2024 NFL Pick Em Confidence Pools Strategy & Advice: Week 15 Predictions
NFL Week 15 has arrived which means it’s time to make those picks for our 2024 NFL Pick Em Confidence Pools.
We have a fantastic match-up to start the week as the Los Angeles Rams head north to take on the San Francisco 49ers on Thursday Night Football. There’s a lot going on in this game as the 49ers backfield situation remains a bit of a mystery right now.
They’ve lost Christian McCaffrey, they’ve lost Jordan Mason and last week, they lost Isaac Guerendo to a foot sprain. But recent reports indicate that Guerendo could play, so we could see a shared backfield with him and Patrick Taylor.
How will that affect our picks for 2024 NFL Pick Em Confidence pools? Probably not as much as you think. Despite the Rams beating the Bills and the question marks surrounding the 49ers on offense, San Francisco is still favored by three. Vegas is telling me exactly what I need to know. The rest of my picks are below.
2024 NFL Pick Em Confidence Pools Strategy For Week 15
I know I’m starting to sound like a broken record here, but the general confidence pool advice and strategy is the same from here on out. Your place in the standings of your 2024 NFL Pick Em Confidence pool is what matters most.
Near the top? My standard confidence pool advice is to simply lean into the chalk. We continue to see a lot of favorites walk away with the win over the past few weeks, so keep your place in the standings and lean into it.
Are you in the middle of the pack? If so and you feel like you can still move up, you’re going to have to continue taking some chances. Be honest with yourself. Be objective. The time for hoping and wishing is gone.
It’s Week 15 after all. If you truly think you can move into the money, maybe increase the confidence level of some of the less-chalky picks and see if you can move up. If you don’t think so, then keep reading as we can alter our strategy.
If you’re at the bottom, you should have checked your 2024 NFL Pick Em Confidence pool rules to see if there is a second-half prize or even a weekly payout to chase. With everyone near the top leaning into the chalk, your chances of moving that far up are probably pretty slim. If you can steal a weekly payout or two over the next few weeks, chances are you can finish the season in the black.
Last week, we went 11-2 with our picks and came pretty close to winning the week. If there is no weekly payout, then use these final few weeks to practice and see what changes in your process are potentially needed.
NFL Pick Em Confidence Pools Advice
In truth, there is not much more to add to my current confidence pool advice other than what you just read. At the top, you want to wait for some real good games to try and make a move with a contrarian pick.
In the middle, it’s about adjusting your confidence levels on some picks that could go either way – maybe games like Thursday’s Rams/49ers or Panthers/Cowboys, for example. Or even the Dolphins/Texans where I’m looking at a potential upset.
If you don’t think you can finish top-10 then it’s time to look for other ways to make money off the pool. Most have a weekly payout, so lean into it. Here are my picks for Week 15 of your 2024 NFL Pick Em Confidence pools.
NFL Week 15 Confidence Pools Expert Picks
| Game | Pick | Confidence # | Money Line |
| Baltimore Ravens at New York Giants | Ravens | 16 | -1400 |
| Washington Commanders at New Orleans Saints | Commanders | 15 | -400 |
| Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings | Vikings | 14 | -350 |
| Atlanta Falcons at Las Vegas Raiders | Falcons | 13 | -205 |
| Kansas City Chiefs at Cleveland Browns | Chiefs | 12 | -225 |
| Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers | 49ers | 11 | -150 |
| New England Patriots at Arizona Cardinals | Cardinals | 10 | -250 |
| Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos | Broncos | 9 | -200 |
| Miami Dolphins at Houston Texans | Dolphins | 8 | 125 |
| New York Jets at Jacksonville Jaguars | Jets | 7 | -185 |
| Dallas Cowboys at Carolina Panthers | Panthers | 6 | -145 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers at Philadelphia Eagles | Eagles | 5 | -225 |
| Cincinnati Bengals at Tennessee Titans | Bengals | 4 | -250 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Los Angeles Chargers | Chargers | 3 | -150 |
| Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks | Packers | 2 | -150 |
| Buffalo Bills at Detroit Lions | Lions | 1 | -145 |
Player News
Dolphins signed No. 13 overall pick DT Kenneth Grant to a four-year contract.
ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler reports that Grant will sign his contract today. The former Michigan defensive tackle is expected to fill a major void left by Christian Wilkins, who left for the Raiders in the 2024 offseason. Grant totaled 32 tackles, three sacks, and seven TFLs in his final season at Michigan and excelled at stopping the run while also generating 27 pressures in his final season, per PFF.
Beat reporter John Hendrix reports that free agent WR Donovan Peoples-Jones is among the 16 players that the Saints will host for their rookie minicamp.
Peoples-Jones last played regular season snaps with the Lions back in 2023, when he caught 13-of-24 targets for 155 yards. He is highly unlikely to return to fantasy relevance at this point but could perhaps sign on as a special teams contributor.
Titans signed fourth-round pick WR Elic Ayomanor to a four-year contract.
Ayomanor will now begin learning behind Calvin Ridley. Although Ayomanor is unlikely to find a meaningful role in year one, dynasty managers should note his status as training camp gets underway this summer. The former Stanford receiver flashed big-play ability in his two college seasons.
Buccaneers signed seventh-round pick WR Tez Johnson to a four-year contract.
Johnson will serve as a rotational deep-threat option for Baker Mayfield. His thin frame (5'10/154) simply does not lend itself to the repeated hits one incurs in a full-time role. Johnson did earn 100-plus targets in his two seasons at Oregon, though. His big-play style make him a better fit in best ball for now, pending any major on-field breakthroughs.
Giants waived DT Casey Rogers.
Rogers was a 2024 undrafted free agent and logged 33 defensive snaps for the Giants in his rookie season. He is credited with zero tackles and/or sacks. He may find his way onto another roster as a practice squad option.
Vikings signed third-round pick WR Tai Felton to a four-year contract.
Felton is quietly in play to challenge Vikings No. 3 WR Jalen Nailor in training camp. Nailor (5'11/190) caught 28-of-42 targets for 414 yards and six touchdowns in his first season as a starter last year, with the latter category buoying his fantasy productivity. Felton (6'1/183), meanwhile, caught 96-of-143 targets for 1,119 yards and nine touchdowns while averaging 2.32 yards per route run in his final college season. Fantasy managers should monitor Felton’s training camp reports this summer, as he could have a matchup-based WR5 role if everything falls into place.