For the main slate this week, despite a lot of low game totals, there are a few games that should be enticing from a DFS stand point, with teams like the Buffalo Bills, Kansas City Chiefs, and San Francisco 49ers being the more chalky NFL DFS stacks for Week 14. By taking a look at projected game and team totals, as well as our NFL DFS Week 14 player projections, we’ll get a good look at how we can best optimize the wide receiver position in our NFL DFS lineups. 

From superstar receivers to top NFL DFS stacks, the NFL DFS WR Coach will have multiple plays at various pricing tiers to help construct your lineups. Without further ado, let’s dive into this week’s DFS WR Coach, highlighting the top plays, values, and fades at the wide receiver position to help build your NFL DFS lineups for Sunday’s main slate on DraftKings and FanDuel.

 

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NFL DFS WR Top Tier Picks

Ja'Marr Chase, Cincinnati Bengals

Jake Browning exceeded expectations against the Bengals on Monday Night Football last week, so I’m much more inclined to trust Chase this week with Browning under center. Ultimately, I’m investing in Chase, an elite receiver who is just as good after the catch as he is before and during it. Boundary receivers have crushed Indy this season, and while Chase will move around a lot, expect the team to prioritize getting him against Jaylon Jones, a seventh-round draft pick in the draft this past year. 

Over his last three games, Jones has allowed 14 yards per reception, a 17.0 aDOT, two touchdowns, and a 145.6 passer rating when targeted, per Pro Football Focus. Jones isn’t the fastest or quickest corner in the league, so I expect him to struggle in terms of staying with the elusive Chase. You can look to Tee Higgins if you want to move off the likely higher rostered Chase.

Stefon Diggs, Buffalo Bills

The matchup may not be the greatest, but we have to follow the points, and this game should feature a bunch of them. Diggs has slowed down a bit in recent weeks, but before the team’s bye, he was back to his normal self, handling 11 targets, totaling 74 yards, and finding the end zone for the eighth time in 2023. The last time Diggs faced the Chiefs, which was in Week 6 last season, Diggs caught 10 of 13 targets for 148 yards and a touchdown. Diggs is likely to be one of the higher-owned receivers on the slate, as he’s the top receiver for a team playing in a game that has the highest total on the slate.

Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

I mean, how do you not play Evans at this point? He has five touchdowns over the last four weeks and has scored in six of his last seven. In fact, there have only been three games all season in which he didn’t find the end zone, and just one game with fewer than five targets! He faces Atlanta this week, and he already burned them for 82 yards and a score earlier this season! The Falcons like to play a good bit of man coverage, and Evans has the seventh-highest receiving grade, per PFF, against man coverage this year, not to mention 14.2 yards per reception and 3.37 yards per route run.

Deebo Samuel, San Francisco 49ers

Samuel was good for us last time out against Seattle, so let’s go back to the well. Samuel has five touchdowns over his last four games, including notching 94 yards and a touchdown two weeks ago against the Seahawks. In his last three matchups against Seattle, here are his final numbers:

  • 2022 Week 2: 97 total yards
  • 2022-2023 Playoffs: 165 yards and 1 TD 2023 
  • Week 12: 94 yards and 1 TD

Including the playoffs, he’s faced Seattle six times in his career, and he’s topped 100 receiving yards in four of them. Simply put, he has their number, and they won’t stop him this time either…

NFL DFS WR Mid-Tier Picks

Davante Adams, Las Vegas Raiders

I’m going to include Adams here for GPP purposes. His price point is affordable, and there are numbers to be had against this Minnesota defense. My concern is that Minnesota’s blitz-heavy defense will affect Aidan O’Connell, who has been pretty bad this year against the blitz. However, since the coaching change to Antonio Pierce, Adams’ usage has been increased and more consistent, and I do like the fact that he is averaging 10 targets per game over the last four weeks.

Michael Pittman, Indianapolis Colts

Is Pittman Jr. matchup proof? I think so! In terms of cash games for DFS, it doesn’t get much safer with Pittman. He has at least eight receptions in five straight games, not to mention 12 or more targets in four of his last five. Only the Commanders have allowed more receiving yards to wideouts over the last four weeks, highlighting how good this matchup is. The last time Pittman Jr. didn’t notch double-digit fantasy points on DraftKings was Week 4, which is actually the only time all season he didn’t surpass 10 points. On FanDuel, Week 5 was the last time he didn’t hit double-digit fantasy points.

DJ Moore, Chicago Bears

The weather here could be an issue, so we’ll keep an eye out there. Moore went for 96 yards and a touchdown against the Lions back in Week 11, and over his last three games, Chicago’s WR1 is averaging 10 targets per game. He gets a good number of screen passes, which is great in PPR setups, and if you watch a Chicago Bears game, it seems like Justin Fields only has eyes for Moore. Over the last four weeks, the Lions have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points per game to wide receivers.

UPDATE (12/8): I'm more confident in the forecast than I was earlier in the week, so wheels up for Moore this week against a Detroit defense that has been a bit vulnerable through the air in recent weeks!

