It is now Week 12 according to my calculations, and while there is a notable absence from the top tier, there are a whole lotta options in the middle tier to consider for your fantasy use this week. Let's get right to it, shall we?
Start 'em If You Own 'em | ||
Starting Pitcher | First Start/Opponent | Second Start/Opponent |
Masahiro Tanaka NYY | 6/17/2014 | 6/22/2014 |
| vs. TOR | vs. BAL |
| Marcus Stroman TOR | Wei-Yin Chen BAL |
Max Scherzer DET | 6/17/2014 | 6/22/2014 |
| vs. KC | @ CLE |
| Josh Tomlin CLE | |
Johnny Cueto CIN | 6/17/2014 | 6/22/2014 |
| @ PIT | vs. TOR |
| Brandon Cumpton PIT | Marcus Stroman TOR |
Julio Teheran ATL | 6/16/2014 | 6/21/2014 |
| vs. PHI | @ WAS |
| Cole Hamels PHI | Doug Fister WAS |
Adam Wainwright STL | 6/16/2014 | 6/21/2014 |
| vs. NYM | vs. PHI |
| Jacob deGrom NYM | Cole Hamels PHI |
Cole Hamels PHI | 6/16/2014 | 6/21/2014 |
| @ ATL | @ STL |
| Julio Teheran ATL | Adam Wainwright STL |
Jon Lester BOS | 6/17/2014 | 6/22/2014 |
| vs. MIN | @ OAK |
| Phil Hughes MIN | Tommy Milone OAK |
Michael Wacha STL | 6/17/2014 | 6/22/2014 |
| vs. NYM | vs. PHI |
| Jonathon Niese NYM | Kyle Kendrick PHI |
I say it every week, wind these guys up and let them go. The only one I hesitated about was Lester, but despite his recent struggles, I still trust him, unlike Verlander who has sunk to the bottom of the second tier. Fret not about match up opponent or venue, just put them in your lineup and let them pitch away.
UPDATE: Wainwright is being skipped on Monday, June 16, but is expected to pitch on Saturday, June 21.
Maybe Yes, Maybe No | ||
Starting Pitcher | First Start/Opponent | Second Start/Opponent |
Phil Hughes MIN | 6/17/2014 | 6/22/2014 |
| @ BOS | vs. CHW |
| Jon Lester BOS | John Danks CHW |
John Danks CHW | 6/17/2014 | 6/22/2014 |
| vs. SF | @ MIN |
| Matt Cain SF | Phil Hughes MIN |
Drew Pomeranz OAK | 6/16/2014 | 6/21/2014 |
| vs. TEX | vs. BOS |
| Colby Lewis TEX | Rubby De La Rosa BOS |
Tanner Roark WAS | 6/17/2014 | 6/22/2014 |
| vs. HOU | vs. ATL |
| Dallas Keuchel HOU | Ervin Santana ATL |
Tommy Milone OAK | 6/17/2014 | 6/22/2014 |
| vs. TEX | vs. BOS |
| Yu Darvish TEX | Jon Lester BOS |
Hyun-Jin Ryu LAD | 6/16/2014 | 6/22/2014 |
| vs. COL | @ SD |
| Tyler Matzek COL | Eric Stults SD |
Dallas Keuchel HOU | 6/17/2014 | 6/22/2014 |
| @ WAS | @ TB |
| Tanner Roark WAS | Erik Bedard TB |
Jonathon Niese NYM | 6/17/2014 | 6/22/2014 |
| @ STL | @ MIA |
| Michael Wacha STL | Jacob Turner MIA |
Jason Hammel CHC | 6/16/2014 | 6/22/2014 |
| @ MIA | vs. PIT |
| Tom Koehler MIA | Brandon Cumpton PIT |
Wei-Yin Chen BAL | 6/16/2014 | 6/22/2014 |
| @ TB | @ NYY |
| Masahiro Tanaka NYY | |
Jason Vargas KC | 6/16/2014 | 6/21/2014 |
| @ DET | vs. SEA |
| Justin Verlander DET | Chris Young SEA |
Josh Tomlin CLE | 6/17/2014 | 6/22/2014 |
| vs. LAA | vs. DET |
| Matt Shoemaker LAA | Max Scherzer DET |
