NFL Week 16 Best Player Prop Picks: Kyren Williams, De’Von Achane Sunday, 12/22
There is never a shortage of top plays on an NFL Sunday, but the Week 15 slate was particularly special with three lineman scoring touchdowns and picking off passes! If you were somehow able to foresee that and find a way to make picks on that, more power to you, but we’re here to find NFL Week 16 player prop picks just as valuable.
In fact, we’ll be helping you make any NFL Week 16 player props as valuable as possible with a huge $1,500 BetMGM Sportsbook sign up bonus!
Best NFL Week 16 Player Prop Picks
Last week, we began our player prop picks with Pittsburgh Steelers QB Russell Wilson staying under his passing yards prop - he threw for just 128 yards, coming through with flying colors. As for NFL Week 16 player prop picks, there will be no rooting for unders!
While they can absolutely be the right approach in certain situations, it’s more fun to root FOR things rather than against them. Given the matchups that we have this Sunday, we’ve got a theme for how we’re going to approach NFL Week 16 player props, which is the RB position. We’re going to be focusing on opportunity and scoring, so let’s get into our best bets!
Rams vs. Jets Player Props: Kyren Williams Over 20.5 Carries (+100 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
First up is the opportunity portion of our NFL Week 16 player prop picks. In that regard, we’re focused on the Rams vs. Jets matchup, which is just one of the several cross-country games that we have down the home stretch of the regular season.
While LA will be the ones taking the long trip, they’re also the ones with the extra rest, as they last played on Thursday Night Football. That was a critical victory over the NFC West rival San Francisco 49ers, and to extend their lead in the division, we expect them to lean on RB Kyren Williams.
After all, that has been the gameplan for teams playing the New York Jets. Since drafting CB Sauce Gardner, their run defense has been far weaker than their pass defense. While it has improved this year, there is quite an interesting correlation.
While New York hasn’t allowed a ton of yards on the ground, they are among the worst teams in terms of RB carries allowed this season. Now, that is in part due to teams having a lead against them and running out the clock, but with LA favored in this matchup, that very well may be the case this Sunday.
There’s no denying that this is a significant value, but we aren’t scared - Williams has had 29 carries in back-to-back games! His 280 this season are the second-most in the entire NFL, behind only Philadelphia Eagles RB Saquon Barkley, who is an MVP candidate.
Therefore, we’ll start our NFL Week 16 player props with Kyren Williams over 20.5 carries (+100 at BetMGM Sportsbook.)
49ers vs. Dolphins Player Props: De’Von Achane Anytime TD Scorer (-145 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
Now, onto the aforementioned touchdown prop. In that regard, we’re heading to the late afternoon slate for the 49ers vs. Dolphins matchup. Given that the game is in Miami and not San Francisco, it’s a bit strange that it’s not a 1 PM ET game, but either way, we’re eyeing the team in South Beach.
They may have just ruined any slim playoff chances they had by losing to the Houston Texans last weekend, and the 49ers did the same with their loss on Thursday Night Football. So, we prefer NFL Week 16 player prop picks rather than trusting either team to win this game given the motivation uncertainty.
San Francisco fans were pumped to see LB Dre Greenlaw return to the field, but he quickly left due to injury once again. Along with LB Fred Warner having battled through injuries this season, the 49ers defense is a shell of what it was expected to be. That’s why it may still surprise fans that they’ve allowed 19 rushing touchdowns this season - tied for the second-most.
Therefore, we expect Miami to try and exploit that, especially with what we saw from QB Tua Tagovailoa last Sunday. The Alabama product accounted for four turnovers, which simply cannot happen. This should be a matchup in which they aren’t trailing right from the jump, allowing them to feed Achane.
With that in mind, let’s add to our NFL Week 16 player prop picks with De’Von Achane to score an anytime touchdown (-145 at BetMGM Sportsbook).
Sunday NFL Week 16 Player Prop Odds At BetMGM Sportsbook
Of course, it’s not just RBs on the field this Sunday - here are some other popular NFL Week 16 player props at BetMGM Sportsbook:
Passing Yards:
- Bills QB Josh Allen: Over 237.5 (-115) vs. Under 237.5 (-115)
- Eagles QB Jalen Hurts: Over 198.5 (-115) vs. Under 198.5 (-115)
- Rams QB Matthew Stafford: Over 244.5 (-115) vs. Under 244.5 (-115)
Rushing Yards:
- Patriots RB Rhamondre Stevenson: Over 45.5 (-115) vs. Under 45.5 (-115)
- Cardinals RB James Conner: Over 79.5 (-115) vs. Under 79.5 (-115)
- Vikings RB Aaron Jones: Over 68.5 (-115) vs. Under 68.5 (-115)
Receiving Yards:
- Bengals WR Ja'Marr Chase: Over 87.5 (-115) vs. Under 87.5 (-115)
- Commanders WR Terry McLaurin: Over 63.5 (-115) vs. Under 63.5 (-115)
- Jets WR Davante Adams: Over 73.5 (-115) vs. Under 73.5 (-115)
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