Courtland Sutton, Denver Broncos

Sutton is the clear-cut WR1, and I’m surprised at his price point in this matchup against a very poor Los Angeles secondary. The Chargers have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game to receivers over the last four weeks, and the third-most for the entire season. Sutton has found the end zone in six of his last seven games, and for the season overall, he’s scored in all but three games! The matchup this week is far easier than last week, so I expect some increased efficiency from Sutton in this matchup, on top of his likelihood of scoring yet again. Sutton will be good for at least 70 yards and a touchdown in this game.

Nico Collins, Houston Texans

Like many games on this slate, weather could be an issue, but we’ll take a closer look at the weather as we get closer to Sunday. Ahmad “Sauce” Gardner hasn’t really been shadowing many receivers this season, opting for him to stay on one side of the field the majority of the time. Most of Collins’ snaps come on the opposite side, meaning he’ll avoid Gardner, so long as they don’t decide to shadow this week. Collins is averaging 120 yards per game over his last three outings, and he’s scored in three of his last four. Now, I will note that Collins has some pretty crazy home/road splits:

 TDsRec. Yards per Game
Home6115.4
Away045.8

The unfortunate injury to Tank Dell opens the door for more volume for Collins, but this is a tough matchup nonetheless. I won’t be trusting Collins in cash games this week, but maybe a one-off play in a GPP perhaps.

UPDATE (12/8): The forecast isn't getting any better, and I expect the passing attacks to be affected in this one. Collins is good after the catch, so he may have some YAC opportunities if Houston has to utilize more of the short passing game than they typically employ. However, this seems like a low-scoring game in bad weather, which doesn't tend to be conducive for DFS purposes. I'd limit exposure to Collins this week.

NFL DFS WR Value Picks

Rashee Rice, Kansas City Chiefs

The emergence of Rashee Rice is FINALLY here, and it’s beautiful. His snap share remains elevated, and Patrick Mahomes is FINALLY getting him the targets he deserves. Travis Kelce isn’t getting any younger, or faster, and Rice adds some juice to this offense. The rookie receiver has handled 19 targets over the last two weeks, hauling in 16 of them for 171 yards and a touchdown. His long-awaited breakout is FINALLY here, Mahomes is FINALLY trusting him, and he’s a reliable option in DFS this week in a game environment that features the highest total on the slate.

Drake London, Atlanta Falcons

I typically avoid this Atlanta offense for the most part, but I can’t do it here. The price point for London is too good in this situation. London is a big, physical receiver that can wreak havoc on a Tampa Bay secondary that has allowed the fifth-most fantasy points per game to receivers this season. London moves all around the formation, so he’ll get his fair share of reps against Christian Izien and Carlton Davis, two of Tampa Bay’s corners who have had their fair share of struggles this season. Per PFF’s grading, all of the Bucs’ corners are in the lower half of the NFL, and London had 54 yards on six receptions earlier this year against this divisional foe. As long as Arthur Smith doesn’t go big-brain and takes targets away from London in this great matchup, we should net a quality return on investment.

Elijah Moore, Cleveland Browns

I’m eager to see the practice reports this week for Cleveland because Amari Cooper is banged up, and if we get Joe Flacco under center again, Moore may see double-digit targets again. Sure, he wasn’t as efficient on his 12 targets (4 receptions) as we would have liked, but it’s a very good matchup for Moore and the Cleveland passing attack. Jacksonville has allowed the fifth-most fantasy points per game to wideouts over the last four weeks, and I expect Moore’s reps in the slot to be most lucrative. Tre Herndon has allowed the third-most yards in slot coverage, per PFF, as well as the sixth-most yards after the catch and a 122.2 passer rating when targeted.

Josh Downs, Indianapolis Colts

Downs stunk it up last week, but I’m going back to the rookie receiver in this matchup. This Bengals team has been quite generous to slot receivers this season, and Downs is the primary slot man for Indy. The Bengals are bottom five in the NFL in terms of yards allowed to the slot this season, not to mention the fact that they have allowed the eighth-most fantasy points per game to receivers over the last four weeks. Last week’s five targets were the second-fewest he’s received in a game this year where he played at least 65 percent of the snaps. He’ll get back on the right track this week, and six to eight targets against Cincy is all we should need to get us double-digit fantasy points.

Odell Beckham, Baltimore Ravens

I like Zay Flowers a lot, don’t get me wrong, but let’s take a walk down the narrative street and play the revenge game for OBJ. Over his last four games before the bye, he was averaging just under 19 yards per reception and 5.3 targets per game. You can throw it on the Rams a bit, and if you want a safer play amongst the Ravens’ receivers, Flowers is the better choice. However, narrative street is always a tempting route!

UPDATE (12/8): Weather is going to be dicey here, and despite the revenge game narrative, OBJ is a GPP play only if you want to take the risk.

NFL DFS WR Fades

Cooper Kupp, Los Angeles Rams

I hate to take the somewhat low-hanging fruit, but I’m going to yet again this week. Kupp is still priced way beyond his recent production, and he doesn’t seem to be the featured piece of the passing attack. Sure, he got eight targets last week and found the end zone for the second time all season, but just six catches for 39 yards. He hasn’t topped 50 yards in a game since facing Arizona on October 15th. That’s nearly two months! Baltimore has been stingy against wide receivers this season, allowing the fifth-fewest fantasy points per game to the position, and Kupp is on pace for his lowest yards per route run mark (1.77) of his entire career.