Marcus Stroman TOR | 6/17/2014 | 6/22/2014 |
| @ NYY | @ CIN |
| Masahiro Tanaka NYY | Johnny Cueto CIN |
Jered Weaver LAA | 6/16/2014 | 6/21/2014 |
| @ CLE | vs. TEX |
| Trevor Bauer CLE | Nick Martinez P TEX |
Wily Peralta MIL | 6/16/2014 | 6/21/2014 |
| @ ARI | @ COL |
| Brandon McCarthy ARI | Juan Nicasio COL |
Trevor Bauer CLE | 6/16/2014 | 6/21/2014 |
| vs. LAA | vs. DET |
| Jered Weaver LAA | Justin Verlander DET |
Kyle Lohse MIL | 6/17/2014 | 6/22/2014 |
| @ ARI | @ COL |
| Wade Miley ARI | Tyler Matzek COL |
Tyson Ross SD | 6/16/2014 | 6/21/2014 |
| @ SEA | vs. LAD |
| Chris Young SEA | Josh Beckett LAD |
Wade Miley ARI | 6/17/2014 | 6/22/2014 |
| vs. MIL | vs. SF |
| Kyle Lohse MIL | |
Jacob deGrom NYM | 6/16/2014 | 6/21/2014 |
| @ STL | @ MIA |
| Adam Wainwright STL | Tom Koehler MIA |
Tom Koehler MIA | 6/16/2014 | 6/21/2014 |
| vs. CHC | vs. NYM |
| Jason Hammel CHC | Jacob deGrom NYM |
6/17/2014 | 6/22/2014 | |
| @ DET | vs. SEA |
| Max Scherzer DET | Roenis Elias SEA |
Erik Bedard TB | 6/17/2014 | 6/22/2014 |
| vs. BAL | vs. HOU |
| TBA | Dallas Keuchel HOU |
Kyle Kendrick PHI | 6/17/2014 | 6/22/2014 |
| @ ATL | @ STL |
| Ervin Santana ATL | Michael Wacha STL |
6/16/2014 | 6/21/2014 | |
| vs. BAL | vs. HOU |
| Wei-Yin Chen BAL | Brad Peacock HOU |
Chris Young SEA | 6/16/2014 | 6/21/2014 |
| vs. SD | @ KC |
| Tyson Ross SD | Jason Vargas KC |
Brandon McCarthy ARI | 6/16/2014 | 6/21/2014 |
| vs. MIL | vs. SF |
| Wily Peralta MIL | |
Ervin Santana ATL | 6/17/2014 | 6/22/2014 |
| vs. PHI | @ WAS |
| Kyle Kendrick PHI | Tanner Roark WAS |
Rubby De La Rosa BOS | 6/16/2014 | 6/21/2014 |
| vs. MIN | @ OAK |
| Kevin Correia MIN | Drew Pomeranz OAK |
Tyler Matzek COL | 6/16/2014 | 6/22/2014 |
| @ LAD | vs. MIL |
| Hyun-Jin Ryu LAD | Kyle Lohse MIL |
Justin Verlander DET | 6/16/2014 | 6/21/2014 |
| vs. KC | @ CLE |
| Jason Vargas KC | Trevor Bauer CLE |
Roenis Elias SEA | 6/17/2014 | 6/22/2014 |
| vs. SD | @ KC |
| Eric Stults SD |
Breaking down the middle tier, I see the first sub-tier as running from Hughes to Chen. Hughes rebounded from the blow up against Houston by pitching seven innings against the Jays and not allowing an earned run and racking up nine Ks. Danks is another starter that I am willing to get behind, especially after his correction of a mechanical flaw. Limiting long balls is another plus for him this season. Milone, Pomeranz and Roark have all been pitching well for some time now, although it would be nice if they could provide a steady source of strikeouts instead of just an occasional burst. Ryu is coming off a loss, but has a couple good match ups this week, so he is still in good graces.The final four of the top sub-tier are all solid SP options this period, even with Hammel's last start (11 hits, four earned runs in 5.0 IP) and the Ks are moderately dependable for all four pitchers.
