Happy Saturday, January 4th! We have a nice seven-game NBA DFS main slate on DraftKings and an eight-gamer on FanDuel as they're including the 10:30pm ET island game. 

We get a re-match of the thrilling Nikola Jokic-Victor Wembanyama duel that came down to the final shot on Friday evening. The Jimmy Butler saga is seemingly coming to an end in Miami. Kawhi Leonard is expected to make his season debut for the Clippers, and of course we will have plenty of other injury situations to sort through. 

Fun slate indeed! Let's dive in. 

 

 

Before actually diving into the meat and potatoes, welcome to the NBA DFS season. If this is your first time reading our column on NBA DFS picks, I just want to welcome you and give you a few tips and tricks on what you should be looking for each night.

  • News outlets: reliable sources that give us injury news & starting lineups
  • Pace of play: who's playing fast vs. who's playing slow. Which teams get a pace-up spot (more possessions) vs. pace-down (fewer possessions)
  • Usage rates: is a percentage of how many plays that player is being used in
  • NBA DFS Projections
  • Lineup Generator
  • NBA Ownership

NBA DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook Today, January 4th

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Pre-Lock Update

This section will be used for anything that changes from the morning until right up to roster lock. 

Injury updates, players we’re higher on than we were in the morning and so much more.

The Nuggets, Knicks, Grizzlies, and Hawks have yet to submit an injury report as they are each on back-to-backs. 

UPDATE 3:30 PM ET

UPDATE 4:45 PM ET

UPDATE 6:15 PM ET

UPDATE 6:40 PM ET

NBA Injuries, News & Updates Today, 1/4

 

 

 

NBA DFS Slate & Game Overviews

With the NBA season just kicking off we don't have data yet for teams regarding pace of play and defensive matchups. In the section below, I’m listing the most notable things we need to look at in Las Vegas, including notable O/U and spreads.

Phoenix Suns vs. Indiana Pacers

  • Total: 235
  • Spread: IND -2.5

New York Knicks vs. Chicago Bulls

  • Total: 238
  • Spread: NYK -5.5

Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs

  • Total: 236
  • Spread: DEN -3.5

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors

  • Total: 231.5
  • Spread: GSW -2.5

 

 

 

NBA DFS Core Player Pool & Lineup Picks

Here are the core players I’m looking at for my NBA DFS picks tonight. You can see the full analysis of tonight’s NBA DFS projections and player pool below or skip ahead to building the best lineups possible by locking these into the aforementioned lineup generator now.

High

Mid

Value

 

Pos
(Click to sort ascending)
Player
(Click to sort ascending)
Matchup
(Click to sort ascending)
DK
(Click to sort ascending)
DK Pts
(Click to sort ascending)
FD
(Click to sort ascending)
FD Pts
(Click to sort ascending)
PGCade CunninghamMIN @ DET Sat 7:00990047.3990045.1

Cade underperformed expectation in a great spot last night and now gets a brutal matchup against the Wolves. You'll get a much better ownership number tonight and Cade has a high ceiling in any matchup, but this is no doubt a tough spot. 

Game Type: GPP
PGDamian LillardPOR @ MIL Sat 8:00920046.7900044.3

A healthy Bucks team is going to make the ceiling outcomes for Lillard harder to find, but they are certainly in there still. Great matchup against Portland's 27th ranked defense. 

Game Type: GPP
PGJalen BrunsonNYK @ CHI Sat 8:00890047.3860045.2

Great spot for Brunson against a Bulls team that plays at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league and ranks 24th in DefRtg. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGTyrese HaliburtonPHX @ IND Sat 7:00830038.6890037.9

Vintage Haliburton showed up earlier this week in a tough spot against the Heat. The explosion games are rare these days, but he should be on your GPP radar considering he is under $9,000 on both sites. 

Game Type: GPP
PGJamal MurrayDEN @ SAS Sat 8:00790037.9830037.7

Excellent game environment with a high total and tight spread. Jokic stole the show last night, but Murray has been finding ceiling performances with more regularity lately. 

