NBA Daily Fantasy Picks & Playbook December 11
Published: Dec 11, 2023
We have a monster 13-game NBA DFS main slate on DraftKings and FanDuel on Monday, December 11th. We have stars everywhere on tonight's slate including Nikola Jokic, Joel Embiid, Luka Doncic, and Giannis Antetokounmpo. We have a few games with 240 implied points and a few that are below 220. It's easy to remove some of those games from our player pool.
NBA DFS Tools to dominate tonight's NBA DFS slate!
Make sure to check out today's NBA DFS projections and NBA DFS ownership projections before finalizing your lineups today. We also have the NBA Consistency Report to help identify players that have exceeded value based off their current price tag this season and of course our NBA DFS Lineup Generator!
Here's the NBA DFS Podcast for today's slate. Like the video and subscribe to our channel!
Notable NBA Injury Updates
QUESTIONABLE
- Joel Embiid
- Anthony Edwards
- Jalen Brunson – IN
- Malcolm Brogdon
- Deandre Ayton
- Malik Monk
- Jalen Suggs – IN
- De'Andre Hunter – OUT
- Daniel Gafford – OUT
- Alex Caruso
- Dillon Brooks – IN
- Aaron Nesmith – IN
- Jaden McDaniels
- Jonathan Isaac – IN
- Tari Eason – IN
- Immanuel Quickley
- Kyle Lowry – IN
- John Collins – OUT
OUT
- Khris Middleton – UPDATE: HE IS PLAYING
- LaMelo Ball
- Bam Adebayo
- Kyrie Irving
- Lauri Markkanen
- Evan Mobley
- Jerami Grant
- Jalen Duren
- Walker Kessler
- Caris LeVert
- Mitchell Robinson
- Grant Williams
- Dennis Smith Jr.
- Andrew Nembhard
- Luguentz Dort
PROBABLE
DOUBTFUL
- Mark Williams – OUT
- Marvin Bagley III – OUT
Pace Up Spots
Pace definition: Pace is the total number of possessions a team uses in a game.
*key* Green is elite pace of play, Blue is decent pace of play, & Red is slow pace of play.
Green = Fast Paced team
Blue = Neutral Paced team
Red = Slow Paced team
- Wizards rank: 2nd vs. 76ers rank: 15th
- Pacers rank: 1st vs. Pistons rank: 7th
- Nuggets rank: 26th vs. Hawks rank: 3rd
- Mavericks rank: 8th vs. Grizzlies rank: 19th
- Jazz rank: 14th vs. Thunder rank: 6th
- Bulls rank: 30th vs. Bucks rank: 5th
- Spurs rank: 4th vs. Rockets rank: 29th
NBA Game Totals
- Indiana Pacers @ Detroit Pistons - 246.5 (IND -7.5)
- Washington Wizards @ Philadelphia 76ers - 243.5 (PHI -11.5)
- Denver Nuggets @ Atlanta Hawks - 241.5 (DEN -2.5)
- Brooklyn Nets @ Sacramento Kings - 235.5 (SAC -4.5)
- Utah Jazz @ Oklahoma City Thunder - 233.5 (OKC -12.5)
- Chicago Bulls @ Milwaukee Bucks - 232.5 (MIL -11.5)
Top Tier Core Plays
Nikola Jokic, Denver Nuggets
Denver plays really, really slow, and we have the best player in the league in the best pace up spot on the board. Jokic averages 1.54 FP/min with their normal starting five playing, which is finally where Denver is. He’s taken 26 and 32 shots in the last two games and has shot worse than 35% in each, which goes to show what the ceiling COULD be if some more shots fell.
Luka Doncic, Dallas Mavericks
The Mavericks have ruled Kyrie Irving out and that pushes Doncic to the forefront. He averages 1.7 FP/min without Irving this year and has put up 70+ DKP in three of his last four games.
Joel Embiid, Philadelphia 76ers
Embiid practiced in full on Sunday and was seen participating shootaround, basically solidifying that he’s going to suit up here. Embiid has averaged 1.82 FP/min along with a 37.6% USG rate. Washington is dead last in DRtg this year and is averaging 78 DKP/game in two meetings against the Wizards.