The second sub-tier consists of those pitchers from Vargas until we reach Weaver. Vargas has put together a solid 4 start run, and the downward trend in walks with reasonable K rate makes him usable. Tomlin's excellent control continues to carry him, as do his decent whiff rates per game. Stroman is looking good, with a 17:2 K/BB ratio over 18 innings in his three starts, and doesn't look out of place on the mound despite his youth. His ownership percentage is growing weekly, so act fast if he is still available in your league. Weaver is iffy as far as a dependable starter, but when he is on, he is well worth starting. Problem is, who can tell when he will be on his game?
Sub-tier number three begins with Peralta and stops once we reach Koehler. Peralta has fallen off a tad recently, but picked things up in his last start in New York against the Mets. Facing the Diamondbacks is not a bad start to the week, and with Colorado struggling, the end of the week projects for a decent start, too. Baurer has shown better control over his last three starts, but still allows too many runs to be a dependable fantasy option on a regular basis. The lone K in his last start has to be an aberration, though. Lohse bounced back from an atrocious eight earned run start against Pittsburgh with an eight inning one run (unearned) appearance in New York vs the Mets, and is a decent option on the road facing Arizona and the Rockies, like his teammate Peralta. Ross will look to hold the Mariners and Dodgers to minimal earned runs and maintain his sub-3 ERA, but those match ups are not exactly great, so be cautious. Miley can toss the occasional gem, but this is not the week I'd be looking for a stellar set of performances, yet he can still give you good K results. deGrom has fallen off a bit, yielding three, four and three earned run over a three game stretch, which still isn't that shabby, but aside from an 11 K surprise against Philly, don't expect more than a few whiffs. Koehler rounds out the sub-tier, and with two home games, I like him, but temper my enthusiasm with the fear of limited innings and too many earned runs.
The final group consists of pitchers I just consider too inconsistent to trust at this point given their recent performances. I sort of expect the ups and downs from Ventura, Odorizzi, de la Rosa, Elias and Matzek, given their youth. Bedard, Kendrick and Young were all pitchers you figured had a regression in them. I am most disappointed with McCarthy, Santana, and especially Verlander. There is hope all three of these guys bounce back and quickly, and I am encouraged by Verlander's recent press conferences. Until they show me some positive results, however, they will be benched.
Not On My Roster | ||
Starting Pitcher | First Start/Opponent | Second Start/Opponent |
Colby Lewis TEX | 6/16/2014 | 6/22/2014 |
| @ OAK | @ LAA |
| Drew Pomeranz OAK | Matt Shoemaker LAA |
Jacob Turner MIA | 6/17/2014 | 6/22/2014 |
| vs. CHC | vs. NYM |
| Jeff Samardzija CHC | Jonathon Niese NYM |
Matt Shoemaker LAA | 6/17/2014 | 6/22/2014 |
| @ CLE | vs. TEX |
| Josh Tomlin CLE | Colby Lewis TEX |
Brandon Cumpton PIT | 6/17/2014 | 6/22/2014 |
| vs. CIN | @ CHC |
| Johnny Cueto CIN | Jason Hammel CHC |
Kevin Correia MIN | 6/16/2014 | 6/21/2014 |
| @ BOS | vs. CHW |
| Rubby De La Rosa BOS | Andre Rienzo CHW |
Eric Stults SD | 6/17/2014 | 6/22/2014 |
| @ SEA | vs. LAD |
| Roenis Elias SEA | Hyun-Jin Ryu LAD |
None of these pitchers will grace my roster, absent a huge turnaround in the near future. Lewis just isn't pitching deep enough to trust, and while Cumpton may demonstrate enough to move up a tier soon, I am not willing to put my fantasy team's fate in his hands as of yet.
Should you have questions regarding fantasy baseball, especially starting pitching, you can reach me at ia@fantasyalarm.com to continue the discussion.