Happy Tuesday, March 4th, we have a seven-game NBA DFS main slate on DraftKings and FanDuel.

The stars are out as Giannis Antetokounmpo, Donovan Mitchell, Anthony Edwards, and Trae Young are taking the floor. Some names that are questionable are Karl-Anthony Towns, Paul George and Josh Giddey.

 

 

 

Before actually diving into the meat and potatoes, welcome to the NBA DFS season. If this is your first time reading our column on NBA DFS picks, I just want to welcome you and give you a few tips and tricks on what you should be looking for each night.

  • News outlets: reliable sources that give us injury news & starting lineups
  • Pace of play: who's playing fast vs. who's playing slow. Which teams get a pace-up spot (more possessions) vs. pace-down (fewer possessions)
  • Usage rates: is a percentage of how many plays that player is being used in
  • NBA DFS Projections
  • Lineup Generator
  • NBA Ownership

NBA DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook Today, March 4th

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Pre/Post-Lock Update

This section will be used for anything that changes from the morning until right up to roster lock. 

Injury updates, players we’re higher on than we were in the morning and so much more.

2:30 pm ET

  • With Tyrese Maxey OUT, it's interesting to look at who they start at PG. Jeff Dowtin has been operating as the backup point-guard recently and the one game in February that Maxey missed, Jared Butler started.
  • We should see massive Kelly Oubre minutes here. Definitely fine.

6:30 pm ET

NBA Injuries, News & Updates Today, 3/4

 

 

 

NBA DFS Slate & Game Overviews

In the section below, I’m listing the most notable things we need to look at in Las Vegas, including notable O/U and spreads. Not every game is listed, but every game listed has the pace and defensive numbers listed.

 

 

NBA DFS Core Player Pool & Lineup Picks

Here are the core players I’m looking at for my NBA DFS picks tonight. You can see the full analysis of tonight’s NBA DFS projections and player pool below or skip ahead to building the best lineups possible by locking these into the aforementioned lineup generator now.

High

Mid

Value

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Pos
(Click to sort ascending)
Player
(Click to sort ascending)
Matchup
(Click to sort ascending)
DK
(Click to sort ascending)
DK Pts
(Click to sort ascending)
FD
(Click to sort ascending)
FD Pts
(Click to sort ascending)
PGTrae YoungMIL @ ATL Tue 7:301000047.8940043.6

Trae Young stunk last night but we get to run it back again today. He simply couldn't make a shot last night but the peripheral stats were great. With everyone out/traded, Young gets a 2% USG bump up to 31% and he averages 1.2 FP/min.

Game Type: GPP
PGDamian LillardMIL @ ATL Tue 7:30900047.3890045.2

Milwaukee's down a bunch of pieces tonight and Damian Lillard always has a ceiling. Without Kuzma, Portis and a traded Middleton, Lillard has a 27% USG and averages 1.2 FP/min in an elite paced game.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGTyrese HaliburtonHOU @ IND Tue 7:00860044.6930044

It's a really tough spot but Tyrese Haliburton has been an elite fantasy asset since the All-Star break. Haliburton has a 20% USG over that span and has averaged 1.55 FP/min. The FP/min are ELITE hard to ignore for someone sub-9K.

Game Type: GPP
PGJosh GiddeyCLE @ CHI Tue 8:008400087000

Giddey's just simply been an elite fantasy producer but we need to know if he's playing or not. Giddey, without Vuc and LaVine this year, has a 23% USG and averages nearly 1.4 FP/min. If the Bulls have any chance at keeping pace with Cleveland, Giddey spearheads that.

Game Type: GPP
PGStephon CastleBKN @ SAS Tue 8:30610032.1630031.4

The last three games for Stephon Castle has given us a glimpse into what's to come from the young up and coming superstar. Castle has posted at least 25% USG, 22 points, and has had 3+ rebounds, 3+ assists, and 40+ DKP in all three. Twice he's popped for 32% USG or higher. We should continue to see his role look like this.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGDonte DiVincenzoPHI @ MIN Tue 8:00550027.4580026.3

There are a lot of paths to success here for DDV and the minutes have looked good since returning from injury. He would've approached 29 minutes if he didn't lose garbage time last time out. He could start if Julius Randle sits and has had 27+ DKP in three straight, including 36 and 43 in the last two.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGMiles McBrideGSW @ NYK Tue 7:30380023.7430023.5

I found this play a bit interesting and it's a GPP only play, but the Knicks have extended Miles McBride in back-to-back games, including closing with him over Bridges last game. McBride can really get it going from three, knocking down three threes in two straight and has scored 12+ actual in each. 

