MLB DFS Picks, Projections, Lineups & Stacks Today: Sunday Playbook

With so many playoff implications, today's MLB action should be outstanding. 

We'll look at DraftKings and FanDuel's early 11-game main slate, and I'll share my favorite MLB DFS picks, including must-plays and value plays using various MLB DFS projections. 

Let's have a day!

MLB September Daily Fantasy Playbook Today, September 22nd

MLB Weather Today, 9/22

• San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals

A late start is possible, but it looks like this game will play without any in-game issues. 

• Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals

There could be some storms in the late afternoon, but for now, the game is expected to play fully without issues. Still, there could be a late rain delay. 

• Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubs

There was a lot of heavier rain earlier in the day, so it's more likely we'll get a late start on this game. Watch this game closely if you have any MLB DFS picks you like. 

MLB DFS Optimizer & Lineup Generator Today

Below is my mock MLB DFS lineup for DraftKings. With my MLB DFS picks below, I was able to add many of my favorite players for today's slate in this lineup. 

We fit Blake Snell, Yordan Alvarez, Riley Greene, and Kerry Carpenter. We also added Matt Olson, who I think will have a monster day. 

And so do the MLB DFS projections. 

MLB DFS Lineup Picks: Starting Pitchers

Top Options For Strikeouts

• Blake Snell (6.5, -155) vs. Kansas City Royals
• Spencer Arrighetti (6.5, -150) vs. Los Angeles Angels
• Paul Skenes (6.5, -145) vs. Cincinnati Reds
• Andrew Heaney (5.5, -130) vs. Seattle Mariners
• Bryan Woo (5.5, -115) vs. Texas Rangers
• Frankie Montas (5.5, -110) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Best Odds For A Win

• Spencer Arrighetti (-105) vs. Los Angeles Angels
• Bryan Woo (+110) vs. Texas Rangers
• Frankie Montas (155) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

MLB DFS Lineups: Core MLB DFS Pitchers

Blake Snell, San Diego Padres

Blake Snell has struck out 38.5% of batters over the last 30 days. While his walks are high, he's still held his last 91 batters to a .051 ISO and wOBA of .223 over the previous month. 

Snell has also induced nearly 49% of ground balls and has added 18% of swinging strikes with only a 4.7% barrel percentage allowed. 

If he can limit the walks, that would be ideal. 

Today, it looks like he can. He'll face a Royals lineup that has only walked 7.4% of the time over the last 30 days against lefties. Six of those nine batters have walked below 6% of the time. 

That's good news for Snell. 

Paul Skenes, Pittsburgh Pirates

Paul Skenes has struck out 31.1% of batters over the last 30 days. He's also held his last 90 batters to a .024 ISO and wOBA of .250 while inducing 60% of ground balls. 

Beyond that, the NL Rookie of the Year candidate has allowed only 12.7% of fly balls in the last 30 days and has given up just a 3.6% barrel percentage. 

Skenes will face a Reds lineup that doesn't strike out much. However, the lineup has still hit just a .139 ISO with more than 20% of strikeouts. 

Skenes may not be one of the best MLB DFS plays as a pitcher, but according to many MLB DFS projections, he could certainly have a dominant start. 

He wouldn't be my first choice, but you can if you'd rather go with Skenes over Snell to save some salary. 

Seth Lugo, Kansas City Royals

I wouldn't recommend playing Snell and Seth Lugo. But you'd have to consider backing Lugo if you're not in on Snell. 

Lugo has struck out 23.4% of batters over the last 30 days. He's also held hisprevioust 128 batters to a .125 ISO and has earned more than 48% of ground balls. 

Meanwhile, he's allowed just 33% of hard contact and has allowed only 23.1% of fly balls. 

He'll face a Giants lineup that has struck out 27% of the time against righties over the last 30 days. This projected lineup for the Giants has also hit just a .298 ISO against righties and has walked just 7.1% of the time. 

Consider Lugo as long as you're not playing Snell. 

Gavin Williams, Cleveland Guardians

Gavin Williams is anattractiveg low-tier option. 

Williams has struck out 24.7% of batters over the last 30 days. He's also held his last 97 batters to a .143 ISO and wOBA of .292. You'd like to see Williams get deeper in games overall.

He's taking on a Cardinals lineup that has hit just a .139 ISO and wOBA of .299 against righties in the last 30 days. 

The lineup should have at least four lefties, which he's been much better against. Meanwhile, the five righties in the St. Louis lineup have struck out 25.2% of the time against righties over the last month. 

Williams would certainly be one of the high-reward type of MLB DFS plays if you're willing to pull the trigger. 

MLB DFS Lineup Picks: Hitters

Highest Expected Run Totals 

• Atlanta Braves  (5.5, +110) vs. Miami Marlins
• Houston Astros (4.5, -135) vs. Los Angeles Angels
• Chicago Cubs (4.5, -105) vs. Washington Nationals

MLB DFS Lineups: Core MLB DFS Hitters

Parker Meadows, Kerry Carpenter, OF, Riley Green, OF, Detroit Tigers

The Baltimore Orioles will pitch Albert Suarez today. Suarez is a right-handed pitcher who has allowed a .220 ISO and wOBA of .404 to his last 58 lefties. 

