MLB DFS Picks, Projections, Lineups & Stacks Today: Tuesday Playbook

On Tuesday, September 3rd, we have a massive 10-game MLB DFS main slate kicking off at 7:07 pm ET. There is a great mixture of aces, back-end starting pitching, and elite offensive options for today's MLB DFS projections.

MLB DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook Today, September 3

We lost a great pitcher in Justin Steele due to elbow issues, but pitching is still strong with the likes of Chris Sale, Luis Castillo, and Carlos Rodon taking the hill. There are elite hitters as well with Shohei Ohtani, Aaron Judge, Marcell Ozuna, and Vladimir Guerrero stepping into the box.

That said, let's take a look at the MLB DFS projections while we bust into our favorite MLB DFS picks today!

MLB Weather Today, 9/3

Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves

• The only thing worth noting here is the wind blowing in from left field Atlanta at 10 MPH.

MLB DFS Optimizer & Lineup Generator Today

This Playbook serves as your go-to guide for creating fantastic MLB DFS picks. Explore our expert insights and suggestions, and make sure to take a look at today’s MLB DFS projections, MLB DFS ownership projections and our dedicated MLB lineups page! 

You can seamlessly combine all this information with the MLB DFS Lineup Generator, allowing you to secure your Core Plays and build successful lineups in no time! Here’s a sample lineup for today’s matchups:

Recommended MLB DFS Starting Pitchers

Top Options For Strikeouts

• Chris Sale, Atlanta Braves - 8.5 (-130)
• Luis Castillo, Seattle Mariners - 6.5 (-135)
• Paul Skenes, Pittsburgh Pirates - 6.5 (-130)
• Carlos Rodon, New York Yankees - 6.5 (+105)

Best Odds For A Win

• Chris Sale, Atlanta Braves (-155)
• Luis Castillo, Seattle Mariners (+105)
• Carlos Rodon, New York Yankees (+130)
• Ryne Nelson, Arizona Diamondbacks (+135)
• Walker Buehler, Los Angeles Dodgers (+140)

Core MLB DFS Pitchers

Chris Sale, Atlanta Braves

The best pitcher on the slate is Chris Sale and there is a large gap between him and the field. He has a strikeout prop of 8.5 that has heavy juice on the over and is -155 to outright win, which is absurd. He has a 50 FP ceiling in this spot against a team that has a 26.9% K-rate while being bottom-10 in OPS, wOBA, and wRC+ despite having the best home-field advantage in baseball.

Carlos Rodon, New York Yankees

It’s been a bag of mixed results for Carlos Rodon but he’s topped 20 DKP in five of his last seven starts overall. He has one of the better K-rate’s on the slate as it’s just under 26% and well over one per inning. It’s a very good spot for Rodon considering Texas is a bottom-10 offense in OPS and wOBA against left-handed pitching. They have a 22.4% K-rate this year against lefties, which is 13th in the league.

Brady Singer, Kansas City Royals

The more I look into this spot for today's MLB DFS picks, the more I’m interested in Brady Singer. He faces the Guardians at home and that’s relevant because of how good he’s been in Kansas City. His ERA is a full run lower in KC at 2.88, .49 points lower on BAA, 2% increase on his K-rate, and a 5% increase on his groundball rate. Cleveland is 21st in OPS and wOBA against right-handed pitching this year as well. He’s going to be extremely low-owned compared to SP2’s like Rodon and Nelson.

Ryne Nelson, Arizona Diamondbacks

I love Ryne Nelson today and he’s likely going to be a popular SP2 at just 7.2K on DraftKings. He goes into San Francisco tonight and faces a bottom-10 offense against right-handed pitching in basically every category. Pair that with the 23% K-rate and Nelson makes a ton of sense. Over his last 11 starts, Nelson has a 2.77 ERA, .221 BAA, 24.9% K-rate, and a 43% groundball rate.

Recommended MLB DFS Hitters

Highest Expected Run Totals 

• Los Angeles Dodgers - 5.6
• Atlanta Braves - 5.1
• New York Yankees - 4.9
• Milwaukee Brewers - 4.8

Core MLB DFS Hitters

Shohei Ohtani, Teoscar Hernandez, Will Smith, Mookie Betts & Tommy Edman, Los Angeles Dodgers

The Reid Detmers problem has been a home run problem and that problem is definitely a problem against the Dodgers because they are, in fact, a problem. He's allowed 28 home runs between the majors and minors, 22 coming against righties. But that doesn't mean lefties have an issue hitting Detmers. Just at the major league level, LHH had a .258 ISO and .362 wOBA against him before his demotion. There is a long list of Dodgers I'd play in tonight's MLB DFS picks because they hit southpaws as well as anyone in baseball.

Vladimir Guerrero, Toronto Blue Jays

Tyler Phillips has straight-up been baaaad against right-handed bats. Righties have a .303 ISO and .408 wOBA against him and the expected numbers match up with the actual numbers, he hasn't been unlucky. Guerrero has been simply incredible for months now and his numbers against righties have been great as well. He has a .219 ISO and .395 wOBA against them and his expected numbers suggest he's been unlucky. One of the top spends of the day. 

