his ownership + production.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6800 , 37.6
37.6
7200 , 37.2
37.2

I'm not fading a chalk Naji Marshall today. I'm just not. Marshall has been the best player on the floor for the Mavericks the last two games while topping 40 minutes last time out. He's notched a 25% USG or better in three straight, has back-to-back double-doubles and had 34-10-9 last time out.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6000 , 31.7
31.7
5900 , 30.2
30.2

Klay Thompson has really flashed a high ceiling with everyone out. He has a massive 29% USG (+6.5% USG bump) and is averaging 1.02 FP/min. Dallas is going to be really short-handed here and Thompson's forced into 30 minutes or so.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5900 , 32.2
32.2
6500 , 31
31

Brooklyn faces a pretty short-handed Lakers team here and Johnson's cheap. He sees a 2.6% USG bump without Thomas and Watford up to 25.8% and averages .96 FP/min to boot.

Game Type: GPP
9400 , 44.8
44.8
9400 , 44.1
44.1

Without Bradley Beal this year, Durant has a 31% USG and averages 1.29 FP/min this year, both lead the team. It's a massive pace up spot for Phoenix and the 244.5 implied points leads the slate.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6300 , 35.5
35.5
6700 , 34.3
34.3

Without Aaron Gordon, MPJ has a 20.5% USG and averages .98 FP/min and has 40 minute upside. Not to mention Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray are now questionable.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6000 , 31.3
31.3
6800 , 33.1
33.1

Without Amen Thompson this year, Tari Eason has been a DOG. He's averaging 1.2 FP/min without him, which is second on the team for anyone that's played legitimate minutes. The spot isn't great, but this isn't the same Magic defense we've grown to know it to be.

Game Type: GPP
5300 , 27.1
27.1
5800 , 27
27

George is a solid option at 5.3K on DK. Washington is down a LOT of pieces and George sits at a .9 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4200 , 0
0
5000 , 0
0

If Clarke suits up, I'm interested, he just needs to stay out of foul trouble. That's what happened on Sunday so it's hard to say that'll happen here again, but we know Santi Aldama, JJJ, and Kennard are out again.

Game Type: GPP
4000 , 22.8
22.8
4400 , 24
24

Minutes. That's what Kessler Edwards' appeal is here. Dallas is super short-handed.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
12900 , 70.5
70.5
12900 , 65.2
65.2

Nikola Jokic hurt his elbow early in that game on Sunday and played through it. The guy is a 1.9 FP/min player this year and if he plays, OKC will have a hard time containing him for a second straight game.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6800 , 39.1
39.1
7500 , 38.3
38.3

You'll never have to talk me into play Okongwu. I love playing this guy. He's a ball of FP magic, well over 1.1 this season, especially without Jalen Johnson this season.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5600 , 31
31
6200 , 31.5
31.5

I absolutely love Alex Sarr in this spot today. We could potentially see a ceiling minutes game out of Sarr and we've seen him over 1 FP/min. He's just 5.6K and Richaun Holmes, who's the backup to Sarr, is out as well.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
3700 , 23
23
4100 , 23.3
23.3

Washington bleeds fantasy points to opposing centers and with Jakob Poeltl out, we should see Orlando Robinson start. He'll split time with Collin Castleton, but I like Robinson's price as a starter here.

Game Type: GPP
3400 , 23
23
3700 , 24.2
24.2

Philly has punted, finally. I like Bona and his role yesterday could be a preview for tonight and beyond. Andre Drummond is questionable, so that's obviously big news, but if he doesn't play, Bona could even start. Even if he doesn't, Nick Nurse told us he's going to scale Guerschon Yabusele and Kelly Oubre Jr.'s minutes.

Game Type: CASH & GPP