MLB DFS Picks, Projections, Lineups & Stacks Today: Saturday Playbook

Welcome to another day of MLB DFS here at Fantasy Alarm. We have a big 8-game main slate on DraftKings kicking off at 7:05 PM EST.

This slate has no Coors Field and no real weather concerns outside of the Chicago vs Boston game. Pitching is headlined by Dylan Cease who takes on the San Francisco Giants while the most expensive hitter is Shohei Ohtani, as he usually is.

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MLB DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook 

MLB Weather: Today, 9/7

Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox

There is a possibility of rain in this game with a chance for delays. It’s not expected to be bad enough to delay the game but it is possible so keep an eye on the weather.

MLB DFS Lineup Construction Thoughts

My favorite pitcher on the board is Dylan Cease despite his recent outings. I find myself pairing him with a cheaper option like Tobias Myers to stack as many expensive bats as I can.

The Red Sox have the highest implied team total, but with Garrett Crochet tossing at least a couple innings and possible rain in the forecast, I’m not going too deep on this game. Most of my interest falls with the Rangers, Guardians, Dodgers, and Brewers.

Recommended MLB DFS Starting Pitchers

Top Options for Strikeouts

• Dylan Cease (7.5 Ks -125) vs San Francisco Giants
• Tobias Myers (6.5 Ks +120) vs Colorado Rockies
• Logan Gilbert (5.5 Ks -130) vs St. Louis Cardinals
• Spencer Schwellenbach (5.5 Ks -105) vs Toronto Blue Jays

Best Odds for a Win

• Logan Gilbert vs St. Louis Cardinals
• Tobias Myers vs Colorado Rockies
• Bailey Ober vs Kansas City Royals

Core MLB DFS Pitchers

Dylan Cease, San Diego Padres

Dylan Cease has not looked great in recent starts, so I can understand having reservations, but this is a smash spot. Over the last 30 days, the Giants rank 28th in wOBA, AVG, and OPS against righties, while they rank 2nd with a 28% strikeout rate. Cease has only finished the sixth inning once in his last seven starts, but he does have a 30.3% strikeout rate on the season. We recently saw both Zac Gallen and Merrill Kelly dice up the Giants and Cease should follow suit, projected at -125 to go over 7.5 strikeouts.  

Logan Gilbert, Seattle Mariners

I’d like Logan Gilbert more if he were at home, but he’s been great all year with only a few bad starts. He’s had at least six strikeouts in six straight starts and is coming off 19 strikeouts over his last 12 innings. The Cardinals have had a 20% strikeout rate over the previous 30 days and are league-average in most categories. He’s holding batters to a .197 AVG on the season while striking out 26.5% of batters faced. The frustrating part with how good Gilbert has been is that he has only recorded two wins over his last 10 starts, but he does have the best odds on the slate to record a win.

Jose Berrios, Toronto Blue Jays

Jose Berrios started the season dominant, came back down to Earth, and has returned to being dominant. He’s had at least 24 DK points in six of his last seven starts and finished seven innings in five of them. Atlanta has ranked in the bottom half of the league against righties all season and we have not shied away from attacking them. Berrios only strikes out 19.3% of batters but his 43.5% groundball rate is the best mark of his career. His 1.48 HR/9 could become a problem but if he can limit the damage, he has great upside for his price tag.

Tobias Myers, Milwaukee Brewers

Tobias Myers looks like the best value option on the slate, drawing the matchup at home against the Rockies. Colorado ranks in the middle of the league in most offensive categories against righties over the last 30 days, but they also lead the league with a massive 30.4% strikeout rate. If you consider the road splits, this number jumps to 35.9%. Myers is striking out 21.6% of batters and recorded seven and nine strikeouts in two of his last five starts so he could very well have a ceiling strikeout game here.