Game Type: GPP
SGAnthony EdwardsPHI @ MIN Tue 8:00930047.3960044.9

Massive ceiling. Really solid floor. Really great matchup against a bottom-10 defense.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGCoby WhiteCLE @ CHI Tue 8:00660042.5700040.2

Things have definitely been trending in the right direction for Coby White lately as the scoring is trending upwards. He's scored 19+ points in three straight and four of five, 15+ in all five. He's had 36+ DKP in four of five and without Vucevic, LaVine, and Williams, he has a 25.6% USG and averages 1.08 FP/min.

Game Type: GPP
SGQuentin GrimesPHI @ MIN Tue 8:00600033.8610032.5

There are question marks everywhere you turn in Philly but the last two games for Grimes have been awesome. He's played at least 37 minutes in each and has poured in 33+ DKP. He posted at least 22% USG for a second consecutive game too, and who knows who's actually playing for Philly tonight outside of Grimes.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGDevin VassellBKN @ SAS Tue 8:30560029620028.7

After hitting a rut, Devin Vassell is climbing out of it lately and has been better offensively. He's scored 15+ points in three of four games and has at least 30 DKP in each of them and for a guy who's 5.6K, that's too cheap. He has a 25% USG (2% bump) without Wemby this year and averages .93 FP/min. Brooklyn plays slow, but they're 23rd in DRtg.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGCaris LeVertMIL @ ATL Tue 7:30520026.5560026.2

It's solid productive for Caris LeVert since arriving in ATL as the minutes are trending in the right direction and so is the fantasy value. He sits at 1.03 FP/min and averages 21.4% USG. He's essentially been in the closing lineup four straight games outside of one garbage time he lost out on. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFJosh HartGSW @ NYK Tue 7:30770037.2790037.1

There is no bad game that will ever keep me from playing Josh Hart in the next game. Never. He's over a FP/min on the year and is a triple-double threat on a night-to-night basis.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFPaul GeorgePHI @ MIN Tue 8:00740038.8790038.3

Without Joel Embiid out, Paul George has been solid this year averaging 1.13 FP/min and 26.9% USG. The team might also be without Tyrese Maxey, so it could be Paul George and friends.

Game Type: GPP
SFOG AnunobyGSW @ NYK Tue 7:30610032.8660033.1

The production for OG is all over the place, but he's put up 35+ DKP in three straight games. The wide range of outcomes keeps him as a GPP play only play unless KAT sits.  

Game Type: GPP
SFDe'Andre HunterCLE @ CHI Tue 8:00530030.3560029

Hunter's been a 20% USG and 1.03 FP/min player in a Cavs uniform without Evan Mobley this year. He's the most likely candidate to start with Mobley sidelined here and in a start last time out, putting up 45 DKP.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFZaccharie RisacherMIL @ ATL Tue 7:30480024.2530024.1

Georges Niang is off the injury report, so that's worth noting, but we're starting to get a pretty good version of Risacher. He scored 27 actual and 40 DKP last night and is in a 241 implied point total. He's played 25+ minutes in five straight and 31+ in two in a row.

Game Type: GPP
PFGiannis AntetokounmpoMIL @ ATL Tue 7:301100054.91170053.1

Yes. Giannis. Yes. Play him. Yes. Solid. 32 minutes is enough. Yes. Best spend on the slate.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFPaolo BancheroTOR @ ORL Tue 7:00820045860043.6

Banchero gets another crack at the Raptors here. We'll see if he can take advantage because he'll be lower owned than normal. He has a 34.6% USG and averages 1.22 FP/min and Toronto is 24th in DRtg.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFJulius RandlePHI @ MIN Tue 8:00650035.3670033.8

I have a REALLY hard time not playing Julius Randle at this price, especially if they're going to throw him out there for mid-30's minutes like they did in his return. Elite spot, elite price, elite play. Reason I coverboy'd him on today's playbook.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFMatas BuzelisCLE @ CHI Tue 8:004700054000

Things are trending up for Matas Buzelis of late and he's posted at least 20% USG in four of his last five games and will continue to have that opportunity with Nikola Vucevic out. They're also potentially without a lot of other rotation pieces. I like the price.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFKeldon JohnsonBKN @ SAS Tue 8:30460023.8520023.3

Keldon Johnson's a mixed bag of results but has been much more consistent lately. Without Wemby on the year, Johnson's averaged 1 FP/min and sits at a solid 23% USG. He has 30 minute upside when he's feeling it offensively.

