NBA DFS Picks, Projections, Lineups, Injuries & More Today: Saturday Playbook

Published: Dec 07, 2024
Happy Saturday! We have a six-game NBA DFS main slate on DraftKings and FanDuel to kick off the weekend. In what is becoming a fairly rare occurrence, both sites are aligned in their size and game selection for their respective slates.
Superstars Nikola Jokic and Luka Doncic headline the day, but we have plenty of other options to discuss. Let's get into the news, notes, top plays, and more of the main slate!
Before actually diving into the meat and potatoes, welcome to the NBA DFS season. If this is your first time reading our column on NBA DFS picks, I just want to welcome you and give you a few tips and tricks on what you should be looking for each night.
- News outlets: reliable sources that give us injury news & starting lineups
- Pace of play: who's playing fast vs. who's playing slow. Which teams get a pace-up spot (more possessions) vs. pace-down (fewer possessions)
- Usage rates: is a percentage of how many plays that player is being used in
- NBA DFS Projections
- Lineup Generator
- NBA Ownership
NBA DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook Today, December 6th
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Pre-Lock Update
This section will be used for anything that changes from the morning until right up to roster lock.
Injury updates, players we’re higher on than we were in the morning and so much more.
UPDATE 4:54 PM ET
- Daniel Theis ruled OUT (no fantasy impact)
- Maxi Kleber downgraded to QUESTIONABLE
- Alex Sarr downgraded to QUESTIONABLE
- Desmond Bane downgraded to QUESTIONABLE
UPDATE 5:58 PM ET
- Alex Sarr - OUT
- Bagley an excellent value option. Even better if he starts again.
- Patrick Baldwin downgraded to QUESTIONABLE
- Maxi Kleber - OUT
- Davion Mitchell, Kelly Olynyk, and Jakob Poeltl are AVAILABLE
- Jalen Brunson, Karl-Anthony Towns, and Cameron Payne are GTD
- Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, and Christian Braun are GTD
UPDATE 6:18 PM ET
- Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon are OUT, Christian Braun is AVAILABLE
- Nikola Jokic goes from best play on the slate to perhaps best play of the season
- Russell Westbrook is now the top salary saver on the slate
UPDATE 6:41 PM ET
- Ryan Dunn - OUT
- Royce O'Neale is now a stronger value option
- Pelle Larsson - OUT
- Ausar Thompson - OUT
NBA Injuries, News & Updates Today, 12/6
- Aaron Gordon - Q
- Jamal Murray - Q
- Dario Saric - Q
- Malcolm Brogdon - OUT
- Kyshawn George - OUT
- Corey Kispert - OUT
- Kyle Kuzma - OUT
- Naji Marshall - OUT
- Jaden Hardy - D
- Jakob Poeltl - Q
- Kelly Olynyk - Q
- Davion Mitchell - Q
- Ausar Thompson - Q
- Jalen Brunson - Q
- Karl-Anthony Towns - Q
- Cameron Payne - Q
- Luke Kennard - OUT
- Marcus Smart - Q (intends to play)
- Kevin Durant - OUT
- Jusuf Nurkic - OUT
- Ryan Dunn - Q
- Pelle Larsson - Q
NBA DFS Slate & Game Overviews
With the NBA season just kicking off we don't have data yet for teams regarding pace of play and defensive matchups. In the section below, I’m listing the most notable things we need to look at in Las Vegas, including notable O/U and spreads.
Denver Nuggets vs. Washington Wizards
- Total: 233.5
- Spread: DEN -13.5
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Total: 222.5
- Spread: OKC -8
Dallas Mavericks vs. Toronto Raptors
- Total: 236
- Spread: TOR -8.5
Detroit Pistons vs. New York Knicks
- Total: 224.5
- Spread: NYK -8.5
- Total: 223
- Spread: MIA -6
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Boston Celtics
- Total: 239
- Spread: BOS -7
NBA DFS Core Player Pool & Lineup Picks
Here are the core players I’m looking at for my NBA DFS picks tonight. You can see the full analysis of tonight’s NBA DFS projections and player pool below or skip ahead to building the best lineups possible by locking these into the aforementioned lineup generator now.
