NFL Week 11 Picks Straight Up, Odds For All 14 Games & Spread Picks
How about that Week 10, eh? It was certainly an interesting one as it seemed like almost every game before the 4 PM ET window was a good one.
Then we saw a few blowouts, followed up with a crazy Lions vs. Texans SNF game. The Dolphins were able to defeat the Rams on Monday Night Football to then cap off the slate.
We’re getting to the point where every week matters more, with playoff position important for some and draft pick position important for others. That can make NFL Week 11 picks tough to gauge, but are we scared? Absolutely not!
NFL Week 11 Picks Straight Up For All 14 Games At DraftKings Sportsbook
Set yourself up for an action-packed Week 11 in the NFL, featuring 14 thrilling matchups to explore! This week’s schedule is filled with excitement, and I’m eager to analyze each game and offer up my NFL Week 11 predictions.
The teams I believe will emerge victorious will be prominently displayed in bold, ensuring you can easily keep track:
- Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles (TNF)
- Las Vegas Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins
- Cleveland Browns vs. New Orleans Saints
- Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Jets
- Minnesota Vikings vs. Tennessee Titans
- Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears
- Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Detroit Lions
- Los Angeles Rams vs. New England Patriots
- Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
- Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers
- Atlanta Falcons vs. Denver Broncos
- Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills
- Cincinnati Bengals vs. Los Angeles Chargers (SNF)
- Houston Texans vs. Dallas Cowboys (MNF)
Let’s bring these NFL Week 11 picks to life together, and don’t forget to place your bets with me at DraftKings Sportsbook for an action-packed Sunday!
NFL Week 11 Early Spread Picks & Predictions
Rams vs. Patriots Spread Pick: Sunday, November 17th
I like the Patriots to cover the +5 spread facing the Rams in Week 11 at home, and there are a few reasons to feel optimistic. Playing in Foxborough gives New England a clear edge, especially with rookie quarterback Drake Maye already flashing his potential.
Maye has been effective in keeping New England competitive, and his gamer-mentality could make a difference against a Rams defense that has not been very strong this season, allowing an average of 24.1 points per game. The Rams, after a lackluster performance in Week 10, might find it hard to generate the energy needed for a bounce back win.
Offensively, Los Angeles is ranked 20th in points per game and has struggled with their running game, averaging just 3.8 yards per carry. On the other hand, the Patriots' defense is among the top half of the league for yards allowed per play and points allowed per game, indicating they can handle even more effective offenses.
If New England's defense can limit the Rams' average passing attack, which is only at 7 yards per attempt, Maye and the Patriots have a good chance to cover the spread or even pull off an upset.
Chiefs vs. Bills Spread Pick: Sunday, November 17th
The Bills should have a good chance to cover the -2.5 spread at home against the undefeated Chiefs in Week 11. Betting against Kansas City is tough, but Josh Allen is playing at an MVP level, and the Bills’ offense ranks third in points per game, showing they can score big even against strong defenses.
Allen’s ability to run and pass gives Buffalo an advantage, especially at home where the crowd boosts their energy. Although the Chiefs have been perfect so far, this might be the game where they finally lose.
Kansas City’s defense is strong, allowing only 17.9 points per game, but Buffalo’s offense has shown it can adapt and be explosive, particularly with Allen’s effective passing. Plus, the Chiefs have trouble running the ball, averaging just 3.8 yards per carry, which could hinder their clock control in this game.
Buffalo’s defense, despite some ups and downs, typically performs well at home. With a lively crowd and Allen at the helm, the Bills seem ready to cover the spread and possibly give Kansas City its first defeat.
How To Bet On Our Free Picks At DraftKings Sportsbook & Win $200 In Bonus Bets
This DraftKings promo code offer is exceptional, particularly in a landscape where guarantees are rare. With a $200 welcome boost, you’re ready to wager on any event this month, including my NFL Week 11 picks!
Simply register using this link, make a $5 deposit, and place a $5 qualifying bet to activate the bonus. Regardless of how that bet turns out, you’ll receive $200 in bonus bets – ensuring a return that’s 20 times your original stake.
Plus, there’s no actual DraftKings promo code required when you sign up through our links!
