NBA DFS Picks, Projections, Lineups, Injuries & More Today: Thursday Playbook

Published: Mar 06, 2025
Happy Thursday, March 6th, we have a six-game NBA DFS main slate on DraftKings and FanDuel.
The stars are out as Luka Doncic, LeBron James, Jayson Tatum and Trae Young are taking the floor. Some names that are questionable are Jayson Tatum, Paul George, and Josh Giddey.
Before actually diving into the meat and potatoes, welcome to the NBA DFS season. If this is your first time reading our column on NBA DFS picks, I just want to welcome you and give you a few tips and tricks on what you should be looking for each night.
- News outlets: reliable sources that give us injury news & starting lineups
- Pace of play: who's playing fast vs. who's playing slow. Which teams get a pace-up spot (more possessions) vs. pace-down (fewer possessions)
- Usage rates: is a percentage of how many plays that player is being used in
- NBA DFS Projections
- Lineup Generator
- NBA Ownership
NBA DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook Today, March 6th
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Pre/Post-Lock Update
This section will be used for anything that changes from the morning until right up to roster lock.
Injury updates, players we’re higher on than we were in the morning and so much more.
All status updates after contest roster lock will be made in the Fantasy Alarm Discord: https://discord.gg/2yATJxXe8G
4:20 pm ET
- I still think the Justin Edwards news matters for Lonnie Walker & Jared Butler, but both have picked up a LOT of ownership. They both should have enough of a role to be viable. If Edwards is ruled out, then both of their roles will greatly expand.
- Added Justin Edwards to core plays.
6:10 pm ET
- INDY Section
- Tyrese Haliburton & Bennedict Mathurin are OUT. We should see Ben Sheppard into the starting lineup.
- T.J. McConnell - 1.24 FP/min, 27% USG
- Pascal Siakam - 1.08 FP/min, 22.7% USG
- Aaron Nesmith - .97 FP/min
- Andrew Nembhard - .57 FP/min (small sample)
- BOST Section
- Jayson Tatum is IN, elite play.
- Luke Kornet is chalky, and is FINE. Payton Pritchard is a priority for me.
7:10 pm ET
- Neemias Queta is starting. Great value. Adding to core plays.
- Jarace Walker is starting. Great value. Adding to core plays.
NBA Injuries, News & Updates Today, 3/6
- Luka Doncic - PROB
- LeBron James - PROB
- Jayson Tatum - IN
- Trae Young - IN
- Tyrese Maxey - OUT
- Tyrese Haliburton - OUT
- Josh Giddey - IN
- Kristaps Porzingis - OUT
- Nikola Vucevic - OUT
- Paul George - OUT
- Austin Reaves - PROB
- Jalen Suggs - OUT
- Fred VanVleet - OUT
- OG Anunoby - QUEST
- Jonathan Kuminga - OUT
- Rui Hachimura - OUT
- Precious Achiuwa - QUEST
- Cole Anthony - IN
- Bennedict Mathurin - OUT
- Jrue Holiday - OUT
- Lonzo Ball - OUT
- Al Horford - OUT
- Noah Clowney - OUT
- Vit Krejci - OUT
- Kevin Huerter - IN
- Patrick Williams - OUT
- Justin Edwards - OUT
- Mitchell Robinson - QUEST
- Gary Payton - IN
NBA DFS Slate & Game Overviews
In the section below, I’m listing the most notable things we need to look at in Las Vegas, including notable O/U and spreads. Not every game is listed, but every game listed has the pace and defensive numbers listed.
NBA DFS Core Player Pool & Lineup Picks
Here are the core players I’m looking at for my NBA DFS picks tonight. You can see the full analysis of tonight’s NBA DFS projections and player pool below or skip ahead to building the best lineups possible by locking these into the aforementioned lineup generator now.