Bryce Harper, & Kyle Schwarber, Bryson Stott & Brandon Marsh, Philadelphia Phillies

Let's face facts. Chris Bassitt has a lefty issue and that's been on full display for multiple seasons now. The .166 ISO he's allowed is lucky considering his xISO is .204 and the .361 wOBA is slightly lower than the .368 xwOBA. Even with some luck on his side, lefties are hitting .287, a 40% flyball rate, and a 45% hard-hit rate. Insert all the Phillies lefties here and you can make an appealing stack. Harper and Schwarber are expensive but are elite against righties. Stott's been great over the last two weeks posting a .316 AVG and .821 OPS. Marsh is very cheap and has a .199 ISO and .339 wOBA against righties.

Willy Adames & Jackson Chourio, Milwaukee Brewers

I know I shouldn't like Willy Adames for MLB DFS picks here because it's a lefty, but man the run he's on makes that part really hard. It's not hard to like Jackson Chourio, that parts easy. What I will say is the numbers for both Adames and Chourio against lefties are worst on the surface and a lot of the expected numbers are very solid. They match up with Steven Matz who hasn't pitched in the majors since April and righties have a .182 xISO and .392 wOBA against him this season.

Lawrence Butler, JJ Bleday & Seth Brown, Oakland Athletics

Lefty power and road starts is where you take advantage of Luis Castillo and that's what we have here. Lefty bats have a .227 ISO and .362 wOBA against Castillo this season. He's allowed 1.93 HR/9, 5.07 xFIP, 42.9% flyball rate, .500 SLG%, and a .353 wOBA to lefties on the road this year. Butler has a .253 ISO and .351 wOBA against righties, Bleday is at .202 ISO and .341 wOBA, and Brown, since the All-Star break is hitting .295 with an .838 OPS and .191 ISO.

Geraldo Perdomo, Arizona Diamondbacks

It was a really good month of August for Perdomo and it's been a good second half in general. In August, Perdomo had an OPS that cleared .800 and since the break he's right around that number. He's hitting .293 against lefties on the year and there's a chance, if Ketel Marte doesn't return today, that Perdomo is leading off.

Mickey Moniak, Los Angeles Angels

Walker Buehler has flat out been a bad pitcher this year and right now, Mickey Moniak is on fire and is very, very cheap. Lefties have a .241 ISO and .414 wOBA against him. From March to July, Moniak hit six home runs. In August alone, he hit six home runs while batting .359 with an OPS over 1.100. He has a .560 SLG%, .881 OPS, and .372 wOBA since the All-Star break.

Player Pool

• DraftKings Player Pool
• FanDuel Player Pool

$ Tier	SP	C	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF
High	Chris Sale $11,600				José Ramírez $4,100	Bobby Witt $4,300	Aaron Judge $5,000
	Carlos Rodón $9,600					Mookie Betts $3,900	Shohei Ohtani $4,800
							Brent Rooker $3,800
							Marcell Ozuna $3,800
Medium	Ryne Nelson $8,800	William Contreras $3,300	Bryce Harper $3,600	Gleyber Torres $2,900	Mark Vientos $3,100	Francisco Lindor $3,700	Kyle Schwarber $3,700
	Brady Singer $8,600	Will Smith $3,200	Vladimir Guerrero $3,600			Willy Adames $3,500	Teoscar Hernández $3,500
		Cal Raleigh $3,200	Luke Raley $3,000				Giancarlo Stanton $3,300
							Jackson Chourio $3,200
							George Springer $3,000
							Lawrence Butler $3,000
Low	Walker Buehler $6,900			Bryson Stott $2,800	Enrique Hernández $2,600	Tommy Edman $2,600	Brandon Marsh $2,900
				Brendan Donovan $2,900	Paul DeJong $2,800	Geraldo Perdomo $2,800	Ramón Laureano $2,600
				Whit Merrifield $2,700			Mickey Moniak $2,600
				Jorge Polanco $2,900			Seth Brown $2,600
							Andy Pages $2,500
							Brewer Hicklen $2,000

Stacks

Dodgers	Mookie Betts	Teoscar Hernández	Will Smith	Tommy Edman	Shohei Ohtani
DraftKings	6300	4900	4700	3400	7000
Fanduel	3900	3500	3200	2600	4800

Phillies	Bryson Stott	Kyle Schwarber	Brandon Marsh	Bryce Harper
DraftKings	3800	5600	3500	5400
Fanduel	2800	3700	2900	3600

Brewers	William Contreras	Willy Adames	Jackson Chourio	Gary Sánchez	Brewer Hicklen
DraftKings	5200	4700	4500	3500	2000
Fanduel	3300	3500	3200	2700	2000

Athletics	JJ Bleday	Lawrence Butler	Seth Brown	Brent Rooker
DraftKings	4000	4200	2900	5500
Fanduel	2900	3000	2600	3800

Braves	Sean Murphy	Marcell Ozuna	Whit Merrifield	Ramón Laureano
DraftKings	3700	5400	3700	3200
Fanduel	2700	3800	2700	2600

Yankees	Gleyber Torres	Aaron Judge	Giancarlo Stanton
DraftKings	4000	6900	5000
Fanduel	2900	5000	3300