Sunday's MLB DFS main slate will be the final slate before the MLB All-Star break which begins Monday. With the break upcoming we will need to pay attention to the MLB lineups today as we could see managers giving their star players and early start to their vacation, especially those players who may be participating in the All-Star Game festivities .Be sure to check in with our MLB DFS Tools, with the daily MLB projections, MLB DFS rostership projections, and our MLB DFS Lineup Generator when building those lineups today to help you decide which players you should be targeting!

 

MLB DFS Playbook: July 9

MLB Weather Updates

Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees

We got rain in New York on Sunday which could very easily cause a delayed start if not a straight postponement. Those looking to have exposure to this game will need to monitor the updates closely as we approach roster lock.

DFS Lineup Construction Thoughts

The lineup construction doesn't really change from slate to slate for me. Find the weak pitching matchup and stack against. In large field GPPs you will likely want to find a contrarian stack pairing to give yourself a shot at separating from the pack but overall we are looking for hitters in high scoring games, great split matchups and favorable hitting environments. For pitching, it's more of the same, find starters who are favorites to get the win in matchups where they aren't expected to give up too many runs. Use the sportsbooks to your advantage here to identify the best matchups.

Recommended DFS Starting Pitchers

Top Options for Strikeouts

Best Odds for a Win

Favorite Starters to Use for DFS Lineups

Shane Bieber, SP Cleveland Guardians

I mean, he's on the cover of the playbook today so of course he is going to be in the favorite staters section. Listen,  has this been the vintage elite Bieber we've seen in years past? No, not really. The strikeout numbers are way down on the year and he's allowed four or more runs in three of his last four starts. The one start where he didn't allow more than four runs was a six inning shutout against the Royals whom he takes the mound against today. Bieber also had eight strikeouts in that game against Kansas City which is something I hope to see again from Bieber in this matchup today.

Aaron Nola, SP Philadelphia Phillies

Let's see if we can solve the Aaron Nola puzzle this afternoon because he has had two great outings and three bad outings over his last five starts, having allowed four or more runs in those three tough outings while allowing just one run over 14 innings while striking out 17 in his two other starts which came against the Tampa Bay Rays and Atlanta Braves. Nola dominating two tough teams, would at least give some optimism that he can do the same against the Marlins team that doesn't hit right-handed pitching too well.

Brandon Bielak, SP Houston Astros

There really isn't a ton of value on today's slate so we look towards the Astros starter for some salary relief. In his most recent outing he tossed seven shutout innings against the Colorado Rockies. Like a true Astro, Bielak has found great success at home this season, posting a 2.73 ERA with 28 strikeouts over 26.1 innings compared to his 4.82 road ERA where he has just 13 strikeouts over 28 innings. With Houston at home and the Mariners owning the fourth highest strikeout rate vs RHP over the last two weeks I say we take a chance.

Recommended DFS Hitters

Highest Expected Run Totals 

Favorite Hitters to Use for DFS Lineups

Justin Turner, 1B Boston Red Sox

With southpaw JP Sears on the mound this afternoon we look towards the Red Sox offense once again this weekend and notably Justin Turner who is hitting .304 with a .565 slugging percentage and an OPS of .956 against left-handed pitching this season. Turner is also on fire right now, hitting .333 with two home runs and 11 RBI over the past two weeks.

Willy Adames, SS Milwaukee Brewers

With Adames, we have said it all season long, the man loves to hit right-handed pitching and he especially loves to hit him when he is playing at his home ballpark. He checks both of those boxes here this afternoon and he will look to build upon his current run which has seen him hit four home runs over the past four days which included a two home run effort on Saturday. The Reds on Sunday are activating Ben Lively from the injured list and Lively is no stranger to the long ball, having allowed 10 home runs over his nine appearances this season.

Kerry Carpenter, OF Detroit Tigers

I think a sneaky two-man stack on Sunday could very well be Riley Greene and Kerry Carpenter as we look for some lefty bats to face off against the Blue Jays Chris Bassitt. On the season lefties are hitting .284 with an OPS of .946 and a slugging percentage of .574. Left-handed bats have also hit 13 of the 17 home runs allowed by Bassitt this season. Greene is expensive on DraftKings but Carpenter is very cheap which makes the pairing doable. 

Player Pool

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Stacks

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