High
Mid
- Tyrese Haliburton, Paolo Banchero, Jalen Green (GPP), Derrick White, Onyeka Okongwu, Myles Turner, Quentin Grimes, Kelly Oubre, Pascal Siakam
Value
- Payton Pritchard, Caris LeVert, Andre Drummond, Guerschon Yabusele, Aaron Nesmith, Luke Kornet, Justin Edwards, T.J. McConnell, Neemias Queta, Jarace Walker
Don't Miss The NBA DFS Playbook Live Show At 5:00 PM ET
Pos (Click to sort ascending) | Player (Click to sort ascending) | Matchup (Click to sort ascending) | DK (Click to sort ascending) | DK Pts (Click to sort ascending) | FD (Click to sort ascending) | FD Pts (Click to sort ascending) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PG | Luka Dončić | NYK @ LAL Thu 10:00 | 11200 | 55.5 | 11400 | 54.1 |
Luka Doncic is starting to look reallllllly good as he plays more and more games since returning from a serious calf strain. He's topped 53+ DKP in back-to-back games, has shot the ball well in each, which hasn't been the case since he came back. The peripheral stats continue to be elite and when the shot is falling, he has the highest ceiling on the slate. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PG | Trae Young | IND @ ATL Thu 7:30 | 9800 | 49.7 | 9300 | 45.4 |
This is the BEST game on the board. Bar none. I've said the same thing about Trae Young all year long; if he makes shots he has a MASSIVE ceiling because of the assist numbers are always there. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PG | Tyrese Haliburton | IND @ ATL Thu 7:30 | 8800 | 0 | 9400 | 0 |
Haliburton is questionable, but we're operating that he's going to play. He has been excellent since the All-Star break, notching six straight double-doubles and 47+ DKP in seven straight games. There are 248 implied points in a matchup between two of the top-eight teams in pace. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
PG | Josh Giddey | CHI @ ORL Thu 7:00 | 8500 | 43.6 | 8600 | 42.7 |
With Nikola Vucevic and Zach LaVine out of the lineup, Josh Giddey's been elite on a FP/min scale. He leads the team at 1.4 FP/min and has a respectable 23% USG too. It's a tough matchup, but because he's such a good fantasy player. GPPs. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
PG | Quentin Grimes | PHI @ BOS Thu 7:30 | 6100 | 33.8 | 6700 | 32.5 |
The 76ers chose to role with Grimes as their starting point-guard last game and he was really solid. He played 38 minutes and scored 30 points again. Without Maxey and Embiid this year, Grimes (in 122 minutes) has a +6.3% USG, 27.3% USG, and 1.12 FP/min. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PG | Andrew Nembhard | IND @ ATL Thu 7:30 | 5000 | 28.3 | 5600 | 28.1 |
Nembhard isn't a great FP/min producer, but if he continues to play 35+ minutes, it's definitely helpful. Nembhard, if he plays 35 minutes at the .82 FP/min producer he is, would put average 29 DKP. It's a pace up spot, best game environment on the board. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SG | Jalen Green | HOU @ NOP Thu 8:00 | 7300 | 35.9 | 7100 | 33.9 |
FVV is out and without him this year, Green has a 28.9% USG and 1.07 FP/min and faces a Pelicans defense ranking 29th this year. Any defense ranking worse than the Washington Wizards is worth targeting. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SG | Kelly Oubre | PHI @ BOS Thu 7:30 | 6200 | 33.4 | 6900 | 34 |
We're going to see Oubre play monster minutes against a beat up Boston squad. Without Embiid, Maxey, and McCain this year, Oubre has a +4.6% USG bump to 23.6% USG and .88 FP/min. The minutes are what we really love here because 40 is on the table in a competitive setting. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SG | Caris LeVert | IND @ ATL Thu 7:30 | 5300 | 30 | 5900 | 29.6 |
LeVert has been fantastic since joining the team. He's put up 25+ DKP in five straight, 33+ DKP in three straight. With the team overall, he averages 21.2% USG and 1.05 FP/min. He's closing games despite coming off the bench and is in a 248 implied total game. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SF | Zion Williamson | HOU @ NOP Thu 8:00 | 9200 | 47.7 | 9500 | 48 |
Zion Williamson is on one right now and tough spot or not. He scored 37 actual and 55 DKP in just 26 minutes against the league's best defense since February 1st last time out. He's now put up 48+ DKP in three straight and had his first career triple-double mixed in too. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SF | OG Anunoby | NYK @ LAL Thu 10:00 | 6500 | 33.1 | 6800 | 33.4 |
