MLB Best Bets Today, 7/10: Expert Picks, Predictions & Props - Wednesday
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Everything you need for the top MLB Best Bets and Props today is right here on Fantasy Alarm. It’s a massive 17-game MLB slate on Wednesday after a couple of rainouts bring us a pair of doubleheaders.
The Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals get the action started at 1:45 PM ET with the first of their two games, followed up by the Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox with their first at 2:10 PM ET. Unless we see something really tasty in the Vegas odds and lines, we’ll probably avoid betting these contests as the lineups are likely to shift around during the day. But that’s fine as we still have plenty of other places to find our action!
MLB Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today, 7/10
We got right back on track with Tuesday’s MLB predictions and turned a profit once again. We nailed that Oakland vs. Boston game, and the Cincinnati Reds did not disappoint us as we went right back to them against the Colorado Rockies.
A good day could have been a great day, but we got rained out on our pitcher props for Michael Wacha and Bailey Ober and the Blue Jays bats were nowhere to be found against Blake Snell. But overall, profit is profit and we’re going to continue building our bankroll with today’s bets. Let’s get to it!
- Yesterday’s Record: 6-4
- Season Record: 317-271-6
- Bankroll: +10.51 units
Athletics vs. Red Sox Prediction: Wednesday, July 10
Right back to the well in our MLB best bets for this series, especially with the strikeout potential for Nick Pivetta. The Athletics are fanning at a 26.9-percent clip against right-handed pitching this season and while they’ve been putting bat to ball over the past week, their K-rate is still at 24-perent over that span.
Pivetta has gone over his prop mark six times this season and each time he’s faced a team struggling with whiffs at the plate. Be careful, though. I should have bet this line late last night when I was scanning through. It’s moving fast. On the other side, we’re going to follow the lines and take these Red Sox bats with decent odds to score some runs on JP Sears.
While the Boston lineup is loaded with lefties, they also happen to hit left-handed pitching pretty well. The .315 wOBA is solid, but what I really like is the .338 BABIP which means they put the ball in play a ton. Sears is coming off a solid outing against the Angels, but he allowed 18 earned runs over the four starts prior (16.2 innings) and if the Sox get aggressive, they can plate a few runs.
- Expert Athletics vs. Red Sox Picks:
- Boston First 5 Innings Team Total Over 2.5 Runs (-125 on DraftKings)
- Nick Pivetta Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-130 on BetMGM)
Mariners vs. Padres Prediction: Wednesday, July 10
I’m a big fan of this pitchers’ duel between Michael King and Bruce Miller for my MLB picks today. We can start with King who, like Pivetta, has his K-prop line moving fast. We were able to grab it at a decent number here, but with the way it’s moving, you may want to look at the strikeout ladder on FanDuel.
I’d consider the 8+ if you want to be bold. You can still get plus odds for it, and we all know the Mariners are still the best team to face when fishing for strikeouts. On the flipside, after an odd hiccup against the Marlins, Miller has gotten back on track with two solid starts against two very strong lineups in Minnesota and Baltimore.
The Padres have fared well against right-handed pitching throughout the season and have stepped up with a .332 wOBA over the past week, but I believe Miller can help keep the scoring to an early minimum over the first five innings. If he doesn’t completely flop, King can keep the Mariners scoring down and we can get away with a decent ‘under’ bet on the score.
- Expert Mariners vs. Padres Picks:
- Seattle vs. San Diego First 5 Innings Total Under 4.5 Runs (-130 on FanDuel)
- Michael King Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-130 on BetMGM)
Blue Jays vs. Giants Prediction: Wednesday, July 10
Another series we’re going right back to today after yesterday’s late-inning scoring taunted us on our early-game bets. For me, it’s about the lefty bats of the Giants against Chris Bassitt. We know he’s had issues with lefties all season and I’m looking at a Jon Impemba favorite in LaMonte Wade, who owns a .377 wOBA against righ-thanded pitching this season.
On the other side, my MLB predictions today favor Logan Webb. He should be able to keep the Jays at bay, so to speak, and give the Giants bats a chance to grab an early lead. Webb has gone at least six innings in each of his last 11 starts and is coming off back-to-back outings where he’s allowed just two runs over seven innings. The Jays bats have a .262 wOBA over the past week, so I expect him to keep them down for at least the first five.
- Expert Blue Jays vs. Giants Picks:
- San Francisco First 5 Innings -0.5 Run Line (-105 on BetMGM)
- Lamonte Wade Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI (+100 on BetMGM)
Best MLB Prop Bets Today, 7/10: Pitcher Strikeouts
- Reese Olson Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-122 on FanDuel Sportsbook)
- Luis Severino Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-122 on FanDuel Sportsbook)
As you can see, the lines are pretty tight right now. We’ll leave it at this for now but keep checking back here and on Discord for any late value bets.