Game Type: GPP
CKarl-Anthony TownsGSW @ NYK Tue 7:309800095000

Towns has a 27% USG and averages 1.44 FP/min, which is second and first on the team respectively. He's questionable, but his size is going to be an issue for Golden State.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CMyles TurnerHOU @ IND Tue 7:00640035.8680036.2

Apparently the All-Star break was all Myles Turner needed because he's been great. Turner has a 20.3% USG and has averaged 1.16 FP/min. He's nearly a 1.1 FP/min player without Ben Mathurin this year.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
COnyeka OkongwuMIL @ ATL Tue 7:30620035.6710036.3

Okongwu is too cheap ok DK for his price on DK as he continues to be good while on the floor. He's been a 1.15 FP/min player and he's put up 34+ DKP in five straight. This game environment is elite too.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CJarrett AllenCLE @ CHI Tue 8:00620035.9700035.2

We should feel much more confidence in Jarrett Allen in a closing lineup (if the game is close) without Evan Mobley

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CAndre DrummondPHI @ MIN Tue 8:00500037.9580037.1

Drummond has absolutely smashed at this price lately. SMASHED. 31+ DKP in three straight, back-to-back double-doubles and had a 25 point, 18 rebound game yesterday. Without Embiid, he's going to continue to be extended at center.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGJames HardenLAC @ PHX Tue 10:0044.5920042.7

FD ONLY - Harden's really good without Simmons, Powell, and Jones as he's posted a robust 37% USG and 1.4 FP/min. Harden sees a +6.5% USG bump against a bottom-five defense.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFKawhi LeonardLAC @ PHX Tue 10:0042810041.4

FD ONLY - It's hard to imagine not liking a player that gets a 10% USG bump without other key pieces. In 113 minutes without the three out, Leonard has a 38.9% USG and 1.25 FP/min on the year.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CIvica ZubacLAC @ PHX Tue 10:0039.6770038.6

FD ONLY - Zubac is in a good spot and is a FP/min player. The Clippers need to win as they're clinging onto the 6th seed, and are going to extend their starters for heavy minutes.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGBogdan BogdanovićLAC @ PHX Tue 10:0024.8460023.8

FD ONLY - If we see Bodanovic start, there's a case for him to be a core play at this price. He's only 4.6K and he took a boatload of shots after starting the second half in place of Norman Powell. He's posted at least 21% USG in five of six games since the All-Star break.

Game Type: GPP
SFLeBron JamesNOP @ LAL Tue 10:3050.51000048.5

FD ONLY - I really like LeBron James at 10K on FD in the spot against the Pelicans. The Pelicans are a bottom feeding defense ranking 29th on that end. He's an elite FP/min player.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFKelly OlynykNOP @ LAL Tue 10:3027.5560026.9

FD ONLY - Kelly O has been a fantastic FP/min guy. 1.2 FP/min with the Pelicans.. ELITE stuff. The minutes being at 26 are solid and he's put up 26+ FDP in four straight games.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGKris DunnLAC @ PHX Tue 10:0027.5520028.9

FD ONLY - I like the minutes from Kris Dunn lately. He should top 30 in the starting lnieup and is coming off some big games. In six of his last eight he's put up at least 26 DKP. His stocks on FD make him VERY appealing.

Game Type: GPP
10000 , 47.8
47.8
9400 , 43.6
43.6

Trae Young stunk last night but we get to run it back again today. He simply couldn't make a shot last night but the peripheral stats were great. With everyone out/traded, Young gets a 2% USG bump up to 31% and he averages 1.2 FP/min.

Game Type: GPP
9000 , 47.3
47.3
8900 , 45.2
45.2

Milwaukee's down a bunch of pieces tonight and Damian Lillard always has a ceiling. Without Kuzma, Portis and a traded Middleton, Lillard has a 27% USG and averages 1.2 FP/min in an elite paced game.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
8600 , 44.6
44.6
9300 , 44
44

It's a really tough spot but Tyrese Haliburton has been an elite fantasy asset since the All-Star break. Haliburton has a 20% USG over that span and has averaged 1.55 FP/min. The FP/min are ELITE hard to ignore for someone sub-9K.

