MLB DFS Picks & Playbook For Today’s Games: Tuesday, April 30th

Published: Apr 30, 2024
Welcome to our MLB DFS picks and playbook for Tuesday, April 30th, featuring a thrilling 12-game main slate on both DraftKings and FanDuel. As the season progresses, every game becomes increasingly crucial, making each lineup decision all the more important for DFS enthusiasts.
With a plethora of matchups to choose from, strategic lineup construction becomes paramount in gaining an edge over the competition. Today's slate offers a diverse range of opportunities, with a mix of marquee pitching matchups and enticing hitter-friendly ballparks. From powerhouse offenses to underrated pitching gems, there's no shortage of potential game-changers to consider when crafting your winning lineup.
Whether you're a seasoned veteran or new to the DFS scene, this playbook is your guide to navigating the complexities of Tuesday's slate. In this playbook, we'll dissect the matchups, analyze player performance trends, and identify key factors that could impact the outcome of each game.
From identifying value plays to pinpointing high-upside stars, we'll provide the insights you need to construct lineups that maximize your chances of success. So, grab your spreadsheets, crunch those numbers, and let's dive into the world of MLB DFS picks for April 30th.
MLB DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook Today, April 30
MLB Weather Today, April 30
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets
- Rain in the area, could cause delay during the game. Will need further updates closer to roster lock.
MLB DFS Lineup Construction Thoughts
The top end pitching on this slate is strong with Peralta and Lopez in their matchups against the Rays and Mariners. The mid-tier lacks a lot of punch and there is an obvious value play with Simeon Woods Richardson going up against the White Sox.
Depending on how and where you save money will determine the lineup construction. I'm looking at targeting Hunter Brown with the Guardians lineup as a core stack today and think the Oakland A's could have some interesting pieces as a contrarian build against Mitch Keller who has really struggled since the second half of last season. This is also a slate where I look at the Minnesota Twins lefties even with their recent price increases.
Recommended MLB DFS Starting Pitchers
Top Options For Strikeouts
- Freddy Peralta vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- Reynaldo Lopez vs. Seattle Mariners
- Mitch Keller vs. Oakland Athletics
- Cole Ragans vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Best Odds For A Win
- Freddy Peralta vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- Reynaldo Lopez vs. Seattle Mariners
- Jon Gray vs. Washington Nationals
- Logan Webb vs. Boston Red Sox
- Simeon Woods Richardson vs. Chicago White Sox
Core MLB DFS Pitchers
Reynaldo Lopez, Atlanta Braves
We can't not go back to the well here with Lopez, especially in this matchup against the Seattle Mariners who boast the league's highest strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. Lopez has allowed two total earned runs this season with 24 strikeouts over 25 innings and Lopez is sitting as a Braves sit as road favorites today.
Freddy Peralta, Milwaukee Brewers
Top priced starter on this slate and getting most of the rostership today. The Rays offense has really struggled to start the season and we know Peralta can be a strikeout machine when he gets going. The Brewers are -185 home favorites here today which puts Peralta in a good spot to get the win here today.
Logan Webb, San Francisco Giants
The ground ball rates are insane for Webb right now and those ground balls are driving his recent run where he has allowed just three total runs over the last four games. The Red Sox offense has been better of late, and they are getting Vaughn Grissom and Garrett Cooper added to their lineup as soon as tonight, but I still have faith in Webb to limit the damage here and the Giants to score off the Red Sox pitching staff.
Simeon Woods Richardson, Minnesota Twins
He was the highest rostered pitcher when he started against the White Sox at min-price last time out and he met expectations. He's more expensive today but still the more popular value play on this slate. Yes, the White Sox offense have been scoring more runs lately than they were during the first few weeks, but SWR is a talented pitcher that can put up some decent strikeout numbers.
Recommended MLB DFS Hitters
Highest Expected Run Totals
- Houston Astros vs. Carlos Carrasco
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Jordan Montgomery
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox
- Texas Rangers vs. MacKenzie Gore
Core MLB DFS Hitters
Jose Ramirez, 3B Cleveland Guardians
If you have paid any attention to the season Astros pitcher Hunter Brown is having this year then you know why to expect a lot of Guardians in my lineups here today starting with Jose Ramirez whose ability to hit for power and steal bases gives him a ton of DFS upside on a night-to-night basis. As a switch-hitter, historically, this has been the stronger side of the split for Ramirez as well while lefties own a .462 wOBA, .580 slugging percentage and a .395 average against Hunter Brown this season.
Edouard Julien, 2B Minnesota Twins
It wasn't too long ago that Julien was cheaper on these DFS slates but when you hit .355 with three homers, one stolen base and an OPS of 1.201 over the last 10 games the cost goes up. We saw these hot streaks from Julien last season and the Twins lineups is again one of my favorite stacks today against White Sox starter Mike Soroka.
