NBA DFS Picks, Projections, Lineups, Injuries & More Today: Monday Playbook

Published: Mar 03, 2025
Happy Monday, March 3rd! We have a seven-game main slate for NBA DFS on both FanDuel and DraftKings. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Cade Cunningham reside at the top of the salary range, while Ja Morant, Paul George, and a host of Houston Rockets headline the injury report.
Be sure to come hang out in our Discord and tune into the 5 p.m. live show for more important discussion before roster lock. Let's dive in.
Before actually diving into the meat and potatoes, welcome to the NBA DFS season. If this is your first time reading our column on NBA DFS picks, I just want to welcome you and give you a few tips and tricks on what you should be looking for each night.
- News outlets: reliable sources that give us injury news & starting lineups
- Pace of play: who's playing fast vs. who's playing slow. Which teams get a pace-up spot (more possessions) vs. pace-down (fewer possessions)
- Usage rates: is a percentage of how many plays that player is being used in
- NBA DFS Projections
- Lineup Generator
- NBA Ownership
NBA DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook Today, March 3rd
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Pre/Post-Lock Update
This section will be used for anything that changes from the morning until right up to roster lock.
Injury updates, players we’re higher on than we were in the morning and so much more.
UPDATE 3:45 PM ET
The Jazz released their injury report that includes the following names:
- Lauri Markkanen - OUT
- John Collins - D
- Collin Sexton - Q
- Jordan Clarkson - OUT
Utah has done this often enough where most of the pieces that benefit are appropriately priced. Keyonte George is the top option, and I would have interest in Isaiah Collier if Sexton is also ruled out, but the tanking Jazz ultimately don't move the needle much.
Additional adds to the injury report:
- Davion Mitchell - Q
- Isaiah Stewart - Q
UPDATE 6:15 PM ET
- Andrew Wiggins - OUT
- Davion Mitchell - OUT
- Jaime Jaquez - OUT
- Kelly Oubre - OUT
The Heat will have just nine available bodies. Core plays will be updated when we get a starting lineup, but you can make a case for any of the active Heat.
UPDATE 6:35 PM ET
- Ja Morant - Doubtful
- Santi Aldama - Doubtful
- Paul George - OUT
- Tari Eason - OUT
UPDATE 7:10 PM ET
- Ja Morant - OUT
- Santi Aldama - OUT
NBA Injuries, News & Updates Today, 3/3
- Jerami Grant - OUT
- Robert Williams - OUT
- Paul George - OUT
- Kelly Oubre - OUT
- Jordan Poole - OUT
- Malcolm Brogdon - OUT
- Kel'el Ware - OUT
- Andrew Wiggins - OUT
- Jaime Jaquez- OUT
- Davion Mitchell - OUT
- Georges Niang - OUT
- Ja Morant - OUT
- Santi Aldama - OUT
- Alperen Sengun - Q
- Amen Thompson - Q
- Fred VanVleet - OUT
- Dillon Brooks - Q
- Tari Eason - OUT
- Steven Adams - Q
- Isaiah Joe - OUT
- Domantas Sabonis - OUT
- P.J. Washington - OUT
- Tobias Harris - OUT
- Isaiah Stewart - Q
- Lauri Markkanen - OUT
- John Collins - D
- Collin Sexton - Q
- Jordan Clarkson - OUT
NBA DFS Core Player Pool & Lineup Picks
Here are the core players I’m looking at for my NBA DFS picks tonight. You can see the full analysis of tonight’s NBA DFS projections and player pool below or skip ahead to building the best lineups possible by locking these into the aforementioned lineup generator now.
