Happy Monday, February 3rd, we have an eight-game NBA DFS main slate on DraftKings and 10 games over on FanDuel.

The stars are out as Nikola Jokic, Victor Wembanyama, Domantas Sabonis, and Giannis Antetokounmpo are taking the floor. Some names that are questionable are Victor Wembanyama, Anthony Edwards, and Alperen Sengun.

 

 

 

Before actually diving into the meat and potatoes, welcome to the NBA DFS season. If this is your first time reading our column on NBA DFS picks, I just want to welcome you and give you a few tips and tricks on what you should be looking for each night.

  • News outlets: reliable sources that give us injury news & starting lineups
  • Pace of play: who's playing fast vs. who's playing slow. Which teams get a pace-up spot (more possessions) vs. pace-down (fewer possessions)
  • Usage rates: is a percentage of how many plays that player is being used in
  • NBA DFS Projections
  • Lineup Generator
  • NBA Ownership

NBA DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook Today, February 3rd

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Pre/Post-Lock Update

This section will be used for anything that changes from the morning until right up to roster lock. 

Injury updates, players we’re higher on than we were in the morning and so much more.

4:40 pm ET

6:10 pm ET

7:40 pm ET

NBA Injuries, News & Updates Today, 2/3

 

 

 

NBA DFS Slate & Game Overviews

In the section below, I’m listing the most notable things we need to look at in Las Vegas, including notable O/U and spreads. Not every game is listed, but every game listed has the pace and defensive numbers listed.

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Denver Nuggets

  • Total: 241
  • Spread: DEN -11
  • Pelicans are 13th in pace, Nuggets are 5th in pace
  • Pelicans are 28th in DRtg, Nuggets are 20th in DRtg 

San Antonio Spurs vs. Memphis Grizzlies

  • Total: 240.5
  • Spread: MEM -4.5
  • Spurs are 15th in pace, Grizzlies are 1st in pace 
  • Spurs are 18th in DRtg, Grizzlies are 7th in DRtg

Indiana Pacers vs. Utah Jazz

  • Total: 239.5
  • Spread: IND -7.5
  • Pacers are 6th in pace, Jazz are 14th in pace
  • Pacers are 19th in DRtg, Jazz are 29th in DRtg

Atlanta Hawks vs. Detroit Pistons

  • Total: 235
  • Spread: DET -4
  • Hawks are 2nd in pace, Pistons are 16th in pace
  • Hawks are 16th in DRtg, Pistons are 12th in DRtg

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

  • Total: 232.5
  • Spread: OKC -11.5
  • Bucks are 12th in pace, Thunder are 8th in pace
  • Bucks are 11th in DRtg, Thunder are 1st in DRtg

Phoenix Suns vs. Portland Trail Blazers

  • Total: 229.5
  • Spread: PHX -4.5
  • Suns are 21st in pace, Trail Blazers are 18th in pace
  • Suns are 22nd in DRtg, Trail Blazers are 26th in DRtg

 

 

 

NBA DFS Core Player Pool & Lineup Picks

Here are the core players I’m looking at for my NBA DFS picks tonight. You can see the full analysis of tonight’s NBA DFS projections and player pool below or skip ahead to building the best lineups possible by locking these into the aforementioned lineup generator now.

High

Mid

Value

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Pos
(Click to sort ascending)
Player
(Click to sort ascending)
Matchup
(Click to sort ascending)
DK
(Click to sort ascending)
DK Pts
(Click to sort ascending)
FD
(Click to sort ascending)
FD Pts
(Click to sort ascending)
PGShai Gilgeous-AlexanderMIL @ OKC Mon 8:001100059.91160060

Without Chet Holmgren, SGA has a 35.8% USG and 1.6 FP/min. If JDub sits, those numbers bump up to 40.3% USG and 1.85 FP/min. I'd have a hard time fading that.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGCade CunninghamATL @ DET Mon 7:001030047.41020045.1

Without Jaden Ivey this year, Cunningham has a 35% USG and averages 1.46 FP/min. He's so, so good and this game environment is great.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGTyrese HaliburtonIND @ UTA Mon 9:00820043.5880042.6

Tyrese Haliburton is a very solid GPP option when he makes shots. When the shot volume is there, he has a massive ceiling.