Trevor Larnach, OF Minnesota Twins
Sure, lets double up the Twins love here in the Core Plays section today. Larnach is hitting cleanup most days here for the Twins and has been on fire since being moved into their lineup, hitting .379 with two homers and an OPS of 1.096 on the season. He's still priced below $4,000 on DraftKings which makes him a nice bargain given the matchup.
Tyler Nevin, 3B/OF Oakland Athletics
If you watched the MLB DFS Preview Show you would have heard me call out the fact that I had been playing a lot of Nevin lately, which included last night and he once again came through with a homer and two RBI. He is dirt cheap and I don't think much of Alex Wood these days. Don't sleep on a near min-price play today that is hitting over .300 with an OPS over .900 over his last 10 games just because he plays on the Athletics.
Tune Into Today's MLB DFS Playbook Live Show At 4pm ET
Player Pool
$ Tier | SP | 1B | 2B | 3B | SS | OF |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
High | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
![]() | ![]() | |||||
![]() | ![]() | |||||
![]() | ||||||
Medium | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ||||
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ||||
![]() | ||||||
![]() | ||||||
Low | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ||
![]() | ![]() | |||||
![]() |
Stacks
Phillies | Johan Rojas | Alec Bohm | Kyle Schwarber | Bryce Harper |
![]() | 3100 | 4800 | 5500 | 5900 |
![]() | 2600 | 3700 | 3300 | 3500 |
Guardians | José Ramírez | Will Brennan | Steven Kwan | Josh Naylor |
![]() | 5800 | 3400 | 5000 | 5100 |
![]() | 4000 | 2800 | 3200 | 3600 |
Astros | Jose Altuve | Jeremy Peña | Kyle Tucker | Yordan Alvarez |
![]() | 5600 | 4600 | 5800 | 5600 |
![]() | 4000 | 3000 | 3900 | 3800 |
Twins | Ryan Jeffers | Trevor Larnach | Alex Kirilloff | Edouard Julien |
![]() | 4400 | 3800 | 4100 | 4400 |
![]() | 3500 | 3200 | 2900 | 3300 |
Athletics | Seth Brown | Brent Rooker | Esteury Ruiz | Tyler Nevin |
![]() | 3100 | 4000 | 4200 | 2400 |
![]() | 2300 | 3100 | 2800 | 2400 |
White Sox | Andrew Vaughn | Eloy Jiménez | Tommy Pham | Gavin Sheets |
![]() | 3000 | 3800 | 3200 | 3400 |
![]() | 2300 | 3000 | 2600 | 2700 |
Player News
Orioles manager Brandon Hyde told reporters that Zach Eflin (lat) is likely to return and start Sunday against the Angels
It was assumed that Eflin would be back this weekend, but now we have a concrete date. The 31-year-old may not be at full strength after throwing fewer than 60 pitches in his rehab start, but the Orioles feel confident enough to have the right-hander back on the bump for the series finale against the Angels.
Riley Greene is not in the lineup for the first game of a doubleheader against the Rockies on Thursday.
Greene will get a break and likely return to the lineup for the second game of the twin-billing. Zach McKinstry will get the start in left field while Greene rests.
Yu Darvish (elbow) is facing live hitters on Thursday.
Darvish has been throwing bullpen sessions and traveled to the team’s complex in Arizona to face live hitters on Thursday. It will be his first time facing live batters since a spring training appearance on March 13th. He will likely need a few sessions like this before the Padres can map out a rehab appearance timeline for him.
Adael Amador is starting at second base and batting ninth for the Rockies on Thursday.
Amador has now started three of the last four games at second base for the Rockies. He’s gone just 7-for-43 this season with 15 strikeouts in 16 games. He’s just 22 years old, so there is plenty of time for him to adjust to the MLB level, but he doesn’t need to be on redraft radars right now.
Jackson Holliday is playing second base and batting second for the Orioles on Thursday against the Twins.
With Cedric Mullins sitting out on Thursday, Gunnar Henderson will bat lead off, and Holliday will jump up from sixth in the order to second. Holliday is riding a hot streak right now, and the Orioles are taking advantage. This is likely just a one-game sample with no Mullins or Adley Rutschman in the lineup, but Rutschman has been struggling, so perhaps it could become a more permanent spot in the lineup for Holliday moving forward.
Endy Rodriguez (finger) had his splint removed this week.
Rodriguez suffered a lacerated right index finger on April 14th. Now that he is out of his splint, he “is playing catch and doing a slightly modified swing.” Once he can progress to taking full swings, we’ll have a better sense of the timeline for his return.