We have a six-game NBA DFS main slate on Monday, January 8th, on DraftKings and FanDuel. Both sites kept the 10:30 pm ET, which is interesting because they've removed the late game for a good part of the last two weeks. We've had major news break already with Jayson Tatum ruled out in a rematch with the Pacers. Without Tatum, there are still elite options like Giannis Antetokounmpo, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and Tyrese Haliburton.
NBA DFS Tools to dominate tonight's NBA DFS slate!
Make sure to check out today's NBA DFS projections and NBA DFS ownership projections before finalizing your lineups today. We also have the NBA Consistency Report to help identify players that have exceeded value based on their current price tag this season and of course our NBA DFS Lineup Generator!
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Notable NBA Injury Updates
QUESTIONABLE
- Jayson Tatum – OUT
- Kristaps Porzingis – IN
- Caleb Martin – Doubtful
- Eric Gordon
- Alex Caruso
- Patrick Williams
- Andrew Nembhard
- Bruce Brown
- Bol Bol
- Sam Hauser – OUT
- Isaiah Jackson
- Delon Wright – IN
- Landry Shamet – IN
- Cody Martin
OUT
- Damian Lillard
- Jimmy Butler
- Mark Williams
- Tari Eason
- Gordon Hayward
- LaMelo Ball
- P.J. Washington
- Cameron Payne
PROBABLE
- Nikola Vucevic
- Zach LaVine – NOW QUEST
- Kyle Lowry
Back-to-Backs
Pace Up Spots (Last 15 Games)
Pace definition: Pace is the total number of possessions a team uses in a game.
*key* Green is elite pace of play, Blue is decent pace of play, & Red is slow pace of play.
Green = Fast Paced team
Blue = Neutral Paced team
Red = Slow Paced team
- Jazz: 9th vs. Bucks: 1st
- Thunder: 5th vs. Wizards: 2nd
- Celtics: 18th vs. Pacers: 4th
Defensive Ratings (Last 15 Games)
- Washington Wizards: 28th
- Charlotte Hornets: 24th
- Indiana Pacers: 23rd
- Los Angeles Clippers: 18th
- Milwaukee Bucks: 17th
- Phoenix Suns: 16th
NBA Game Totals
- Oklahoma City Thunder @ Washington Wizards - 246.5 (OKC -10.5)
- Boston Celtics @ Indiana Pacers - 247.5 (BOS -2.5)
- Utah Jazz @ Milwaukee Bucks - 242.5 (MIL -8.5)
- Phoenix Suns @ Los Angeles Clippers - 229.5 (LAC -6.5)
Top Tier Core Plays
Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee Bucks
There’s no Damian Lillard tonight and Antetokounmpo has already been on a heater, so what’s it going to look like without Lillard? He’s averaged 1.71 FP/min and has a 36% USG rate to boot.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Oklahoma City Thunder
OKC has lost two straight since their dramatic win against Boston but have a nice juicy match-up against the Wizards tonight. They’re still on the road, but they’re 11.5 point favorites. He’s scored 30+ actual in nine of his last 10 games and has 55+ DKP in each of those nine. Washington is 28th in DRtg and 2nd in pace over their last 15 games.
Tyrese Haliburton, Indiana Pacers
Obviously, 44 DKP was not great, but on a night where he was just 5-of-17 and had seven assists to even close in on 5x shows us the growth in every fantasy department. 10.2K is still too cheap for a guy with 70+ FP upside.
Mid-Tier Core Plays
Boston Celtics, All of them
With Jayson Tatum out, a lot opens up for Boston here.
- Kristaps Porzingis - 27.6% USG (+3.5%), 1.37 FP/min
- Jaylen Brown - 31.9% USG (3.1%), 1.31 FP/min
- Derrick White - 27.9% (+8.4%), 1.26 FP/min
- Jrue Holiday - 20.7% USG (+3.4), 1.03 FP/min
Al Horford likely starts alongside Porzingis, too, but he’s not as much of a priority as everyone else is. I’d be OK getting to any and all of the guys mentioned. Max 3 for me, but they’re in an ELITE spot.
I have interest in Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, and Josh Giddey in the mid-tier so grouping them like I did the Boston guys makes sense. Holmgren has the best FP/min mark, notching 1.27, while Giddey’s right behind him at 1.12. Williams is actually last in that category (.99) but has seen his minutes back on the rise along with his fantasy production. I’d rank them Holmgren, Williams, then Giddey, but I like them all today in the best match-up on the board.
Khris Middleton, Milwaukee Bucks
Nobody on the Bucks receives a bigger usage bump than Khris Middleton this year when Damian Lillard is off the floor. It's a whopping +8.2% up to 32.5% while also putting up 1.27 FP/min. Middleton is SG/SF eligible, playing 32-33 minutes a night, and saw a price drop on DK. He's a fantastic play today.
Jabari Smith Jr., Houston Rockets
We've seen it night in and night out when Tari Eason is out. Smith's minutes are very secure. He played 40 minutes last time out on the second leg of a back-to-back if you want more proof of that. Smith was one rebound shy in the Timberwolves game from having back-to-back double-doubles, which is live once again here against a bad Miami team when it comes to rebounding.
The Bucks can't stop guards and that's been clear from the beginning of the year. Clarkson's starting to heat up despite coming off the bench notching 32+ DKP in three of four games including two games of 50 DKP. I love where the minutes have been for Clarkson of late and I love that he's put up 31% USG or better in three of four games, and 30%+ in six of eight.
Value Tier Core Plays
It's been great to see Fontecchio's minutes of late as he's played 29+ in four of five and in the one he played 25, they lost by 30. His role is solidified and he can shoot and space the floor for a lineup featuring Kris Dunn and Collin Sexton who both shoot worse than 34% from three. He's averaged 25.9 DKP/game over his last six games.
