We made it to Friday! We are getting to the final two weeks of the baseball season! With that, some important matchups are happening as teams are fighting to extend their season into October. The Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles square up as both are fighting to win the AL East, the Toronto Blue Jays will try to keep their playoff hopes alive against the Boston Red Sox, and the Seattle Mariners have to face the Los Angeles Dodgers as they try to hold on to their wild card spot and keep themselves in the battle for the AL West, and the Arizona Diamondbacks face the Chicago Cubs as both try to claim NL wildcard spots. Lots of exciting baseball and plenty of great players to target to help us build some winning MLB DFS lineups, whether you are playing cash games or gpp tournaments, so let’s dive into today’s playbook! Be sure to check in with our MLB DFS Tools, with the daily MLB projections, MLB DFS rostership projections, and our MLB DFS Lineup Generator when building those lineups today to help you decide which players you should be targeting!

 

MLB DFS Playbook September 15

MLB Weather Updates

Looks like a clear day all the way across the slate today!

DFS Lineup Construction Thoughts

There are a lot of quality pitchers to target today. Outside of my favorites, I have plenty of honorable mentions that I wouldn’t oppose starting today, including Justin Steele, Zach Eflin, Hunter Greene, Jose Berrios, Griffin Canning, Bobby Miller, Jon Gray, and Wade Miley. There are also some very untrustworthy pitchers taking the mound at the bottom end, giving us plenty of offenses worth targeting today as well, with some of my favorites including the Houston Astros, San Diego Padres, San Francisco Giants, Philadelphia Phillies, Milwaukee Brewers, Cincinnati Reds, Chicago Cubs, Tampa Bay Rays, and Minnesota Twins. 

Recommended DFS Starting Pitchers

Top Options for Strikeouts

Logan Webb vs Colorado Rockies

Aaron Nola vs St. Louis Cardinals

Justin Steele vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Hunter Greene vs New York Mets

George Kirby vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Best Odds for a Win

Logan Webb vs Colorado Rockies

Seth Lugo vs Oakland Athletics

Cristian Javier vs Kansas City Royals

Wade Miley vs Washington Nationals

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Favorite Starters to Use for DFS Lineups

Tarik Skubal, Detroit Tigers

Tarik Skubal has officially pitched himself into “Ace” status for me. He has been great all season and continues to get better. Over his last 5 starts, he has racked up 39 strikeouts through 30 innings with a 2.70 ERA and 0.90 WHIP. He has 3 wins and 3 quality starts over that stretch, only falling one run shy in one start and one inning short in his last start when he went only 5 innings, but he struck out 9 and only gave up 2 hits against the Chicago White Sox. I expect continued dominance today against the Los Angeles Angels. 

Seth Lugo, San Diego Padres

Seth Lugo this season has only struggled against good teams, but when he plays lower-end offenses, he dominates. He should have no problem shutting down the Oakland Athletics today and has some sneaky good strikeout upside today as well. I think he is easy to overlook because he is 33, and he starts against good offenses where he struggles to keep his overall numbers not as great, but against bad teams, Lugo has been fantastic and incredibly consistent. 

Recommended DFS Hitters

Highest Expected Run Totals 

San Francisco Giants vs Chase Anderson

Houston Astros vs Zack Greinke

Colorado Rockies vs Logan Webb

Minnesota Twins vs Jesse Scholtens

San Diego Padres vs Sean Newcomb

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Favorite Hitters to Use for DFS Lineups

Spencer Torkelson, 1B Detroit Tigers

The Detroit Tigers are going to have yet another season under .500, but they have a lot to be excited about, and high up that list is the emergence of Spencer Torkelson. The 24-year-old took a little while longer to develop than we might have expected as he was coming up from college, but he has taken some huge strides this season. Over his last 11 games, he has slashed .341/.396/.682, along with 4 homers, and I expect more of the same from him today against Griffin Canning and the Los Angeles Angels. 

Noelvi Marte, 3B Cincinnati Reds

Noelvi Marte hasn’t been starting every day, but I think he should get the start today against the lefty David Peterson. Over his last 10 starts, Marte has slashed .394/.444/.545, along with a homer and a steal. Marte is going to be a big part of this young Reds core going into next year, and his price remains way too low for the quality of hitting that he is already showing.

Trea Turner, SS Philadelphia Phillies

If you were hung up on Trea Turner having a slow start to the season, you should be fully over that by now. He has been other-worldly recently and is now just two homers shy of his career-high and has posted his second career 25-25 season. Since the beginning of August, over his last 35 games, Treat has hit 16 homers. Over his last 14 games, he has 11 multi-hit games and 11 homers, along with 19 runs, 24 RBIs, and 4 stolen bases. That would be an insane month of production for someone, and he has done it in two weeks of games.

Brandon Nimmo, OF New York Mets

If you want stable production, you look to Brandon Nimmo. Despite the embarrassment of a season that the Mets have had, Nimmo has continued to produce at the plate. He has already set a career-high in homers at 23, shattering his previous high of 17 back in 2018, and in what is only the 19th highest-scoring offense so far this season, he has still managed 81 runs and 60 RBIs. He currently has a 1.081 OPS over his last 15 games, and while I am a fan of Hunter Greene, I don’t see why we wouldn’t expect Nimmo to return quality value yet again today. 

Player Pool

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Stacks

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