Jaguars vs. Texans Predictions, Picks & Odds: NFL Week 4, Sunday 9/29
After a couple of years of things looking like the Jacksonville Jaguars were going to start taking over the AFC South for a while, the Houston Texans have swooped in and had something to say about that. Even still, these division rivalries never seem to disappoint, which is why we’re here to provide you with our best Jaguars vs. Texans predictions.
Also, even if you already have Jaguars vs. Texans picks in mind, you’ll still want to check out everything below, as we have a generous $1,000 Caesars Sportsbook sign up promo for you as well!
Jaguars vs. Texans Predictions For NFL Week 4, Sunday 9/29
After making QB Trevor Lawrence the highest-paid player in the NFL on an annual basis (at the time) this offseason, it’s safe to say that the Jags were fully bought in. With his college mate RB Travis Etienne by his side, optimism in Jacksonville couldn’t have been higher.
Well, an 0-3 start has turned the tide, while the Texans are finding ways to use their abundance of weapons. However, don’t get it twisted - it hasn’t been perfect in Houston either. They’re coming off a 34-7 beatdown by the hands of the Minnesota Vikings, so this division rivalry is something both teams need in a big way.
Jacksonville Jaguars: Trying To Find Positives
It may be difficult to find things for the Jags to hang their hat on after their most recent loss, which was broadcast for the entire world to see on Monday Night Football. The 47-10 thrashing was as bad as it gets, but they can at least say that the Buffalo Bills may be the best team in the entire NFL.
As for their other losses, the first was against another AFC East team - the Miami Dolphins - which was a game that they controlled for quite a bit. The other was against the Cleveland Browns, which was one where they at least held them to just 18 points. Again, things aren’t easy in northern Florida, but these are things that the Jags need to focus on.
Houston Texans: Taking Control Of The AFC South
With the Texans snagging RB Joe Mixon and WR Stefon Diggs this offseason, expectations were that they would build on last year’s impressive 10-7 campaign. While it hasn’t been perfect, this matchup with the Jags is their opportunity to take firm hold of the division.
The AFC South has been among the weaker divisions the past few seasons now, and Houston is the only 2-1 team, and there are two 0-3 teams (Jags and Tennessee Titans). With the 1-2 Indianapolis Colts having a tough test against the 3-0 Pittsburgh Steelers this Sunday, a win for the Texans would be a big step toward full control of the AFC South.
Jaguars vs. Texans Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
Unsurprisingly, Houston is among the biggest favorites of Week 4, and you can see that in the latest Jaguars vs. Texans odds at Caesars Sportsbook:
- Point Spread: Jacksonville Jaguars +7 (-110) vs. Houston Texans -7 (-110)
- Money Line: Jacksonville Jaguars (+250) vs. Houston Texans (-310)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 45.5 (-110) vs. Under 45.5 (-110)
Jaguars vs. Texans Predictions: Houston First Half -4 (-110 at Caesars Sportsbook)
A point spread right on the key number of seven has oddsmakers doing us no favors, and as for the total, it feels right on point with what we expected. Therefore, we decided to look elsewhere for the best bet from our Jaguars vs. Texans predictions, and we found a market that we love.
That would be Houston to take control of the game early on, just like we saw the Bills do to the Jags on Monday Night Football. That would be putting it lightly as well - Buffalo scored a touchdown on all five first-half possessions, taking a 34-3 lead into the half.
We certainly can’t expect that from the Texans this Sunday, but we do expect them to come out hot following such a rough showing last weekend against the Vikings. We noted the aspects that Jacksonville needs to focus on to stay positive, but they were reaches to say the least, and we simply haven't seen a motivated team come onto the field from Doug Pederson’s guys.
Look for Houston QB C.J. Stroud to exploit a terrible Jacksonville secondary and help the best bet from our Jaguars vs. Texans predictions of Houston -4 in the first half (-110 at Caesars Sportsbook) hit!