Wide range of outcome guy but he's playing extremely well recently and you could ride the hot hand in GPPs. Is listed as questionable. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
PF | LeBron James | NYK @ LAL Thu 10:00 | 10500 | 51.7 | 10300 | 49.6 |
Bruh. He's just incredible. LBJ, without AD, DLo, and Hachimura this year, has a 37.4% USG and averages 1.5 FP/min. The Knicks are 18th in DRtg on the year and 22nd over the last 15 games, so it's gotten worse on that end. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PF | Jayson Tatum | PHI @ BOS Thu 7:30 | 10100 | 52.6 | 10400 | 50.4 |
There's actually a 240 minute sample without Horford, Brown, Holiday, and Porzingis on the floor for Tatum this year and the numbers look..elite. +10% USG, 40.7% USG, 1.58 FP/min. Hard to pass on. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PF | Paolo Banchero | CHI @ ORL Thu 7:00 | 8900 | 45.6 | 8900 | 44.2 |
Things are trending upwards for Banchero despite how bad it's been for the Magic as a whole. Paolo has twice scored 41 actual in two of three and three times since the break he's scored at least 36. Great pace up spot against a bad defense. He has a very high ceiling. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
PF | Guerschon Yabusele | PHI @ BOS Thu 7:30 | 5100 | 28.4 | 5700 | 27.9 |
Yabusele is pretty popular here and it's not all too surprising because the value hasn't looked great and also, his role is safe. He plays big minutes at both the four and five and has the potential for more depending on what happens with Paul George. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
C | Alperen Şengün | HOU @ NOP Thu 8:00 | 9400 | 46.6 | 8800 | 45.1 |
I think people shy away from Sengun because of the price and while I 100% understand that, he has been quite good lately. He's put up 50+ twice in five games and we know, with FVV out, the offense flows through him. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
C | Luke Kornet | PHI @ BOS Thu 7:30 | 4400 | 26.1 | 4800 | 27.7 |
ADDED - We're likely going to get Kornet starting here and playing big minutes and although he hasn't been the best per minute player this year, if he gets 30 he can be very productive. I prefer Queta if he's starting. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
C | Onyeka Okongwu | IND @ ATL Thu 7:30 | 6400 | 33.4 | 7200 | 34.1 |
Okongwu has been awesome this year and has really thrived from a per minute basis averaging 1.13 FP/min. He has a massive ceiling at this price in this extremely fun game environment. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PG | Payton Pritchard | PHI @ BOS Thu 7:30 | 5500 | 33 | 5700 | 31.5 |
ADDED - Man, what a game last night and the thing is, this isn't chasing going back to the well. Especially if Tatum gets ruled out. Pritchard, without Brown, Holiday, Porzingis, and Horford, Pritchard has a 23.7% USG and 1.15 FP/min. He's going to play 40 minutes again here. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
C | Myles Turner | IND @ ATL Thu 7:30 | 6300 | 35.4 | 6800 | 35.8 |
Turner's been a different player since the All-Star break. He's put up 31+ DKP in all seven games since the break and has also shown a 50 FP ceiling. In a 248 implied point total against the team that protects the rim the worst in the league, Turner's a very solid play. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SG | Derrick White | PHI @ BOS Thu 7:30 | 7100 | 37.3 | 7000 | 36.4 |
ADDED - Derrick White will be much more popular tonight than he was on Wednesday, that's for SURE. I think the problem is it's impossible to expect him to score 40+ actual points again. If you get past that, he's a 1.28 FP/min player and a 28.7% USG guy without Brown, Porzingis, Holiday, and Horford. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
C | Draymond Green | GSW @ BKN Thu 7:30 | 6000 | 33.4 | 6600 | 33.8 |
Green's been REALLY good peripherally, the minutes are way way up, and if you get double-digit scoring out of him, he has a ceiling. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
SG | Coby White | CHI @ ORL Thu 7:00 | 7200 | 35.6 | 7300 | 33.7 |
ADDED - Whether or not Josh Giddey is out, Coby White stands out. Without Ball, LaVine, Vucevic, and Dosunmu this year, he has a +3.16% USG up to 26.8% USG and is averaging 1.14 FP/min. He's been very good lately, too, so we're getting him in prime form. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
C | Andre Drummond | PHI @ BOS Thu 7:30 | 5200 | 35 | 5800 | 34.1 |