High
- Nikola Jokic, Luka Doncic, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jayson Tatum, Karl-Anthony Towns (if active)
Mid
- Jalen Brunson (if active), Bam Adebayo, Kristaps Porzingis, Jimmy Butler, Michael Porter, Josh Hart, OG Anunoby, Mikal Bridges, Russell Westbrook
Value
- Carlton Carrington, Marvin Bagley, Marcus Smart (DK), Luguentz Dort (FD), Miles McBride, Duncan Robinson, Haywood Highsmith
Pos (Click to sort ascending) | Player (Click to sort ascending) | Matchup (Click to sort ascending) | DK (Click to sort ascending) | DK Pts (Click to sort ascending) | FD (Click to sort ascending) | FD Pts (Click to sort ascending) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PG | Luka Dončić | 11400 | 0 | 11700 | 0 | |
Luka fell short of a third-straight 70 FP performance due to a 36-point shellacking of the Wizards last time out. He still finished with a 21-10-10 triple-double despite playing less than two minutes in the final quarter. He gets another fantastic matchup against the Raptors who rank 22nd in DefRtg. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PG | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | OKC @ NOP Sat 7:00 | 10200 | 50.9 | 10700 | 51.9 |
SGA has 60+ FP upside any time he takes the court. Tonight, he gets a matchup against the Pelicans 29th ranked defense. He has averaged just 30 minutes in his last two outings due to blowouts, so we need the Pels to stay competitive against this elite Thunder squad for SGA to find his ceiling. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PG | Jalen Brunson | DET @ NYK Sat 7:30 | 8500 | 35.2 | 8400 | 33.9 |
Brunson and Towns are both listed questionable tonight. If only one of them misses, the other is one of the top options on the slate. If they both miss, we will be jamming in as many Knicks as possible. If they both play, I have plenty of interest in each against an improved but still middling Detroit defense. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
PG | Jamal Murray | DEN @ WAS Sat 7:00 | 7800 | 36.7 | 7400 | 36 |
Murray is listed questionable tonight, but if he suits up his sub-$8K price tag on both sites is very intriguing. While Murray is partly to blame for the Nuggets sluggish start to the season, he gets an elite matchup against the worst defense in the NBA. UPDATE: Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon have been ruled out. Jokic the best play on the slate, Westbrook the top salary saver on the slate.
Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PG | Russell Westbrook | DEN @ WAS Sat 7:00 | 5700 | 27.3 | 5800 | 27.2 |
UPDATE: Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon have been ruled out. Jokic the best play on the slate, Westbrook the top salary saver on the slate. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PG | Carlton Carrington | DEN @ WAS Sat 7:00 | 4400 | 24.7 | 4700 | 23.8 |
Malcolm Brogdon is out for this one, and we should see Carrington slide into the starting lineup for him. He is too cheap for his role against the 20th-ranked Nuggets defense if that is indeed the case. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PG | Miles McBride | DET @ NYK Sat 7:30 | 4000 | 20.3 | 4500 | 20.1 |
McBride is a viable salary saver regardless of whether Brunson and/or Towns play. If Brunson sits, McBride is the top value option on the slate, as he likely starts in place of the star PG in that scenario. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SG | Devin Booker | PHX @ MIA Sat 8:00 | 9400 | 52.2 | 9200 | 50.8 |
With Kevin Durant sidelined again, Booker will be the primary option in the Suns offense. Booker owns a 30.9% usage rate with KD off the floor this season, giving him an elite ceiling despite the tough matchup. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SG | Kyrie Irving | DAL @ TOR Sat 7:30 | 8500 | 42.2 | 8300 | 41.5 |
Kyrie gets a great matchup against a bad Raptors defense. The price tag has sunk back down to an acceptable level with Luka back in the lineup. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
SG | Tyler Herro | PHX @ MIA Sat 8:00 | 7700 | 37.9 | 7600 | 35.8 |
Herro is leading the Heat with a 27.5% usage rate this season, while shooting a career-best 46.7% from the floor and 42% from long range. He drained an absurd 9 three-pointers last time out against the Lakers. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
SG | Jordan Poole | DEN @ WAS Sat 7:00 | 6900 | 35.9 | 7300 | 34.6 |