Game Type: GPP
8400 , 0
0
8700 , 0
0

Giddey's just simply been an elite fantasy producer but we need to know if he's playing or not. Giddey, without Vuc and LaVine this year, has a 23% USG and averages nearly 1.4 FP/min. If the Bulls have any chance at keeping pace with Cleveland, Giddey spearheads that.

Game Type: GPP
6100 , 32.1
32.1
6300 , 31.4
31.4

The last three games for Stephon Castle has given us a glimpse into what's to come from the young up and coming superstar. Castle has posted at least 25% USG, 22 points, and has had 3+ rebounds, 3+ assists, and 40+ DKP in all three. Twice he's popped for 32% USG or higher. We should continue to see his role look like this.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5500 , 27.4
27.4
5800 , 26.3
26.3

There are a lot of paths to success here for DDV and the minutes have looked good since returning from injury. He would've approached 29 minutes if he didn't lose garbage time last time out. He could start if Julius Randle sits and has had 27+ DKP in three straight, including 36 and 43 in the last two.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
3800 , 23.7
23.7
4300 , 23.5
23.5

I found this play a bit interesting and it's a GPP only play, but the Knicks have extended Miles McBride in back-to-back games, including closing with him over Bridges last game. McBride can really get it going from three, knocking down three threes in two straight and has scored 12+ actual in each. 

Game Type: GPP
9300 , 47.3
47.3
9600 , 44.9
44.9

Massive ceiling. Really solid floor. Really great matchup against a bottom-10 defense.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6600 , 42.5
42.5
7000 , 40.2
40.2

Things have definitely been trending in the right direction for Coby White lately as the scoring is trending upwards. He's scored 19+ points in three straight and four of five, 15+ in all five. He's had 36+ DKP in four of five and without Vucevic, LaVine, and Williams, he has a 25.6% USG and averages 1.08 FP/min.

Game Type: GPP
6000 , 33.8
33.8
6100 , 32.5
32.5

There are question marks everywhere you turn in Philly but the last two games for Grimes have been awesome. He's played at least 37 minutes in each and has poured in 33+ DKP. He posted at least 22% USG for a second consecutive game too, and who knows who's actually playing for Philly tonight outside of Grimes.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5600 , 29
29
6200 , 28.7
28.7

After hitting a rut, Devin Vassell is climbing out of it lately and has been better offensively. He's scored 15+ points in three of four games and has at least 30 DKP in each of them and for a guy who's 5.6K, that's too cheap. He has a 25% USG (2% bump) without Wemby this year and averages .93 FP/min. Brooklyn plays slow, but they're 23rd in DRtg.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5200 , 26.5
26.5
5600 , 26.2
26.2

It's solid productive for Caris LeVert since arriving in ATL as the minutes are trending in the right direction and so is the fantasy value. He sits at 1.03 FP/min and averages 21.4% USG. He's essentially been in the closing lineup four straight games outside of one garbage time he lost out on. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7700 , 37.2
37.2
7900 , 37.1
37.1

There is no bad game that will ever keep me from playing Josh Hart in the next game. Never. He's over a FP/min on the year and is a triple-double threat on a night-to-night basis.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7400 , 38.8
38.8
7900 , 38.3
38.3

Without Joel Embiid out, Paul George has been solid this year averaging 1.13 FP/min and 26.9% USG. The team might also be without Tyrese Maxey, so it could be Paul George and friends.

Game Type: GPP
6100 , 32.8
32.8
6600 , 33.1
33.1

The production for OG is all over the place, but he's put up 35+ DKP in three straight games. The wide range of outcomes keeps him as a GPP play only play unless KAT sits.  

Game Type: GPP
5300 , 30.3
30.3
5600 , 29
29

Hunter's been a 20% USG and 1.03 FP/min player in a Cavs uniform without Evan Mobley this year. He's the most likely candidate to start with Mobley sidelined here and in a start last time out, putting up 45 DKP.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4800 , 24.2
24.2
5300 , 24.1
24.1

Georges Niang is off the injury report, so that's worth noting, but we're starting to get a pretty good version of Risacher. He scored 27 actual and 40 DKP last night and is in a 241 implied point total. He's played 25+ minutes in five straight and 31+ in two in a row.

