Bills vs. Rams Predictions, Picks & Odds: NFL Week 14, Sunday 12/8
The Buffalo Bills became the first NFL team to lock up their division with a 10-2 record in a weak AFC East. The Los Angeles Rams, at 6-6 are still very much in the hunt for the NFC West as the division leading Seattle Seahawks at 7-5 face the Arizona Cardinals at 6-6. One team naturally has to take a loss in that one.
So we’ve got Buffalo sitting pretty this week, hoping to take the next step and get a bye week. And another in the Los Angeles with their back against the ropes. Situations like this make our Bills vs. Ram predictions all the tougher so we’ll dig into all of the stats, narratives, and injuries to get a read on this.
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Bills vs. Rams Predictions For NFL Week 14, Sunday 12/8
These two teams have not faced since 2022. And given how often these teams can change from week to week, let alone year to year, that doesn’t get us much of a data point to factor. It’s worth noting that the Bills have won the last three straight so the Rams haven’t won this matchup since they were in St. Louis.
The Bills have now won seven straight including a couple marquee matchups the last two weeks over the San Francisco 49ers and the Kansas City Chiefs. The Rams have won five of their last seven with the two losses coming against the Philadelphia Eagles and Miami Dolphins.
Buffalo Bills: A Balanced Attack
For four years the Bills leaned heavily on Stefon Diggs. He would routinely get 150+ targets and register ~70 first downs. This year they’ve opted for a more balanced attack, not just in terms of running and passes, but distributing the ball. No player on the Bill is currently on even a 100+ target pace.
On defense the Bills have been great and are only getting better as guys like Matt Milano return from injury. They currently rank 7th in defensive DVOA per FTN Fantasy thanks in part to a stout zone defense that keeps teams close to the line of scrimmage.
Los Angeles Rams: Healthy Weapons
The Rams are a totally different team when Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp are healthy, there’s no doubt about it. Guys like Tutu Atwell and Tyler Johnson filled in valiantly but this team is dangerous enough to beat anyone when Matthew Stafford, Puka Nacua, Cooper Kupp, and Kyren Williams are all healthy.
On defense the Rams haven’t been as reliable. There’s really no way to replace a guy like Aaron Donald though rookies Jared Verse and Brandon Fiske are doing their best. They’ve been a back half defense for most of the year though the linebackers have done a good job of limiting traffic over the middle.
Bills vs. Rams Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
As promised, the latest Bills vs. Rams odds can be found below courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook:
- Point Spread: Buffalo Bills -3.5 (-105) vs. Los Angeles Rams +3.5 (-115)
- Money Line: Buffalo Bills (-190) vs. Los Angeles Rams (+155)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 49.5 (-110) vs. Under 49.5 (-110)
Bills vs. Rams: Los Angeles Rams +3.5 (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
The Bills are a fantastic, well rounded team. And I doubt that they take their foot off the gas now that they have the division locked up. But they haven’t quite had all of their weapons healthy at the same time this year to get into a rhythm. We’ve yet to see a game with full snaps from Amari Cooper, Keon Coleman, and Dalton Kincaid. Coleman and Kincaid are still working their way through a wrist and knee issue.
The Rams have been in this position multiple times this year where they “have to have it”. Before the trade deadline there were even rumors of trading Cooper Kupp which saw them respond in a big way. Matthew Stafford and his weapons - especially Puka Nacua - do a tremendous job against zone defense. With their back against the ropes and the division lead in sight, this is a bet on Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay’s ability to fist fight and keep it close when they need to. Since we can get the hook at 3.5 without overpaying, we’ll take it with the Rams at home.
Bills vs. Rams Injury Report & Latest News
Finally, let’s take a quick look at the projected starting lineups for both teams heading into tonight’s matchup:
BUF Bills
- DT DeWayne Carter - Questionable
- WR Keon Coleman - Questionable
- TE Dalton Kincaid - Questionable
- T Tylan Grable - Questionable
- TE Quintin Morris - Questionable
LAR - Rams
- TE Tyler Higbee - Out
- OL KT Leveston - Out
- OT Alaric Jackson - Questionable
- LB Jared Verse - Questionable
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Player News
Bills LT Dion Dawkins (illness) did not participate in Wednesday’s practice.
Bills opened LB Baylon Spector’s 21-day practice window to return from injured reserve.
Eagles C Cam Jurgens (back) did not practice on Wednesday.
Ravens signed WR Anthony Miller to a reserve/futures contract.
A.J. Brown (knee/rest) was limited in Wednesday’s practice.
Eagles WR/PR Britain Covey (neck) was limited in Wednesday’s practice.