On Wednesday, August 7th, we have a seven-game slate with super elite pitching options and the New York Mets are in Coors Field, so decisions will have to be made and stands will have to be taken. Are we going to spend up on the mound for the likes of Tarik Skubal, Cole Ragans, George Kirby, and Chris Sale or will be prioritizing Coors Fields bats like Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso or other top hitting options such as Shohei Ohtani, Gunnar Henderson, and Bobby Witt Lets dive into the top options of the day.

 

 

 

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MLB DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook Today, August 7

MLB Weather Today, 8/7

There could potentially be a delay here but there isn’t much potential for a postponement.

 

 

 

Recommended MLB DFS Starting Pitchers

Top Options For Strikeouts

Best Odds For A Win

 

 

 

Core MLB DFS Pitchers

Tarik Skubal, Detroit Tigers

There are certain spots across the league that have built in advantages and Seattle’s home field has that for pitchers. Offense goes to die in Seattle and now they have arguably the front runner for American League Cy Young. At home against lefties this year, Seattle is 29th in OPS and have a near 30% K-rate. Skubal himself takes a 30% K-rate into this game and his K-prop is 7.5, heavy lean on the over, and has struck out six or more batters in eight consecutive outings. He’s elite on every level.

Cole Ragans, Kansas City Royals

It’s been a complete 180 for the Boston offense against lefties as they rank third in OPS against southpaws over the last month, but they’re still striking out a bunch. Ragans still has incredibly high odds for a boatload of punchouts as he’s -170 to go over 6.5 strikeouts. He pitched well in Fenway Park last month and now faces them again today. Ragans has a 28.9% K-rate on the year and has as much upside in the strikeout department as anyone else.

George Kirby, Seattle Mariners

This is one of my favorite plays of the day, if not number one overall. Kirby is simply underpriced and gets this home matchup against the Tigers. Over the last two weeks, the Tigers are dead last in offense against right-handed pitching and that basically coincides with Riley Greene going down. Kirby has been electric lately pitching to a 1.87 ERA over his last 10 starts and has a 2.23 ERA at home compared to 3.47 ERA on the road this year.

Freddy Peralta, Milwaukee Brewers

This is a very interesting spot because Peralta is a high-upside pitcher that has a really low floor. The Braves have an incredibly wide range of outcomes as an offense. They strike out a lot, rank in the bottom-10 against righties, but hit a lot of home runs. Peralta has allowed 18 HR in 22 starts, which is the scary part, but he also has 10+ strikeout upside. His 29.6% K-rate is on par with everyone else on the slate and he’s cheaper than all of them.

Erick Fedde, St. Louis Cardinals

It wasn’t a great debut for Fedde but his second act provides a great bounceback opportunity with the Rays on the schedule. The Rays traded everyone away and their lineup against right-handed pitching is very questionable after you get past Brandon Lowe…who’s the two-hitter. Over the last month, Tampa Bay ranks 26th in OPS, 24th in wOBA, and 22nd in wRC+ against righty hurlers.

Trevor Rogers, Baltimore Orioles

For just $6,000 on DK I’d be willing to take a shot on Rogers because of the matchup. It’s an interesting spot because Toronto is 20th in OPS, wOBA, and wRC+ against left-handed pitching during the last month. Of all the pitchers on the main slate, I find it interesting that Rogers has the best odds to outright pick up a win and is almost even money to go over 17.5 outs. It’s interesting as a punt.

 

 

 

Recommended MLB DFS Hitters

Highest Expected Run Totals 

Core MLB DFS Hitters

New York Mets

The Mets are going to be popular and that's the territory that comes with Coors Field and a 6.3 implied run total. Lefties at home have given Ryan Feltner fits, so that'll be the prioritization today.

You can, of course, play the likes of Pete Alonso, J.D. Martinez, Francisco Alvarez, and Mark Vientos if they crack the lineup.

Vladimir Guerrero, Ernie Clement, Toronto Blue Jays

In terms of OPS, the Blue Jays best two hitters against left-handed pitching this year are Guerrero and Clement and that argument can just simply be made in general lately. Guerrero is hitting over .500 during the last 10 games and has been white hot for months. Clement, who's gained SS elg as well, is hitting .350 over his last 10 games and has sprinkled in a bunch of speed lately stealing four bags over that span.

Ezequiel Tovar, Brenton Doyle, Kris Bryant, Colorado Rockies

I think the Rockies are an alt stack to a chalky Mets lineup with 6.3 implied runs today. The Rockies themselves are at 5.0 implied runs and have an interesting matchup against Paul Blackburn. Blackburn has been awful against right-handed hitters specifically this year as RHH as they've hit .278 with a .495 SLG% and .369 wOBA. His K-rate plummets, flyball rate rises, and so do his walks. For a guy who's been great at getting groundballs, he hasn't done great against righties and now has to keep the ball in the yard in Coors. I love this trio and would even throw Brendan Rodgers into the mix as well.

Anthony Santander, Colton Cowser, Jackson Holliday, Baltimore Orioles

I think Baltimore is an alternative stack to Coors Field for sure with Bowden Francis taking the mound for Toronto. He didn't pitch poorly in his most recent start but he allowed 2 HR and that's been his issue this year. He's allowing 2.01 HR/9 along with a 42% flyball rate. All three guys here are amongst Baltimore's hottest hitters and have a .230 ISO against righties or better over the last month.

Vinnie Pasquantino, Michael Massey, Kansas City Royals

It's official; Kutter Crawford has the yips and has allowed many home runs lately. The count is at 12 in the last three games. He's up to 1.81 HR/9 overall but lefties have done even more damage as they're at 2.19 HR/9. The flyball rate has been significantly higher at 54% against lefties than it is against righties. Pasquantino has been on one lately, but on the year he has an .817 OPS and .198 ISO against righties, and Massey, new leadoff man against righties, homered yesterday and has a .222 ISO against right-handers.

 

 

 

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