Rams vs. Saints Predictions, Picks & Odds: NFL Week 13, Sunday 12/1
If you have a 10-1 team like the Kansas City Chiefs or Detroit Lions in your division, the wildcard is your only hope. In the NFC West and NFC South, however, the top teams are only 6-5. That means that the 5-6 Los Angeles Rams and even the 4-7 New Orleans Saints are still in the hunt to win the division.
These two teams have been trending in different directions. The Rams are finally get healthy while the Saints have been ravaged by injuries. But both teams are capable of winning this game and both teams need a win to stay in the hunt. So we’ll need to consider all the data, narratives, and injuries to make our Rams vs. Saints predictions for Week 13.
Even if you just want to see the Rams vs. Saints odds and have Rams vs. Saints picks of your own, don’t forget to scroll down at the end to see how you can scoop up a $1,500 BetMGM Sportsbook sign-up bonus!
Rams vs. Saints Predictions For NFL Week 13, Sunday Night Football 12/1
These teams have played in each of the last two years. Last year the Rams got the best of the Saints 30-22. In the previous year the Saints won 27-20. In each game, the home team walked away the victor.
The Saints have won their last two games against the Browns and Falcons. Prior to that though they actually lost seven straight games. The Rams have split their last four games, losing to the Eagles and Dolphins while beating the Seahawks and Patriots.
Los Angeles Rams: Highly Consolidated Offense
For awhile there the Rams were missing their top two pass-catchers in Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp. During those times they had different players step up like Tutu Atwell, Demarcus Robinson, and Colby Parkinson. With both of them back, the touches have been highly consolidated to those two and Kyren Williams. At 88% per game, Kyren Williams is tied with Christian McCaffrey as the top two RBs in terms of snap share. The only other back operating above 80% is Jonathan Taylor at 81%.
The Rams defense has not been great this year - they haven’t been terrible either but they are not a top half unit. Replacing Aaron Donald is an impossible task but rookies Jared Verse and Braden Fiske are making an impact. The Rams have been especially susceptible to the run allowing 144.3 yards per game. That puts them in the bottom five among NFL teams.
New Orleans Saints: The Taysom Hill Show
It’s hard to remember the first few weeks of the season. But Saints fans remember. Gary Kubiak had done his best to replicate the offense from his time in SF and hopes were high. But then they lost Rashid Shaheed for the season. And they’ve been without Chris Olave since October. That’s left Alvin Kamara and swiss army knife Taysom Hill to pick up the slack.
On defense the Saints have had a rough time, especially against the run. FT Fantasy’s DVOA puts them as the 31st ranked team against opposing rushers. During their lengthy losing streak, they fired their head coach Dennis Allen and traded away their best corner in Marshon Lattimore which doesn’t help.
Rams vs. Saints Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
As promised, the latest Rams vs. Saints odds can be found below courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook:
- Point Spread: Los Angeles Rams -2.5 (-115) vs. New Orleans Saints +2.5 (-105)
- Money Line: Los Angeles Rams (-150) vs. New Orleans Saints (+125)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 49 (-110) vs. Under 49 (-110)
Rams vs. Saints: Los Angeles Rams -2.5 (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
We don’t mind paying up a little bit at -115 for 2.5. We probably would have bought the hook anyway at up to -125 to get off the dreaded 3 number. Because the Rams should win this game.
The Saints have had a minor resurgence, as teams often do when they fire their head coach. The players clearly enjoy playing for Darren Rizzi. But you still need stars to win these games. Rashid Shaheed is done for the year, Marshon Lattimore was traded to Washington, and Chris Olave is not eligible to return from IR until Week 15. They’re also in danger of missing key linemen in Lucas Patrick and Erik McCoy.
The Rams on the other hand are firing on all cylinders with Matthew Stafford working with Cooper Kupp, Puka Nacua, and Kyren Williams. There’s even a chance that they get Tyler Higbee back this week. Taysom Hill is probably the closest thing in this league to Superman but they’ll need to put a lot of points on the board to fend off the Rams.
Rams vs. Saints Injury Report & Latest News
Finally, let’s take a quick look at the projected starting lineups for both teams heading into tonight’s matchup:
LAR Rams
- OL Alaric Jackson - DNP
- TE Tyler Higbee - LP
NO Saints
- C Erik McCoy - DNP
- G Lucas Patrick - DNP
- TE Foster Moreau - LP
- RB Jamal Williams - LP
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