Game Type: GPP
PGMalik MonkSAC @ MIN Mon 8:00720038.7780037.8

With De'Aaron Fox and Kevin Huerter gone and traded, Malik Monk has a 26.6% USG and averages 1.17 FP/min. The spot isn't great overall, but Minnesota is potentially missing upwards of four starters/four of their top six.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGJose AlvaradoNOP @ DEN Mon 9:00480028.7480028.6

After Dejounte Murray went down the other day, Jose Alvarado played 34 minutes and dropped 37.75 DKP. With Ingram, Murray, Jones, and Payton out, Alvarado has a 20.8% USG and 1.08 FP/min this year. He should start and this game has north of 240 implied points.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGAnthony EdwardsSAC @ MIN Mon 8:00950045.8950043.6

With Donte DiVincenzo and Julius Randle off the floor this year, Edwards has a 36% USG and 1.38 FP/min this year. Sacramento will likely stick Keon Ellis on him and Ellis is a good defender, but he is small compared to Edwards.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGTrey MurphyNOP @ DEN Mon 9:00780039.1810038.3

With all the Pelicans out, Trey Murphy III has been awesome this year. Murphy has a 27.7% USG and averages 1.18 FP/min without them. Murphy has scored 32 and 40 actual in back-to-back games.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGJalen GreenHOU @ NYK Mon 7:30730040.7730038.8

We already have Jabari Smith Jr. and Fred VanVleet out and could possibly not have Alperen Sengun out. With just FVV and JSJr. out, Green sees a +2% USG, 29.7% USG, and 1.2 FP/min. Green's usage goes up 3.7% USG to 31.4% if Sengun sits.

Game Type: GPP
SGChristian BraunNOP @ DEN Mon 9:00520029.1550029.7

With Westbrook and Watson out, Braun played 38 minutes last game and went for 24 & 11. We shouldn't expect that level of production, but the minutes should stick with how short-handed they are.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGStephon CastleSAS @ MEM Mon 8:00510030.2560029.7

We've seen Stephon Castle notch at least a 20% USG in 12 straight games and in 11 of the 12 it's been over 22%. Castle's been over 28 DKP in four straight and seven of nine overall. The minutes are great and so is the production.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGKeon EllisSAC @ MIN Mon 8:00350025.8440027.3

With De'Aaron Fox dealt to the Spurs and Zach LaVine unlikely to make his debut, Ellis is going to be the likeliest candidate to enter the starting lineup here. He's very cheap and has a pretty good ceiling to boot.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFAmen ThompsonHOU @ NYK Mon 7:30830047.7860047.2

With the Rockets down two starters, it's possible Amen Thompson has 42 minute upside. He also has triple-double upside and an infinite stock upside to boot.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFJosh HartHOU @ NYK Mon 7:30770041.5810041.2

Hart's twice in four games had triple-doubled with 20+ points and twice he's had less than 34 DKP. That's Josh Hart in fantasy. He's at 1.09 FP/min without OG Anunoby.

Game Type: GPP
SFMichael PorterNOP @ DEN Mon 9:00590034.2630033.3

The minutes have been up and down for Porter lately but without Westbrook and Watson, they were extremely solidified on this slate. Without those two players, MPJ has a 21.5% USG and is averaging .99 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFZaccharie RisacherATL @ DET Mon 7:00460022.8480023

The minutes continue to be..weird..but they are on the rise. Risacher, without Johnson, Capela, and Bogdanovic, has a 23.4% USG and averages .89 FP/min. Solid low-owned GPP dart.

Game Type: GPP
PFMiles BridgesWAS @ CHA Mon 7:00900043.2820041.7

I don't love the price, but I do love the matchup and how good he's been lately. Bridges, without Ball, Miller, and Mann, has a team-leading 33.1% USG and averages 1.34 FP/min as well. The price will keep his ownership lower, that's for sure.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFZion WilliamsonNOP @ DEN Mon 9:00850046.5920045.8

Nobody clicks Zion Williamson. Nobody believes that he'll keep producing. Everyone is worried about the limit. Has that hurt him at all? They've also only gone up, by the way, but Williamson this year without Ingram, Murray, Jones, and Payton has a cool 40.4% USG and averages 1.77 FP/min. 1.77.

Game Type: GPP
PFPascal SiakamIND @ UTA Mon 9:00760036.6830035.7

Yup, the ownership checks out. Pascal Siakam mid-7Ks on DK is normally something that everyone plays. It's a fantastic matchup and he's been great lately on top of that. Siakam has been dominating lately across all statistical categories.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFNaz ReidSAC @ MIN Mon 8:00600033.4680033.3

The TWolves likely get Anthony Edwards and Reid back tonight as both went through shootaround. Without DiVincenzo and Randle this year, Naz Reid's a 21.6% USG and 1.09 FP/min player.