Denver is a below-average defense and is playing at a top-five pace this season, making them one of the best teams to target for fantasy production. Poole has a great chance to exceed 30 minutes with Malcolm Brogdon out for this one. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
SG | Derrick White | MEM @ BOS Sat 8:00 | 6900 | 36.2 | 7200 | 36.2 |
Boston is mostly healthy for this one (with the exception of Horford resting on a back-to-back), but they get a solid pace-up spot against the Grizzlies. They are just a half-point shy of the Nuggets slate-leading implied team total. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SG | Bilal Coulibaly | DEN @ WAS Sat 7:00 | 5200 | 24.3 | 5300 | 24.6 |
Coulibaly has a chance to find a few more shots with Malcolm Brogdon and Kyle Kuzma out for this game. He gets a home matchup against the Nuggets, who rank 5th in pace and just 20th in DefRtg. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SG | Duncan Robinson | PHX @ MIA Sat 8:00 | 4200 | 18.3 | 4200 | 17.3 |
We have pending news from Denver and New York that could change things, but currently the salary saving options are pretty thin. Robinson should play mid-20s minutes and is a significant threat from long range. He needs to get hot and make his threes to post a tournament-worthy score. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SF | Scottie Barnes | DAL @ TOR Sat 7:30 | 9500 | 50 | 9600 | 50 |
The price tag is on the rise given Barnes' incredible production since returning from injury. The matchup is not ideal and that leaves Barnes as only a large-field GPP option, but the 60 FP upside is undeniable. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
SF | Jaylen Brown | MEM @ BOS Sat 8:00 | 8400 | 44.9 | 8700 | 43.8 |
Boston is mostly healthy for this one (with the exception of Horford resting on a back-to-back), but they get a solid pace-up spot against the Grizzlies. They are just a half-point shy of the Nuggets slate-leading implied team total. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
SF | Jimmy Butler | 7600 | 0 | 7700 | 0 | |
Jimmy Buckets has seen a dip in production this season, but he is appropriately priced for his current role. We should be able to count on mid-30 minutes in a strong matchup against the Suns, who are missing Kevin Durant. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SF | Josh Hart | DET @ NYK Sat 7:30 | 7000 | 39.1 | 7500 | 36.9 |
At worst, Hart has a solid price tag in a solid matchup, with a chance at 40+ minutes of playing time. If Brunson (Q) and/or Towns (Q) happen to sit, Hart and multiple teammates would be the top values on the slate. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SF | OG Anunoby | DET @ NYK Sat 7:30 | 6000 | 31.3 | 6900 | 30.6 |
At worst, Anunoby has a solid price tag in a solid matchup, with a chance at 40+ minutes of playing time. If Brunson (Q) and/or Towns (Q) happen to sit, Anunoby and multiple teammates would be the top values on the slate. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SF | Mikal Bridges | DET @ NYK Sat 7:30 | 5800 | 35.8 | 6500 | 34.6 |
Bridges was on pace to play every second of a game that was mostly decided early in the third quarter last time out. Coach Thibs mercifully pulled Bridges and several other starters with less than 2 minutes to play in a 20+ point game. In addition to elite playing time, Brunson and Towns are listed questionable for this game. Bridges would likely take on a larger role in the offense if either or both were to sit this one out. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SF | Luguentz Dort | OKC @ NOP Sat 7:00 | 4600 | 22.4 | 4800 | 22.3 |
Dort is a better value on FD, where his stocks count for 3 points. He is a decent value on a slate without much currently (pending DEN and NYK news). Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SF | Justin Champagnie | DEN @ WAS Sat 7:00 | 3500 | 0 | 3900 | 0 |
With Brogdon out for this game, there are minutes to go around. Champagnie saw 29 minutes last game where Brogdon played three quarters before leaving with an injury. Champagnie should have a solid role tonight and comes at near-minimum price. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PF | Jayson Tatum | MEM @ BOS Sat 8:00 | 9900 | 52.2 | 10300 | 50.4 |
Boston is mostly healthy for this one (with the exception of Horford resting on a back-to-back), but they get a solid pace-up spot against the Grizzlies. They are just a half-point shy of the Nuggets slate-leading implied team total. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
PF | Jalen Williams | OKC @ NOP Sat 7:00 | 8900 | 37 | 8800 | 36.8 |