With Paul George ruled out, I feel really confident in Drummond's minutes in this game. We'll see Yabusele primarily operate as the PF, leaving nearly 30 minutes for Drummond. Without Embiid, Maxey, and George, Drummond averages 1.13 FP/min. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SF | Aaron Nesmith | IND @ ATL Thu 7:30 | 4800 | 25.9 | 5200 | 25.5 |
I think Aaron Nesmith and Andrew Nembhard look awfully similar and I might just play the guy lesser owned. Nesmith is that guy as of now and has better positional eligibility while being cheaper on both platforms. Game Type: CASH & GPP |
Luka Dončić, PG | 11200 , 55.5 | 55.5 | 11400 , 54.1 | 54.1 | ||
Luka Doncic is starting to look reallllllly good as he plays more and more games since returning from a serious calf strain. He's topped 53+ DKP in back-to-back games, has shot the ball well in each, which hasn't been the case since he came back. The peripheral stats continue to be elite and when the shot is falling, he has the highest ceiling on the slate. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Trae Young, PG | 9800 , 49.7 | 49.7 | 9300 , 45.4 | 45.4 | ||
This is the BEST game on the board. Bar none. I've said the same thing about Trae Young all year long; if he makes shots he has a MASSIVE ceiling because of the assist numbers are always there. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
8800 , 0 | 0 | 9400 , 0 | 0 | |||
Haliburton is questionable, but we're operating that he's going to play. He has been excellent since the All-Star break, notching six straight double-doubles and 47+ DKP in seven straight games. There are 248 implied points in a matchup between two of the top-eight teams in pace. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Josh Giddey, PG | 8500 , 43.6 | 43.6 | 8600 , 42.7 | 42.7 | ||
With Nikola Vucevic and Zach LaVine out of the lineup, Josh Giddey's been elite on a FP/min scale. He leads the team at 1.4 FP/min and has a respectable 23% USG too. It's a tough matchup, but because he's such a good fantasy player. GPPs. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Quentin Grimes, PG | 6100 , 33.8 | 33.8 | 6700 , 32.5 | 32.5 | ||
The 76ers chose to role with Grimes as their starting point-guard last game and he was really solid. He played 38 minutes and scored 30 points again. Without Maxey and Embiid this year, Grimes (in 122 minutes) has a +6.3% USG, 27.3% USG, and 1.12 FP/min. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Andrew Nembhard, PG | 5000 , 28.3 | 28.3 | 5600 , 28.1 | 28.1 | ||
Nembhard isn't a great FP/min producer, but if he continues to play 35+ minutes, it's definitely helpful. Nembhard, if he plays 35 minutes at the .82 FP/min producer he is, would put average 29 DKP. It's a pace up spot, best game environment on the board. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Jalen Green, SG | 7300 , 35.9 | 35.9 | 7100 , 33.9 | 33.9 | ||
FVV is out and without him this year, Green has a 28.9% USG and 1.07 FP/min and faces a Pelicans defense ranking 29th this year. Any defense ranking worse than the Washington Wizards is worth targeting. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Kelly Oubre, SG | 6200 , 33.4 | 33.4 | 6900 , 34 | 34 | ||
We're going to see Oubre play monster minutes against a beat up Boston squad. Without Embiid, Maxey, and McCain this year, Oubre has a +4.6% USG bump to 23.6% USG and .88 FP/min. The minutes are what we really love here because 40 is on the table in a competitive setting. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Caris LeVert, SG | 5300 , 30 | 30 | 5900 , 29.6 | 29.6 | ||
LeVert has been fantastic since joining the team. He's put up 25+ DKP in five straight, 33+ DKP in three straight. With the team overall, he averages 21.2% USG and 1.05 FP/min. He's closing games despite coming off the bench and is in a 248 implied total game. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Zion Williamson, SF | 9200 , 47.7 | 47.7 | 9500 , 48 | 48 | ||
Zion Williamson is on one right now and tough spot or not. He scored 37 actual and 55 DKP in just 26 minutes against the league's best defense since February 1st last time out. He's now put up 48+ DKP in three straight and had his first career triple-double mixed in too. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
OG Anunoby, SF | 6500 , 33.1 | 33.1 | 6800 , 33.4 | 33.4 | ||
Wide range of outcome guy but he's playing extremely well recently and you could ride the hot hand in GPPs. Is listed as questionable. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
LeBron James, PF | 10500 , 51.7 | 51.7 | 10300 , 49.6 | 49.6 | ||