Andre Jackson Jr., Milwaukee Bucks
Jackson has topped 20 minutes twice this year and has put up 22 DKP in each of those games. He's not a fantastic FP/min guy, but without Damian Lillard and Cameron Payne, there's a chance Jackson plays a bunch. They don't theoretically need a traditional point guard when you have Khris Middleton and Giannis Antetokounmpo. I expect Jackson to draw a start and at 3.1K, it's hard to ignore his price in this spot.
MarJon Beauchamp, Milwaukee Bucks
There's a little bit of an ownership discrepancy between Pat Connaughton and MarJon Beauchamp and I'll take the lower-owned of the two. Beauchamp has been much more consistent than Connaughton this year, especially from three. Beauchamp's at .79 FP/min while Connaughton's at .78. Beauchamp has a 14% USG and Connaughton has a 12% mark. Beauchamp leading in both leads me to him.
Slate Thoughts:
- All the ownership going to Milwaukee, and I get it, but what about Boston? They're without Jayson Tatum and ALL rate out fairly elite.
- Can Washington keep it close? If you think they can, OKC might be the best option of the day facing off against Washington.
Late-News Core Play Section
*Section for players we are considering “core plays” based on late-breaking news & research
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Player Pool
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Player News
Devin Carter accounted for 10 points (3-of-5 FGs, 3-of-4 FTs), four rebounds, two assists, one steal and one three-pointer in 22 minutes in Wednesday’s loss to the Mavericks.
Carter’s rookie season ended on a positive note individually, as he reached double figures for the fourth time. Offseason shoulder surgery delayed his NBA debut until after the New Year, with Carter playing 36 regular-season games. While he was worth stashing in dynasty league drafts before this season began, the former Providence standout did not deserve a look in redraft leagues. That will likely remain the case next season, but the Kings need to make a decision regarding their head coaching position, as Doug Christie was only the interim. Add in the need for an experienced point guard, and Carter’s fantasy outlook isn’t great.
Keegan Murray recorded nine points (3-of-9 FGs, 1-of-2 FTs), six rebounds, two assists, one steal, two blocks and two three-pointers in 36 minutes in Wednesday’s loss to the Mavericks.
Murray recorded a complete stat line on Wednesday, but the impact was muted. That was a fitting end to the season for the Kings forward, whose fantasy value took a significant hit. The signing of DeMar DeRozan during free agency did Murray no favors, and that was also true for the addition of Zach LaVine just before the trade deadline. While he did approach his Yahoo! ADP (87) in nine-cat formats, Murray failed to crack the top-100 in eight-cat. Murray is extension eligible this summer, but the Kings have many questions to answer, including who the head coach will be and the future of lead executive Monte McNair. How that impacts Murray remains to be seen, but he’s worth selecting with a top-100 pick in drafts.
Domantas Sabonis tallied 11 points (5-of-13 FGs, 1-of-2 FTs), 13 rebounds, five assists and two steals in 37 minutes in Wednesday’s loss to the Mavericks.
It’s fitting that Sabonis would finish his season with a double-double, as he recorded 61 during the regular season. However, his impact was limited, with Anthony Davis, Dereck Lively II and Daniel Gafford combining to control the paint for most of Wednesday’s Play-In tournament matchup. Regarding fantasy value, Sabonis was a top-25 player in eight- and nine-cat formats for the season. However, his value took a significant hit after the trade deadline, with the De’Aaron Fox deal leaving the Kings with two high-scoring wings (Zach LaVine and DeMar DeRozan) and no legitimate point guard. How Sacramento addresses that decision during the offseason will impact Sabonis’ fantasy value in 2025-26.
DeMar DeRozan shot 13-of-28 from the field and 5-of-6 from the foul line in Wednesday’s loss to the Mavericks, tallying 33 points, seven rebounds, two assists, two steals and two three-pointers in 43 minutes.
DeRozan went out firing on Wednesday, shooting just under 50 percent from the field and finishing a blocked shot shy of a complete stat line. Like other key Kings players, his fantasy value took a hit after De’Aaron Fox was traded to San Antonio. The lack of a point guard who can set up others consistently proved problematic for the Kings, who now have some significant decisions to make this offseason. DeRozan can approach top-50 fantasy value, but the task gets much easier when on the court with a legitimate lead guard.
Zach LaVine logged 44 minutes in Wednesday’s loss to the Mavericks, tallying 20 points (8-of-19 FGs), three rebounds, nine assists and four three-pointers.
LaVine led the Kings in assists on Wednesday, but inefficient play was an issue in the Play-In tournament defeat. The turnover count was worse than the field goal percentage, as LaVine committed five. After being traded to the Kings, the veteran guard was an eighth-round player in nine-cat formats, and a fifth-round player in eight-cat. While reuniting with DeMar DeRozan gave the Kings two high-scoring wings to pair with center Domantas Sabonis, the lack of a legitimate point guard was an issue. LaVine can approach top-50 value, but the task became more difficult when he was traded.
Keon Ellis shot 3-of-4 from the field and 1-of-1 from the foul line in Wednesday’s loss to the Mavericks, scoring nine points with one rebound, one assist and two three-pointers in 18 minutes.
Ellis’ 2024-25 season ended with a whimper, as he provided limited value as the Kings’ fifth starter. He played 80 games this season, providing slightly higher fantasy value in his 28 starts. In those outings, Ellis averaged 9.8 points, 3.3 rebounds, 2.3 assists, 2.1 steals, 0.9 blocks and 2.0 three-pointers in 31.1 minutes. Regarding playing time, he benefited from the decision to trade De’Aaron Fox. However, Sacramento must address the point guard position this offseason, which would limit Ellis’ fantasy value in 2025-26.