Welcome to Wednesday! We had a great day yesterday despite dealing with many weather issues. Hopefully, the weather will be more cooperative today, but regardless, we will look to have another strong day. We are less than a week away from the All-Star game, so let’s finish the first half of the season strong with some more winning MLB DFS lineups!

 

 

 

Our slate this evening will be getting underway at 7:05 PM ET. We have a 10-game slate on DraftKings and a 9-game slate on FanDuel, as they don't use the second game of double-headers, so they are forgoing the Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals game. Plenty of exciting matchups on the slate, so let’s waste no time and get right into today’s playbook and my favorite MLB DFS picks for the day!

MLB DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook Today, July 10

MLB Weather Today, 7/10

As of now, it looks like the weather will play nice today. 

MLB DFS Lineup Construction Thoughts

We don’t have nearly the caliber of pitchers we did on yesterday's slate, but there are still some solid arms in some great matchups. I like my top two favorites today a good amount above everyone else. Outside of those two and my cheap play in Frankie Montas, some other honorable mentions I think you could consider playing today include Logan Webb, Charlie Morton, Chris Bassitt, Tobias Myers, and Luis Severino.

On the offensive side, some of my favorite lineups to target today include the Boston Red Sox, New York Mets, Cincinnati Reds, Houston Astros, Atlanta Braves, Texas Rangers, Milwaukee Brewers, Kansas City Royals, and Philadelphia Phillies.

 

 

 

Recommended MLB DFS Starting Pitchers

Top Options For Strikeouts

Best Odds For A Win

 

 

 

Core MLB DFS Pitchers

Nick Pivetta, Boston Red Sox

Nick Pivetta is coming off his best performance of the season, where he flirted with a no-hitter against the Miami Marlins. He ended with 7 shutout innings, giving up only 1 hit and striking out 10. 

Now, Pivetta faces the team with the second-highest strikeout rate against right-handers. He has easily the best strikeout potential on the slate and a great chance at a win as well. I am guessing we get at least 6 innings, 7 strikeouts, and the win, and I wouldn’t be surprised if we saw another double-digit strikeout performance from Pivetta. 

Framber Valdez, Houston Astros

It wasn’t the prettiest win in his last outing, but it was still a win and a quality start against the Toronto Blue Jays despite his giving up 9 hits and only striking out 4. Despite some shaky performances recently, I think this is way too large of a discount on Framber Valdez today.

Since June 1st, the Miami Marlins have the second-worst OPS against lefties at .605 and the 4th highest strikeout rate at 25.3%. I will be surprised if Framber doesn’t also get a quality start and the win today, and I would bet on at least 6 strikeouts as well.

Frankie Montas, Cincinnati Reds

While most of my lineup builds today will consist of Pivetta and Valdez, I will use Frankie Montas as a pivot to get a cheaper arm. He has been on a nice little run lately, with four straight starts going 5 or 6 innings with 3 or fewer earned runs and 4-5 strikeouts. 

Obviously, attacking Colorado on the road isn’t as great when it is in Great American Ballpark (Coors Lite), but the Rockies on the road against righties have a .602 OPS and a 24.3% strikeout rate, so Montas definitely has quality upside in this matchup for his price. 

 

 

 

Recommended MLB DFS Hitters

Highest Expected Run Totals 

Core MLB DFS Hitters

*Note: Will Be Updated As Official Starting Lineups Are Released

Nathaniel Lowe/Corey Seager, Texas Rangers 

Nathaniel Lowe has a 1.071 OPS over his last 10 games, along with 3 homers, and provides a nice cheap lefty bat against Griffin Canning, who has been crushed by lefties this season. This means it is also a great matchup for Corey Seager, who is way too cheap right now.

Since May 1st, Corey Seager only has 2 fewer homers than Gunnar Henderson (15) and the third-best OPS among shortstops, barely behind only Gunnar Henderson and Bobby Witt Jr. He has no business being available at this price.  

Mark Vientos/Francisco Lindor, New York Mets

My biggest struggle today is that I can’t start Corey Seager and Francisco Lindor in the same lineup. We always love stacking against Patrick Corbin. Today is no exception, and I am eyeing these two lefty killers for the Mets as my main targets. 

Vientos and Lindor have a 1.056 and .924 OPS against lefties, respectively. I have no problem doing a full 5-man stack against Corbin as well if you want to add in Pete Alonso, J.D. Martinez, and Brandon Nimmo as well, but no matter what, I am at a minimum getting 1-2 Mets in my lineup today. 

Tyler O'Neill/Rob Refsnyder/Connor Wong, Boston Red Sox

We are sticking with a theme today. We have Rangers who crush righties against Canning, Mets who crush lefties against Patrick Corbin, and now we have the Red Sox who crush lefties against JP Sears. 

The Red Sox have a lefty-heavy lineup and have the highest strikeout rate against lefties in the league, but these three are an exception and absolute lefty killers. Their OPS against lefties this season is 1.146/.899/.912, and JP Sears has an .813 OPS against him by righties this season, along with a 1.50 HR/9 and a meager 15.1% strikeout rate. 

 

 

 

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