On Wednesday, October 2nd, we have a solid four-game MLB DFS main slate kicking off at 2:30 PM ET. 

There is a great mixture of aces, back-end starting pitching, and elite offensive options for the second day of the MLB Wild Card round for today's MLB DFS picks.

 

 

 

MLB DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook Today, October 2nd

MLB Weather Today, 10/2

There is some rain in the forecast, but nothing overly concerning, and nothing that will cause an issue in this game.

MLB DFS Optimizer & Lineup Generator Today

This Playbook is your go-to guide for making awesome MLB DFS picks. Check out our expert tips and suggestions, and make sure to look at today’s MLB DFS projections, MLB DFS ownership projections and our dedicated MLB lineups page! 

You can seamlessly combine all this info with the MLB DFS Lineup Generator to secure your Core Plays and whip up winning lineups in no time! Here’s a sample lineup for today’s games:

 

 

 

Recommended MLB DFS Starting Pitchers

Top Options For Strikeouts

Best Odds For A Win

Worst Bullpen ERAs (September)

 

 

 

Core MLB DFS Pitchers

Hunter Brown, Houston Astros

Just because Framber Valdez was roughed up doesn’t mean we shouldn’t go back to Astros pitching. Brown will be popular and for good reason. He posted a 25% K-rate this year and is a groundball specialist posting a 48.9% GB rate. 

Despite how many wins they racked up after the All-Star break, the Tigers were league-average in OPS and struck out 24.4% of the time against right-handed pitchers. Brown was one of the league’s best pitchers after the break pitching to a 2.26 ERA along with a .221 BAA.

Joe Musgrove, San Diego Padres

Atlanta’s offense is definitely potent, but they’re short-handed, missing pieces, and volatile. They have a 23% K-rate against righties since the All-Star break and also, they have a .174 ISO. After pitching to a 5.66 ERA in the first half of the year and spending time on the IL, Musgrove returned in the second half and looked like a different pitcher. He pitched to a 2.15 ERA in 50.1 innings, holding opponents to a .195 BAA.

Frankie Montas, Milwaukee Brewers

This is an interesting spot because we saw how early the Brewers went to their bullpen in Game 1 and that’s the tricky part about using a pitcher from a team down 0-1 in a three-game series. That said, this has upside written all over it if Montas can navigate a tough lineup. 

Since the trade deadline, the Mets have a 25.4% K-rate against right-handed pitching, which is the sixth-highest in the league. The home runs have been a concern, but the strikeouts have been on a rocket ship to the moon. Since the All-Star break, he’s at 1.6 HR/9 but a 27% K-rate. Feast or famine and in a tournament, that’s something you’re willing to take a shot on.

 

 

 

Recommended MLB DFS Hitters

Highest Expected Run Totals 

Core MLB DFS Hitters

Kyle Tucker, Houston Astros

This isn't exactly easy for Kyle Tucker and the Astros, but they lead the slate in implied total and are looking to even the series at one. Tyler Holton opens for Detroit and then chaos, per manager AJ Hinch. I understand the Tigers bullpen has pitched to the second-best ERA in the league in September, but Tucker also has a 1.041 OPS over that span as well.

Francisco Lindor, Brandon Nimmo, New York Mets

Hard not to love the Mets lefties here, especially the power bats. Over the last 90 days, lefties have a .266 ISO and .401 wOBA against Frankie Montas. Insert two of the top three in the Mets lineup here in Lindor and Nimmo. 

Lindor has a .300 ISO in September against righties while Nimmo's at .254. For the year, Lindor has a .208 ISO and .361 wOBA, both much lower than his expected numbers, while Nimmo sits at a .185 ISO and .322 wOBA (.344 xwOBA) against righties.

William Contreras, Jackson Chourio, Joey Ortiz, Rhys Hoskins, Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers have a lot of upside against left-handed pitching but some of their fringe pieces are risky, so I'll stick to their core group. Contreras and Chourio have an OPS of .845+ since the All-Star break while Rhys Hoskins and Joey Ortiz both are comfortable over .800. The latter two names are the value options and they both have shown massive power against lefties. Since the break, Ortiz has a .262 ISO, and Hoskins sits at .241.

Cedric Mullins, Colton Cowser, Baltimore Orioles

I like the Orioles lefties here and I have two listed because of price point, but if you end up getting to Gunner Henderson and Anthony Santander, that's very solid too. Cowser has a .222 ISO and .347 wOBA against right-handed pitching this year and has crushed fastballs and curveballs, which are the two pitches Seth Lugo throws the most to lefties. Cedric Mullins also has a .196 ISO and .333 wOBA and also hits both of those pitches well.

Vinnie Pasquantino, MJ Melendez, Michael Massey, Kansas City Royals

Lefties against Zach Eflin is the spot. Also, lefties just simply have a better chance at success in Camden Yards. Over the last 30 days, lefties have posted a .245 ISO (.295 xISO) and .320 wOBA (.415 xwOBA) against Seth Lugo. 

Massey will likely be leading off again here with his .188 ISO against righties this year. Pasquantino returned in Game 1 and posted a .188 ISO and .336 wOBA. Melendez has a .224 ISO.

 

 

 

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