Game Type: GPP
PFSanti AldamaSAS @ MEM Mon 8:00490028.3550028

On the year, without Bane, Smart, and Williams, Aldama has a 20.5% USG and averages 1.15 FP/min. There's an outside chance he would start for Bane, but either way he's in play starting or coming off the bench. In the event Ja Morant sits too (QUEST) he's at 1.22 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFAaron GordonNOP @ DEN Mon 9:00450023.4530022.6

I was surprised to see the field going right back to the well considering how much he's let everyone down the last two slates. The minutes remain solid in the 30's, just hasn't been productive. Without Westbrook and Watson, is over a FP/min, so I'm definitely fine going back to the well.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CNikola JokićNOP @ DEN Mon 9:001230066.61290064.1

I mean, yeah. He's still under 13K. Not much else to say here.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CDomantas SabonisSAC @ MIN Mon 8:009800511030047.8

I think Sabonis is an interesting play today. Without De'Aaron Fox and Kevin Huerter this year, he has a 21% USG but averages 1.5 FP/min, which is an insane number. Being under 10K on DK with those types of numbers is insane.

Game Type: GPP
CMark WilliamsWAS @ CHA Mon 7:00840039.5780038.3

Without LaMelo Ball and Brandon Miller this year, Williams has a 22.4% USG but leads the team with 1.38 FP/min. After a being out for a few games due to injury management, Williams returned to the Hornets lineup and played 32 minutes, so he's healthy coming into this one.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CIsaiah HartensteinMIL @ OKC Mon 8:00740038.1750036.9

Small, small sample, but iHart's at 1.3 FP/min with everyone out. He's so, so good on a FP/min and who is even going to be guarding him with Giannis out, Portis doubtful, and Lopez questionable.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CJalen DurenATL @ DET Mon 7:00640028.3690028.5

Duren has four straight double-doubles and one in eight of nine. The kicker has been his ability to stay out of foul trouble and stay on the floor. Duren's at 1.19 FP/min this year.

Game Type: GPP
CJonas ValančiūnasSAC @ MIN Mon 8:005800057000

Valanciunas is still very cheap for the fantasy performer he is. Without Sarr, he's posted a 24.3% USG and 1.35 FP/min this year. Great spot overall.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFAaron WigginsMIL @ OKC Mon 8:00530029.6450029.4

ADDED - The Thunder have 5 guys out that have been featured in their rotation this year. Without those players, Wiggins has a 21.2% USG and averages 1.2 FP/min and that's a 124 minute sample. His FD price really stands out.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFLuguentz DortMIL @ OKC Mon 8:00490026.8460027.3

ADDED - OKC leverage will be going from Aaron Wiggins to Lu Dort tonight. Wiggins has definitely been better with the guys out being off the floor, but Dort hasn't been bad either. Dort is at 1.03 FP/min currently and has better positional elg.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGAJ GreenMIL @ OKC Mon 8:00330033380030.4

ADDED - He's not a high USG guy, but with Giannis, Middleton and Portis off the floor, AJ Green averages 1 FP/min. That's something and he's also $300 off min salary on both DK and FD. What makes him appealing is that he ramped up and played over Gary Trent Jr. yesterday, much like he was prior to his injury.

Game Type: GPP
SFPaolo BancheroORL @ GSW Mon 10:0046.3840045.1

FD ONLY - What stands out the most to me is the price. The numbers have been inconsistent, but his high usage rate, elite rebounding ability, and knack for scoring is that of a player that should be priced about 1K more nightly.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFJerami GrantPHX @ POR Mon 10:0028.9520028.9

FD ONLY - His price on FD is interesting. 5.2K is very cheap. He returned from a one-game absence, played 32 minutes and scored 20 actual points and 31.7 FDP. He lost time at the end of the game due to blowout, too.

Game Type: GPP
SFToumani CamaraPHX @ POR Mon 10:0026.1550026

FD ONLY - He's just safe. The minutes are safe. The rebounding is safe. Now that the scoring has been more consistent, the price feels good to get to.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFKevin DurantPHX @ POR Mon 10:0046.9940045.4

FD ONLY - Kevin Durant's name is swirling in trade rumors today, but he's still on the Phoenix Suns. As a Sun this year, Durant has a 30.3% USG and averages 1.24 FP/min, both higher than Devin Booker. He's lower owned than Booker so I'll take the guy for a couple extra $ that has better averages at lower ownership.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
11000 , 59.9
59.9
11600 , 60
60

Without Chet Holmgren, SGA has a 35.8% USG and 1.6 FP/min. If JDub sits, those numbers bump up to 40.3% USG and 1.85 FP/min. I'd have a hard time fading that.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
10300 , 47.4
47.4
10200 , 45.1
45.1

Without Jaden Ivey this year, Cunningham has a 35% USG and averages 1.46 FP/min. He's so, so good and this game environment is great.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
8200 , 43.5
43.5
8800 , 42.6
42.6

Tyrese Haliburton is a very solid GPP option when he makes shots. When the shot volume is there, he has a massive ceiling.