High
Mid
- Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Jaren Jackson, Desmond Bane, Jalen Duren, Deni Avdija, Quentin Grimes, Shaedon Sharpe, Onyeka Okongwu
Value
- Jonas Valanciunas, Naji Marshall, Ausar Thompson, Malik Beasley, Duncan Robinson, Terance Mann, Alec Burks
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Pos (Click to sort ascending) | Player (Click to sort ascending) | Matchup (Click to sort ascending) | DK (Click to sort ascending) | DK Pts (Click to sort ascending) | FD (Click to sort ascending) | FD Pts (Click to sort ascending) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PG | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | HOU @ OKC Mon 8:00 | 10600 | 57.2 | 11500 | 57.5 |
SGA is tough to justify as the most expensive player on the slate, on a back-to-back, and with a difficult matchup. Further, the PG position, particularly the range right below SGA, is absolutely loaded with high-upside options. With that being said, the ownership is currently projecting under 5% and the matchup could become sneaky good if the Rockets rule out some guys from their lengthy injury list today. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
PG | Cade Cunningham | DET @ UTA Mon 9:00 | 10100 | 49.5 | 10600 | 47.6 |
Cade has cooled off a bit in his last two games, but he gets a dream spot against Utah tonight. The Jazz have not yet released an injury report, but they have frequently been playing without several of their top players in recent games. They are also on a back-to-back and rank dead last in DRtg. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PG | Kyrie Irving | SAC @ DAL Mon 8:30 | 9500 | 49.6 | 9500 | 48.3 |
Kyrie is doing his best to carry the Mavs through this rough stretch of injuries. He has posted a 31.1% usage rate and averaged 30.7 points per game in his last seven contests. He gets a good matchup against the Kings tonight. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PG | Trae Young | ATL @ MEM Mon 8:00 | 9600 | 45.5 | 9300 | 41.5 |
This game features the top two teams in pace in the entire league and has a 252.5 point total. Trae has come back down to earth after a stretch of three consecutive 38-point games, but the ceiling is elite in this track meet. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
PG | Stephen Curry | GSW @ CHA Mon 7:00 | 9200 | 44.5 | 9100 | 42 |
In his last two games, Curry has posted a lines of 29-5-13 and 56-4-3. Jimmy Butler is expected to return tonight, but he was active for the 56-point game as well. The matchup is excellent against the Hornets, with the only concern being the 12.5-point spread. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
PG | Tyler Herro | WAS @ MIA Mon 7:30 | 8800 | 43.2 | 8900 | 40.6 |
Herro has flashed 60 fantasy point upside multiple times over the past month, and tonight he gets one of the best possible matchups. Washington ranks 29th in DRtg and plays at the 4th-fastest pace in the league. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PG | Ja Morant | ATL @ MEM Mon 8:00 | 8300 | 0 | 8300 | 0 |
Ja is listed questionable for this game, but he is one of my favorite plays on the slate if he is able to suit up. The Grizzlies 131 implied team total is the highest on the board by a significant margin. In fact, their opponent, who is a 9-point underdog, has the second highest implied team total. That's how good Vegas expects this game environment to be. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
SG | Desmond Bane | ATL @ MEM Mon 8:00 | 7600 | 42.4 | 8000 | 41.2 |
If you read the Ja Morant blurb, you know this is a game to be excited about. Bane becomes one of the top plays on the slate if Ja Morant is unable to play, but he is a strong option regardless. Bane has scored at least 37 fantasy points in eight of his last 10 games. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SG | Dyson Daniels | ATL @ MEM Mon 8:00 | 6800 | 36.6 | 7800 | 38.7 |
Daniels has been filling up the stat sheet on both ends of the floor and finds himself in the best game environment of the night. He has multiple paths to posting a GPP relevant score. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
SG | Kelly Oubre | POR @ PHI Mon 7:00 | 6300 | 0 | 6700 | 0 |
Oubre popped on the injury report as questionable, but I have a lot of interest if he is active (especially if Paul George sits). Oubre has been playing ridiculous minutes, seeing double-digit shot volume, and posting an occasional spike in rebounds. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SG | Quentin Grimes | POR @ PHI Mon 7:00 | 5800 | 32.9 | 6200 | 31.7 |
What in the world got into Quentin Grimes in his last game? He exploded for 44 points on 18-of-24 shooting in a game that Tyrese Maxey and Paul George were active. Do not expect a repeat performance, but the shot volume is hard to ignore. Additionally, Paul George and Kelly Oubre are both listed questionable, which could open a cleaner path to another high-usage game from Grimes. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
SG | Malik Beasley | DET @ UTA Mon 9:00 | 5000 | 26 | 5200 | 24.4 |
This is perhaps the best possible spot for Malik Beasley, as the Jazz have allowed the most three-pointers made in the entire league. Beasley has flashed 40 fantasy point upside twice in his last five games, and he made six triples in each of those ceiling performances. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
