Dolphins vs. Jets Predictions, Picks & Odds: NFL Week 18, Sunday 1/5
The New York Jets have been eliminated from playoff content. All that is left for them is to play spoiler. The Dolphins aren’t in control of their destiny as they’ll be eliminated from playoff contention if the Denver Broncos beat the Kansas City Chiefs (who are benching their starters). But it would be a point of pride for the Jets to win and make that not matter.
And that’s just one narrative surrounding this game that could affect the outcome. The Dolphins will also be without starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, for instance. Let’s dive into all the storylines surrounding this game then make our Dolphins vs. Jets predictions for Week 18.
Even if you just want to see the Dolphins vs. Jets odds and have Dolphins vs. Jets picks of your own, don’t forget to scroll down at the end to see how you can scoop up a $1,500 BetMGM Sportsbook sign-up bonus!
Dolphins vs. Jets Predictions For NFL Week 18, Sunday Night Football
Being AFC East rivals, these teams play at leat twice a year. And the Dolphins have definitely been out front as of late. They’ve won that last four matchups, eight of the last nine, and 12 of the last 14. The matchup just a couple weeks ago was a close one with the Dolphins winning 32-26 in overtime.
The Dolphins have battled to keep themselves in the playoff discussion. Winning five of their last seven games kept them alive. The Jets season has been a disaster as they’ve fallen to a 4-12 record while losing six of their last seven. Their lone win came against the Jaguars.
Miami Dolphins: Tua Tagovailoa is Doubtful
Quarterback is the most important position in football. So not having your starting quarterback in a must win game is a brutal position. Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle are both questionable but are expected to play. Star left tackle Terron Armstead is a true question mark which puts them in a tough spot after losing both Austin Jackson and his backup Kendall Lamm to injury.
The Dolphins defense has been middle of the pack based on most metrics. In fact, FTN Fantasy’s DVOA statistic has them ranked exactly 16th of 32 teams. Calais Campbell made a rare request to be released if the Dolphins were eliminated but they have stayed alive and he has stayed with the team. He’s dealing with a neck issue but is hoping to play in what could be his last game.
New York Jets: Nightmare Season
The New York Jets hoped Aaron Rodgers would lead the team to glory in the twilight of his career like Tom Brady did with Tampa Bay. They doubled down bringing over his friend Davante Adams. The direction of the team and the disappointing season has seemingly disenfranchised some of the young stars on the team like Garrett Wilson and Sauce Gardner.
On defense the Jets started out strong, especially against the pass, but injuries and the firing of defense coach Robert Saleh have deflated this defense. They run a lot of zone which works best when you don’t have weak spots. DJ Reed and Michael Carter II previously missed time and now they’ll be without star corner Sauce Gardner this week.
Dolphins vs. Jets Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
As promised, the latest Dolphins vs. Jets odds can be found below courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook:
- Point Spread: Miami Dolphins -1 (-105) vs. New York Jets +1 (-125)
- Money Line: Miami Dolphins (-110) vs. New York Jets (-110)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 39 (-110) vs. Under 39 (-110)
Dolphins vs. Jets: Jets Moneyline (-110 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
I think Aaron Rodgers and the Jets find a way to win this game. He may be dropping mopey stories about whether or not he plans to keep playing but we know that he’s going to want that decision to be on HIS terms. Same goes for Davante Adams. Rodgers, Adams, Garrett Wilson, and Breece Hall are still a formidable group.
On the other side, you’ve likely got journeyman Tyler Huntley starting for the Dolphins. We know for a fact he will be without his right tackle already and there is a chance they could be without their left tackle as well. I know this is a must-win for the Dolphins but they’ll be scoreboard-watching and, if the Broncos go up early, it could pull the wind from their sales. I just don’t think the potential last NFL game for Aaron Rodgers is going to be a loss to Tyler Huntley.
Dolphins vs. Jets Injury Report & Latest News
Finally, let’s take a quick look at the projected starting lineups for both teams heading into tonight’s matchup:
MIA Dolphins
- LB Anthony Walker - Out
- QB Tua Tagovailoa - Doubtful
- T Terron Armstead - Questionable
- DT Calais Campbell - Questionable
- S Jevon Holland - Questionable
- WR Tyreek Hill - Questionable
- WR Jaylen Waddle - Questionable
- WR Dee Eskridge - Questionable
NYJ Jets
- CB Sauce Gardner - Out
- DT Leki Fotu - Doubtful
- TE Tyler Conklin - Questionable
- OT Morgan Moses - Questionable
- G Alijah Vera-Tucker - Questionable
- NT Quinnen Williams - Questionable
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Player News
Bills LT Dion Dawkins (illness) did not participate in Wednesday’s practice.
Bills opened LB Baylon Spector’s 21-day practice window to return from injured reserve.
Eagles C Cam Jurgens (back) did not practice on Wednesday.
Ravens signed WR Anthony Miller to a reserve/futures contract.
A.J. Brown (knee/rest) was limited in Wednesday’s practice.
Eagles WR/PR Britain Covey (neck) was limited in Wednesday’s practice.