NFL Week 11 Odds For All 14 Games Provided By DraftKings Sportsbook, November 2024
My NFL Week 11 picks are now available, and we've compiled the spread odds for each matchup, thanks to DraftKings Sportsbook:
- Commanders +3.5 (-120) vs. Eagles -3.5 (-110)
- Raiders +7 (-105) vs. Dolphins -7 (-115)
- Browns +1 (-112) vs. Saints -1 (-108)
- Colts +4 (-110) vs. Jets -4 (-110)
- Vikings -6 (-108) vs. Titans +6 (-112)
- Packers -5.5 (-110) vs. Bears +5.5 (-110)
- Jaguars +13 (-108) vs. Lions -13 (-112)
- Rams -5 (-108) vs. Patriots +5 (-112)
- Ravens -3 (-118) vs. Steelers +3 (-102)
- Seahawks +6.5 (-110) vs. 49ers -6.5 (-110)
- Falcons +2.5 (-108) vs. Broncos -2.5 (-112)
- Chiefs +2.5 (-112) vs. Bills -2.5 (-108)
- Bengals +1.5 (-108) vs. Chargers -1.5 (-112)
- Texans -7.5 (-105) vs. Cowboys +7.5 (-115)
If you're looking to place bets on the NFL Week 11 odds or want to check out other betting options, create a new DraftKings account through our links, and you'll receive an additional $200 in bonus bets, guaranteed!
Player News
Free agent WR Chase Claypool revealed the severity of the toe injury he suffered in July 2024.
In a social media post, the 26-year-old receiver explains that he “tore a ligament and tendon” in his second toe on his left foot and has “been rehabbing, working out, and recovering everyday for the past year.” This explains his extended absence. Following the injury, Claypool was briefly placed on injured reserve in August 2024 before being released with an injury settlement. He is “back to being the strongest and fastest” he’s ever been and is “excited to step back out on the field.”
Free agent LB Jason Pierre-Paul hopes to sign with an NFL team, ideally the Giants, in “a full-circle moment.”
Per ESPN’s Jordan Raanan, “Pierre-Paul still believes he can help a team, that he can be a veteran closer.” The 36-year-old has continued training to remain NFL-ready despite failing to find a suitor for the 2024 season. He logged 22 defensive snaps, playing for both the Saints and Dolphins in 2023. His last sack occurred as a Raven, in a Wild Card Weekend loss to the Bengals in the prior season. Sitting at 94.5 career sacks, Pierre-Paul hopes to reach 100 as a part-time player in 2025.
The CFL’s Toronto Argonauts claimed Shedeur Sanders’ negotiating rights in case Sanders one day chooses to leave the NFL for the CFL.
There is no indication that Sanders is in contact with the Argonauts and we do not expect Sanders to leave the NFL for the CFL at this time. Every year in early July, just before NFL training camps begin, the CFL allows its teams to claim NFL players’ negotiating rights, on the off chance that the player is released or waived by his team and decides to pursue a career in Canada. Per the CFL’s Marshall Ferguson, “the CFL began releasing a few names here and there periodically, but now the full list is available for all to see from each of the nine teams.” Fans can rest assured that their high-profile, fifth-round rookie remains a Cleveland Brown.
Free agent CB Stephon Gilmore wants to play football in “the right situation” this season.
The 34-year-old veteran visited the Cowboys pre-draft but left without a contract. Gilmore is no longer an above-average starter, but he did force eight incompletions and record one interception last year. A playoff contender could benefit from signing Gilmore as an experienced option, but teams tend to not have high valuations on older cornerbacks.
ESPN’s Turron Davenport reports that Titans QB Cam Ward is adjusting to the NFL’s speed and field width while learning how to adjust protection against the blitz.
Ward is learning through trial and error, as many rookies do. The young quarterback is now aware that an open receiver in the NFL looks far different than it did in college, even when targeting a linebacker’s coverage. The NFL’s condensed field spacing has also reportedly required Ward to improve his awareness against the blitz. Per Davenport, Ward successfully showcased a lightbulb moment in this regard, which occurred “during team period when Ward recognized where the pressure was coming from and checked to a different protection to block it up.” Ward also notably signaled an audible to Calvin Ridley and connected with the veteran receiver for a touchdown. These are positive steps for a quarterback who currently profiles as a QB2 in re-draft formats.
Speaking to Rich Eisen about the Steelers’ contract talks with EDGE T.J. Watt, NFL Network’s Tom Pelissero said the “most likely” outcome is that the two sides agree to an extension that resets the market before the season opener.
Pelissero recently reported that the Steelers do not plan to trade Watt, and Watt’s record-setting goals are well known, so the most recent report makes sense. The team will do its best to ensure team-friendly outs exist later in the deal, but for now, Watt appears to be on track for a hefty payday sometime before September 7th. Pelissero states succinctly, Watt’s expected extension “is going to be north of Myles Garrett—it is going to be upwards of $40 million per year.”