2025 Player Outlook

Paddack's numbers from 2024 weren't overwhelming by any means, as he had a 4.99 ERA and 1.39 WHIP across 17 starts, and arm issues ended his season early. The Twins increased the usage on his slider immensely, and none of his other pitches had a higher whiff rate than his slider registered (25.4%). He'll need to reduce some of the hard contact that he allows if he wants to drive his ERA down, and at this point, Paddack isn't a guy who is going to rack up a ton of strikeouts. He'll continue to command the strike zone and attempt to induce more ground balls to offset the risks of the hard contact he allows (13th percentile in 2024), but his fantasy value is likely limited to AL-only setups.

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Chris Paddack allowed two runs over five innings while picking up a loss Thursday to the White Sox.

6 hours ago

Paddack was able to strike out five, but he issued four walks and threw just 57 of his 99 pitches for strikes. The right-hander issued one of those free passes with the bases loaded in the fourth, and his other run allowed came on a solo homer by Lenyn Sosa. Paddack wasn’t horrible, but it’s fair to say he was fortunate to limit the damage to just two runs, and also fortunate to be facing the White Sox. He shouldn’t be started against the Guardians next week.

2025-04-24 5:18:19 (ET)

Chris Paddack allowed three hits and one run with one walk and six strikeouts over five innings in a no-decision against the Braves on Friday.

6 days ago

While Paddack’s final line looks great, it may say more about the state of the Braves’ lineup than any breakthrough for Paddack himself. It took him until the third inning before he forced a swing-and-miss and only wound up with six on the night in total despite striking six batters out. His command was good though and he reared back for a handful of 96 mph fastballs. Relative to how Paddack has looked lately, this was an amazing start. He will seek revenge on the White Sox – who annihilated him a few weeks ago – in his next turn.

2025-04-18 10:46:08 (ET)

Chris Paddack allowed two runs — one earned — over five innings Saturday in a loss to the Tigers.

1 week ago

It was easily Paddack’s best effort in three starts, but it didn’t prevent him from falling to 0-2 with a 9.49 ERA. Even with Pablo López on the IL, Paddack is hanging on to a rotation spot by a thread. It doesn’t help that the Twins are 4-11 overall and seemingly in need of some sort of shakeup. If that fails to come, Paddack should start against the Braves next weekend.

2025-04-12 5:07:06 (ET)

Chris Paddack yielded four runs — three earned — in four innings Sunday in a no-decision versus the Astros.

2 weeks ago

Paddack allowed seven hits, walked two and struck out two. It certainly wasn’t as bad as his first start against the White Sox, but his rotation spot needs to be in serious danger. Zebby Matthews is an upgrade for the Twins.

2025-04-06 6:34:38 (ET)

DFS Last 5

Date
Opponent
Pts
Apr 24thWhite Sox11.9
Apr 18th@Braves18.9
Apr 12thTigers16.9
Apr 6thAstros1.6
Mar 31st@White Sox-12.5

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