Game Type: GPP
11000 , 54.9
54.9
11700 , 53.1
53.1

Yes. Giannis. Yes. Play him. Yes. Solid. 32 minutes is enough. Yes. Best spend on the slate.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
8200 , 45
45
8600 , 43.6
43.6

Banchero gets another crack at the Raptors here. We'll see if he can take advantage because he'll be lower owned than normal. He has a 34.6% USG and averages 1.22 FP/min and Toronto is 24th in DRtg.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6500 , 35.3
35.3
6700 , 33.8
33.8

I have a REALLY hard time not playing Julius Randle at this price, especially if they're going to throw him out there for mid-30's minutes like they did in his return. Elite spot, elite price, elite play. Reason I coverboy'd him on today's playbook.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4700 , 0
0
5400 , 0
0

Things are trending up for Matas Buzelis of late and he's posted at least 20% USG in four of his last five games and will continue to have that opportunity with Nikola Vucevic out. They're also potentially without a lot of other rotation pieces. I like the price.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4600 , 23.8
23.8
5200 , 23.3
23.3

Keldon Johnson's a mixed bag of results but has been much more consistent lately. Without Wemby on the year, Johnson's averaged 1 FP/min and sits at a solid 23% USG. He has 30 minute upside when he's feeling it offensively.

Game Type: GPP
9800 , 0
0
9500 , 0
0

Towns has a 27% USG and averages 1.44 FP/min, which is second and first on the team respectively. He's questionable, but his size is going to be an issue for Golden State.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6400 , 35.8
35.8
6800 , 36.2
36.2

Apparently the All-Star break was all Myles Turner needed because he's been great. Turner has a 20.3% USG and has averaged 1.16 FP/min. He's nearly a 1.1 FP/min player without Ben Mathurin this year.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6200 , 35.6
35.6
7100 , 36.3
36.3

Okongwu is too cheap ok DK for his price on DK as he continues to be good while on the floor. He's been a 1.15 FP/min player and he's put up 34+ DKP in five straight. This game environment is elite too.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6200 , 35.9
35.9
7000 , 35.2
35.2

We should feel much more confidence in Jarrett Allen in a closing lineup (if the game is close) without Evan Mobley

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5000 , 37.9
37.9
5800 , 37.1
37.1

Drummond has absolutely smashed at this price lately. SMASHED. 31+ DKP in three straight, back-to-back double-doubles and had a 25 point, 18 rebound game yesterday. Without Embiid, he's going to continue to be extended at center.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
, 44.5
44.5
9200 , 42.7
42.7

FD ONLY - Harden's really good without Simmons, Powell, and Jones as he's posted a robust 37% USG and 1.4 FP/min. Harden sees a +6.5% USG bump against a bottom-five defense.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
, 42
42
8100 , 41.4
41.4

FD ONLY - It's hard to imagine not liking a player that gets a 10% USG bump without other key pieces. In 113 minutes without the three out, Leonard has a 38.9% USG and 1.25 FP/min on the year.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
, 39.6
39.6
7700 , 38.6
38.6

FD ONLY - Zubac is in a good spot and is a FP/min player. The Clippers need to win as they're clinging onto the 6th seed, and are going to extend their starters for heavy minutes.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
, 24.8
24.8
4600 , 23.8
23.8

FD ONLY - If we see Bodanovic start, there's a case for him to be a core play at this price. He's only 4.6K and he took a boatload of shots after starting the second half in place of Norman Powell. He's posted at least 21% USG in five of six games since the All-Star break.

Game Type: GPP
, 50.5
50.5
10000 , 48.5
48.5

FD ONLY - I really like LeBron James at 10K on FD in the spot against the Pelicans. The Pelicans are a bottom feeding defense ranking 29th on that end. He's an elite FP/min player.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
, 27.5
27.5
5600 , 26.9
26.9

FD ONLY - Kelly O has been a fantastic FP/min guy. 1.2 FP/min with the Pelicans.. ELITE stuff. The minutes being at 26 are solid and he's put up 26+ FDP in four straight games.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
, 27.5
27.5
5200 , 28.9
28.9

FD ONLY - I like the minutes from Kris Dunn lately. He should top 30 in the starting lnieup and is coming off some big games. In six of his last eight he's put up at least 26 DKP. His stocks on FD make him VERY appealing.

Game Type: GPP