Game Type: GPP
7200 , 38.7
38.7
7800 , 37.8
37.8

With De'Aaron Fox and Kevin Huerter gone and traded, Malik Monk has a 26.6% USG and averages 1.17 FP/min. The spot isn't great overall, but Minnesota is potentially missing upwards of four starters/four of their top six.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4800 , 28.7
28.7
4800 , 28.6
28.6

After Dejounte Murray went down the other day, Jose Alvarado played 34 minutes and dropped 37.75 DKP. With Ingram, Murray, Jones, and Payton out, Alvarado has a 20.8% USG and 1.08 FP/min this year. He should start and this game has north of 240 implied points.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
9500 , 45.8
45.8
9500 , 43.6
43.6

With Donte DiVincenzo and Julius Randle off the floor this year, Edwards has a 36% USG and 1.38 FP/min this year. Sacramento will likely stick Keon Ellis on him and Ellis is a good defender, but he is small compared to Edwards.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7800 , 39.1
39.1
8100 , 38.3
38.3

With all the Pelicans out, Trey Murphy III has been awesome this year. Murphy has a 27.7% USG and averages 1.18 FP/min without them. Murphy has scored 32 and 40 actual in back-to-back games.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7300 , 40.7
40.7
7300 , 38.8
38.8

We already have Jabari Smith Jr. and Fred VanVleet out and could possibly not have Alperen Sengun out. With just FVV and JSJr. out, Green sees a +2% USG, 29.7% USG, and 1.2 FP/min. Green's usage goes up 3.7% USG to 31.4% if Sengun sits.

Game Type: GPP
5200 , 29.1
29.1
5500 , 29.7
29.7

With Westbrook and Watson out, Braun played 38 minutes last game and went for 24 & 11. We shouldn't expect that level of production, but the minutes should stick with how short-handed they are.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5100 , 30.2
30.2
5600 , 29.7
29.7

We've seen Stephon Castle notch at least a 20% USG in 12 straight games and in 11 of the 12 it's been over 22%. Castle's been over 28 DKP in four straight and seven of nine overall. The minutes are great and so is the production.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
3500 , 25.8
25.8
4400 , 27.3
27.3

With De'Aaron Fox dealt to the Spurs and Zach LaVine unlikely to make his debut, Ellis is going to be the likeliest candidate to enter the starting lineup here. He's very cheap and has a pretty good ceiling to boot.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
8300 , 47.7
47.7
8600 , 47.2
47.2

With the Rockets down two starters, it's possible Amen Thompson has 42 minute upside. He also has triple-double upside and an infinite stock upside to boot.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7700 , 41.5
41.5
8100 , 41.2
41.2

Hart's twice in four games had triple-doubled with 20+ points and twice he's had less than 34 DKP. That's Josh Hart in fantasy. He's at 1.09 FP/min without OG Anunoby.

Game Type: GPP
5900 , 34.2
34.2
6300 , 33.3
33.3

The minutes have been up and down for Porter lately but without Westbrook and Watson, they were extremely solidified on this slate. Without those two players, MPJ has a 21.5% USG and is averaging .99 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4600 , 22.8
22.8
4800 , 23
23

The minutes continue to be..weird..but they are on the rise. Risacher, without Johnson, Capela, and Bogdanovic, has a 23.4% USG and averages .89 FP/min. Solid low-owned GPP dart.

Game Type: GPP
9000 , 43.2
43.2
8200 , 41.7
41.7

I don't love the price, but I do love the matchup and how good he's been lately. Bridges, without Ball, Miller, and Mann, has a team-leading 33.1% USG and averages 1.34 FP/min as well. The price will keep his ownership lower, that's for sure.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
8500 , 46.5
46.5
9200 , 45.8
45.8

Nobody clicks Zion Williamson. Nobody believes that he'll keep producing. Everyone is worried about the limit. Has that hurt him at all? They've also only gone up, by the way, but Williamson this year without Ingram, Murray, Jones, and Payton has a cool 40.4% USG and averages 1.77 FP/min. 1.77.

