Bills vs. Rams Predictions, Picks & Odds: NFL Week 14, Sunday 12/8

The Buffalo Bills became the first NFL team to lock up their division with a 10-2 record in a weak AFC East. The Los Angeles Rams, at 6-6 are still very much in the hunt for the NFC West as the division leading Seattle Seahawks at 7-5 face the Arizona Cardinals at 6-6. One team naturally has to take a loss in that one.
So we’ve got Buffalo sitting pretty this week, hoping to take the next step and get a bye week. And another in the Los Angeles with their back against the ropes. Situations like this make our Bills vs. Ram predictions all the tougher so we’ll dig into all of the stats, narratives, and injuries to get a read on this.
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Bills vs. Rams Predictions For NFL Week 14, Sunday 12/8
These two teams have not faced since 2022. And given how often these teams can change from week to week, let alone year to year, that doesn’t get us much of a data point to factor. It’s worth noting that the Bills have won the last three straight so the Rams haven’t won this matchup since they were in St. Louis.
The Bills have now won seven straight including a couple marquee matchups the last two weeks over the San Francisco 49ers and the Kansas City Chiefs. The Rams have won five of their last seven with the two losses coming against the Philadelphia Eagles and Miami Dolphins.
Buffalo Bills: A Balanced Attack
For four years the Bills leaned heavily on Stefon Diggs. He would routinely get 150+ targets and register ~70 first downs. This year they’ve opted for a more balanced attack, not just in terms of running and passes, but distributing the ball. No player on the Bill is currently on even a 100+ target pace.
On defense the Bills have been great and are only getting better as guys like Matt Milano return from injury. They currently rank 7th in defensive DVOA per FTN Fantasy thanks in part to a stout zone defense that keeps teams close to the line of scrimmage.
Los Angeles Rams: Healthy Weapons
The Rams are a totally different team when Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp are healthy, there’s no doubt about it. Guys like Tutu Atwell and Tyler Johnson filled in valiantly but this team is dangerous enough to beat anyone when Matthew Stafford, Puka Nacua, Cooper Kupp, and Kyren Williams are all healthy.
On defense the Rams haven’t been as reliable. There’s really no way to replace a guy like Aaron Donald though rookies Jared Verse and Brandon Fiske are doing their best. They’ve been a back half defense for most of the year though the linebackers have done a good job of limiting traffic over the middle.
Bills vs. Rams Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
As promised, the latest Bills vs. Rams odds can be found below courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook:
- Point Spread: Buffalo Bills -3.5 (-105) vs. Los Angeles Rams +3.5 (-115)
- Money Line: Buffalo Bills (-190) vs. Los Angeles Rams (+155)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 49.5 (-110) vs. Under 49.5 (-110)
Bills vs. Rams: Los Angeles Rams +3.5 (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
The Bills are a fantastic, well rounded team. And I doubt that they take their foot off the gas now that they have the division locked up. But they haven’t quite had all of their weapons healthy at the same time this year to get into a rhythm. We’ve yet to see a game with full snaps from Amari Cooper, Keon Coleman, and Dalton Kincaid. Coleman and Kincaid are still working their way through a wrist and knee issue.
The Rams have been in this position multiple times this year where they “have to have it”. Before the trade deadline there were even rumors of trading Cooper Kupp which saw them respond in a big way. Matthew Stafford and his weapons - especially Puka Nacua - do a tremendous job against zone defense. With their back against the ropes and the division lead in sight, this is a bet on Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay’s ability to fist fight and keep it close when they need to. Since we can get the hook at 3.5 without overpaying, we’ll take it with the Rams at home.
Bills vs. Rams Injury Report & Latest News
Finally, let’s take a quick look at the projected starting lineups for both teams heading into tonight’s matchup:
BUF Bills
- DT DeWayne Carter - Questionable
- WR Keon Coleman - Questionable
- TE Dalton Kincaid - Questionable
- T Tylan Grable - Questionable
- TE Quintin Morris - Questionable
LAR - Rams
- TE Tyler Higbee - Out
- OL KT Leveston - Out
- OT Alaric Jackson - Questionable
- LB Jared Verse - Questionable
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Player News
Panthers released TE Jordan Matthews.
Matthews converted to tight end a few years ago and hasn’t made much noise at the position. The change has, however, likely kept him in the league for a few more seasons. He appeared in four games with the Panthers last year but didn’t record any stats on offense. The Panthers also released or waived WR Dax Milne, C Andrew Raym, and TE Colin Granger.
Dolphins released LS Blake Ferguson.
The team also waived CB Ryan Cooper Jr., DT Neil Farrell and OL Chasen Hines. Ferguson has been the team’s long snapper for five seasons and earned a three-year contract extension just before the 2023 season. He should be able to find work snapping footballs farther than the average snap elsewhere in the league.
DetroitLions.com’s Tim Twentyman believes rookie WR Isaac TeSlaa “could make his earliest impact on special teams.”
It’s not much of a surprise, as most rookies cut their teeth with special teams duties. Twentyman mentioned return duties as a possibility, though the former Razorback never returned kicks or punts in college. At 6'4/212 with 4.43 wheels, TeSlaa is an explosive athlete who never translated his physical traits to on-field production at Arkansas. The Lions clearly saw potential for him to do so in the pros and traded two future third-round picks to move up to No. 70 overall for him. It’s going to be a slow burn for TeSlaa in the pros, making him a dynasty-only fantasy option.
Vikings head coach Kevin O’Connell said the team does not “have any feelings on competition” when asked about the quarterback room.
O’Connell was asked about a potential quarterback competition on the Rich Eisen Show Wednesday and was unclear on whether J.J. McCarthy would have to compete to start. He said, “we’ve got an obligation as coaches to put our players in position to attack that competition phase.” O’Connell discussed first putting Brett Rypien and the newly acquired Sam Howell in a position to play before any competition would occur. He continued that McCarthy is “owning it” this offseason and is taking snaps from starting center Ryan Kelly. After missing last season with a torn meniscus, McCarthy has been ramping up workouts in the offseason and is the front-runner to start for the Vikings in 2025. As of now, Howell looks to be reinforcement at the backup spot in case it turns out McCarthy is not ready to start.
Texans re-signed DT Foley Fatukasi.
Fatukasi initially joined the Texans last offseason on a one-year contract. The 30-year-old was a rotational defensive lineman, tallying four tackles for loss and one sack. He returns to Houston for 2025, where he will be a part of a deep Texans front seven.
NFL Network’s Tom Pelissero reports Tyreek Hill’s second wrist surgery was part of the original plan and his timeline remains unchanged.
Hill announced the second surgery on social media and Pelissero quickly added some context to the situation. The speedy receiver suffered the wrist injury just before the start of the season and it lingered throughout the year, though he never missed a game because of it. If the second surgery truly is a non-story, an offseason to recover might be what Hill needs to return to form after a down 2024 season. On the other hand, Hill is 31 years old, played his worst football last year, and his offense prioritized targets for Jonnu Smith and De’Von Achane. As it stands, Hill might have the highest risk-reward split in fantasy drafts.