Two NFL games on Monday night means twice the amount of football, twice the excitement and twice the opportunity to win some money with our NFL best bets for Seahawks vs. Lions MNF.

The second game, Seattle Seahawks versus the Detroit Lions, kicks off at 8:15pm ET, is an exciting match-up and we are ready to start diving into our NFL predictions. As always, it is important to check in with the Vegas odds & lines to track any potential line movement.

 

 

 

We will also check in with any relevant historical data before making our NFL picks, project the potential game-flow and we’ll be ready with another round of our NFL best bets for Seahawks vs. Lions MNF.

NFL Picks, Predictions & Best Bets For Monday Night Football, 9/30

There is a surprisingly strong amount of recent data between these two teams, but the question we have to ask is how relevant it might be for our NFL predictions as the Seahawks have a new head coach and offensive coordinator. 

Nevertheless, these two teams have met three times in the last two seasons, twice in Detroit, and the Seahawks are 3-0 straight-up and 2-1 against the spread. In fact, over their last 10 games against each other, the Seahawks are 9-1 straight-up and 7-3 against the spread. With regard to the game total, the over is 6-4 over their last 10 meetings with the over massively hitting in each of the last three. But how much of this do we bake into our NFL picks? 

The Seahawks have had a bit of a transformation while the Lions have made some improvements on defense but remain relatively the same on offense. Let’s dive into some game flow before finalizing our NFL best bets for Seahawks vs. Lions MNF. 

 

 

 

Monday Night Football Prediction: Monday, September 30th 

When we look at the Detroit Lions offense, we have to begin with the ground game. Head coach Dan Campbell is an old-school guy and absolutely adores his 1-2 punch of David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs. 

But the Seahawks defense ranks third in DVOA against the run, and they’ve allowed an average of just 116.3 rushing yards per game. They also rank second in DVOA against running back pass-plays so even if you’re looking for Gibbs as a pass-catcher, things could get rough.

Of course, things don’t get much easier for the Lions through the air as Seattle ranks first in DVOA against the pass. They allow the fewest passing yards per game at 132.3 and their defensive backs, Riq Woolen, Tre Brown and Devon Witherspoon are some of the best in the game. 

Detroit’s top receiver, Amon-Ra St. Brown, takes 58-percent of his snaps from the slot which puts him and Witherspoon at odds with each other and that’s a tough task for someone even at St. Brown’s level.

For Seattle, Ryan Grubb’s offense has really started to take shape over the last two weeks. Yes, they looked fine against Denver in Week 1, but over these last two weeks, we’ve seen the misdirection and precision-passing we had been expecting after watching countless hours of video of his offense from the University of Washington. 

Geno Smith has a 75.5-percent completion percentage over the last two games with an average of 303 passing yards with one touchdown per game. His top target, as expected, has been DK Metcalf who is coming off back-to-back 100-yard efforts and has scored in each of those games.

But in order for Seattle’s passing attack to truly take flight, they need to establish the ground game as well. Kenneth Walker returns from an oblique injury, but he’s got a tough task here against the Lions defensive line and overall run defense. The Lions rank fourth in DVOA against the run and have allowed an average of just 76.7 rushing yards per game. 

We might see Seattle utilize a 1-2 punch of their own with Walker and Zach Charbonnet just to try and soften that line with some fresh legs. So, we’ve got the strengths and we’ve got the weaknesses of these two teams. Do we have enough to finalize our NFL picks and set up our NFL best bets for Seahawks vs. Lions MNF? Yes, we do.

 

 

 

Seahawks vs. Lions Best Bet: Monday, September 30th  

This line actually opened at Lions -6 and dropped down as low as 3.5 points. Looking at the line right now, it’s Lions -4 and considering the recent history, we could be looking at a road dog here. 

Seattle’s offensive line, which has been banged-up, is going to be routinely tested by a tough Lions pass-rush, but I absolutely love this passing attack for them. If Seattle’s run defense holds and we put our faith in these corners, then even at home, Jared Goff could struggle.

Considering the strength of each team’s run defense, we’re expecting both passing attacks to be featured in this one. While the Lions pass-rush is strong and the Seattle defensive backs are some of the best, I expect to see some points scored in this one. 

Seattle has averaged 24 points per game while the Lions have averaged just over 20. Just one extra push from either team pushes the over which should hit for the fourth-straight time in this series. 

 

 

 

Best NFL Player Prop Bets & Other Picks Today, 9/30

**Please check back for more and/or different props as lines are still being posted as of writing this.

 

 

 

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