SF | Deni Avdija | POR @ PHI Mon 7:00 | 6700 | 38.3 | 7000 | 37.3 |
Jerami Grant has been ruled out and that means Avdija has a huge ceiling. We just saw it last night when he posted a 30-point triple-double in 42 minutes of action against a tough Cavs defense. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SF | Ausar Thompson | DET @ UTA Mon 9:00 | 5300 | 30 | 6400 | 31.6 |
Thompson can fill up a stat sheet on both ends of the floor and gets a great matchup to capitalize on that tonight. Utah has allowed the most steals and blocks in the entire league and ranks dead last defensively. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SF | Caris LeVert | ATL @ MEM Mon 8:00 | 5100 | 31.8 | 5500 | 31.4 |
I want as much exposure as possible to this massive game total, and LeVert is an intriguing value piece to gain access. He is averaging 27.8 minutes per game with the Hawks and has posted a 20.3% usage rate. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
SF | Terance Mann | ATL @ MEM Mon 8:00 | 4000 | 22.8 | 4200 | 23.1 |
I want as much exposure as possible to this massive game total, and Mann is an intriguing value piece to gain access. Mann has played at least 26 minutes in each of his last three games with the Hawks. He has also posted a 17.5% usage rate in those games, which is a meaningful bump over his 13.8% usage with the Clippers this season. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
PF | Jaren Jackson | ATL @ MEM Mon 8:00 | 8000 | 42.8 | 8800 | 43.4 |
If you read the Ja Morant blurb, you know this is a game to be excited about. JJJ becomes one of the top plays on the slate if Ja Morant is unable to play, but he is a strong option regardless. JJJ has been in the 33-34 minute range when he is able to stay out of foul trouble. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PF | Paul George | POR @ PHI Mon 7:00 | 7500 | 0 | 7800 | 0 |
George finally found a ceiling game two games ago against the Knicks. He was also solid last time out, but Quentin Grimes shot lights out en route to 44 points and didn't leave much for the rest of his teammates. PG is questionable for this game, but the recent performance trends are encouraging if he plays. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
PF | Santi Aldama | ATL @ MEM Mon 8:00 | 6400 | 0 | 6200 | 0 |
Aldama went off for 15-8-11 with Morant and Bane out for the last game. Bane will be back, but Morant is questionable to play tonight. Aldama is a GPP option in an elite game environment if Morant plays, but he enters the cash game conversation if Morant sits. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
PF | Kyshawn George | WAS @ MIA Mon 7:30 | 5200 | 29 | 5600 | 28.8 |
Jordan Poole and his 28.8% usage rate are out tonight, which opens up plenty of shot opportunities. George has seen a 2.4% usage bump with Poole and Malcolm Brogdon off the floor this season. Kyle Kuzma, Jared Butler, and Jonas Valanciunas lead the Wizards in usage this season with Poole and Brogdon out, and none of them are with the team any longer. They have been replaced by Khris Middleton, Marcus Smart, and Richaun Holmes in the rotation, and each of the three replacements are significantly lower usage players than their predecessors. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
PF | Naji Marshall | SAC @ DAL Mon 8:30 | 5400 | 26.8 | 5100 | 26.5 |
Marshall has averaged 31.3 minutes over the last two games with PJ Washington out or limited, and Washington is out again tonight. He gets a solid matchup against the Kings and is underpriced for his role with the injury-riddled Mavs. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
C | Bam Adebayo | WAS @ MIA Mon 7:30 | 8400 | 43.7 | 8600 | 42.1 |
Kel'el Ware has been ruled out for this game, which should allow Bam to move back to his natural Center position. Bam gets an elite matchup against the Wizards, who play at the 4th-fastest pace and rank just 28th in DRtg. Washington also allows the most rebounds per game in the league. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
C | Jalen Duren | DET @ UTA Mon 9:00 | 6900 | 37.1 | 8100 | 36 |
Duren has flashed 50 fantasy point upside multiple times in the last month, with his most recent ceiling performance coming last game against the Nets. Duren posted 18-11-2 and added 6 blocks. The Jazz have allowed the most blocks in the league this season, so a repeat performance is not out of the question. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
C | Onyeka Okongwu | ATL @ MEM Mon 8:00 | 6100 | 35.8 | 7000 | 36.5 |
Okongwu continues to play great basketball as the starting Center for the Hawks, and the price (despite the recent spike) is probably still not high enough. The Grizzlies play at the fastest pace in the league and the Hawks have a 122 implied team total (2nd-highest on the slate) despite being 9-point 'dogs. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
C | Jonas Valančiūnas | SAC @ DAL Mon 8:30 | 5400 | 36.8 | 5700 | 34.9 |
JoVal went off for 15 points and 14 rebounds in 29 minutes last, as Domantas Sabonis left early with an injury. Sabonis is out tonight and JoVal is expected to draw the start in his place. Valanciunas is currently the best value on the slate (pending Ja Morant news). Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