Game Type: GPP
PGRussell WestbrookDEN @ SAS Sat 8:00660034.1720034.2

Playing time has ticked up in the absence of Aaron Gordon. Excellent game environment with a high total and tight spread. 

Game Type: GPP
PGScotty PippenMEM @ GSW Sat 8:3027.4580027.1

Should continue to start and play mid-20s minutes with Ja Morant sidelined. Pippen has a much better price tag on FD and can be rostered in any format there. He is better left for large-field GPP only on DK. 

Game Type: GPP
PGScoot HendersonPOR @ MIL Sat 8:00480024.8580023.6

Playing time is on the rise for Scoot, as he played 32 minutes last game against the Lakers. He has a high-usage role as the Blazers 6th man. 

Game Type: GPP
SGAnthony EdwardsMIN @ DET Sat 7:00860041.9880040

It has been nearly a month since we have seen a 50 FP performance from Ant, but the next one could come at any moment. He gets a solid matchup against Detroit and the price tag is under $9,000. 

Game Type: GPP
SGTyler HerroUTA @ MIA Sat 8:00870044.8800041.8

Herro is one of the top plays on the slate as the Heat finally appear ready to move on from Jimmy Butler. Herro was a consistent threat for 50 FP while Butler was out last month, and he gets a matchup against the worst defense in the league. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGDennis SchröderMIN @ DET Sat 7:005200057000

Steph Curry is out again which should lead to an uptick in usage for Dennis Schroder. The freshly acquired guard finally had his shot working for the Warriors last night, as he made 5-of-9 attempts from the field. Schroder is one of the top value options on the slate. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGTerry RozierUTA @ MIA Sat 8:00490028.2520027

Rozier should get a nice bump from Butler being out of the lineup again. The price tag looks nice in one of the best possible matchups. 

Game Type: GPP
SGStephon CastleDEN @ SAS Sat 8:00340013.5480013.3

Castle is near minimum price on DK and would be a top value option if Jeremy Sochan (questionable) sits again. Castle started and played 24 minutes with Sochan inactive last night. 

Game Type: GPP
SGBuddy HieldMEM @ GSW Sat 8:30340025.6410024.1

It has been a tough stretch for the long-range specialist lately, but Curry's absence provides a path for more playing time and more usage. If Buddy can get hot from three-point range, Kerr could potentially extend the leash. 

Game Type: GPP
SFDesmond BaneMEM @ GSW Sat 8:30800038780036.9

Bane has posted 45+ FP in back-to-back games. The usage should be there for him if he wants it while Ja Morant remains sidelined. Fast-paced game environment with a healthy total. 

Game Type: GPP
SFJosh HartNYK @ CHI Sat 8:00750035.6780035.3

Hart came back to earth a bit against the Thunder's top defense in his last game. Prior to that he posted back-to-back triple-doubles against the Wizards and Jazz. The Bulls have much more in common with the Wizards and Jazz than they do the Thunder. Hart has played 38+ minutes in six straight games and 40+ minutes in three straight. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFMichael PorterDEN @ SAS Sat 8:00630033.3670032.5

MPJ played 41 minutes in a tough loss to the Spurs last night, and they will run it back again tonight. Heavy minutes on front end is a bit concerning, but MPJ will likely be needed for big minutes again with Aaron Gordon still sidelined. 

Game Type: GPP
SFDeni AvdijaPOR @ MIL Sat 8:00610035.5660035.2

Avdija has started and played at least 31 minutes in each of his last three games. His role should be secure with Jerami Grant still out. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFAndrew WigginsUTA @ MIA Sat 8:005600061000

Steph Curry is out tonight and Wiggins gets a matchup against the fastest-paced team in the league. He is too cheap for his expected role this evening. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFKeldon JohnsonDEN @ SAS Sat 8:00450019480018.8

Keldon is a great value option if Jeremy Sochan (questionable) sits again. He saw 26 minutes of action without Sochan last night. 

