NFL Week 12 Best Player Prop Picks: Tua Tagovailoa, Jordan Love Sunday, 11/24
NFL Week 11 was highlighted by Ravens vs. Steelers and then Chiefs vs. Bills, and they certainly didn’t disappoint. Along with those amazing thrillers was us hitting both of the player props that we shared with you, so we’re back for you again with our best NFL Week 12 player prop picks.
Hopefully you like the sound of our NFL Week 12 player props, but even if you want to completely fade us, make sure that you snag the new $1,500 BetMGM Sportsbook promo that we’ve shared as well!
Best NFL Week 12 Player Prop Picks
Not only were we able to provide you with winners last weekend, but hitting a +240 pick never hurts either! That was for Indianapolis Colts QB Anthony Richardson scoring a rushing touchdown in his return, which he had two of, including the go-ahead touchdown for the win!
We bring this up not just for the great value, but also because we’re going to be targeting the ground game of another QB with our NFL Week 12 player prop picks. Similarly, our other winner last week was Pittsburgh Steelers QB George Pickens to have more than 65.6 receiving yards (he had 89).
While we don’t have another WR target, the other pick from our NFL Week 12 player props is still through the air. So, without further ado, let’s get into our favorite spots!
Patriots vs. Dolphins Player Props: Tua Tagovailoa Over 245.5 Passing Yards (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
We’re going to begin our NFL Week 12 player prop picks with the aforementioned pick through the air, as it’s the one in the earlier slate of games. That would be the one in Miami with the Dolphins hosting the New England Patriots for another iteration of their AFC East rivalry.
It was one that we saw the Dolphins win 15-10 earlier this season; however, it came while Miami QB Tua Tagovailoa was on injured reserve due to another concussion. He’s our target, and we expect him to have a fantastic game against his division rival to make up for lost time.
That’s exactly what he did this past Sunday against the Las Vegas Raiders to the tune of 288 yards and three touchdowns. To go along with that, it’s exactly what we saw from Tua the last time he was healthy against the Patriots.
That was a massive 324-yard, three-touchdown performance. Another similarity between those games was the fact that they were in South Beach, so we love that this Sunday’s game is there as well. As if all that wasn’t enough, we just saw the New England pass defense get torched by Los Angeles Rams QB Matthew Stafford for 295 yards and four touchdowns!
Don’t worry - we have loads more. Both Rams head coach Sean McVay and Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel are from the Shanahan coaching tree. One last thing for you - the Raiders pass defense that Tua just torched had been among the best allowing just 195 yards per game.
Add all that up and we’re starting our NFL Week 12 player prop picks with Tua Tagovailoa over 245.5 passing yards (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook).
49ers vs. Packers Player Prop Bets: Jordan Love Over 8.5 Rushing Yards (-110 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
We also promised more QB ground game as part of our NFL Week 12 player prop picks, and we’re focused on one of the late afternoon matchups. There are just three of them, but interestingly enough, the 49ers vs. Packers game is the most common playoff matchup in NFL history with 10.
Both teams are coming off last-second finishes, and while the target of our NFL Week 12 player props may not be another +240 one like last week, it’s still a spot that we love. While it was the blocked field goal as time expired that everyone remembers for the Packers’ win, QB Jordan Love also had a crucial run in the fourth quarter to extend a necessary drive.
He also scored a rushing touchdown in the game, and similarly, the 49ers just allowed Seattle Seahawks QB Geno Smith to find the endzone with his legs. As much as we’d love to take that route for another huge plus-money pick, we’re going to stick with the yardage instead.
This is a spot where we see Love needing to make plays on his own with the 49ers having a strong pass defense, allowing fewer than 200 such yards per game. They have a big RB in Josh Jacobs to take goal line carries as well, which is another reason we don’t anticipate a tushpush-esque type TD for Love.
Therefore, we’re adding to our NFL Week 12 player prop picks with Jordan Love over 8.5 rushing yards (-110 at BetMGM Sportsbook).
Sunday NFL Week 12 Player Prop Odds At BetMGM Sportsbook
It isn’t just our favorite NFL Week 12 player prop picks that we have for you; here are some of the other popular NFL Week 12 player props being targeted at BetMGM Sportsbook right now:
Passing Yards:
- Titans QB Will Levis: Over 190.5 (-115) vs. Under 190.5 (-115)
- Vikings QB Sam Darnold: Over 231.5 (-115) vs. Under 231.5 (-115)
- Commanders QB Jayden Daniels: Over 224.5 (-115) vs. Under 224.5 (-115)
Rushing Yards:
- Panthers RB Chuba Hubbard: Over 72.5 (-115) vs. Under 72.5 (-115)
- 49ers RB Christian McCaffrey: Over 86.5 (-115) vs. Under 86.5 (-115)
- Rams RB Kyren Williams: Over 58.5 (-115) vs. Under 58.5 (-115)
Receiving Yards:
- Bears WR Rome Odunze: Over 40.5 (-115) vs. Under 40.5 (-115)
- Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill: Over 65.5 (-115) vs. Under 65.5 (-115)
- Lions WR Amon-Ra St. Brown: Over 53.5 (-115) vs. Under 53.5 (-115)
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