He's also struck lefties out just 15.5% of the time and has allowed 38.1% of fly balls to lefties over the last 30 days. 

In addition, he's given up an 11.9% barrel percentage and has induced below 35% of ground balls. 

Therefore, you'll want to consider the raging hot lefties in the Detroit order. 

Over the last 30 days against righties:

Parker Meadows: .192 IS0, .320 wOBA
Kerry Carpenter: .237 ISO, .414 wOBA
Riley Greene: .227 ISO, .391 wOBA

These three lefties can absolutely destroy Suarez today. 

Matt Olson, 1B, Atlanta Braves

Matt Olson has smashed a .313 ISO and wOBA of .454 against righties over the last 30 days. 

With the Braves desperately needing a win today, Olson must deliver. 

Olson will face Marlins' righty, Darren McCaughan, who has given up a .240 ISO and wOBA of .390 to the first 81 left-handed batters this season. He's also given up 41.5% of fly balls, with only 27.7% of ground balls induced. 

Beyond that, over the last 30 days, McCaughan has allowed a 10% barrel percentage and has earned just an 8.2% swinging strike.

Take Olson at first base today. 

Yordan Alvarez, OF, Kyle Tucker, OF, Jon Singleton, 1B, Jason Heyward, OF, Houston Astros

The Astros are projected to score the second-most runs in today's main slate. They'll face off against Griffin Canning of the Angels, who has allowed a .155 ISO and wOBA of .336 to his last 98 batters. 

While he's limited power to lefties over the last month, Canning has allowed a .204 ISO and wOBA of .359 to 369 lefties. The more significant sample size shows the bigger picture. 

He'll have to face four incredibly tough left-handed batters today. 

Over the last 30 days, check out what these left-handed hitters have done to righties.

Yordan Alvarez: .279 ISO, .358 wOBA
Kyle Tucker: .389 ISO, .521 wOBA
Jon Singleton: .238 ISO, .389 wOBA
Jason Heyward: .233 ISO, .371 wOBA

You'll want to consider these MLB DFS plays and stack them with today's slate. The Astros' MLB DFS projections are super high, and the expectation is that they Will dominate today. 

Player Pool

• DraftKings
• FanDuel

$ Tier	SP	C	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF
High	Paul Skenes $11,000	William Contreras $3,600	Vladimir Guerrero $3,800	Marcus Semien $3,200	José Ramírez $4,300	Gunnar Henderson $4,200	Corbin Carroll $3,800
	Blake Snell $9,800						Kyle Tucker $3,800
							Anthony Santander $3,800
							Yordan Alvarez $3,700
							Jackson Chourio $3,600
Medium	Seth Lugo $9,700	Yainer Diaz $3,100	Paul Goldschmidt $3,000	Connor Norby $3,200	Alex Bregman $3,300	Willy Adames $3,700	Riley Greene $3,400
	Spencer Arrighetti $9,400						Ian Happ $3,400
							Julio Rodríguez $3,300
							Colton Cowser $3,200
							Lane Thomas $3,200
							Randy Arozarena $3,200
							Cody Bellinger $3,200
							Wyatt Langford $3,100
							Dylan Crews $3,000
							Cedric Mullins $3,000
							Kerry Carpenter $3,000
							George Springer $3,000
							Adolis García $3,000
Low	Gavin Williams $7,600	Mitch Garver $2,500	Rhys Hoskins $3,000	Spencer Horwitz $2,800	Andrés Chaparro $2,700	Dylan Moore $2,700	Brendan Donovan $3,000
			Michael Busch $3,000	Jonathan Aranda $2,500	Joey Ortiz $2,600		Jesús Sánchez $2,900
			Jon Singleton $2,600		Ezequiel Duran $2,400		Pavin Smith $2,900
							Pete Crow-Armstrong $2,800
							Mickey Moniak $2,700
							Jason Heyward $2,700
							Davis Schneider $2,600
							Griffin Conine $2,600
							Addison Barger $2,500
							Kyle Stowers $2,300

Stacks

Orioles	Gunnar Henderson	Anthony Santander	Colton Cowser	Cedric Mullins
DraftKings	6100	5400	4400	4600
Fanduel	4200	3800	3200	3000

Tigers	Kerry Carpenter	Parker Meadows	Riley Greene
DraftKings	4100	3900	4700
Fanduel	3000	2900	3400

Astros	Alex Bregman	Jason Heyward	Jon Singleton	Kyle Tucker	Yordan Alvarez
DraftKings	4600	2800	2600	5600	5900
Fanduel	3300	2700	2600	3800	3700

Cubs	Pete Crow-Armstrong	Michael Busch	Cody Bellinger	Ian Happ
DraftKings	3700	3900	5000	4700
Fanduel	2800	3000	3200	3400