C | Andre Drummond | POR @ PHI Mon 7:00 | 5000 | 31.9 | 5800 | 30.9 |
Drummond has started the last two games for Philly, playing 21 minutes and 29 minutes. He is a risky GPP option, but one with tremendous upside if he sees uper-20 minutes again. Paul George (questionable) getting ruled out would raise the floor here significantly. Game Type: GPP |
10600 , 57.2 | 57.2 | 11500 , 57.5 | 57.5 | |||
SGA is tough to justify as the most expensive player on the slate, on a back-to-back, and with a difficult matchup. Further, the PG position, particularly the range right below SGA, is absolutely loaded with high-upside options. With that being said, the ownership is currently projecting under 5% and the matchup could become sneaky good if the Rockets rule out some guys from their lengthy injury list today. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Cade Cunningham, PG | 10100 , 49.5 | 49.5 | 10600 , 47.6 | 47.6 | ||
Cade has cooled off a bit in his last two games, but he gets a dream spot against Utah tonight. The Jazz have not yet released an injury report, but they have frequently been playing without several of their top players in recent games. They are also on a back-to-back and rank dead last in DRtg. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Kyrie Irving, PG | 9500 , 49.6 | 49.6 | 9500 , 48.3 | 48.3 | ||
Kyrie is doing his best to carry the Mavs through this rough stretch of injuries. He has posted a 31.1% usage rate and averaged 30.7 points per game in his last seven contests. He gets a good matchup against the Kings tonight. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Trae Young, PG | 9600 , 45.5 | 45.5 | 9300 , 41.5 | 41.5 | ||
This game features the top two teams in pace in the entire league and has a 252.5 point total. Trae has come back down to earth after a stretch of three consecutive 38-point games, but the ceiling is elite in this track meet. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Stephen Curry, PG | 9200 , 44.5 | 44.5 | 9100 , 42 | 42 | ||
In his last two games, Curry has posted a lines of 29-5-13 and 56-4-3. Jimmy Butler is expected to return tonight, but he was active for the 56-point game as well. The matchup is excellent against the Hornets, with the only concern being the 12.5-point spread. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Tyler Herro, PG | 8800 , 43.2 | 43.2 | 8900 , 40.6 | 40.6 | ||
Herro has flashed 60 fantasy point upside multiple times over the past month, and tonight he gets one of the best possible matchups. Washington ranks 29th in DRtg and plays at the 4th-fastest pace in the league. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Ja Morant, PG | 8300 , 0 | 0 | 8300 , 0 | 0 | ||
Ja is listed questionable for this game, but he is one of my favorite plays on the slate if he is able to suit up. The Grizzlies 131 implied team total is the highest on the board by a significant margin. In fact, their opponent, who is a 9-point underdog, has the second highest implied team total. That's how good Vegas expects this game environment to be. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Desmond Bane, SG | 7600 , 42.4 | 42.4 | 8000 , 41.2 | 41.2 | ||
If you read the Ja Morant blurb, you know this is a game to be excited about. Bane becomes one of the top plays on the slate if Ja Morant is unable to play, but he is a strong option regardless. Bane has scored at least 37 fantasy points in eight of his last 10 games. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Dyson Daniels, SG | 6800 , 36.6 | 36.6 | 7800 , 38.7 | 38.7 | ||
Daniels has been filling up the stat sheet on both ends of the floor and finds himself in the best game environment of the night. He has multiple paths to posting a GPP relevant score. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Kelly Oubre, SG | 6300 , 0 | 0 | 6700 , 0 | 0 | ||
Oubre popped on the injury report as questionable, but I have a lot of interest if he is active (especially if Paul George sits). Oubre has been playing ridiculous minutes, seeing double-digit shot volume, and posting an occasional spike in rebounds. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Quentin Grimes, SG | 5800 , 32.9 | 32.9 | 6200 , 31.7 | 31.7 | ||
What in the world got into Quentin Grimes in his last game? He exploded for 44 points on 18-of-24 shooting in a game that Tyrese Maxey and Paul George were active. Do not expect a repeat performance, but the shot volume is hard to ignore. Additionally, Paul George and Kelly Oubre are both listed questionable, which could open a cleaner path to another high-usage game from Grimes. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Malik Beasley, SG | 5000 , 26 | 26 | 5200 , 24.4 | 24.4 | ||
This is perhaps the best possible spot for Malik Beasley, as the Jazz have allowed the most three-pointers made in the entire league. Beasley has flashed 40 fantasy point upside twice in his last five games, and he made six triples in each of those ceiling performances. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Deni Avdija, SF | 6700 , 38.3 | 38.3 | 7000 , 37.3 | 37.3 | ||
