MLB Best Bets For Today, 5/3 - Expert Picks, Predictions, & Props
Looking for MLB Best Bets and Prop Bets for today? Fantasy Alarm has you covered. After a short but successful betting slate yesterday, we’re back with a full run of MLB action, most of which is for tonight.
We do have one afternoon game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Chicago Cubs, but as I run through the MLB betting odds and lines, there’s not a lot about the matchup that is jumping off the page for me. We’ve got an early jump here on the lines for the Friday night games, so we’ll lean into that.
MLB Picks, Predictions, & Best Bets Today, 5/3
We’ve had a really nice week this week and there are plenty of MLB predictions today to help us keep that momentum rolling. Remember, always shop around for the best odds.
I know it might not be in your budget to open up a variety of accounts, and many people like to stay with one or two sites in which they are comfortable, but sites like Bet365 and even FanDuel Sportsbook are still putting out odds to slightly undercut the competition. Why not take advantage?
- Yesterday’s Record: 4-1
- Season Record: 86-68-1
- Bankroll: +9.73 units
*Each of my top MLB picks will be accompanied by their respective odds.
White Sox vs. Cardinals Prediction: Friday, May 3
With the way Sonny Gray is pitching, it’s been tough to find value in this matchup as the White Sox sit at the bottom in nearly every offensive category (including nose hair) against right-handed pitching. We’ll go as high as minus-140 on his strikeouts prop, but where I feel we can take advantage is with the Cardinals bats. Chicago’s Brad Keller has been parked in Triple-A for the most part but gets called up to make the start today.
The veteran righty has a career 4.26 ERA, walks way too many batters and pitches to an obscene amount of contact. The Cardinals haven’t exactly been lighting it up offensively, but I can see them getting to Keller the second or third time through the order. Just enough to give us the over on the team total for the first five innings, which leads off my MLB predictions today.
- Expert White Sox vs. Cardinals Picks:
- St. Louis First 5 Innings Team Total Over 2.5 Runs (-120 on DraftKings)
- Sonny Gray Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-140 on Bet365)
Red Sox vs. Twins Prediction: Friday, May 3
Next up on today’s MLB best bets is Tanner Houck. We cannot deny the fact that Houck has been one of the best pitchers in MLB right now. GM Craig Breslow and pitching coach Andrew Bailey have him throwing his slider over 40-percent of the time and while that’s putting a lot of strain on the arm and elbow, it looks like he’s going to continue until the arm actually falls off.
The Twins are striking out 25-percent of the time against righties and, as you can see, there is some juice on the K-prop, so get it in early if you can. On the other side, the Twins are throwing Chris Paddack who has been shellacked in two of his last three outings. The one game he did survive came against the White Sox, so we know it’s not something to believe. Boston has posted a mammoth .371 wOBA over the past week and a .329 wOBA against righties this season. They should attack Paddack nice and early.
- Expert Red Sox vs. Twins Picks:
- Boston First 5 Innings Moneyline (-110 on BetMGM)
- Tanner Houck Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-140 on BetMGM)
Giants vs. Phillies Prediction: Friday, May 3
A bit of a risk here as Aaron Nola has seemingly found a groove, but Nola also struggles early in games and gives up that early home run. In fact, he’s allowed five home runs over his last four starts and that’s even come against some soft lineups. We just need the Giants bats to carry some momentum from yesterday’s win and jump on Nola early.
Jordan Hicks takes the mound today and while he was dealing with some tightness in his side, he’s also performed extremely well over the course of the season. His luck could run out overall, but the Phillies have been overly aggressive at the plate, posting a near 25-percent K-rate over the past week. These are two of my more favorite MLB picks of the day, as if Hicks has that split-finger working, he should get the punch-outs needed.
- Expert Giants vs. Phillies Picks:
- San Francisco First 5 Innings Moneyline (+145 on BetMGM)
- Jordan Hicks Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-140 on BetMGM)
Blue Jays vs. Nationals Prediction: Friday, May 3
Happy Patrick Corbin Day to all who celebrate! The Blue Jays may not be lighting up scoreboards, but hitting against Corbin is usually the cure for what ails you. I’m looking for the Jays bats to wake up early and jump out to the early lead we need.
Toronto southpaw Yusei Kikuchi has thrown at least six innings in each of his last four starts, and while Washington is typically a team I don’t like to go against for outs-recorded props – they tend to take pitchers deep into counts – we have noticed that the Nationals are struggling more and more against lefties now that Lane Thomas is out. Some risk involved with the last of today’s MLB predictions, going against what the Vegas odds are dictating, but scared money don’t make money, does it?
- Expert Blue Jays vs. Nationals Picks:
- Toronto First 5 Innings Team Total Over 2.5 Runs (-115 on DraftKings)
- Yusei Kikuchi Over 17.5 Outs Recorded (-110 on BetMGM)
Best MLB Props For Today, May 3
- Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI (-105 on BetMGM Sportsbook)
- Dylan Cease Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-120 on BetMGM Sportsbook)
- Jose Soriano Under 15.5 Outs Recorded (-125 on Bet365 Sportsbook)
As always, please check back with our Discord Betting & DFS channel for any additional late MLB props to add.