The ceiling remains elite while Chet Holmgren is sidelined. It has been a bit since we have seen the elite 60 FP upside, but it is still there. A matchup against the Pelicans 29th ranked defense might help unlock it. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
PF | Brandon Ingram | DAL @ TOR Sat 7:30 | 8300 | 0 | 8200 | 0 |
Ingram gets one of the worst possible matchups against the Thunder's top-ranked defense. However, with Zion Williamson still out, we cannot overlook Ingram's ceiling for GPPs. Ingram returned from a five-game injury absence to play 36 minutes against the Suns. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
PF | Michael Porter | DEN @ WAS Sat 7:00 | 6900 | 31.3 | 7000 | 30.2 |
Porter is appropriately priced in an elite matchup if Murray (Q) and Gordon (Q) play. If either/both sit, Porter should have a larger role in the offense and would be a strong value. UPDATE: Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon have been ruled out. Jokic the best play on the slate, Westbrook the top salary saver on the slate. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PF | Aaron Gordon | DEN @ WAS Sat 7:00 | 5800 | 31.5 | 6000 | 31.6 |
Gordon is listed questionable for tonight after playing three games in his return from a four-week injury. He played over 30 minutes in each of his last two games, so I have no concerns if he is active. The price tag is a tick too cheap in an elite matchup if AG is able to go. UPDATE: Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon have been ruled out. Jokic the best play on the slate, Westbrook the top salary saver on the slate. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PF | Royce O'Neale | PHX @ MIA Sat 8:00 | 5400 | 23.2 | 5700 | 22.6 |
O'Neale found his way into the starting lineup with Kevin Durant and Ryan Dunn out last game. KD remains out, while Dunn is listed questionable for tonight. If Dunn also misses again, Royce would be a solid value option. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
PF | Haywood Highsmith | PHX @ MIA Sat 8:00 | 3700 | 21.2 | 4600 | 21.8 |
Highsmith has a better price on DK, where he is under $4,000. He has averaged over 27 minutes per game since being inserted into the starting lineup last month. If news from DEN or NYK opens up better value I am happy to pivot off of Highsmith, but for now he is a solid option on DK. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
C | Nikola Jokić | DEN @ WAS Sat 7:00 | 12100 | 73 | 12400 | 68 |
I am not sure what needs to be said here. Jokic is an absolute beast having the best season of his career (a career that already includes three MVP awards). Joker can smash in any matchup, but this one against the league's worst defense is particularly exciting. If the Wizards can hang around, the upside is insane. UPDATE: Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon have been ruled out. Jokic the best play on the slate, Westbrook the top salary saver on the slate. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
C | Karl-Anthony Towns | DET @ NYK Sat 7:30 | 9200 | 50.7 | 9400 | 47.2 |
Brunson and Towns are both listed questionable tonight. If only one of them misses, the other is one of the top options on the slate. If they both miss, we will be jamming in as many Knicks as possible. If they both play, I have plenty of interest in each against an improved but still middling Detroit defense. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
C | Bam Adebayo | PHX @ MIA Sat 8:00 | 8200 | 44.9 | 8200 | 44.1 |
Bam is grading out as a strong value on both sites for me. The Suns rank just 17th in DefRtg for the season and will be without Kevin Durant again. The usage is down a few ticks from previous seasons and earlier this season, but an uptick in assists and steals have helped Bam maintain solid fantasy production. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
C | Kristaps Porziņģis | MEM @ BOS Sat 8:00 | 7500 | 35 | 8100 | 35.3 |
Porzingis rested last night on the front half of the back-to-back, while Al Horford is resting tonight on the back half. Zinger posted a line of 26-9-2 in just 29 minutes in his last game against the Pistons. Boston has the second-highest implied team total of the night against the fast-paced Grizzlies. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
C | Jakob Poeltl | DAL @ TOR Sat 7:30 | 7300 | 39.4 | 7700 | 39.2 |
