With a full slate of games on Wednesday, it’s time to check in with the top MLB Best Bets and Props for today. Today’s action offers us plenty of opportunities to dig up some nice value bets. 

 

 

 

The slate is split with the action starting early in the day as the Colorado Rockies face Pablo Lopez and the Minnesota Twins with a first pitch at 1:10pm ET. But there’s a steady flow from then on with the majority of the games starting in the evening with the likes of Sonny Gray and Walker Buehler taking the mound. We also have a pair of youngsters squaring off in Spencer Schwellenbach taking on Cade Povich. 

We’ll study the Vegas lines and odds first before diving in and see what’s up.

MLB Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today, 6/12 

We had a tough one in yesterday’s MLB predictions as I spent most of the night completely tilted off that Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers game. Everything was fine and we were cruising towards cashing our early bets until the bottom of the fifth inning when the wheels fell off the wagon thanks to a two-out error on Andy Ibanez that set everything in motion to crush our souls. 

The Tigers took the lead and starter Mitchell Parker was completely rattled. We fought hard to break even the rest of the night, but that was a tough one to take. Equally tough was Bryan Woo getting scratched to nullify another bet I thought we would easily cash. Nothing you can do but dust yourself off and get it back today!

  • Yesterday’s Record: 5-6
  • Season Record: 215-194-5
  • Bankroll: -2.24 units

 

 

 

Phillies vs. Red Sox Prediction: Wednesday, June 12

I really like this pitching matchup today and feel like this could be both an exciting yet tense duel for our MLB best bets to follow. Phillies lefty Cristopher Sanchez hasn’t allowed more than two earned runs in any of his last four outings and he’s pitched at least six innings in three of them. 

The Red Sox have a lot of lefty bats in their lineup and have had their trouble against southpaws this season, posting just a .310 wOBA against them with a massive 29-percent strikeout rate. With Sanchez posting at least seven strikeouts in two of his last four starts, we expect a strong outing from him. On the other side is Nick Pivetta who is coming off a fantastic start against the Braves and has back-to-back outings of nine strikeouts. 

The Phillies haven’t been a big strikeout team, so we’ll leave his K-props alone today. What we will look to, though, is for him to keep the scoring down in the early innings. Bryce Harper has some decent success against him, but, overall, Pivetta has done a good job against lefty hitters, limiting them to just a .263 wOBA this season.

 

 

 

Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction: Wednesday, June 12 

Despite some of the struggles we’ve seen from Sonny Gray recently, we’re going back to the well once again with him in my MLB picks today. He’s still sporting just a 3.21 ERA with a 1.07 WHIP on the season and his strikeout numbers continue to look strong. The Pirates bats have quieted down recently and their 24.3-percent strikeout rate over the past week is what pushes me more towards betting Gray. 

The Pirates are throwing Bailey Falter and while I’m not a huge fan, the fact that he’s a southpaw is what excites me about this game. The Cardinals continue to be one of the worst offenses in baseball against lefties, posting a .75 wOBA with just a .246 BABIP. They may not strike out a ton, but they do not make strong contact against lefties and should be contained, at least through the first five innings. What happens after that, so long as Gray continues to strike Pirates out, is of no concern to me.

 

 

 

Marlins vs. Mets Prediction: Wednesday, June 12 

The two bottom-feeders of the NL East square off today with a couple of southpaws on the mound in David Peterson and Braxton Garrett. The lean today would be in the Mets favor though as the Fish continue to post the worst offensive numbers against lefties this season. They have a .262 wOBA with a feeble .098 ISO and a 20.7-percent strikeout rate. 

Peterson should be able to work through this lineup and pitch into the sixth inning. As for the Mets against Garrett, I cannot ignore their seventh-best .329 wOBA against southpaws with a sub-20-percent strikeout rate. Garrett got bounced before he could finish the fourth inning in his last start and that came against a Rays team that has actually struggled against lefties.

He’s allowed at least five runs in three of his five starts, including a six-run beating by the Mets back in mid-May. Despite neither team being all that good, I like this matchup to finalize today’s MLB predictions as that 7.5-run total seems a little too low for me.

 

 

 

Best MLB Props For Today, 6/12: Pitchers