Jerami Grant has been ruled out and that means Avdija has a huge ceiling. We just saw it last night when he posted a 30-point triple-double in 42 minutes of action against a tough Cavs defense. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Ausar Thompson, SF | 5300 , 30 | 30 | 6400 , 31.6 | 31.6 | ||
Thompson can fill up a stat sheet on both ends of the floor and gets a great matchup to capitalize on that tonight. Utah has allowed the most steals and blocks in the entire league and ranks dead last defensively. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Caris LeVert, SF | 5100 , 31.8 | 31.8 | 5500 , 31.4 | 31.4 | ||
I want as much exposure as possible to this massive game total, and LeVert is an intriguing value piece to gain access. He is averaging 27.8 minutes per game with the Hawks and has posted a 20.3% usage rate. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Terance Mann, SF | 4000 , 22.8 | 22.8 | 4200 , 23.1 | 23.1 | ||
I want as much exposure as possible to this massive game total, and Mann is an intriguing value piece to gain access. Mann has played at least 26 minutes in each of his last three games with the Hawks. He has also posted a 17.5% usage rate in those games, which is a meaningful bump over his 13.8% usage with the Clippers this season. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Jaren Jackson, PF | 8000 , 42.8 | 42.8 | 8800 , 43.4 | 43.4 | ||
If you read the Ja Morant blurb, you know this is a game to be excited about. JJJ becomes one of the top plays on the slate if Ja Morant is unable to play, but he is a strong option regardless. JJJ has been in the 33-34 minute range when he is able to stay out of foul trouble. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Paul George, PF | 7500 , 0 | 0 | 7800 , 0 | 0 | ||
George finally found a ceiling game two games ago against the Knicks. He was also solid last time out, but Quentin Grimes shot lights out en route to 44 points and didn't leave much for the rest of his teammates. PG is questionable for this game, but the recent performance trends are encouraging if he plays. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Santi Aldama, PF | 6400 , 0 | 0 | 6200 , 0 | 0 | ||
Aldama went off for 15-8-11 with Morant and Bane out for the last game. Bane will be back, but Morant is questionable to play tonight. Aldama is a GPP option in an elite game environment if Morant plays, but he enters the cash game conversation if Morant sits. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Kyshawn George, PF | 5200 , 29 | 29 | 5600 , 28.8 | 28.8 | ||
Jordan Poole and his 28.8% usage rate are out tonight, which opens up plenty of shot opportunities. George has seen a 2.4% usage bump with Poole and Malcolm Brogdon off the floor this season. Kyle Kuzma, Jared Butler, and Jonas Valanciunas lead the Wizards in usage this season with Poole and Brogdon out, and none of them are with the team any longer. They have been replaced by Khris Middleton, Marcus Smart, and Richaun Holmes in the rotation, and each of the three replacements are significantly lower usage players than their predecessors. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Naji Marshall, PF | 5400 , 26.8 | 26.8 | 5100 , 26.5 | 26.5 | ||
Marshall has averaged 31.3 minutes over the last two games with PJ Washington out or limited, and Washington is out again tonight. He gets a solid matchup against the Kings and is underpriced for his role with the injury-riddled Mavs. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Bam Adebayo, C | 8400 , 43.7 | 43.7 | 8600 , 42.1 | 42.1 | ||
Kel'el Ware has been ruled out for this game, which should allow Bam to move back to his natural Center position. Bam gets an elite matchup against the Wizards, who play at the 4th-fastest pace and rank just 28th in DRtg. Washington also allows the most rebounds per game in the league. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Jalen Duren, C | 6900 , 37.1 | 37.1 | 8100 , 36 | 36 | ||
Duren has flashed 50 fantasy point upside multiple times in the last month, with his most recent ceiling performance coming last game against the Nets. Duren posted 18-11-2 and added 6 blocks. The Jazz have allowed the most blocks in the league this season, so a repeat performance is not out of the question. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
6100 , 35.8 | 35.8 | 7000 , 36.5 | 36.5 | |||
Okongwu continues to play great basketball as the starting Center for the Hawks, and the price (despite the recent spike) is probably still not high enough. The Grizzlies play at the fastest pace in the league and the Hawks have a 122 implied team total (2nd-highest on the slate) despite being 9-point 'dogs. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
5400 , 36.8 | 36.8 | 5700 , 34.9 | 34.9 | |||
JoVal went off for 15 points and 14 rebounds in 29 minutes last, as Domantas Sabonis left early with an injury. Sabonis is out tonight and JoVal is expected to draw the start in his place. Valanciunas is currently the best value on the slate (pending Ja Morant news). Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
5000 , 31.9 | 31.9 | 5800 , 30.9 | 30.9 | |||
Drummond has started the last two games for Philly, playing 21 minutes and 29 minutes. He is a risky GPP option, but one with tremendous upside if he sees uper-20 minutes again. Paul George (questionable) getting ruled out would raise the floor here significantly. Game Type: GPP |