Poeltl is listed questionable tonight, but I want some exposure if he is active. Poeltl is having the best season of his career, with career-highs in usage and rebounding rates. Impressively, his production has remained steady even with Scottie Barnes' return to the lineup. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
C | Marvin Bagley | MEM @ BOS Sat 8:00 | 4300 | 0 | 5000 | 0 |
Bagley was inserted into the starting lineup last game in favor of Jonas Valanciunas. He played 24 minutes and posted over 30 FP, while JoVal played just 12 minutes. It is hard to know if we see a similar rotation tonight, but if Bagley draws the start again he is strong value option. Game Type: GPP |
Luka Dončić, PG | 11400 , 0 | 0 | 11700 , 0 | 0 | ||
Luka fell short of a third-straight 70 FP performance due to a 36-point shellacking of the Wizards last time out. He still finished with a 21-10-10 triple-double despite playing less than two minutes in the final quarter. He gets another fantastic matchup against the Raptors who rank 22nd in DefRtg. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
10200 , 50.9 | 50.9 | 10700 , 51.9 | 51.9 | |||
SGA has 60+ FP upside any time he takes the court. Tonight, he gets a matchup against the Pelicans 29th ranked defense. He has averaged just 30 minutes in his last two outings due to blowouts, so we need the Pels to stay competitive against this elite Thunder squad for SGA to find his ceiling. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Jalen Brunson, PG | 8500 , 35.2 | 35.2 | 8400 , 33.9 | 33.9 | ||
Brunson and Towns are both listed questionable tonight. If only one of them misses, the other is one of the top options on the slate. If they both miss, we will be jamming in as many Knicks as possible. If they both play, I have plenty of interest in each against an improved but still middling Detroit defense. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Jamal Murray, PG | 7800 , 36.7 | 36.7 | 7400 , 36 | 36 | ||
Murray is listed questionable tonight, but if he suits up his sub-$8K price tag on both sites is very intriguing. While Murray is partly to blame for the Nuggets sluggish start to the season, he gets an elite matchup against the worst defense in the NBA. UPDATE: Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon have been ruled out. Jokic the best play on the slate, Westbrook the top salary saver on the slate.
Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
5700 , 27.3 | 27.3 | 5800 , 27.2 | 27.2 | |||
UPDATE: Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon have been ruled out. Jokic the best play on the slate, Westbrook the top salary saver on the slate. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
4400 , 24.7 | 24.7 | 4700 , 23.8 | 23.8 | |||
Malcolm Brogdon is out for this one, and we should see Carrington slide into the starting lineup for him. He is too cheap for his role against the 20th-ranked Nuggets defense if that is indeed the case. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Miles McBride, PG | 4000 , 20.3 | 20.3 | 4500 , 20.1 | 20.1 | ||
McBride is a viable salary saver regardless of whether Brunson and/or Towns play. If Brunson sits, McBride is the top value option on the slate, as he likely starts in place of the star PG in that scenario. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Devin Booker, SG | 9400 , 52.2 | 52.2 | 9200 , 50.8 | 50.8 | ||
With Kevin Durant sidelined again, Booker will be the primary option in the Suns offense. Booker owns a 30.9% usage rate with KD off the floor this season, giving him an elite ceiling despite the tough matchup. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Kyrie Irving, SG | 8500 , 42.2 | 42.2 | 8300 , 41.5 | 41.5 | ||
Kyrie gets a great matchup against a bad Raptors defense. The price tag has sunk back down to an acceptable level with Luka back in the lineup. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Tyler Herro, SG | 7700 , 37.9 | 37.9 | 7600 , 35.8 | 35.8 | ||
Herro is leading the Heat with a 27.5% usage rate this season, while shooting a career-best 46.7% from the floor and 42% from long range. He drained an absurd 9 three-pointers last time out against the Lakers. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Jordan Poole, SG | 6900 , 35.9 | 35.9 | 7300 , 34.6 | 34.6 | ||
Denver is a below-average defense and is playing at a top-five pace this season, making them one of the best teams to target for fantasy production. Poole has a great chance to exceed 30 minutes with Malcolm Brogdon out for this one. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Derrick White, SG | 6900 , 36.2 | 36.2 | 7200 , 36.2 | 36.2 | ||