Recommended MLB DFS Hitters

Highest Expected Run Totals  

• Boston Red Sox (5.2)
• Los Angeles Dodgers (5.1)
• Milwaukee Brewers (5.1) 
• Texas Rangers (4.9)
• Atlanta Braves (4.6)

Core MLB DFS Hitters

Note: Will Be Updated as Official Starting Lineups Are Released

Jose Ramirez, 3B, Cleveland Guardians

Jose Ramirez comes in as the third most expensive player on the slate in a great spot against southpaw Justin Wrobleski. Wrobleski has only made six starts but has allowed nine home runs, eight of which came against righties. On the season, Ramirez holds a .699 SLG, 1.083 OPS, and .346 ISO against this split. Of his 34 home runs, 13 have come off lefties and it would not be shocking if he cranks one off a pitcher allowing 3.13 HR/9 to righties. 

Jackson Chourio, OF, Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers have one of the highest implied team totals today and Jackson Chourio is a great way to get exposure. The rookie is one home run shy of recording a 20/20 season and has been electric during the second half of the season. Over his last 10 games, he has a 1.228 OPS with four home runs, 12 RBIs, and two steals. He’s done more damage to righties but he’s had a .990 OPS during the second half of the season and should be in a great spot to produce.

Trevor Story, SS, Boston Red Sox

I can’t say what we can expect from Trevor Story making his return after being injured in April, but he’s very cheap and Boston has the highest implied team total on the board. Garrett Crochet is starting for the White Sox but has not thrown more than four innings since June. Story has only played in eight games this year and I would not say he should be in every lineup you make, but he has upside at this price tag if you need the money at other positions.

Wyatt Langford, OF, Texas Rangers

Over his last 10 games, Wyatt Langford has a .913 OPS and has recorded three home runs and 12 RBIs. He holds a .359 wOBA and .232 ISO against southpaws on the season and Tyler Anderson has been regressing. His 4.26 expected ERA is nearly a run higher than his 3.55 actual ERA and he’s allowed at least four runs in three of his last four starts. The Rangers have one of the highest team totals on the board and Langford comes at a great price tag.

Player Pool

• DraftKings
• FanDuel
• DraftKings Early
• FanDuel Early

$ Tier	SP	C	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF
High	Aaron Nola $11,000	Yainer Diaz $3,300	Bryce Harper $3,700	Ketel Marte $3,800	Alex Bregman $3,200	Gunnar Henderson $4,300	Yordan Alvarez $4,000
	Zach Eflin $10,800			Jose Altuve $3,600	Eugenio Suárez $3,400	Elly De La Cruz $4,300	Anthony Santander $4,200
						Francisco Lindor $3,800	Kyle Schwarber $4,100
							Brent Rooker $3,700
							Corbin Carroll $3,500
							Spencer Steer $3,400
Medium	Yusei Kikuchi $10,500	Tyler Stephenson $3,100	Pete Alonso $3,200	Jonathan India $3,100	Mark Vientos $3,000	Jeremy Peña $3,100	J.D. Martinez $3,000
			Christian Walker $3,200	Jackson Holliday $2,900			Jesse Winker $3,000
							Brandon Nimmo $3,200
							Nick Castellanos $3,100
							Cedric Mullins $3,000
Low	Jose Quintana $7,100	Victor Caratini $2,600	Seth Brown $2,400	Jose Iglesias $2,700	Jonah Bride $2,500	Geraldo Perdomo $2,700	Daz Cameron $2,300
	Brant Hurter $7,200	Francisco Alvarez $2,600	Ty France $2,500	Zack Gelof $2,700	Santiago Espinal $2,600		Jake Meyers $2,700
							JJ Bleday $2,700
							Lawrence Butler $2,800
							Randal Grichuk $2,400

Stacks

Dodgers	Shohei Ohtani	Gavin Lux	Max Muncy
DraftKings	7000	4000	4900
Fanduel	4900	2700	3400

Rangers	Josh Jung	Marcus Semien	Wyatt Langford
DraftKings	4200	5100	4100
Fanduel	2900	3200	3100

Brewers	William Contreras	Rhys Hoskins	Jackson Chourio
DraftKings	5000	3400	4500
Fanduel	3300	2900	3300

Guardians	José Ramírez	Lane Thomas	Jhonkensy Noel
DraftKings	6400	3800	4100
Fanduel	4000	3000	3200