Game Type: GPP
SFHarrison BarnesDEN @ SAS Sat 8:00350016.2410015.6

Barnes should start and play close to 30 minutes in an excellent game environment. His floor and ceiling get a boost if Sochan is out again. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFGiannis AntetokounmpoPOR @ MIL Sat 8:001150060.81180058.8

Giannis gets an elite matchup against the Blazer's 27th ranked defense. Joker-Wemby Part 2 should keep his ownership in check. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFKevin DurantPHX @ IND Sat 7:00960049.2920047.6

Devin Booker has returned to the lineup, but now Bradley Beal (questionable) is banged up. The Suns need to start stacking wins if they hope to remain competitive in the West. Nice pace-up spot for Durant against the Pacers. 

Game Type: GPP
PFJulius RandleMIN @ DET Sat 7:00740036.3750034.6

Randle has posted at least 49 DK points in three of his last five games. He gets a solid matchup against Detroit tonight. 

Game Type: GPP
PFJonathan KumingaMEM @ GSW Sat 8:30640037.1700037.3

Kuminga has been playing excellent basketball lately and now Steph Curry is out. He should play 30+ minutes off the bench against the fastest-paced team in the league. Kuminga has posted a 32% usage rate in the 6 games Curry has been inactive this season. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFDraymond GreenMEM @ GSW Sat 8:30570032.8620032.6

Draymond is historically more productive with Steph Curry on the floor, so he is the Warriors piece I am least excited about tonight. That said, it is still a great game environment and Draymond has an attractive mid-range price tag. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFNikola JovićUTA @ MIA Sat 8:00460023.5480023.5

The Heat appear ready to move on from Jimmy Butler after issuing him a 7-game suspension. We need to keep an eye on the starting lineup, but I expect it is either Nikola Jovic or Jaime Jaquez stepping in. They are nearly identical prices on both sites, so the swap is an easy one. Both are playable no matter who starts given the elite matchup with the Jazz. 

Game Type: GPP
PFBrandon ClarkeMEM @ GSW Sat 8:30340021470021.9

Better reserved for DK due to the sub-$4,000 price tag. There is a chance Zach Edey reclaims his starting spot tonight which would take me off Clarke. 

Game Type: GPP
CNikola JokićDEN @ SAS Sat 8:001230067.41280064.8

83, 72.75, 93. Those are Joker's DK point totals over the last three games. Just find a way to get him in your lineup on DK. It is a tougher task on FD, but he would still be a priority for me tonight. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CVictor WembanyamaDEN @ SAS Sat 8:001130058.61190057.9

A nice consolation prize if you can't quite get up to Jokic. Finding a way to play them both is an option as well. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CKarl-Anthony TownsNYK @ CHI Sat 8:001030052.21000049.3

Another elite upside option that has found ceiling performances with great consistency. Excellent matchup against the Bulls who play at the 2nd-fastest pace and rank 24th in DefRtg. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CBam AdebayoUTA @ MIA Sat 8:00840042.6820041.5

Excellent matchup for Bam with Jimmy Butler now suspended. The Jazz are ranked dead last in DefRtg. 

Game Type: GPP
CMyles TurnerPHX @ IND Sat 7:00630032.2660032.4

Good spot for Turner with Nurkic still suspended on the other side. I like the upside at his mid-range price. 

Game Type: GPP
CTrayce Jackson-DavisMEM @ GSW Sat 8:30500030580030.4

TJD failed to reach 30 FP for the first time in seven games last time out. He played just 21 minutes in a tough matchup with Joel Embiid. I am willing to go back to him in GPP as long he remains in the starting lineup. 

Game Type: GPP
9900 , 47.3
47.3
9900 , 45.1
45.1

Cade underperformed expectation in a great spot last night and now gets a brutal matchup against the Wolves. You'll get a much better ownership number tonight and Cade has a high ceiling in any matchup, but this is no doubt a tough spot. 

