Time to check in with the top MLB Best Bets and Props for today! The Friday slate has 14 games to look at with Chicago Cubs starter Shota Imanaga taking the mound against the New York Mets to kick off the action at 2:20pm ET. 

 

 

 

We’ve been diving into the latest Vegas odds and lines to track the movement and with so many good matchups, there’s a lot of ground to cover. Offense could be taking center stage as the Colorado Rockies host the Washington Nationals in Coors Field while lefty Andrew Abbott and the Cincinnati Reds host the Boston Red Sox. We should have ample opportunities to find value on today’s slate.

MLB Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today, 6/21

While I certainly don’t want to get ahead of myself, we finally ended the curse of daytime baseball with Thursday’s MLB predictions. 

Royce Lewis and the Minnesota Twins came through for us, we hit a couple of key player props and also had that pitchers’ duel between the Oakland Athletics and Kansas City Royals with our first-five total going under. I was definitely disappointed we didn’t hit that strikeout parlay as Mitch Spence punched out a whopping seven Royals, but hey… that’s baseball, Suzyn. 

The key today is to carry our momentum into the weekend and rebuild that bankroll!

  • Yesterday’s Record: 5-2
  • Season Record: 248-228-5
  • Bankroll: -6.21 units

 

 

 

White Sox vs. Tigers Prediction: Friday, June 21

Not only do we have two sputtering offenses here, but we also have two pitchers who have been surprisingly strong this season. We’ll start with Detroit’s Jack Flaherty who hasn’t allowed an earned run in each of his last three starts and hasn’t allowed more than three runs in 10 of his last 11 outings. 

Now he’s got a White Sox team that ranks dead-last in wOBA (.277) against righties and has a 24.4-percent strikeout rate with a .106 ISO over the past week. Flaherty hasn’t gone over six strikeouts in his last two starts but had at least seven in the four starts prior. For White Sox starter Eric Fedde, it’s also been a solid ride all year and, in recent outings, looks like he’s going to continue down this path. 

He’s thrown back-to-back quality starts, both on the road, and he’s had at least six strikeouts in four of his last five. The Tigers have been terrible at the plate lately, posting just a .271 wOBA with a .102 ISO and a whopping 28-percent strikeout rate. Have to start my MLB best bets today in Detroit as I like the odds we’re getting here.

 

 

 

Mariners vs. Marlins Prediction: Friday, June 21

This is a complete mismatch with George Kirby on the mound against a Marlins team that has posted just a .270 wOBA with a 24-percent strikeout rate over their last six games. Kirby hasn’t allowed more than two runs in each of his last four starts and has remained incredibly efficient, pounding that strike zone. His strikeout prop is right on the edge, so I’m going to avoid it, but I’ll try a little something with his walks allowed prop, which is sitting at plus-money. 

The Marlins have the lowest walk-rate of any team against righthanded pitching at 5.8-percent and that number has actually dipped to 3.9-percent over the past week. Today’s MLB picks will also look to grab the Mariners on the run line for the first five innings. 

Seattle still strikes out too much, but they’ve been good over the past week with a .328 wOBA and a .193 ISO. Trevor Rogers has been decent in his last two outings, but there’s just no consistency from him, and that 1.62 WHIP tells us that he lives on the edge with every pitch he throws. The Mariners should jump out to an early lead and hold it for the first five innings.

 

 

 

Red Sox vs. Reds Prediction: Friday, June 21

One more game I’m feeling pretty good about for my MLB predictions today is this matchup in Cincinnati. I know it’s dangerous with the hitting, but I am giving a lean towards Boston right now. While Abbott’s home ERA looks almost identical to his road numbers, a deeper look points towards hitters posting a .337 wOAB against him at Great American Smallpark. 

His strikeout rate is lower at home and his WHIP is higher as well. With the Red Sox posting an impressive .325 wOBA against southpaws this season, I think they take that early lead. We’re also going to back Kutter Crawford to go at least six innings in this one. The Reds have a .295 wOBA against righties this season which also comes with a 26.3-percent strikeout rate. 

They’ve also posted just a 6.2-percent walk rate over the past week. They aren’t working the count the way they should which means Crawford should be efficient with his pitches. He’s gone at least six innings in each of his last four starts and in nine of his last 11 outings.

 

 

 

Best MLB Props For Today, 6/21: Pitchers