Boston is mostly healthy for this one (with the exception of Horford resting on a back-to-back), but they get a solid pace-up spot against the Grizzlies. They are just a half-point shy of the Nuggets slate-leading implied team total. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Bilal Coulibaly, SG | 5200 , 24.3 | 24.3 | 5300 , 24.6 | 24.6 | ||
Coulibaly has a chance to find a few more shots with Malcolm Brogdon and Kyle Kuzma out for this game. He gets a home matchup against the Nuggets, who rank 5th in pace and just 20th in DefRtg. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Duncan Robinson, SG | 4200 , 18.3 | 18.3 | 4200 , 17.3 | 17.3 | ||
We have pending news from Denver and New York that could change things, but currently the salary saving options are pretty thin. Robinson should play mid-20s minutes and is a significant threat from long range. He needs to get hot and make his threes to post a tournament-worthy score. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Scottie Barnes, SF | 9500 , 50 | 50 | 9600 , 50 | 50 | ||
The price tag is on the rise given Barnes' incredible production since returning from injury. The matchup is not ideal and that leaves Barnes as only a large-field GPP option, but the 60 FP upside is undeniable. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Jaylen Brown, SF | 8400 , 44.9 | 44.9 | 8700 , 43.8 | 43.8 | ||
Boston is mostly healthy for this one (with the exception of Horford resting on a back-to-back), but they get a solid pace-up spot against the Grizzlies. They are just a half-point shy of the Nuggets slate-leading implied team total. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Jimmy Butler, SF | 7600 , 0 | 0 | 7700 , 0 | 0 | ||
Jimmy Buckets has seen a dip in production this season, but he is appropriately priced for his current role. We should be able to count on mid-30 minutes in a strong matchup against the Suns, who are missing Kevin Durant. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Josh Hart, SF | 7000 , 39.1 | 39.1 | 7500 , 36.9 | 36.9 | ||
At worst, Hart has a solid price tag in a solid matchup, with a chance at 40+ minutes of playing time. If Brunson (Q) and/or Towns (Q) happen to sit, Hart and multiple teammates would be the top values on the slate. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
OG Anunoby, SF | 6000 , 31.3 | 31.3 | 6900 , 30.6 | 30.6 | ||
At worst, Anunoby has a solid price tag in a solid matchup, with a chance at 40+ minutes of playing time. If Brunson (Q) and/or Towns (Q) happen to sit, Anunoby and multiple teammates would be the top values on the slate. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Mikal Bridges, SF | 5800 , 35.8 | 35.8 | 6500 , 34.6 | 34.6 | ||
Bridges was on pace to play every second of a game that was mostly decided early in the third quarter last time out. Coach Thibs mercifully pulled Bridges and several other starters with less than 2 minutes to play in a 20+ point game. In addition to elite playing time, Brunson and Towns are listed questionable for this game. Bridges would likely take on a larger role in the offense if either or both were to sit this one out. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Luguentz Dort, SF | 4600 , 22.4 | 22.4 | 4800 , 22.3 | 22.3 | ||
Dort is a better value on FD, where his stocks count for 3 points. He is a decent value on a slate without much currently (pending DEN and NYK news). Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
3500 , 0 | 0 | 3900 , 0 | 0 | |||
With Brogdon out for this game, there are minutes to go around. Champagnie saw 29 minutes last game where Brogdon played three quarters before leaving with an injury. Champagnie should have a solid role tonight and comes at near-minimum price. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Jayson Tatum, PF | 9900 , 52.2 | 52.2 | 10300 , 50.4 | 50.4 | ||
Boston is mostly healthy for this one (with the exception of Horford resting on a back-to-back), but they get a solid pace-up spot against the Grizzlies. They are just a half-point shy of the Nuggets slate-leading implied team total. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Jalen Williams, PF | 8900 , 37 | 37 | 8800 , 36.8 | 36.8 | ||
The ceiling remains elite while Chet Holmgren is sidelined. It has been a bit since we have seen the elite 60 FP upside, but it is still there. A matchup against the Pelicans 29th ranked defense might help unlock it. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Brandon Ingram, PF | 8300 , 0 | 0 | 8200 , 0 | 0 | ||
