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If I hadn't witnessed this past week for myself, I wouldn't even believe it to be quite honest with you. The Playbook model says to fade Kershaw and he gets shelled against the Diamondbacks. It says to avoid Jordan Zimmermann against the Red Sox and he lasts just 2.1 innings. Then our formulas rate random starters like Daniel Norris and Shane Greene over Carlos Carrasco coming off of a 10 strikeout game and he gets knocked out of the game by a line drive in the first inning. Then we forecast the Kyle Seager breakout a couple of days ago and tell everyone to play Giancarlos Stanton despite him being 3-23 on the season. If you weren't a believer last year and didn't get your share of the $1.045 million that the Playbook won for our readers than maybe this magical start to the 2015 season changed your mind.
Or, maybe you will tell us about how you finished last in every contest you did yesterday, blame the Playbook yet provide absolutely no evidence you even took our advice. Either way, we welcome you to a Wednesday edition of the DFS MLB Playbook. Let's take a look at the early game action here as we get four games to choose from in a slate that will likely see a lot of overlay across the industry.
Here is the DFS MLB Playbook for Wednesday April 15th early games:
PLAYER | POSITION | ACES | FANDUEL | DRAFTKINGS | BREAKDOWN |
Trevor Bauer | P | 5,950 | 8,400 | 7,300 | Great upside play in pitcher friendly park |
Dan Haren | P | 5,650 | 7,500 | 6,900 | Safe play, should get a win |
Ryan Hanigan | C | 4,100 | 2,300 | 2,900 | .380 OBP Vs LHP |
Sandy Leon | C | 3,300 | 2,500 | 3,200 | Know Gio well, hits 120 pts higher Vs LH |
Geovany Soto | C | 4,000 | 2,200 | 2,500 | Hit HR & roped ball in last start |
Michael Morse | 1B | 4,500 | 3,300 | 4,200 | Getting hot, career .818 OPS Vs LHP |
Carlos Santana | 1B | 4,950 | 3,600 | 4,400 | Career OBP of .395 Vs LHP |
Dustin Pedroia | 2B | 5,100 | 3,400 | 4,100 | Really only solid choice at 2B here |
Danny Espinosa | 2B | 3,800 | 2,300 | 3,600 | 3-9, HR, 2B in last 3 games |
Adrian Beltre | 3B | 5,350 | 3,700 | 5,300 | 6-15 (.400) 3 HR Vs Santiago |
Martin Prado | 3B | 4,350 | 3,000 | 3,800 | 10-26 (.385) HR, 6 RBI Vs Stults |
Alexei Ramirez | SS | 4,600 | 3,000 | 4,000 | Fastball pitcher Vs fastball hitter |
Adeiny Hechavarria | SS | 3,950 | 2,400 | 3,500 | Hits 25 pts better Vs LHP |
Mike Trout | OF | 6,000 | 5,500 | 6,300 | Much easier to fit him in this slate |
Giancarlo Stanton | OF | 5,700 | 4,600 | 5,200 | Getthing hot as predicted yesterday |
Mookie Betts | OF | 4,900 | 3,200 | 4,300 | 3-9, HR, 6 RBI, 2 R, 3 SB in last 2 gms |
Hanley Ramirez | OF | 5,450 | 4,100 | 4,800 | Career .920 OPS Vs LHP |
Eric Young Jr. | OF | 4,050 | 2,600 | 3,100 | Value, 3-9, 3 SB's Vs Haren |
Michael Taylor | OF | 4,100 | 2,800 | 3,300 | Hit .319/.401/.577 Vs LHP in minors |