MLB Best Bets Today, 7/12: Expert Picks, Predictions & Props On Friday
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Time to check in with the top MLB Best Bets and Props for today and Fantasy Alarm has everything you need. This is the final weekend of action before the MLB All-Star break and Friday is loaded with a 15-game slate that features plenty of betting opportunities.
We get pitching aces like Tarik Skubal, Cole Ragans, Freddy Peralta and Hunter Brown on the mound as well as Gerritt Cole, though we need to see which version of Cole will tangle with the Baltimore Orioles. And we should also see some strong hitting with home games for the Cincinnati Reds against the Miami Marlins and the Philadelphia Phillies who get a real soft matchup against the Oakland Athletics.
We’ll check in with the latest Vegas lines and odds to find the best value bets available, so let’s get to it.
MLB Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today, 7/12
Before we dive into Friday’s slate, it’s always nice to check in with where we are at betting wise. The Thursday MLB predictions were strong, once again, as we continue to nail a lot of these pitching props.
It was a good day for the “unders” as we’ve found some really nice pockets to bet on for guys like Jordan Hicks, Nestor Cortes and Roddery Munoz and expose their current struggles. The bankroll is growing and we’re looking to finish this first half strong, so it’s time to dive in!
- Yesterday’s Record: 7-3
- Season Record: 330-276-6
- Bankroll: +15.93 units
Twins vs. Giants Prediction: Friday, July 12
The Twins remain one of the hottest-hitting teams in MLB with a .381 wOBA and .205 ISO over the past week and they absolutely crush lefties with a .345 wOBA and .181 ISO over the course of the season. They also have a sub-20-percent strikeout rate against southpaws too. Giants starter Kyle Harrison is still working his way back from an extended injury absence over June and only lasted 3.1 innings in his first start back last week.
The Guardians put up four runs on him that day as he threw 72 pitches, gave up four hits, one home run and walked four. The Twins can probably do that and more. On the other side of these MLB best bets, the Giants are ice cold right now, posting a soft .287 wOBA with a 27.1-percent strikeout rate.
They aren’t hitting for a world of power and both the ballpark dimensions and cool, damp air in the Bay Area will help Ryan, who is more of a fly-ball pitcher. He should be able to limit the hits, punch out more than just a few guys (he’s topped his K prop in each of his last two starts) and help the Twins hold a lead through the first half of this game.
- Expert Twins vs. Giants Picks:
- Minnesota First 5 Innings Money Line (-130 on Bet365)
- Joe Ryan Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-120 on BetMGM)
Athletics vs. Phillies Prediction: Friday, July 12
The Phillies just got done sweeping the Dodgers, they have the most players headed to the All-Star game and they are looking to finish this first half with some fireworks at home. Enter Oakland, one of our favorite punching bags. The A’s have lefty Hogan Harris taking the mound and while he may have some big dad energy just coming off the paternity list, this Phillies team is absolutely loaded and crushes left-handed pitching.
We’re talking about four players, including Trea Turner, posting a wOBA over .400, while the team as a whole has a .337 wOBA against southpaws. And best of all, we don’t even care about Ranger Suarez struggling on the mound. Not that I think Oakland is going to beat him up, but we’re just going to stay focused on the Philadelphia offense with our MLB picks today.
- Expert Athletics vs. Phillies Picks:
- Philadelphia F5 Innings Team Total Over 2.5 Runs (-135 on DraftKings)
- Trea Turner Over 2.5 Hits+Runs+RBI (-115 on BetMGM)
Pirates vs. White Sox Prediction: Friday, July 12
While the Pirates have been hitting the ball well in recent games, we’re going to focus on their 21st-ranked .302 wOBA against southpaws which comes with a 24.7-percent strikeout rate. Garrett Crochet knows he is on the trade block right now and as he gets ready to go to his first All-Star game, you know he wants to put on a show for any prospective teammates. While I do worry about his workload in the second half, he’s got one more start here to really shine bright.
While I don’t like backing the White Sox offense and they have struggles against lefties, the Pirates are running out Marco Gonzales for his first start since returning from a forearm injury. I’m not sure how deep he goes into this game, but Gonzales is a guy who pitches to contact and is likely to have some command issues his first time out. Our MLB predictions today will back the Pale Hose here, at least early on.
- Expert Pirates vs. White Sox Picks:
- Chicago First 5 Innings -0.5 Run Line (-125 on Bet365)
- Garrett Crochet Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-125 on Bet365)
Best MLB Prop Bets Today, 7/12: Pitchers
- Bryan Woo Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-140 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Ryne Nelson Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-110 on BetMGM Sportsbook)
- Randy Vasquez Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135 on Bet365 Sportsbook)
- Carlos Carrasco Over 1.5 Walks (-110 on Bet365 Sportsbook)