We already got off to a hot start with our NFL Best Bets for the Week 10 Thursday Night Football game as we had the Carolina Panthers plus the points and went 4-1 on our player props. We missed on the over, but what can you do? These things happen. Still, a strongly profitable night and we’re ready to ride that momentum into Sunday’s games beginning with the Indianapolis Colts and New England Patriots squaring off in Germany. I’ve got a player prop for that one, but the bulk of my football bets this week are lined up for Sunday action here on American soil. Big thanks to all of our veterans for enabling me to call it that! In the meantime, let’s get to this week’s bets and player props.

 

 

NFL Week 10 Best Bets:

Green Bay Packers at Pittsburgh Steelers

I’m a big fan of the Steelers defense at home and while they can be vulnerable against the run and Aaron Jones is back on the field, it’s more about the performance of Jordan Love. The youngster got off to a hot start this season, but has a penchant for struggling against some of the better pass defenses. The Steelers may be without Minkah Fitzpatrick, but their defense has forced 16 takeaways and the pass-rush has 26 sacks. Love under pressure is not a good thing and the Packers are 1-4 against the spread in their last five games.

Pick: Steelers -3 (-105 Caesars)

Tennessee Titans at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The shortcomings for the both secondaries are well-documented, as are the strengths of each team’s run-stopping ability. The Titans have one of the worst pass defenses in the league and are now going to be without Sean Murphy-Bunting, arguably their best cover-corner. The Bucs have both corners, Jamel Dean and Carlton Davis, listed as questionable and even with them playing, the Bucs pass defense has been shredded in four-straight games with the most recent being C.J. Stroud throwing for 470 yards and five touchdowns against them. With the ground games potentially stifled, the passing attacks are going to have to perform. The total just feels low for what we are expecting to see in this one.

Pick: Over 39 (-110 BetMGM)

Detroit Lions at Los Angeles Chargers

Contrary to the above game, I believe the public is expecting a shootout and betting this game as such. Unfortunately, Justin Herbert is struggling in recent games and has lost some receivers along the way. The Lions defense should be keying in on Austin Ekeler and Keenan Allen, thus forcing the Chargers to score using their fringe players. Meanwhile, Jare Goff on the road is not as good as Jared Goff at home and with the return of David Montgomery, I am expecting the Lions to run the ball as much as possible to control the game and the clock. Excessive running leads to less scoring and more clock-killing.

Pick: Under 48.5 (-110 BetMGM)

Washington Commanders at Seattle Seahawks

This is my contrarian bet and I’m currently using the alt spread to get that extra half-point in my direction. I have an issue with 92-percent of the public money being on the Seahawks, so my immediate look is the other way. Working in our favor is rain in the forecast which always makes for a nice, sloppy game and the fact that even if the weather is clear, Sam Howell is going to chuck it 40-50 times in this one and that will hopefully help keep things close, if not give me the back-door cover late in the game.

Pick: Commanders +6.5 (-115 BetMGM)

Favorite NFL Week 10 Player Props: