For the second straight week, we have a Monday Night Football doubleheader, which means one fewer game on Sunday yet again. Not to worry - we’re still here with our NFL Week 4 player prop picks for you! Even with one fewer game, we’ve still found great spots to target for our NFL Week 4 player props to provide you with the best possible value.

Speaking of value, we’ve also got an extremely generous $1,000 Caesars Sportsbook sign up bonus to take you through after breaking down our best NFL Week 4 player prop picks!

 

 

 

Best NFL Week 4 Player Prop Picks

So how have our player prop best bets been performing? Well, our most recent favorite play was for New Orleans Saints WR Chris Olave to score a touchdown at +160 odds, so we’re looking to ride that momentum for our NFL Week 4 player prop picks.

We don’t have a spot with quite those plus-money odds, but there is a bit of a theme for our NFL Week 4 player props. That would be QBs lighting it up through the air, and relatively young ones at that. They’ll both be at home at rough losses last week as well, but before we get too deep into things, let’s fully break down the first of our NFL Week 4 player prop picks individually.
 

 

 

Jaguars vs. Texans Player Props: C.J. Stroud Over 267.5 Passing Yards (-125 at Caesars Sportsbook)

We’ve got multiple divisional rivalries to enjoy in Week 4, which includes the AFC South showdown with the Houston Texans hosting the Jacksonville Jaguars. This game alone features the next generation of QBs, but we’re going to focus on Houston’s C.J. Stroud.

The Ohio State product had a record-setting rookie season, but at this point, just about every fan has heard all about that. Well, we expect many of those numbers you’ve been hearing all offseason to continue against a Jags defense that struggles on the backend. Frankly, that would be putting it mildly.

Jacksonville’s secondary has been getting torched through the air, allowing the third-most passing yards per game. It was on full display in prime time in Week 3 as well, as the Jags were crushed 47-10 by the Buffalo Bills on Monday Night Football. The Bills scored touchdowns on all five first-half possessions, so QB Josh Allen wasn’t forced to throw much after that.

Even still, Allen racked up 263 yards and four TD passes. We considered TD passes for Stroud as well, but with the over 1.5 juiced to around -150, the value simply isn’t there. Instead, we’re willing to trust him to hit over his passing yards prop, just as he did in both games against Jacksonville in his rookie season.

Last season, Stroud easily hit over this mark in both games, averaging 292 passing yards per game against the Jags. We’re even getting better value thanks to Caesars, as this prop is listed as high as 270.5 yards! Therefore, we’re confident making the first of our NFL Week 4 player prop picks C.J. Stroud over 267.5 passing yards (-125 at Caesars Sportsbook).
 

 

 

Patriots vs. 49ers Player Prop Bets: Brock Purdy Over 223.5 Passing Yards (-117 at Caesars Sportsbook)

The other QB that we’re targeting with our NFL Week 4 player props is in a late afternoon game, and rather than a division rivalry, is part of a coast-to-coast matchup. That would be the San Francisco 49ers hosting the New England Patriots, with both teams coming off heartbreaking losses.

Of course, they came in different fashions, as the 49ers blew a double-digit lead to a division rival, while the Pats were crushed by 21 by a division rival in prime time. Either way, they’re both sitting at 1-2, but that is a much more surprising result for San Francisco. Much of that has to do with injuries, but we’re still willing to trust their signal caller to help them bounce back.

Truthfully, even in the losses, QB Brock Purdy has been lighting up the stat sheet. Look no further than last week - in their loss to the Los Angeles Rams, Purdy still tossed the rock for 292 yards and three touchdown passes. That came after a 319-yard performance, and the argument of an injured WR Deebo Samuel doesn’t hold much weight.

Purdy was without him against the Rams, and that clearly didn’t make a difference. If anything, his absence is a large part of why this prop is so much lower than his season average. As if all that wasn’t enough, through the air is exactly how to attack the Pats.

New England’s run defense is elite, allowing the fourth-fewest yards per game. On the flip side, they’re allowing the sixth-most passing yards per game. With all that in mind, we’re adding to our NFL Week 4 player prop picks with Brock Purdy over 223.5 passing yards (-117 at Caesars Sportsbook).
 

 

 

Sunday NFL Week 4 Player Prop Odds At DraftKings Sportsbook

You’ve seen our best NFL Week 4 player prop picks, but what about some other popular NFL Week 4 player props? Here are some other notable lines at Caesars Sportsbook:

Passing Yards:

  • Bengals QB Joe Burrow: Over 257.5 (-113) vs. Under 257.5 (-121)
  • Panthers QB Andy Dalton: Over 230.5 (-117) vs. Under 230.5 (-117)
  • Buccaneers QB Baker Mayfield: Over 230.5 (-117) vs. Under 230.5 (-117)

Rushing Yards:

  • Vikings RB Aaron Jones: Over 57.5 (-123) vs. Under 57.5 (-111)
  • Packers RB Josh Jacobs: Over 57.5 (-129) vs. Under 57.5 (-106)
  • Rams RB Kyren Williams: Over 75.5 (-115) vs. Under 75.5 (-119)

Receiving Yards:

 

 

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