NFL DFS Week 16 QB Coach: Josh Allen, Kyler Murray, Michael Penix Jr.
Published: Dec 20, 2024
Week 16 of the NFL season is here which means bye weeks are over and we have a larger main slate this week than usual with 11 games on DraftKings and 12 games over on FanDuel.
As we hit the final stretch of the NFL season we are looking at top matchups for Josh Allen, Kyler Murray and rookie QB Michael Penix making his NFL starting debut for the Atlanta Falcons.
As with every week, this week, we once again look to take advantage of some top matchups for our NFL DFS Week 16 QB coach as I bring you my NFL DFS Week 16 QB coach top targets, values and fades to build your lineups around this weekend.
NFL DFS Week 15 QB Coach Recap
| Player | Pts | $ | Post | Value | Tier | Pos Finish |
| Josh Allen | 44.28 | 8.5 | QB | 5.2 | Top | 1 |
| Joe Burrow | 19.84 | 7.3 | QB | 2.7 | Top | 10 |
| Bo Nix | 16.5 | 6.3 | QB | 2.6 | Mid | 13 |
| Justin Herbert | 14.8 | 5.9 | QB | 2.5 | Mid | 17 |
| Jameis Winston | 2.64 | 5.5 | QB | 0.5 | Value | 25 |
| Aaron Rodgers | 30.06 | 5.4 | QB | 5.6 | Value | 4 |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 7.84 | 6.1 | QB | 1.3 | POD | 22 |
| Jared Goff | 44.06 | 6.5 | QB | 6.8 | Fade | 2 |
Whelp, Josh Allen was once again elite and we nailed the Aaron Rodgers value play but unfortunately that's where the good times end.
Our play of the day in Tua couldn't get anything going against the Houston Texans and our fade of the week in Jared Goff went and nearly was the top QB of the week as he and Josh Allen traded big time performances.
NFL DFS QB Top Tier & Play of the Week For Week 16
Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills - DraftKings: $8,500 | FanDuel: $9,500
To save space I'm going to combine the top tier and play of the week sections into one as the answer is Josh Allen with a bullet.
Allen has put up 44 and 54 fantasy points over the last two weeks, some of the highest ever fantasy scores for the QB position.
The Bills now head home to face a Patriots team that is just a disaster right now on both offense and defense and I just don't see how this isn't another game where Josh Allen goes for 3+ total touchdowns.
Spend the money, he's worth it.
NFL DFS QB Mid-Tier Picks For NFL Week 16
Sam Darnold, Minnesota Vikings - DraftKings: $6,300 | FanDuel: $7,600
Not really worried about the road matchup here against the Seahawks for Darnold as he's been as good out of the dome than in the dome on the season.
The Seahawks pass defense is OK but nothing special and having Jordan Addison come on an develop into a playmaker alongside Justin Jefferson is only making this passing attack that much more dangerous.
Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals - DraftKings: $5,900 | FanDuel: $7,500
Ok, so, here's an elite matchup for Kyler Murray that could ultimately fall flat if it ends up being an elite day for James Conner and that's the lone worry.
The Panthers defense is very bad and they allow a lot of fantasy points to both the QB and RB positions. If Kyler can be the one moving the football and throwing or running for the touchdowns then the upside is here for a big game.
NFL Week 16 DFS QB Value Picks
Aaron Rodgers, New York Jets - DraftKings: $5,500 | FanDuel: $7,000
Was it the prettiest game from Aaron Rodgers last week? Sure wasn't as he completed just 53% of his passes against the Jaguars BUT he also threw for 289 yards and three touchdowns with most of those yards coming over the final few drives to Davante Adams.
It doesn't really matter how it got done as long as it got done for us in DFS so this week, home against the Rams we will go right back to the well as Rodgers along with Davante Adams and Garrett Wilson are really starting to get things going for the Jets offfense.
Caleb Williams, Chicago Bears - DraftKings: $5,400 | FanDuel: $7,100
Yes, it was a tough scene against the Vikings last week but once again we saw the Bears offense look much better in the second half of the football game.
This week the Bears are home and face a Lions defense that just keeps losing guys due to injury.
This depleted secondary will have to deal with DJ Moore, Keenan Allen and Rome Odunze and as the talent gets depleted the matchups get that much more appealing for Williams here this weekend.
Michael Penix Atlanta Falcons - DraftKings: $5,400 | FanDuel: $7,100
The rookie makes his NFL starting debut following the benching of Kirk Cousins. Penix Jr. was the eighth overall pick this season which shocked many after the Falcons gave Kirk Cousins a ton of money to be their QB but it looks like that move may be paying off.
With rookies we never really know what to expect but the matchup for Penix is as good as it gets with the Falcons at home against a Giants team that just wants this season to be over.
NFL DFS QB Fades For Week 16
Jayden Daniels, Washington Commanders - DraftKings: $6,500 | FanDuel: $8,000
He's too expensive for me this week when you can pay up for Josh Allen or Jalen Hurts instead. It's nothing against Daniels but this Eagles defense is improving and the Commanders offense feels like it's slowing down against tougher competition.