Game Type: GPP
9200 , 46.7
46.7
9000 , 44.3
44.3

A healthy Bucks team is going to make the ceiling outcomes for Lillard harder to find, but they are certainly in there still. Great matchup against Portland's 27th ranked defense. 

Game Type: GPP
8900 , 47.3
47.3
8600 , 45.2
45.2

Great spot for Brunson against a Bulls team that plays at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league and ranks 24th in DefRtg. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
8300 , 38.6
38.6
8900 , 37.9
37.9

Vintage Haliburton showed up earlier this week in a tough spot against the Heat. The explosion games are rare these days, but he should be on your GPP radar considering he is under $9,000 on both sites. 

Game Type: GPP
7900 , 37.9
37.9
8300 , 37.7
37.7

Excellent game environment with a high total and tight spread. Jokic stole the show last night, but Murray has been finding ceiling performances with more regularity lately. 

Game Type: GPP
6600 , 34.1
34.1
7200 , 34.2
34.2

Playing time has ticked up in the absence of Aaron Gordon. Excellent game environment with a high total and tight spread. 

Game Type: GPP
, 27.4
27.4
5800 , 27.1
27.1

Should continue to start and play mid-20s minutes with Ja Morant sidelined. Pippen has a much better price tag on FD and can be rostered in any format there. He is better left for large-field GPP only on DK. 

Game Type: GPP
4800 , 24.8
24.8
5800 , 23.6
23.6

Playing time is on the rise for Scoot, as he played 32 minutes last game against the Lakers. He has a high-usage role as the Blazers 6th man. 

Game Type: GPP
8600 , 41.9
41.9
8800 , 40
40

It has been nearly a month since we have seen a 50 FP performance from Ant, but the next one could come at any moment. He gets a solid matchup against Detroit and the price tag is under $9,000. 

Game Type: GPP
8700 , 44.8
44.8
8000 , 41.8
41.8

Herro is one of the top plays on the slate as the Heat finally appear ready to move on from Jimmy Butler. Herro was a consistent threat for 50 FP while Butler was out last month, and he gets a matchup against the worst defense in the league. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5200 , 0
0
5700 , 0
0

Steph Curry is out again which should lead to an uptick in usage for Dennis Schroder. The freshly acquired guard finally had his shot working for the Warriors last night, as he made 5-of-9 attempts from the field. Schroder is one of the top value options on the slate. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4900 , 28.2
28.2
5200 , 27
27

Rozier should get a nice bump from Butler being out of the lineup again. The price tag looks nice in one of the best possible matchups. 

Game Type: GPP
3400 , 13.5
13.5
4800 , 13.3
13.3

Castle is near minimum price on DK and would be a top value option if Jeremy Sochan (questionable) sits again. Castle started and played 24 minutes with Sochan inactive last night. 

Game Type: GPP
3400 , 25.6
25.6
4100 , 24.1
24.1

It has been a tough stretch for the long-range specialist lately, but Curry's absence provides a path for more playing time and more usage. If Buddy can get hot from three-point range, Kerr could potentially extend the leash. 

Game Type: GPP
8000 , 38
38
7800 , 36.9
36.9

Bane has posted 45+ FP in back-to-back games. The usage should be there for him if he wants it while Ja Morant remains sidelined. Fast-paced game environment with a healthy total. 

Game Type: GPP
7500 , 35.6
35.6
7800 , 35.3
35.3

Hart came back to earth a bit against the Thunder's top defense in his last game. Prior to that he posted back-to-back triple-doubles against the Wizards and Jazz. The Bulls have much more in common with the Wizards and Jazz than they do the Thunder. Hart has played 38+ minutes in six straight games and 40+ minutes in three straight. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6300 , 33.3
33.3
6700 , 32.5
32.5

MPJ played 41 minutes in a tough loss to the Spurs last night, and they will run it back again tonight. Heavy minutes on front end is a bit concerning, but MPJ will likely be needed for big minutes again with Aaron Gordon still sidelined. 

Game Type: GPP
6100 , 35.5
35.5
6600 , 35.2
35.2

Avdija has started and played at least 31 minutes in each of his last three games. His role should be secure with Jerami Grant still out. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5600 , 0
0
6100 , 0
0

Steph Curry is out tonight and Wiggins gets a matchup against the fastest-paced team in the league. He is too cheap for his expected role this evening. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4500 , 19
19
4800 , 18.8
18.8

Keldon is a great value option if Jeremy Sochan (questionable) sits again. He saw 26 minutes of action without Sochan last night. 

Game Type: GPP
3500 , 16.2
16.2
4100 , 15.6
15.6

Barnes should start and play close to 30 minutes in an excellent game environment. His floor and ceiling get a boost if Sochan is out again. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
11500 , 60.8
60.8
11800 , 58.8
58.8

Giannis gets an elite matchup against the Blazer's 27th ranked defense. Joker-Wemby Part 2 should keep his ownership in check. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
9600 , 49.2
49.2
9200 , 47.6
47.6

Devin Booker has returned to the lineup, but now Bradley Beal (questionable) is banged up. The Suns need to start stacking wins if they hope to remain competitive in the West. Nice pace-up spot for Durant against the Pacers. 

Game Type: GPP
7400 , 36.3
36.3
7500 , 34.6
34.6

Randle has posted at least 49 DK points in three of his last five games. He gets a solid matchup against Detroit tonight. 

Game Type: GPP
6400 , 37.1
37.1
7000 , 37.3
37.3

Kuminga has been playing excellent basketball lately and now Steph Curry is out. He should play 30+ minutes off the bench against the fastest-paced team in the league. Kuminga has posted a 32% usage rate in the 6 games Curry has been inactive this season. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5700 , 32.8
32.8
6200 , 32.6
32.6

Draymond is historically more productive with Steph Curry on the floor, so he is the Warriors piece I am least excited about tonight. That said, it is still a great game environment and Draymond has an attractive mid-range price tag. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4600 , 23.5
23.5
4800 , 23.5
23.5

The Heat appear ready to move on from Jimmy Butler after issuing him a 7-game suspension. We need to keep an eye on the starting lineup, but I expect it is either Nikola Jovic or Jaime Jaquez stepping in. They are nearly identical prices on both sites, so the swap is an easy one. Both are playable no matter who starts given the elite matchup with the Jazz. 

Game Type: GPP
3400 , 21
21
4700 , 21.9
21.9

Better reserved for DK due to the sub-$4,000 price tag. There is a chance Zach Edey reclaims his starting spot tonight which would take me off Clarke. 

Game Type: GPP
12300 , 67.4
67.4
12800 , 64.8
64.8

83, 72.75, 93. Those are Joker's DK point totals over the last three games. Just find a way to get him in your lineup on DK. It is a tougher task on FD, but he would still be a priority for me tonight. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
11300 , 58.6
58.6
11900 , 57.9
57.9

A nice consolation prize if you can't quite get up to Jokic. Finding a way to play them both is an option as well. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
10300 , 52.2
52.2
10000 , 49.3
49.3

Another elite upside option that has found ceiling performances with great consistency. Excellent matchup against the Bulls who play at the 2nd-fastest pace and rank 24th in DefRtg. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
8400 , 42.6
42.6
8200 , 41.5
41.5

Excellent matchup for Bam with Jimmy Butler now suspended. The Jazz are ranked dead last in DefRtg. 

Game Type: GPP
6300 , 32.2
32.2
6600 , 32.4
32.4

Good spot for Turner with Nurkic still suspended on the other side. I like the upside at his mid-range price. 

Game Type: GPP
5000 , 30
30
5800 , 30.4
30.4

TJD failed to reach 30 FP for the first time in seven games last time out. He played just 21 minutes in a tough matchup with Joel Embiid. I am willing to go back to him in GPP as long he remains in the starting lineup. 

Game Type: GPP