2025 Player Outlook
Gray threw his four-seamer at the lowest rate of his career in 2024 and upped the usage on his cutter (.287 BAA, 30.8% whiff rate). When you combine those numbers with career highs in O-Swing% (31.3%) and SwStr% (13.4%), it’s not as surprising to hear that Gray had the sixth-highest strikeout rate in 2024 amongst starting pitchers with at least 130 IP! His 3.84 ERA is not in line with his 3.12 FIP or 2.82 xFIP, and it’s reasonable to believe that his ERA will be closer to the low-to-mid 3s in 2025. At the same point, I expect a slight regression in his strikeout rate, and this St. Louis offense isn’t as potent as it has been in years past. Gray is still an above-average fantasy starter who should provide fantasy managers with plenty of innings and solid ratios, making him an ideal SP3/SP4.
Player News
Sonny Gray surrendered three runs in six innings Saturday in a no-decision against the Brewers.
A bare-minimum quality start for the second straight outing. Gray had his best velocity of the year today, averaging 92.8 mph with his sinker, but he gave up 10 hard-hit balls and seven hits anyway. Gray remained 3-0 with a 3.60 ERA for the season. No one who drafted Gray in early March, before he turned in his bad spring and produced some mildly disturbing injury news at the end of the month, can complain about his performance thus far. For those who drafted just prior to Opening Day, he’s looking like a bargain. He’ll face the Mets next.
Sonny Gray surrendered three runs in six innings Sunday versus the Mets.
Gray struck out six in the quality start. It seemed like he might struggle in April after a tough spring in which he dealt with velocity issues, but he’s 3-0 with a 3.41 ERA through five turns. He’ll face the Brewers next.
Sonny Gray worked seven scoreless frames to get a win over the Astros on Monday while striking out four.
Gray wasn’t throwing the ball part the St. Louis lineup Monday, as he generated only six swings and misses over 92 pitches. He was effective regardless, as he allowed just three hits with one walk, and only one of those knocks went for extra-bases. Gray has allowed just a single run over his last two starts, and the seven scoreless lowers his ERA to 3.13. He’ll look to keep up the good work over the weekend in a schedule start vs. the Mets.
Sonny Gray allowed one run over five innings on Tuesday in a win over the Pirates.
Gray was lifted from the contest after needing just 71 pitches (44 strikes) to navigate five frames on a brutally cold night at PNC Park. He struck out four and didn’t hand out a free pass. A fourth-inning solo shot from Bryan Reynolds represented the lone tally against him. It was an extremely encouraging bounce-back performance after Gray was knocked around for five runs over six innings his last time out against the Angels. He’ll square off against the Astros on Monday at Busch Stadium.
DFS Last 5
Date | Opponent | Pts |
---|---|---|
Apr 26th | Brewers | 9.5 |
Apr 20th | @Mets | 15.3 |
Apr 14th | Astros | 25.4 |
Apr 8th | @Pirates | 19.5 |
Apr 2nd | Angels | 17.3 |