Bruh. He's just incredible. LBJ, without AD, DLo, and Hachimura this year, has a 37.4% USG and averages 1.5 FP/min. The Knicks are 18th in DRtg on the year and 22nd over the last 15 games, so it's gotten worse on that end. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Jayson Tatum, PF | 10100 , 52.6 | 52.6 | 10400 , 50.4 | 50.4 | ||
There's actually a 240 minute sample without Horford, Brown, Holiday, and Porzingis on the floor for Tatum this year and the numbers look..elite. +10% USG, 40.7% USG, 1.58 FP/min. Hard to pass on. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Paolo Banchero, PF | 8900 , 45.6 | 45.6 | 8900 , 44.2 | 44.2 | ||
Things are trending upwards for Banchero despite how bad it's been for the Magic as a whole. Paolo has twice scored 41 actual in two of three and three times since the break he's scored at least 36. Great pace up spot against a bad defense. He has a very high ceiling. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
5100 , 28.4 | 28.4 | 5700 , 27.9 | 27.9 | |||
Yabusele is pretty popular here and it's not all too surprising because the value hasn't looked great and also, his role is safe. He plays big minutes at both the four and five and has the potential for more depending on what happens with Paul George. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
9400 , 46.6 | 46.6 | 8800 , 45.1 | 45.1 | |||
I think people shy away from Sengun because of the price and while I 100% understand that, he has been quite good lately. He's put up 50+ twice in five games and we know, with FVV out, the offense flows through him. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Luke Kornet, C | 4400 , 26.1 | 26.1 | 4800 , 27.7 | 27.7 | ||
ADDED - We're likely going to get Kornet starting here and playing big minutes and although he hasn't been the best per minute player this year, if he gets 30 he can be very productive. I prefer Queta if he's starting. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
6400 , 33.4 | 33.4 | 7200 , 34.1 | 34.1 | |||
Okongwu has been awesome this year and has really thrived from a per minute basis averaging 1.13 FP/min. He has a massive ceiling at this price in this extremely fun game environment. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Payton Pritchard, PG | 5500 , 33 | 33 | 5700 , 31.5 | 31.5 | ||
ADDED - Man, what a game last night and the thing is, this isn't chasing going back to the well. Especially if Tatum gets ruled out. Pritchard, without Brown, Holiday, Porzingis, and Horford, Pritchard has a 23.7% USG and 1.15 FP/min. He's going to play 40 minutes again here. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Myles Turner, C | 6300 , 35.4 | 35.4 | 6800 , 35.8 | 35.8 | ||
Turner's been a different player since the All-Star break. He's put up 31+ DKP in all seven games since the break and has also shown a 50 FP ceiling. In a 248 implied point total against the team that protects the rim the worst in the league, Turner's a very solid play. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Derrick White, SG | 7100 , 37.3 | 37.3 | 7000 , 36.4 | 36.4 | ||
ADDED - Derrick White will be much more popular tonight than he was on Wednesday, that's for SURE. I think the problem is it's impossible to expect him to score 40+ actual points again. If you get past that, he's a 1.28 FP/min player and a 28.7% USG guy without Brown, Porzingis, Holiday, and Horford. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
6000 , 33.4 | 33.4 | 6600 , 33.8 | 33.8 | |||
Green's been REALLY good peripherally, the minutes are way way up, and if you get double-digit scoring out of him, he has a ceiling. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Coby White, SG | 7200 , 35.6 | 35.6 | 7300 , 33.7 | 33.7 | ||
ADDED - Whether or not Josh Giddey is out, Coby White stands out. Without Ball, LaVine, Vucevic, and Dosunmu this year, he has a +3.16% USG up to 26.8% USG and is averaging 1.14 FP/min. He's been very good lately, too, so we're getting him in prime form. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
5200 , 35 | 35 | 5800 , 34.1 | 34.1 | |||
With Paul George ruled out, I feel really confident in Drummond's minutes in this game. We'll see Yabusele primarily operate as the PF, leaving nearly 30 minutes for Drummond. Without Embiid, Maxey, and George, Drummond averages 1.13 FP/min. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Aaron Nesmith, SF | 4800 , 25.9 | 25.9 | 5200 , 25.5 | 25.5 | ||
I think Aaron Nesmith and Andrew Nembhard look awfully similar and I might just play the guy lesser owned. Nesmith is that guy as of now and has better positional eligibility while being cheaper on both platforms. Game Type: CASH & GPP |