Game Type: GPP
7600 , 36.6
36.6
8300 , 35.7
35.7

Yup, the ownership checks out. Pascal Siakam mid-7Ks on DK is normally something that everyone plays. It's a fantastic matchup and he's been great lately on top of that. Siakam has been dominating lately across all statistical categories.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6000 , 33.4
33.4
6800 , 33.3
33.3

The TWolves likely get Anthony Edwards and Reid back tonight as both went through shootaround. Without DiVincenzo and Randle this year, Naz Reid's a 21.6% USG and 1.09 FP/min player.

Game Type: GPP
4900 , 28.3
28.3
5500 , 28
28

On the year, without Bane, Smart, and Williams, Aldama has a 20.5% USG and averages 1.15 FP/min. There's an outside chance he would start for Bane, but either way he's in play starting or coming off the bench. In the event Ja Morant sits too (QUEST) he's at 1.22 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4500 , 23.4
23.4
5300 , 22.6
22.6

I was surprised to see the field going right back to the well considering how much he's let everyone down the last two slates. The minutes remain solid in the 30's, just hasn't been productive. Without Westbrook and Watson, is over a FP/min, so I'm definitely fine going back to the well.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
12300 , 66.6
66.6
12900 , 64.1
64.1

I mean, yeah. He's still under 13K. Not much else to say here.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
9800 , 51
51
10300 , 47.8
47.8

I think Sabonis is an interesting play today. Without De'Aaron Fox and Kevin Huerter this year, he has a 21% USG but averages 1.5 FP/min, which is an insane number. Being under 10K on DK with those types of numbers is insane.

Game Type: GPP
8400 , 39.5
39.5
7800 , 38.3
38.3

Without LaMelo Ball and Brandon Miller this year, Williams has a 22.4% USG but leads the team with 1.38 FP/min. After a being out for a few games due to injury management, Williams returned to the Hornets lineup and played 32 minutes, so he's healthy coming into this one.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7400 , 38.1
38.1
7500 , 36.9
36.9

Small, small sample, but iHart's at 1.3 FP/min with everyone out. He's so, so good on a FP/min and who is even going to be guarding him with Giannis out, Portis doubtful, and Lopez questionable.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6400 , 28.3
28.3
6900 , 28.5
28.5

Duren has four straight double-doubles and one in eight of nine. The kicker has been his ability to stay out of foul trouble and stay on the floor. Duren's at 1.19 FP/min this year.

Game Type: GPP
5800 , 0
0
5700 , 0
0

Valanciunas is still very cheap for the fantasy performer he is. Without Sarr, he's posted a 24.3% USG and 1.35 FP/min this year. Great spot overall.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5300 , 29.6
29.6
4500 , 29.4
29.4

ADDED - The Thunder have 5 guys out that have been featured in their rotation this year. Without those players, Wiggins has a 21.2% USG and averages 1.2 FP/min and that's a 124 minute sample. His FD price really stands out.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4900 , 26.8
26.8
4600 , 27.3
27.3

ADDED - OKC leverage will be going from Aaron Wiggins to Lu Dort tonight. Wiggins has definitely been better with the guys out being off the floor, but Dort hasn't been bad either. Dort is at 1.03 FP/min currently and has better positional elg.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
3300 , 33
33
3800 , 30.4
30.4

ADDED - He's not a high USG guy, but with Giannis, Middleton and Portis off the floor, AJ Green averages 1 FP/min. That's something and he's also $300 off min salary on both DK and FD. What makes him appealing is that he ramped up and played over Gary Trent Jr. yesterday, much like he was prior to his injury.

Game Type: GPP
, 46.3
46.3
8400 , 45.1
45.1

FD ONLY - What stands out the most to me is the price. The numbers have been inconsistent, but his high usage rate, elite rebounding ability, and knack for scoring is that of a player that should be priced about 1K more nightly.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
, 28.9
28.9
5200 , 28.9
28.9

FD ONLY - His price on FD is interesting. 5.2K is very cheap. He returned from a one-game absence, played 32 minutes and scored 20 actual points and 31.7 FDP. He lost time at the end of the game due to blowout, too.

Game Type: GPP
, 26.1
26.1
5500 , 26
26

FD ONLY - He's just safe. The minutes are safe. The rebounding is safe. Now that the scoring has been more consistent, the price feels good to get to.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
, 46.9
46.9
9400 , 45.4
45.4

FD ONLY - Kevin Durant's name is swirling in trade rumors today, but he's still on the Phoenix Suns. As a Sun this year, Durant has a 30.3% USG and averages 1.24 FP/min, both higher than Devin Booker. He's lower owned than Booker so I'll take the guy for a couple extra $ that has better averages at lower ownership.

Game Type: CASH & GPP