2023 NFL Pick Em Confidence Pools: Week 6 Predictions
NFL Week 6 kicks off on Thursday Night Football with Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs hosting Russell Wilson and the Denver Broncos. The hope is that it somehow becomes an entertaining, watchable game, but for the sake of picking a winner, when Vegas throws you a minus-625 money line for the Chiefs to win, there’s really not much of a surprise coming. But this is actually looking like an interesting week, given the array of NFL injuries that have occurred. Can the Minnesota Vikings walk into Chicago to beat the Bears without Justin Jefferson? Will the Miami Dolphins ground game stumble without rookie De’Von Achane? And who is leading this backfield for the Arizona Cardinals now? We’ve dug deep into the match-ups and studied the betting lines, so let’s make out Confidence Pool picks for Week 6.
In an effort to help you with your pools, I will provide you with my picks each week. In addition to full game breakdowns I do for my own research, I will also use money lines which at least show you how Vegas and the books are leaning. Sometimes the lines offer you a clear-cut decision, but you also need to explore some of the intangibles of each match-up and maybe have more of a gut-feel as to what may happen in a particular game. That’s where ranking your predictions becomes so important.
- Season Standings: 48-30
- Season Points: 420
Ready for NFL Week 6? Let’s get it!
| Game | Pick | Confidence # | Money Line |
| Carolina Panthers at Miami Dolphins | Dolphins | 15 | -1000 |
| New York Giants at Buffalo Bills | Bills | 14 | -1000 |
| Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs | Chiefs | 13 | -625 |
| San Francisco 49ers at Cleveland Browns | 49ers | 12 | -325 |
| Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams | Rams | 11 | -310 |
| Philadelphia Eagles at New York Jets | Eagles | 10 | -305 |
| Baltimore Ravens at Tennessee Titans (London) | Ravens | 9 | -198 |
| New England Patriots at Las Vegas Raiders | Raiders | 8 | -166 |
| Detroit Lions at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Lions | 7 | -166 |
| Seattle Seahawks at Cincinnati Bengals | Bengals | 6 | -162 |
| Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears | Vikings | 5 | -142 |
| Dallas Cowboys at Los Angeles Chargers | Chargers | 4 | 110 |
| New Orleans Saints at Houston Texans | Saints | 3 | -120 |
| Washington Commanders at Atlanta Falcons | Commanders | 2 | 124 |
| Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars | Colts | 1 | 164 |
Related Articles & Links
- NFL Best Bets & Player Props
- NFL Week 6 Thursday Night Football DFS Showdown
- 2023 NFL Week 6 Survivor Picks
- 2023 NFL Seasonal Stats
Player News
InsideTheBirds.com’s Andrew DiCecco reports there “could be more variance” for the Eagles offense under new coordinator Kevin Patullo.
DiCecco said several Eagles players this spring have suggested that the team’s offense under Patullo could be more balanced after being among the NFL’s run-heaviest units in 2024. The Philly offense would still revolve around Saquon Barkley following his 2,005 rushing yards in 2024, though the team could try to “preserve” the centerpiece of their offense with a slightly lighter workload in 2025. Barkley, 28, last season recorded 378 touches, the most of his NFL career. More passing for the Eagles would primarily benefit DeVonta Smith and A.J. Brown, who dominate targets in the Philadelphia offense. The Eagles in 2024 had the fewest pass attempts (448) in the NFL.
Steelers signed LS Tucker Addington, formerly of the Texans.
The veteran long snapper most recently played for the Texans but has also seen stints with the Patriots, Dolphins, Cowboys, Jaguars, and Commanders during his three-year NFL career. He slides in behind Christian Kuntz on the team’s depth chart and should provide valuable experience at one of the game’s most underrated positions.
Russell Wilson said he chose to play with the Giants because of WR Malik Nabers.
“I came here because of him,” said Wilson about Nabers during a panel at Fanatics Fest over the weekend. “I really wanted to play with someone who is special like him.” As a rookie in 2024, Nabers was targeted 170 times, which was second-most among NFL wide receievers. He also led the Giants with 109 receptions for 1,204 yards and seven touchdowns. Wilson, who will turn 37 years old during the 2025 season, had only one player with 100/1000/7 in a single season (Tyler Lockett in 2020). Wilson signed with the Giants in March following a one-year stint with the Steelers.
The Athletic’s Zak Keefer says we should “look for more emphasis on explosion” from the Chiefs’ passing game this season.
As Keefer notes in the article, Andy Reid “made a point of it all spring” for the Chiefs to “get back to pushing the ball deep down the field.” Per PFF, since 2021, Patrick Mahomes has ranked 21st or lower in ADOT (min. 300 dropbacks), but finished sixth in ADOT in 2018 when he broke out for 5,097-50-12 on his way to winning his first MVP. A lot has changed since Mahomes last aired it out at a high rate. Most notably is the departure of Tyreek Hill in 2022 and Travis Kelce no longer being the spry, explosive playmaker we saw several seasons ago. The Chiefs hope the return of Hollywood Brown and a second year of work for Xavier Worthy will lead to more explosive plays next season, which could spell big things for fantasy managers who decide to take shots on pieces of an offense that ranked 15th in scoring last season.
The Athletic’s James Boyd believes Daniel Jones “has already taken a significant lead” in the Colts’ QB competition.
Jones and Anthony Richardson are supposed to compete for the QB1 job in camp. While Richardson recently said he expects to be ready to go by camp, an offseason shoulder surgery has slowed his progress for the upcoming season, and opened the door for Jones to work almost exclusively with the first team offense. Jones has struggled to look like the player who was taken No. 6 overall by the Giants in 2019, but Richardson’s underwhelming performance in 2024 (1,813-8-12) that was headlined by a 47.7 completion percentage was far worse than any single season of Jones’ six-year career. The Colts will string this competition along for as long as they can — assuming Richardson is healthy enough to play in camp — but Richardson is well behind Jones at this point.
Jets owner Woody Johnson has agreed to purchase a 43 percent stake in Premier League club Crystal Palace.
Johnson will buy his stake from American businessman Jon Textor. According to reports, the deal is worth $254 million pending approval from the Premier League and Women’s Super League. The move will make Johnson partners with two other NFL owners as Commanders principal owner Josh Harris and minority owner David Blitzer own the majority stake in the team along with Steve Parish. The 78-year-old Johnson, who served as United States Ambassador to the United Kingdom from 2017 to 2021, previously attempted to buy fellow Premier League club Chelsea in 2022, but was unsuccessful.