Tyrese Haliburton, Indiana Pacers
There is a case to made for Haliburton and for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander but the match-up for Indiana and closer spread kept me on Haliburton. Haliburton has put up 63+ DKP in three of four games and is in the highest game total on the board. The Pistons are 7th in pace and 24th in defense, making them a prime candidate to target players against. They’ve lost 19 games in a row.
Mid-Tier Core Plays
Victor Wembanyama, San Antonio Spurs (GPPs)
I labeled him a GPP option because he’s an elite one, but I’m not all too interested in using him in cash games. He put up 60+ DKP in his first start at center putting up a 20-20 game. This is an awful spot but he has a 30% USG and averages 1.4 FP/min.
Desmond Bane, Memphis Grizzlies
Bane’s been really, really good lately outside of a game against the Timberwolves, who rank number one with a BULLET defensively. He scored 27+ points in the three games prior and topped 45 DKP in four straight. Bane averages 1.3 FP/min and has a 30.8% USG without Marcus Smart this year. Dallas is 23rd in DRtg and 8th in pace, which is a big pace up opportunity for Memphis.
Fred VanVleet, Houston Rockets
FVV went through a stretch where he just wasn’t shooting the ball enough to pay off value, but we’ve now seen 14+ shots in three straight games as the assists have fallen. If we get both of things working at the same time against the Spurs, who are the 4th fastest team and 4th worst defense then we could see 50+ DKP like we saw out of him the last time these two played each other. Love his FD price.
DeMar DeRozan, Chicago Bulls
Point-DeRozan has been out to play lately! They’ve needed him to be the playmaker and we’ve gotten 10 assists in two of three. He’s put up 42+ DKP in three straight and four of five, we just need the Bulls to keep this game close for DDR to pay off this price.
Rudy Gobert, Minnesota Timberwolves
It’s impossible to ignore what Rudy Gobert is doing right now. With or without Edwards he’s been dominant recently. He has 48+ DKP in four of five games and has back-to-back games with 20 rebounds. He’s a 1.14 FP/min producer with Anthony Edwards and 1.16 without him.
Jalen Williams, Oklahoma City Thunder
Jalen Williams has been really good lately, notching 39+ DKP in three of four games. Lu Dort has been ruled out and Williams has a 24.9% USG rate and 1.01 FP/min without him this year. Utah is 25th in DRtg this year and is without it's best rim protector in Walker Kessler.
Value Tier Core Plays
Killian Hayes, Detroit Pistons
Since being put back into the starting lineup, Hayes has looked sharp. He's averaged north of one FP/min posting 30 MPG and 31 DKP/game. He gets an insane pace-up environment here against the Pacers who also rank dead last in DRtg this year. Getting Bojan Bogdanovic has not impacted him at all.
Derrick Jones Jr., Dallas Mavericks
After a dip in production for a few weeks, Dallas has been riddled with injuries and it's led to Jones Jr. playing a lot more and being incredibly production. Over the last four games, he's averaged 31.5 minutes and 30.1 DKP while shooting 43% from three, which is now 40% for the year. Love this spot for Jones Jr.
Nick Richards, Charlotte Hornets
Look at what we've gotten from Richards in each of the last two games. 26 and 24 DKP respectively and Mark Williams is listed as doubtful. Richards sits at 1.09 FP/min and in ALL five games he's played at least 20 minutes, he's given us 20+ DKP.
Isaiah Hartenstein, New York Knicks
.95 FP/min is solid and we know he's going to get good run with Mitchell Robinson out. We saw Hartenstein come into their last game when Robinson went down and grabbed 16 rebounds while playing 29 minutes. I think Hartenstein has the lowest floor in terms of scoring of the three but it is possible his minutes' ceiling is the highest.
Late-News Core Play Section
*Section for players we are considering “core plays” based on late-breaking news
- Mike Muscala, Washington Wizards (DK, if starting)
- Jordan Clarkson & Kelly Olynyk, Utah Jazz (GPP only, if you think that game can stay close) (Yurtseven has legit DNP risk now that he's not starting)
- Seth Curry & Dante Exum, Dallas Mavericks
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Player Pool
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