It's crazy to think that the NFL regular season only has a few weeks left but here we are. Week 16 of the NFL season brings us nine games on the Sunday main DFS slate due to the Christmas holiday this weekend. Because of all the primetime games on this slate the Sunday main slate is lacking a bit of top end talent with the Dallas Cowboys vs the Miami Dolphins being the marquee matchup. That said, we still have some matchups we can look to take advantage of which includes a QB coach favorite once again as a top play.

 

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NFL DFS QB Top Tier Picks

Tua Tagovailoa, Miami Dolphins

Tua is averaging 21 fantasy points per game at home this season and just completed 21-of-24 passes against a tough Jets defense in Week 15. Here in Week 16 we see Tua at home against a Dallas Cowboys defense that was just lit up by the Buffalo Bills and a defense that we've seen struggle at times against elite offenses. With Tyreek Hill expected to play this week after playing through an ankle injury in Week 15 and Jaylen Waddle looking as healthy as he has all season, this is shaping up to be a good spot for Tagovailoa here.

Justin Fields, Chicago Bears

I really haven't played a ton of Fields this season but a matchup, at home, against the Arizona Cardinals certainly peaks my interest.  He had a tough outing against a really good Browns defense last week so I will give him a pass and expect him to have a much better fantasy day here in Week 16.

NFL DFS QB Mid-Tier Picks

Jared Goff, Detroit Lions

We usually look to play Goff at home but he's still got a dome matchup here against a divisional foe in the Minnesota Vikings. This is the same Vikings defense that let Jake Browning beat them in Week 15. I look for Goff to take advantage of this weak pass defense that the Vikings will be putting on the field.

Baker Mayfield, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Yes, this definitely feels like a point chasing play, but I can't ignore the fact that Mayfield has largely been pretty good this season with his 24 passing touchdowns and just eight interceptions. Here in Week 16 the Buccaneers are home against a Jaguars defense has struggled against the pass this season and will now have their hands full with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin.

NFL DFS QB Value Picks

Joe Flacco, Cleveland Browns

Was it Flacco's cleanest game? No, not by a long shot, but in the end he attempted another 40+ passes while finishing with nearly 23 fantasy points. Volume is king in DFS and Flacco has the receiving weapons to make plays down field. In Week 16 the Browns go on the road to face the Houston Texans which is a pass defense that has had its issues at times lately.

Nick Mullens, Minnesota Vikings

Listen, I said last week that I didn't think Nick Mullens was all that bad of a play for the Saturday DFS slate and he went on to throw for 303 yards with two touchdowns against the Bengals.  Here we have Mullens against a tougher Lions defense but he will be at home and throwing the football has been the way to beat the Lions. Having a healthy Justin Jefferson helps things a lot but it was his connection with Jordan Addison which was inspiring last week and gives me hope that Mullens could put up a similar performance. 

Geno Smith/Drew Lock, Seattle Seahawks

I don't exactly love either QB but the matchup against the Tennessee Titans is one that we've attacked all season long and having top end receivers in DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett along with rookie WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba should really stretch this Titans pass coverage thin.

NFL DFS QB Fade

Jordan Love, Green Bay Packers

I know Jordan Love has been pretty good over the second half of this season but time and time again teams go into Carolina and struggle to get much of anything going in the passing game. I look for the Packers to run the football here against the Panthers like most teams do and on the flip side you will see the Panthers look to run the ball a lot as well which will kill clock and ultimately limit the overall number of possessions for both teams.