Jaguars vs. Texans Injury Report & Latest News
We’d love to see Houston RB Joe Mixon back on the field to help with our Jaguars vs. Texans predictions, and you can see the injury report for both teams following Thursday’s practices:
JAX Jaguars:
- RB Tank Bigsby - LP
- WR Gabe Davis - LP
- OL Cam Robinson - LP
- OL Anton Harrison - LP
- CB Jarrian Jones - LP
- CB Montaric Brown - LP
- S Darnell Savage Jr. - LP
- TE Evan Engram - DNP
- LB Foyesade Oluokun - DNP
- LB Devin Lloyd - DNP
HOU Texans:
- WR Nico Collins - LP
- DT Folorunso Fatukasi - LP
- RB Joe Mixon - DNP
- RB Dameon Pierce - DNP
- WR Tank Dell - DNP
- S Jimmie Ward - DNP
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Player News
Titans waived OT Nicholas Petit-Frere.
The team signed C Sam Mustipher and OT Oli Udoh in corresponding moves. Petit-Frere failed to meet expectations after the Titans spent a third-round pick on him in 2022, allowing 35-plus quarterback pressures in 2-of-3 NFL seasons.
Cowboys signed OL Hakeem Adeniji, formerly of the Browns, to a contract.
The former 2020 sixth-round pick last took regular season snaps in 2022. Adeniji spent the 2023 season serving as a part-time special teams player, and although he was technically on the Browns’ 2024 roster, he missed the full season on injured reserve. Adeniji will likely handle a deep-backup/special teams role in Dallas this year.
Free agent QB Aaron Rodgers said on The Pat McAfee Show that he is currently focusing on matters in his personal life while mulling his future in the NFL.
In a wide-ranging discussion with McAfee, Rodgers said that he is still contemplating whether to play in 2025 or retire this offseason, though he has settled on a $10 million asking price, should he choose to stick around. Rodgers repeatedly, yet ambiguously, emphasized that caring for troubled members of his “inner circle” has been his offseason priority. Rodgers spoke positively of his recent visit with the Steelers, praising head coach Mike Tomlin, OC Arthur Smith, GM Omar Khan, QB coach Tom Arth and WR DK Metcalf, whom he called “a specimen” and a “great dude.” Rodgers downplayed reports about pitching Vikings head coach Kevin O’Connell on a union, saying much ado has been made about two old “friends” remaining in regular contact. The free agent QB also notably complimented Giants head coach Brian Daboll’s “beautiful football mind” but kept Giants-talk relatively succinct. Rodgers made clear that the rapidly approaching 2025 NFL Draft will have no bearing on his decision-making timeline, and he understands if the Steelers determine that they must move on without him. In short, it appears as though Rodgers will either sign with the Steelers or move on from football. The enigmatic quarterback gave few indications as to which direction he is leaning.
FOX NFL’s Jordan Schultz reports “interested teams believe Philadelphia would be open to future picks” for TE Dallas Goedert.
Goedert has become a popular trade candidate in the rumor mill. He is on the final year of his current contract and is undoubtedly looking for a new deal. The Eagles, on the other hand, haven’t made much noise about extending him and have generally tried to get out ahead of new contracts in recent years. The timing of this report suggests the Eagles are still trying to field offers for Goedert and the price may be dropping.
Browns GM Andrew Berry said Alabama QB Jalen Milroe has “rare physical talent.”
Berry continued with his praise of Milroe’s physical traits, saying he is maybe the only quarterback faster than Lamar Jackson. Milroe ran for 729 yards and a jaw-dropping 20 touchdowns in his final season at Alabama. Though the Browns don’t appear to be taking a quarterback with the No. 2 overall pick, they are up again at No. 33 and could even package that selection with another pick to get back into the first round. The Browns have held visits with all of the major quarterback prospects, including Milroe. They currently have Joe Flacco and Kenny Pickett on the roster, neither of whom is a long-term option.
Browns GM Andrew Berry said Colorado CB/WR Travis Hunter’s skill set is best suited for wide receiver.
Berry still didn’t rule out Hunter playing both positions at the next level. He also noted that he doesn’t think Hunter needs to be a two-way player to be worth the No. 2 overall pick that Cleveland holds. Hunter is currently the favorite to be taken with the second pick ahead of Penn State EDGE Abdul Carter and Colorado QB Shedeur Sanders. Giants GM Joe Schoen talked about Hunter yesterday as well. He noted the risks of playing Hunter on both sides of the ball but sounded more than willing to give it a shot. Between Schoen, Berry, and other reports, all signs point to Hunter at least getting some run on both sides of the ball, though not as much as he did in college. The receiver-needy Browns would likely deploy him as a wide receiver first, much to the pleasure of the fantasy football community.