Ingram gets one of the worst possible matchups against the Thunder's top-ranked defense. However, with Zion Williamson still out, we cannot overlook Ingram's ceiling for GPPs. Ingram returned from a five-game injury absence to play 36 minutes against the Suns. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Michael Porter, PF | 6900 , 31.3 | 31.3 | 7000 , 30.2 | 30.2 | ||
Porter is appropriately priced in an elite matchup if Murray (Q) and Gordon (Q) play. If either/both sit, Porter should have a larger role in the offense and would be a strong value. UPDATE: Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon have been ruled out. Jokic the best play on the slate, Westbrook the top salary saver on the slate. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Aaron Gordon, PF | 5800 , 31.5 | 31.5 | 6000 , 31.6 | 31.6 | ||
Gordon is listed questionable for tonight after playing three games in his return from a four-week injury. He played over 30 minutes in each of his last two games, so I have no concerns if he is active. The price tag is a tick too cheap in an elite matchup if AG is able to go. UPDATE: Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon have been ruled out. Jokic the best play on the slate, Westbrook the top salary saver on the slate. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Royce O'Neale, PF | 5400 , 23.2 | 23.2 | 5700 , 22.6 | 22.6 | ||
O'Neale found his way into the starting lineup with Kevin Durant and Ryan Dunn out last game. KD remains out, while Dunn is listed questionable for tonight. If Dunn also misses again, Royce would be a solid value option. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
3700 , 21.2 | 21.2 | 4600 , 21.8 | 21.8 | |||
Highsmith has a better price on DK, where he is under $4,000. He has averaged over 27 minutes per game since being inserted into the starting lineup last month. If news from DEN or NYK opens up better value I am happy to pivot off of Highsmith, but for now he is a solid option on DK. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Nikola Jokić, C | 12100 , 73 | 73 | 12400 , 68 | 68 | ||
I am not sure what needs to be said here. Jokic is an absolute beast having the best season of his career (a career that already includes three MVP awards). Joker can smash in any matchup, but this one against the league's worst defense is particularly exciting. If the Wizards can hang around, the upside is insane. UPDATE: Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon have been ruled out. Jokic the best play on the slate, Westbrook the top salary saver on the slate. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
9200 , 50.7 | 50.7 | 9400 , 47.2 | 47.2 | |||
Brunson and Towns are both listed questionable tonight. If only one of them misses, the other is one of the top options on the slate. If they both miss, we will be jamming in as many Knicks as possible. If they both play, I have plenty of interest in each against an improved but still middling Detroit defense. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Bam Adebayo, C | 8200 , 44.9 | 44.9 | 8200 , 44.1 | 44.1 | ||
Bam is grading out as a strong value on both sites for me. The Suns rank just 17th in DefRtg for the season and will be without Kevin Durant again. The usage is down a few ticks from previous seasons and earlier this season, but an uptick in assists and steals have helped Bam maintain solid fantasy production. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
7500 , 35 | 35 | 8100 , 35.3 | 35.3 | |||
Porzingis rested last night on the front half of the back-to-back, while Al Horford is resting tonight on the back half. Zinger posted a line of 26-9-2 in just 29 minutes in his last game against the Pistons. Boston has the second-highest implied team total of the night against the fast-paced Grizzlies. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Jakob Poeltl, C | 7300 , 39.4 | 39.4 | 7700 , 39.2 | 39.2 | ||
Poeltl is listed questionable tonight, but I want some exposure if he is active. Poeltl is having the best season of his career, with career-highs in usage and rebounding rates. Impressively, his production has remained steady even with Scottie Barnes' return to the lineup. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
4300 , 0 | 0 | 5000 , 0 | 0 | |||
Bagley was inserted into the starting lineup last game in favor of Jonas Valanciunas. He played 24 minutes and posted over 30 FP, while JoVal played just 12 minutes. It is hard to know if we see a similar rotation tonight, but if Bagley draws the start again he is strong value option. Game Type: GPP |